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Author Topic: Do you rely on the odds when placing bets?  (Read 12691 times)
mezzaluna
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December 18, 2020, 07:20:49 PM
 #161

I've recently created a discussion about the odds of various outcomes and the gaps between the likely winner and other options, but some replies raised another questions that I believe is worthy of being discussed. When placing bets on sports, I rely heavily on the odds, especially if someone has a very high probability of winning, like here:

I placed a small bet on this match on Sportsbet.io:

But of course when the odds are close to one another (2.5, 3.1 and similar), I try to rely on the history of matches between the teams and recent wins/losses of the teams.
What do you follow when you are betting on sports: is it the odds or your knowledge and experience? Or maybe you're one of those people who bet on the favorite team or perhaps follows a gut? Do odds even matter to you? If yes, how important are they for your final decision?

The odds are really a good indicator on which a group of people will rely their money on. Its not just applicable to Sports Betting but I guess every betting situation with the odds reveal, those odds will pertain to groups of people who will be creating those bets but if you truly believe on the team that you are betting on despite seeing the odds, then that is the decision you will have to make yourself.

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December 18, 2020, 08:54:44 PM
 #162

It's not the best idea. Despite odds can be used in some kind as indicator, it would be to easy if team with lower odd would win for sure. Odds it's more about what main part of gamers think about this exact match. So for example, i've Often bet on teams with odds like 3-5 and win!

The odds are paying more for the weaker team for a reason... they cannot win. Then how do they fail to guess the outcome sometimes? That's what makes it "gambling".


Odds can't be the main indicator, this what i'm talking about.  

They are not the main indicator but they give you a good first impression about the game.

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December 18, 2020, 09:47:17 PM
 #163

I don't think research would be the biggest factor to consider in gambling. Things do happen more often thru luck and factual basis won't really do that much especially if you are not lucky that day.

Maybe you are just a casual sports bettor so for you, research isn't a big factor in sports booking.

Research is a big factor.  Why just rely on luck even we control the outcome. In sports betting, we are not just choosing the best odds but we are picking it based on our analysis and research.

That's why you can see bettors putting a decent stake even at @2.5 above because they know it's worth picking based on the research they did.
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December 18, 2020, 10:08:08 PM
 #164


What do you follow when you are betting on sports: is it the odds or your knowledge and experience? Or maybe you're one of those people who bet on the favorite team or perhaps follows a gut? Do odds even matter to you? If yes, how important are they for your final decision?

Not at all times, I rely on odds when I am uncertain about the matches, because odds are a general consensus of experts majority of bettors, sometimes they are reliable and sometimes they are not, it's good that you do your own analysis and check if the odds and your research shows the same winners.
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December 18, 2020, 11:18:53 PM
 #165


What do you follow when you are betting on sports: is it the odds or your knowledge and experience? Or maybe you're one of those people who bet on the favorite team or perhaps follows a gut? Do odds even matter to you? If yes, how important are they for your final decision?

Not at all times, I rely on odds when I am uncertain about the matches, because odds are a general consensus of experts majority of bettors, sometimes they are reliable and sometimes they are not, it's good that you do your own analysis and check if the odds and your research shows the same winners.

Odds are created by the bookmakers, they'll create a lot of odds so we bettors can choose on it, but they are experts, they know what they are doing that's why they are getting paid to make that odds because they are attracting bettors and making bookies rich.

If we will just pick instantly, then we will lose easily as odds sometimes are tricky, we think there's an easy win when seeing the odds but in reality there's none because bookmakers aren't moron.

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December 19, 2020, 12:31:29 AM
 #166

I don't think research would be the biggest factor to consider in gambling. Things do happen more often thru luck and factual basis won't really do that much especially if you are not lucky that day.

Maybe you are just a casual sports bettor so for you, research isn't a big factor in sports booking.

Research is a big factor.  Why just rely on luck even we control the outcome. In sports betting, we are not just choosing the best odds but we are picking it based on our analysis and research.

That's why you can see bettors putting a decent stake even at @2.5 above because they know it's worth picking based on the research they did.
Correct the odds on this kind of gambling setup will be depending on research and factual basis as this will help you lower the chances of you losing unlike other kind of gambling setup where you can just depend on luck such as dice game where you can't do much research to lower the chances of you losing.
In sports gambling there are a lot of factor that you should consider for you higher the chances of you winning such as how the team played, the setting on where team are used to play, the history of those teams in a match up, training, and many more if you're seriously wanting to win.
Those odds will help you dictate how the game will happen and help you choose what team to pick.

