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Author Topic: Halving, who's closest with actual Nrs TAKE A CHANCE on the LIST !!!  (Read 6950 times)
exstasie
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January 08, 2020, 10:28:19 PM
 #341

I'll take the spot between these guys:

12601-12650      tokeweed
12701-12750      rhomelmabini

No real TA to offer. April 1st is probably right in the throws of the halving pump so trying to guess the exact price/time is beyond impossible. Plus, every spot I wanted is already taken. Tongue

My opinion on the structure of the game:
  • Definitely prefer the "highest/lowest before x date" format. That allows for some skill. This is more like a lottery.
  • $50 spacing is too much I guess. It doesn't allow people to cluster their guesses at popular zones. Outside the extremes, almost every possible guess will be taken.

Anyway, thanks to "El duderino_ " (whoever the hell that is Tongue) and good luck everyone!

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January 08, 2020, 10:34:31 PM
 #342

Thank you for this another great competition, this prediction of mine is bullish,
I don't mind it being wrong as long as price going to the halving had some big improvement because we needed some good recovery this year.

14601-14650


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El duderino_
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January 08, 2020, 11:51:09 PM
 #343

List = UPDATED

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January 08, 2020, 11:52:41 PM
 #344

I'll take the spot between these guys:

12601-12650      tokeweed
12701-12750      rhomelmabini

No real TA to offer. April 1st is probably right in the throws of the halving pump so trying to guess the exact price/time is beyond impossible. Plus, every spot I wanted is already taken. Tongue

My opinion on the structure of the game:
  • Definitely prefer the "highest/lowest before x date" format. That allows for some skill. This is more like a lottery.
  • $50 spacing is too much I guess. It doesn't allow people to cluster their guesses at popular zones. Outside the extremes, almost every possible guess will be taken.

Anyway, thanks to "El duderino_ " (whoever the hell that is Tongue) and good luck everyone!

Thx for the feedback, please tell me what would have been your taken price you would have chosen, and if we say the highest number before the given date, what would it been following your reasoning and TA....?

XhomerX10 designed my nice avatar HATs!!!!!  Thanks Bro
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January 09, 2020, 12:37:37 AM
 #345

Hi,

I'd take the 12801-12850 spot.

Unfortunately I'm a little late and it seems all spots around 8-9k are already taken so let's be optimistic and take the higher value Smiley

Good luck everyone and thanks @OP for the contest Wink
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January 09, 2020, 12:58:51 AM
Merited by Globb0 (2)
 #346

Looking at the list it seems all the good spots are already taken. As I would of liked to pick a higher number because I am a bitcoin enthusiast.
So please do not judge me. Cheesy

4401-4450

It was either this or 36001-36050 but cant see it reaching this high just for halving which usually brings the price down for the first couple of days until things settle down in the bitcoin market.

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January 09, 2020, 01:41:17 AM
 #347

12751-12800 lucky numbers for me.  Grin
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January 09, 2020, 04:11:22 AM
Merited by El duderino_ (2)
 #348

Crowded field yet all the previous winners are clustered in quite bearish to neutral sideways predictions over 4 months.   Two ways to look at that would be either the experts have spoken, between them you have the trajectory projected with cruise missile accuracy like the gods of probability that they are.    Or we have a bias to the visible, too much note made of what happened over what could happen.
   I reckon the second just going on the nature of BTC as I know it,  a disobedient child that never does whats expected of it.   Having all previous winners in the same band of roughly 6 to 8k I reckon is fair to make me more bullish on surprise to the upside.   Or it might be they were penned into those prices by that crowded field, didn't notice.   Not a prior winner but I see at least one high guesser like me whose TA I always agree with, so I'm optimistic for my chances so far even though I often vastly underestimate price expansion potential
  Volatility is a bull market, I'd say that even if crypto had never happened but its probably part of what drives this sector the unknowns unknowns.

BTC past 50 day average anyhow

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January 09, 2020, 08:23:35 AM
 #349

This game is a real learning experience.

Everyone gets a chance to put a stake in the ground and see how close they are.

Each time learning a bit, maybe from how wrong they were or whatever.

Putting an actual price and having a target, not just floating along the years vaguely.

You win some you learn some.






Mic you are tricky, I just realised you are teaching us all to fish.
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January 09, 2020, 08:57:47 AM
 #350

4401-4450

It was either this or 36001-36050 but cant see it reaching this high just for halving which usually brings the price down for the first couple of days until things settle down in the bitcoin market.

Values like 12800 are still available. It may be much bigger than you'd like, but it's still not 36k.

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January 09, 2020, 09:35:56 AM
 #351

Looking at the list it seems all the good spots are already taken. As I would of liked to pick a higher number because I am a bitcoin enthusiast.
So please do not judge me. Cheesy

4401-4450

It was either this or 36001-36050 but cant see it reaching this high just for halving which usually brings the price down for the first couple of days until things settle down in the bitcoin market.

You have been judged and classified a................

Tongue

XhomerX10 designed my nice avatar HATs!!!!!  Thanks Bro
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January 09, 2020, 10:41:56 AM
 #352

I sincerely do not want the price to fall so low because of finding any code vulnerabilities or because of news. So I choose the mark of 3451-3500, maybe at least winning at that sad moment will comfort me.  Undecided


I still hope the price will go down a little more to buy more coins before BTC fly to the moon...   Cool

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January 09, 2020, 10:50:00 AM
 #353


What actually happens if the price is lower than the lowest box or higher than the highest box? No winner or the closest guess gets it?

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January 09, 2020, 10:58:43 AM
 #354

List = UPDATED

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January 09, 2020, 10:59:47 AM
 #355


What actually happens if the price is lower than the lowest box or higher than the highest box? No winner or the closest guess gets it?

Always closest to the winning price wins... also for like if 33007 would be the price then smarcomet wins....

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January 09, 2020, 11:21:16 AM
 #356

Last 23h and 39minutes to join

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January 09, 2020, 11:50:37 AM
 #357

14151-14200

Thank you for the game, i think we will see the bulls soon  Grin

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January 09, 2020, 12:01:17 PM
Last edit: January 09, 2020, 12:11:24 PM by bitserve
Merited by El duderino_ (5)
 #358

mmmmhhh, now we don't know if the latest more bullish entries really mean it or if they are just taking the only free remaining slots. One thing is sure, the new "system" worked as intended: It encouraged early predictions and discouraged last day entry of prediction, at least for most popular slots/range. Also everyone have a fair and equal slot without anyone being badly boxed.

While there were free slots in all the range, it was clear most participants chose to make "bearish" predictions ($6K to $8K)... but it should be take into account that Bitcoin was still in a depressing downtrend which may have been changed in the past couple of days.

Also, it has been surprising how quickly everyone has adapted to the slot thingy, apparently with even less price collisions/dupes than in previous games.

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January 09, 2020, 02:05:24 PM
 #359

12851-12900 asu

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MIX NOW!
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Lucasgabd
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January 09, 2020, 04:45:11 PM
 #360

I'd go with the box 7751-7800 USD but since it's taken already

I'll go with 14651-14700 USD that is still open.


but my official guess is 7775 usd.   

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