🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈

[bbc.reporter]

@tyKiwanuka. It appears those odds were not right. It should be Browns -10.5 or a little more hehehe. The Bengals defense is very bad, Browns defense is on point and with a talented offense.

It was also not a humiliation against the Ravens because they have the best team in the NFL. The outcome was expected.

[xxjumperxx]

The Browns didnt blow me out of the water...
Im just not a big fan of Mayfield and the hype that is created around him.

Yes they won against the Bengals, but I dont see the team winning in the long run...

I had the Begals at +6,5 so Im a happy camper

[tyKiwanuka]

It was also not a humiliation against the Ravens because they have the best team in the NFL. The outcome was expected.

Hehe, it was quite a beating they took imo^^ You don't lose 6-38 just like that and the expected outcome was 27-20 pro Ravens according to the bookies (HC was -7/+7, over/under 47) and I trust the work of the bookies/markets very much on average when it comes to predicting the outcome of a sport event But the Browns are just the Browns and they are a messy organization, no matter how good their roster looks on paper. I guess you could put the Chiefs and Reid - who are best team in NFL imo - into Cleveland and they would start losing too

Im just not a big fan of Mayfield and the hype that is created around him.

Same here, I actually can't stand that guy, but for betting purposes I better not go by sympathy, although would have resulted in some profit in this case^^


For week2 I still like Seattle very much over the Patriots. Vikings odds look huge @Colts with 2.50 ML. Giants at 3.00 @Bears looks also tempting, but this might just be the fanboy in me.

Some lower ML odds I like (and where the HC looks good then too):

Packers 1.40 vs Lions
Bills 1.45 @Dolphins
49ers 1.35 @Jets
Bucs 1.30 vs Panthers

[xxjumperxx]

Same here, I actually can't stand that guy, but for betting purposes I better not go by sympathy, although would have resulted in some profit in this case^^

Yeah I normally keep personal dislikes out of my bets. Never a good thing!

For week2 I still like Seattle very much over the Patriots. Vikings odds look huge @Colts with 2.50 ML. Giants at 3.00 @Bears looks also tempting, but this might just be the fanboy in me.

Some lower ML odds I like (and where the HC looks good then too):

Packers 1.40 vs Lions
Bills 1.45 @Dolphins
49ers 1.35 @Jets
Bucs 1.30 vs Panthers

I agree with the Seattle pick. I just see them so far ahead of Cam and the Patriots. Yes they beat my dolphins in Week 1, but Fitzpatrick launched out 3 interceptions...

I gotta grab the dolphins HC against the Bills, I think theres potential if Fitzpatrick gets his game on.

[ralle14]

This week i've got the Bills, Chiefs and 49ers on my survivor pool entries. Also i'm riding a 5 leg parlay with the Chiefs, Cowboys and Bills handicap left. I watched the Chargers last week and they barely won against the Bengals so the Chiefs should have no issues covering the spread. The Cowboys on the other hand might kill my parlay if they continue to make the same mistakes.  

Edit : Bills nearly threw it away but manage to score a few tds in the last quarter keeping one of entries alive. My parlay lost but that comeback by the Cowboys was crazy though.

[TheRealWiseInvestor]

So heres my pick, Chargers +10 (buy 1,5 pts). 690 euros to win 500 eur.

If i was betting other games, it would be

Patriots +3.5
Giants   +5.5
Titans- jax over 44

[morvillz7z]

I have Packers, Bills, Steelers, Titans and Tompa Bay Gronkaneers moneylines in my first ticket.
Packers -5.5 + Bills -4.5 (Detroit are missing a few key guys here including Golladay, i'm also not sure why oddsmakers have Dolphins so close at -4.5?!
And two prop bets, Valdes-Scantling O27.5 receiving yards (had 96 against Vikings last week) and Ronald Jones O61.5 rushing yards, Panthers couldn't stop Josh Jacobs (3TDs) unlikely to get better results today.