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December 19, 2020, 12:41:32 AM
 #167

~snip~

I have same perception when it comes to place a bets in sports betting. I do perform first analysis or research before i would put a bet in a team. We do have our own favorite team in any sports but not all cases that the once winning team will always be a winning team. In placing a bets in sports betting doesn't really guarantee that the previous winner will give the higher odds. As far as i know strong players degrades their endurance once they get aged.

The situation will be changed in the next match because the coach will try another strategy to defend their position or beat the opponent. The coach will replace a weak player with a strong player so that they can give the best performance to the team. The aging factor is something that every player can't deny, and they should follow the coach if they are replaced. The team's selection needs more attention from us because that can determine we can win or lose.

~snip~

In the past, I used to look at the history of previous games between teams over the past few years. I also watched how much their team lineups have changed. Their places in the rating.
However, now it is much more important to look at the reports on the health of the teams, whether any of the important players are ill and whether they are suspended from the game. You need to study a lot of information before making a bet.

I also look at the history of previous games, but sometimes, I make a wrong selection of the team. Sometimes, the rating can change without us know, so that makes the wrong decision for us. In this pandemic, searching for the reports of every player or team who will match is another factor that can help us to know which team has a good performance. It is not easy to collect information about each team, especially when both teams have the same chance to win.
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December 19, 2020, 02:06:19 AM
 #168

At first, I was confused by this.

I thought that the higher the odds mean the ones with the higher chance of winning while those with lower odds mean that they have a lower chance of winning. But that odds doesn't refer to that but it refers to the winnings the gambler could win. It does really matter to some since it is their first basis whether to bet on that team or player.
Cheesy When did you think this way? You're no longer such a big noob now I hope.  Cheesy

The first time I heard about sports betting through my friends, that is when I thought like that.

My parents are quite strict when it comes to gambling that is why I am in that age when I did some bets and when I heard about sports betting to my friends talking about odds, I thought they are talking the odds of a team winning. Still new to gambling that time but I don't have any problems betting since they are the ones doing the betting and I just told them the team where will they put my money. At that time I am just basing my bets on my friends' bets and the odds of course.
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December 19, 2020, 03:12:15 AM
 #169

At first, I was confused by this.

I thought that the higher the odds mean the ones with the higher chance of winning while those with lower odds mean that they have a lower chance of winning. But that odds doesn't refer to that but it refers to the winnings the gambler could win. It does really matter to some since it is their first basis whether to bet on that team or player.
Cheesy When did you think this way? You're no longer such a big noob now I hope.  Cheesy

The first time I heard about sports betting through my friends, that is when I thought like that.
What was thought to you by friends ? that the Odds are given a higher winnings ? that is really  a Noob belief. as Odds is given as a certain High chance of winnings because of their capacity and past performance ,comparing to the other one.
My parents are quite strict when it comes to gambling that is why I am in that age when I did some bets and when I heard about sports betting to my friends talking about odds, I thought they are talking the odds of a team winning. Still new to gambling that time but I don't have any problems betting since they are the ones doing the betting and I just told them the team where will they put my money. At that time I am just basing my bets on my friends' bets and the odds of course.
The more our parent being strict is the more we seek to gamble ,I was once have a strict set of parents and aunts so i always find a perfect hiding when i gamble .
Quote
Do you rely on the odds when placing bets?
Well yes, as this is a big factor to consider when placing bets, majority of the odds makes the right prediction so it really is effective in making a gamble especially on sports.
and the majority of Odds being Given higher wins ,but of course if the statistics is closer Odds sometimes don't matter and our ability to research will save us more.









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December 19, 2020, 03:53:21 AM
 #170

In general, I quite often rely on odds before placing a bet. The odds sometimes look good but never guarantee victory. As gamblers, maybe we are just trying to increase the chance of winning with the various options available. But in reality we should expect good luck despite the good odds. Sports betting may not only be about odds, but choosing the right team and also the history of previous matche will also play an important role in consideration before placing a bet.

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December 19, 2020, 04:02:17 AM
 #171

For the sports I closely follow and is confident with like football and cricket, I go with my instincts and choose the match I'm largely sure about. Field, injuries and weather factors also comes in the play but I don't generally check external sites for opinions on them.
On games that are analytical like tennis, I go with head to head history and the players history on that particular net as well their recent matches.
I'm also like this most of the time. I'm choosing to trust my instincts so whether I lose or win, I'm happy that it's because of what I think.

