NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev

[ralle14]

Belated Yeehaw for Bengals. Won the predictions promo (2nd prize) and to make things sweeter, put those freebets on absolute winners, ended up almost tripling the freebet value (1.5mbtc) into BTC.

I've been going for close scores in most of NFL related predictions (including Last Man Standing which I lost when it was down to 2 haha) and that seems to be going really well. As in, betting against covering the spread. Those spreads always seem too high for me but I guess I'm looking at it from football (soccer) eyes, huh?

Good job in winning the prediction promo and same here I don't like betting the spread but the odds in the match winner seems way too juiced so I have no other choice but to go with the handicap market.

Anyway i'm taking the Cowboys -4.5 @1.93 as my pick since their performance against the Eagles looked solid and at the same time the Panthers looked a bit off against the Texans.

[buwaytress]

Good job in winning the prediction promo and same here I don't like betting the spread but the odds in the match winner seems way too juiced so I have no other choice but to go with the handicap market.

Anyway i'm taking the Cowboys -4.5 @1.93 as my pick since their performance against the Eagles looked solid and at the same time the Panthers looked a bit off against the Texans.

Thanks! Looks like you made it pretty well last night too, with quite a bit of margin of error with the 8 point spread. First half of the game was tight, even leading for the Panthers but in the end that glorious 3rd quarter really helped them, even allowed the 4th quarter collapse (injury to the CB supposedly?) but it was always going to be comfortable with that kind of lead.

My outrights so far:
Packers 3/1
Seahawks 2/2
Steelers 1/3
Dolphins 1/3
Patriots 1/3

[rdbase]

The big game on Sunday finished and Brady got his record breaker for the most passing yards by a quarterback.
Only needing 68 yards in the game to surpass Drew Brees.
Had the Patriots for +11.5 and Brady passing over 300.5 yards but the score was way off on the betbuilder and another one lost.
The most surprising thing was it was looking like a rookie quarterback was going to win against Brady for only the second time in his career.
But that field goal by New England was a crossbar hitting one that fell on the other side of the uprights costing them going to OT.

[ralle14]

Can't believe the Jets won against the Titans.

Anyway MNF starts in a few minutes and I got the Chargers to win @1.57 vs Raiders since their win against the Chiefs looked impressive and Raiders are somewhat struggling in their last game against the Dolphins.

Also both teams are capable of scoring a bunch of touchdowns so over is a good alternative and I think this one will go down the wire just like the Bucs game yesterday.

[rdbase]

^^
Chargers won without any issues with a 21 to nothing lead going into the second half. The raiders scored two once the second half began but LA sealed it with a nice touchdown in the final frame.
Congratulations on a solid win ralle14 as once again I thought Las Vegas was going to beat them and be the other team going 4-0.
But it wasn't meant to be for Carr.

[ralle14]

Congratulations on a solid win ralle14 as once again I thought Las Vegas was going to beat them and be the other team going 4-0.

Thanks  I also thought Raiders should've beat the Chargers but their last game was just too sloppy.

TNF action today and i'm taking the Rams -2.5 even though they got stomped by the Cardinals last week I think they're still in a good position to beat the Seahawks since their defense isn't that great. Both teams have solid offense so it'll all comes down on time management and consistency to convert downs.

[rdbase]

Another winner from the looks of it ralle14!
Your on a roll.
While another missed by one selection on the betbuilder for me.
Had over 57.5 pts on it while over 325 yards for stafford and over 90 yards receiving for Kupp were the other selections.
That is the 7th one in a row gone down the drain.

[ralle14]

The first half was tough to watch but Rams came through in the second half. 

I already locked my pick on the Bengals +3.5 @1.75 current line is at +2.5 and bought a point incase the match comes down within a single field goal. I expect this match to be close since the Bengals are in a good position to take down the Packers this week as they're missing a couple of key players (Myers and Alexander).

Also have a 3 team multi on Cowboys, Bucs and Vikings @1.87 I avoided the spread on these three since they're likely to win but I think the winning margin will be within a field goal or touchdown.

[rdbase]

Good picks ralle14, you know your stuff.
It was close for the Vikings but they put up a field goal with 00:00 showing on the clock.
The Buccs & Cowboys won but the Bengals were having difficulties last I checked on their game as I had to go out for a bit so missed the rest of the match when it went it OT.

The Bear look to be crushing the Raiders at Vegas homefield in the first half. So will be watching the second half to see if the Carr scenario plays out.
Where he has to comeback from being down going into the 3rd quarter for many of the matches he has played so far in the season.

[ralle14]

MNF in less than an hour, went for a betbuilder this time Ravens -3.5 1st half and Ravens to win full game @1.92 based on their previous matches the Ravens have been covering in the first half. The only reason why I avoided the full game spread is because their defense is unreliable as they usually give up a lot of points. Even though Ravens have a solid offense the Colts could still cover in the 4th quarter, I wouldn't be surprised if this game ends within 3-6 pts.