[xxjumperxx]

I got a couple today
God I love football

Steelers -6.5
Hawks/Pats over 43.5
Giants ML
Chiefs -8.5
Vikings ML
Ravens -6.5

Lets go!

[morvillz7z]

My parlay lost but that comeback by the Cowboys was crazy though.

Highlights won't do it for me, i need to find and watch the whole game, down 20pts after the 1st Q, and then win it on a long field goal in the last seconds, not bad even for Dallas.

The goddamn Dolphins ruined on of my parlays with last minute TD, down 11  .  My main ticket hit though, was not expecting Jags to score 30 on Tennessee but glad that they hold off the win.

So many injuries around the league today, Saquon is probably out for the year, 49ers have multiple players going down, Garoppolo, Bosa and Mostert. Well, that didn't stop them from destroying the Jets, wonder when are they going to fire Adam Gase?

ps. Chargers new stadium looks amazing!

[ralle14]

I can't believe the Chargers didn't go for it during overtime when they're only a few yards away from another 1st down. I feel like that decision cost them the game since that's the only opportunity they'll get. An upset would've been big since there's a lot of people who backed the Chiefs on their survivor pool this week.  

[bbc.reporter]

@ralle14. Agreed. There was also another first down that they certainly could have gotten in the 4th quarter. However, the rookie Herbert made a throw near the endzone and was intercepted.

I am happy, however hehe. The Chiefs victory completed my parlay.

[JanpriX]

A little win between Dallas Cowboys and Atlanta Falcons. This season is shaping up to be a good one and hoping it will last until the end.  
Rationale behind that pick included in my thread below. 

Pick for September 19, 2020 (SATURDAY)
Game will start on 01:00 PM EST, NFL
Match: Dallas Cowboys - Atlanta Falcons

WIN!!! - PICK: OVER 52.5 POINTS for 2 UNITS (1.90 ODDS).

[nutildah]

Pretty happy with the 2 LA teams this week. Herbert did a great job for his debut game in the NFL. I don't think it was a fluke performance -- he looks like a highly composed and skilled QB. Man, so refreshing to get Rivers out of there TBH, who I never really cared for. He won today pretty big -- I hope the Colts get their $25 million dollar year out of him.

[DireWolfM14]

It was good to see the niners take the win, even if it is as much of a gimme as you're likely to get in the NFL.  Garoppolo looked good, despite hobbling around on that right ankle.  His official prognosis is high ankle sprain, likely to keep sidelined next week against the Giants.  It sounds like Solomon Thomas tore an ACL, which means he's out for the season.  That's not good for the defense.

Watching the Pats at Seattle right now, it's been an entertaining game.  I still can't believe Cam Newton is a Patriot, I still find myself expecting TB12.

[xxjumperxx]

alot of crazy injuries this week...
49ers got hit pretty hard but that Barkley Injury didnt look good at all!
Barkley was heading for a contract extension, I heard was to get his contract extension before the 2021 season.
Talks of at least $15 million per year.
Ouch

[tyKiwanuka]

For week2 I still like Seattle very much over the Patriots. Vikings odds look huge @Colts with 2.50 ML. Giants at 3.00 @Bears looks also tempting, but this might just be the fanboy in me.

Some lower ML odds I like (and where the HC looks good then too):

Packers 1.40 vs Lions
Bills 1.45 @Dolphins
49ers 1.35 @Jets
Bucs 1.30 vs Panthers

That Vikings pick was embarrassing The Giants had their chances in the end, but ran out of time at the 15yd line of the Bears. It's no fun watching the Giants, Daniel Jones is just poor and his fumbleritis still isn't cured. Some bad luck with an O-liner from Bears converting a 4th&1 after a deflected pass late in the game, which costed some time. I think I would play that bet again.

This was a week for the favourites. Apart from the Eagles-Rams game, which was ~50/50 priced, all favourites won their games, which is very unusual. You normally have 2-4 upsets, but with the Arlington miracle on top, there were none. Raiders are priced 2.89 against the Saints today - anyone ?