But there were times that I also lose. I don't blame anyone but myself and it's more convenient to do that than rather follow someone's tip and you both lose, right?



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Lorence.xD
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December 19, 2020, 04:11:02 AM
 #172

~
That is one solution to prevent overanalysis, and I think that can work as long as we know that teams are the favorite team.
It seems you enjoy betting and placing your selection on the favorite team.
We should do that in the betting because we only want to enjoy placing the money to the favorite team, and we do not mind anything that can happen later, whether we will win or lose.
We should find how we can enjoy gambling games, and I am sure that we can know what the thing that can make us feel comfortable.
We are on the same page regarding overanalysis, cheers mate. It is also my most proven strategy when I do sports betting, some gambler a long time ago told me to pick the darling of the crowd before anyone else because the chances of winning is higher than that of than doing some in depth analysis, I took that personally because I am a lazy person when it comes to gambling, place the bet and let fate decide what happens next. 7 out 10 games is won by my strategy although I wouldn't recommend it. I have profit and I do enjoy the game at the same time.

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Janation
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December 19, 2020, 04:24:37 AM
 #173

The first time I heard about sports betting through my friends, that is when I thought like that.
What was thought to you by friends ? that the Odds are given a higher winnings ? that is really  a Noob belief. as Odds is given as a certain High chance of winnings because of their capacity and past performance ,comparing to the other one.

They don't know I though of it like that.

While doing some researches on my thesis in the past I read an article about bookmakers cheating gamblers and got quite curious and that is when I knew it. I didn't tell that to my friends since they just continue doing my bets and they stopped doing that when they got a job. I think it is on how they talk about the odds the reason why I misunderstood those two. They are talking about Boston having a higher odds in the NBA finals in 2010, that is when I misunderstood that.
traderethereum
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December 19, 2020, 06:26:34 AM
 #174

~
That is one solution to prevent overanalysis, and I think that can work as long as we know that teams are the favorite team.
It seems you enjoy betting and placing your selection on the favorite team.
We should do that in the betting because we only want to enjoy placing the money to the favorite team, and we do not mind anything that can happen later, whether we will win or lose.
We should find how we can enjoy gambling games, and I am sure that we can know what the thing that can make us feel comfortable.
We are on the same page regarding overanalysis, cheers mate. It is also my most proven strategy when I do sports betting, some gambler a long time ago told me to pick the darling of the crowd before anyone else because the chances of winning is higher than that of than doing some in depth analysis, I took that personally because I am a lazy person when it comes to gambling, place the bet and let fate decide what happens next. 7 out 10 games is won by my strategy although I wouldn't recommend it. I have profit and I do enjoy the game at the same time.
I think your reason is to make sense.
With your strategy, we do not have to analyze too deep just to find the right team.
When we follow what most people choose, maybe we will get lucky because they can select the same team with a big percentage to win.
I think you are making money from your strategy, so I think you can continue to use that strategy, but maybe you can modify the strategy, just in case if the current strategy can not work anymore.
Congratulations on your earlier profit, and I hope you can profit from the next betting.
Lorence.xD
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December 19, 2020, 06:44:57 AM
 #175

I think your reason is to make sense.
With your strategy, we do not have to analyze too deep just to find the right team.
When we follow what most people choose, maybe we will get lucky because they can select the same team with a big percentage to win.
I think you are making money from your strategy, so I think you can continue to use that strategy, but maybe you can modify the strategy, just in case if the current strategy can not work anymore.
Congratulations on your earlier profit, and I hope you can profit from the next betting.
I do some analysis when big money is on the line and to be honest with you, I have to polish that skill of mine because I sometimes miss but the money lost is still not that damaging. Sometimes following the dead fishes leads to something after all.

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ice098
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December 19, 2020, 10:11:50 AM
 #176

~
That is one solution to prevent overanalysis, and I think that can work as long as we know that teams are the favorite team.
It seems you enjoy betting and placing your selection on the favorite team.
We should do that in the betting because we only want to enjoy placing the money to the favorite team, and we do not mind anything that can happen later, whether we will win or lose.
We should find how we can enjoy gambling games, and I am sure that we can know what the thing that can make us feel comfortable.
We are on the same page regarding overanalysis, cheers mate. It is also my most proven strategy when I do sports betting, some gambler a long time ago told me to pick the darling of the crowd before anyone else because the chances of winning is higher than that of than doing some in depth analysis, I took that personally because I am a lazy person when it comes to gambling, place the bet and let fate decide what happens next. 7 out 10 games is won by my strategy although I wouldn't recommend it. I have profit and I do enjoy the game at the same time.