Edit : Just when I want them to go ham in the 1st half they do the complete opposite. 

[rdbase]

Ravens almost lost the game.
Their 1st half was horrendous with Lamar fumbling the ball at the goal line I believe twice.
It was a sh*tshow to say the least but then in the second half they turned it up and ended up tying it 25-25 in the final 2 minutes.
Luckily for them the Colts kicker was injured or he would of made that 46 yard field goal to end the game in the final 4 seconds regulation.
I was betting live and when they were down 25-17 the odds for them to win the game were @7x right before the blocked field goal by Calias Campbell.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NTDryZuUl-E

That was a top-notch game for Monday night.

[rdbase]

Another Thursday night in the NFL this time with the Buccs vs Eagles.
This will be a over tilted match up between a red hot Buccs team, Brady having over 400+ yard game over the weekend.
I am sure they can keep the momentum going into this week match against a woeful philly team.

Be sure to enter into the contest here for your chance to win some prizes:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5365371.0

[ralle14]

Trying out another betbuilder with Bucs to win and Fournette over 59.5 rushing yards@2.00 since I still don't like the Bucs when it comes to covering the spread. I know -6.5 is doable for them but I feel like the Eagles will somehow make it close just like that Bucs game against the Patriots two weeks ago.

Also, the reason why I went with the over rushing yards is because the Eagles have a solid passing defense so i'm expecting the Bucs to run the ball most of the time.

[rdbase]

Right again ralle14 with a good betbuilder.
They handed off the ball to Fournette almost on every run play buccs did and he had over 79 yeards from what I had on my betbuilder.
But it was one wth over 7 selections so of course it lost again. And they didn't cover the spread.
The weekend matches look tough to pick out a winner.

[ralle14]

Right again ralle14 with a good betbuilder.
They handed off the ball to Fournette almost on every run play buccs did and he had over 79 yeards from what I had on my betbuilder.
But it was one wth over 7 selections so of course it lost again. And they didn't cover the spread.

Thanks   during the first half, I thought the Bucs spread was already a lock but then the second half came, Bucs started bleeding a bit and I was surprised to see the Eagles go for that 2point play to seal the spread.

The weekend matches look tough to pick out a winner.

Same, I don't like any of the spreads, the Chiefs look tempting against WFT but their defense is on the same level as the Bucs so I might have to settle for another match winner parlay.

[ralle14]

Locked in my picks, i've got the Colts, Rams, and the Cowboys @2.35, Colts looked solid against Ravens last week I doubt they'd lose against a Texans team that's currently on a four lose streak.

The Rams should beat the Giants since they're the better team and lastly the Cowboys, the odds on this one seems too good and even if it's a trap line i'd take the risk and ride on that momentum as their offense is one of the best atm.

[rdbase]

^^
Looks like all those teams you had selected al won so good picks for a tough weekend to predict.
The scary one was the seahawks and the Steelers going in OT. If seattle just didn't fumble in the last possession could of won my betslip of a 25x parlay.
Ah well, will put my betbuilder in for the Titan vs Bills match tonight and let it ride on this one tonight.

[ralle14]

The scary one was the seahawks and the Steelers going in OT. If seattle just didn't fumble in the last possession could of won my betslip of a 25x parlay.

I agree this game was so tight as both teams had some solid chances to seal the win but they're struggling to get some first downs during the last few possessions.

For later I already have my ticket on the Bills -5.5 bought a point in case they miss an extra point or it comes down to a two field goal advantage.

Edit : Tough loss, Bills struggled in the second half and couldn't capitalize on a crucial possession in the 4th quarter.

[rdbase]

The scary one was the seahawks and the Steelers going in OT. If seattle just didn't fumble in the last possession could of won my betslip of a 25x parlay.

I agree this game was so tight as both teams had some solid chances to seal the win but they're struggling to get some first downs during the last few possessions.

For later I already have my ticket on the Bills -5.5 bought a point in case they miss an extra point or it comes down to a two field goal advantage.

Edit : Tough loss, Bills struggled in the second half and couldn't capitalize on a crucial possession in the 4th quarter.

The last two plays were just reckless by Josh Allen. On third down that leaping roll into the sidelines was going to be in the referee hands, you know this so late into the game. And the very last play to do a QB sneak. It seemed like he tripped or couldn't get his footing.
Anyways another betbuilder losing by one selection and it all coming down to the last play of the team I picked. Remember the Chiefs game early on in the season where Mahomes had it punched out and fumbled in the last minute? This one ended this betslip the similar way: QB ending it with a bad play.

[ralle14]

Browns vs Broncos is a tough match to predict, even without Mayfield and other key players I could still see the Browns pulling through but at the same time the Broncos could get the win.

Anyway, my pick is on the Broncos@2.10 and only for a small stake, imo it's better to wait and see how both sides will manage their offense. I honestly don't like both sides but I feel like there's a bit of value on the side of the Broncos.