My parlay lost but that comeback by the Cowboys was crazy though.

Highlights won't do it for me, i need to find and watch the whole game, (...)

I have no idea what the Falcons players were thinking/doing with that onside kick. They just waited for the ball to go 10 yards and then gazillions of Cowboys players were already around the ball. They could have picked it up inside 10 yards and game over - seems like they didn't know the rules, pathetic, lol

Herbert did a great job for his debut game in the NFL.

Was impressed with him as well, he didn't look like someone who just plays his first NFL game ever. His throws were a bit off sometimes, but all in all I had a good feeling every time he had the ball in his hands. With some polish and experience, he could be a very good QB in years to come. Wish the Giants picked him in the draft


Looking at next weeks odds, there is nothing that catches my attention at first glance. Falcons 1.60 against the Bears looks good; maybe not a lot of value, but Bears are still poor despite being 2-0. SNF and MNF will be great with Saints vs Packers and Ravens vs Chiefs

[Hueristic]

I have no idea what the Falcons players were thinking/doing with that onside kick. They just waited for the ball to go 10 yards and then gazillions of Cowboys players were already around the ball. They could have picked it up inside 10 yards and game over - seems like they didn't know the rules, pathetic, lol

Its this kind of crap that makes games look fixed.

Another one was Pats trying to drive in in the final without Cam audibling (understandable considering he thinks hes stuperman) or Belichick (with a timeout) when the Seagulls were in a goaline stance. How moronic was that? Any fool could see throwing a few receivers out would have allowed an easy goal.

[South Park]

I can't believe the Chargers didn't go for it during overtime when they're only a few yards away from another 1st down. I feel like that decision cost them the game since that's the only opportunity they'll get. An upset would've been big since there's a lot of people who backed the Chiefs on their survivor pool this week.  

This is one of the games I watched fully and I could not believe my eyes either, LAC won the coin toss and they got the ball on OT, on my mind they should have discarded the possibility of kicking the ball to KC since Mahomes would only need a Field Goal to win the game, they should have gone for it but instead they decided to kick the ball away and basically guaranteed they will lose the game.

I have no idea what the Falcons players were thinking/doing with that onside kick. They just waited for the ball to go 10 yards and then gazillions of Cowboys players were already around the ball. They could have picked it up inside 10 yards and game over - seems like they didn't know the rules, pathetic, lol

This is a mistake of both the players and the coaches, the players must know the rules about when and where they are allowed to pick the ball and it was obvious they did not knew it, however this is also a clear mistake when it comes to coaching in that play, either the coaches gave the explicit order to not touch the ball until it had travelled 10 yards, in which case they are completely responsible for this debacle and the players are free of blame, or they failed to instruct their players properly about the rules, after all it was obvious that an onside kick was coming and the coaches should have reminded everyone on the unit about the rules to be followed on that instance and it is obvious they did not.

BTW since 1933 in which the league began to keep track of turnovers this is the first time a team has lost when scoring 39 points and not having a turnover, the rest of the teams went 440-0, so this just adds to the legacy of the Falcons of choking whenever they can.
Source: https://twitter.com/espnstatsinfo/status/1307804466373177346?s=21

[nutildah]

Raiders are priced 2.89 against the Saints today - anyone ?

Seems too low IMO, with a line of +4 ATM. I woke up too late to place a bet but I think it will be easy for the Saints to beat the Raiders by more than 4. What do the Raiders have going on that I don't know about, or else, what are the Saints missing? Seems like a no brainer.

[Hueristic]

Raiders are priced 2.89 against the Saints today - anyone ?

Seems too low IMO, with a line of +4 ATM. I woke up too late to place a bet but I think it will be easy for the Saints to beat the Raiders by more than 4. What do the Raiders have going on that I don't know about, or else, what are the Saints missing? Seems like a no brainer.

Saints missing Michael Thomas but that shouldn't matter.