What matter most is you have enjoy by placing your bet in your favorite team and enjoy to watch a sport played by hour favorite team sport. This might also have a risk but atleast knowing that its your favorite team and a crowd favorite could be one of the reason to easily moved on from losses if ever and look forward to another game worth watching for. We do have our own kind of strategies and good thing to know that yours are worked out according to what you are expected, though losses were inevitable.

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December 19, 2020, 10:32:08 AM
 #177

In the past, I used to look at the history of previous games between teams over the past few years. I also watched how much their team lineups have changed. Their places in the rating.
However, now it is much more important to look at the reports on the health of the teams, whether any of the important players are ill and whether they are suspended from the game. You need to study a lot of information before making a bet.

I also look at the history of previous games, but sometimes, I make a wrong selection of the team. Sometimes, the rating can change without us know, so that makes the wrong decision for us. In this pandemic, searching for the reports of every player or team who will match is another factor that can help us to know which team has a good performance. It is not easy to collect information about each team, especially when both teams have the same chance to win.

If it was so easy to make the right decision, then people would constantly win, which would make the bookmaker business unprofitable.  Wink It is because of all the difficulties with predicting the team that will win that the bookmaker business is booming. However, there are many people who have been betting on certain sports for a long period of time and their winning history will be very profitable.
Furious 7
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December 19, 2020, 10:44:03 AM
 #178

If it was so easy to make the right decision, then people would constantly win, which would make the bookmaker business unprofitable.  Wink It is because of all the difficulties with predicting the team that will win that the bookmaker business is booming. However, there are many people who have been betting on certain sports for a long period of time and their winning history will be very profitable.
We have to know the specifics of which team to bet on, usually we only rely on big teams to bet, but for other sports lovers, of course this will be a difficult bet to predict because inaccuracy will make bets disappear, so I think this is still a good opportunity. great as long as we know which team makes you move on this bet.
I am a football lover so I will continue to analyze in every match, of course it can also help you in making bets with its advantages, but I think this needs a bigger evaluation because bets are still unpredictable.

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December 19, 2020, 10:56:37 AM
 #179

I think your reason is to make sense.
With your strategy, we do not have to analyze too deep just to find the right team.
When we follow what most people choose, maybe we will get lucky because they can select the same team with a big percentage to win.
I think you are making money from your strategy, so I think you can continue to use that strategy, but maybe you can modify the strategy, just in case if the current strategy can not work anymore.
Congratulations on your earlier profit, and I hope you can profit from the next betting.
I do some analysis when big money is on the line and to be honest with you, I have to polish that skill of mine because I sometimes miss but the money lost is still not that damaging. Sometimes following the dead fishes leads to something after all.
I didn't have time to polish my skills because, after all, that is gambling, which I do not expect to make money with that.
I only think that if I am playing gambling and winning that game, I consider that will be my luck, which is come to me at the right time.
I never think much about learning deeper about gambling games or trying to make a strategy because gambling is entertainment for me.
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December 19, 2020, 11:03:18 AM
 #180

If it was so easy to make the right decision, then people would constantly win, which would make the bookmaker business unprofitable.  Wink It is because of all the difficulties with predicting the team that will win that the bookmaker business is booming. However, there are many people who have been betting on certain sports for a long period of time and their winning history will be very profitable.
We have to know the specifics of which team to bet on, usually we only rely on big teams to bet, but for other sports lovers, of course this will be a difficult bet to predict because inaccuracy will make bets disappear, so I think this is still a good opportunity. great as long as we know which team makes you move on this bet.
I am a football lover so I will continue to analyze in every match, of course it can also help you in making bets with its advantages, but I think this needs a bigger evaluation because bets are still unpredictable.

I fully agree with you. If we as a better are very well informed and have been following from the start! It would make sense to look at all odds presented to us. Only if we see the hole picture we can make a well informed decision. To make a profit in the gambling and betting world it's not only about knowing who is likely to win, but also if the odds quoted by the bookies represent the chance of winning. If all the bets would be fair than we couldn't nahe any profit long term.
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