NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev

[ralle14]

Gonna roll with the Colts +3.5 as they're starting to look like a solid team winning 5 out of the last 6 matches.

On the other side, you've got Tampa Bay struggling on the road losing against WFT and the Saints. I honestly see this one as a toss up and I wouldn't be surprised if Colts come out on top here.

Edit : So far so good, Colts leading 24-14. 

[rdbase]

Brady and the Buccs were too much in the fourth for Wentz and the Colts. There was a bit of a comeback in the dying minute of the fourth quarter.
Had New England to win and the Brady bunch but being as it may had a match in the NBA not making my parlay a winner.
Should of stuck with NFL for all the bets with a good win by Baltimore against the browns for the last match of the night.
That was a wild one with 3 interceptions in the final minute of play just before the half. I think I counted 5 change of possessions due to fumbles.

[ralle14]

Yeah after that turnover from Wentz it was just all Bucs, both teams kept on scoring but the Bucs hold on until the very end.

I also took the Patriots but only the team total over 25.5 as they're just one hell of a scoring machine recently.

For the MNF i'm taking WFT to win @2.03, while I agree that Seahawks have the slight edge as they're facing tougher teams I just think WFT have good value at home given that they're putting up wins.

[bbc.reporter]

@ralle14. The Buccaneers were very lucky on the final minutes of the game. The Colts defense were controlling them for much of the game and with Tom Brady only having 11 fantasy points in our fantasy league.

It also appears you are correct with the Redskins hehe. Seattle is only 3 - 7 in the NFL and at the bottom of their division. They are also 1 - 4 on the road. The only win on the road was versus San Francisco during the 49ers’ losing streak.

[rdbase]

@ralle14 Good call on the Washington game with them winning it quite convincingly with a 17-9 lead going into the final minutes of the 4th quarter.
But then as we all know with NFL games the other team always rallys a comeback to make it close in the dying minutes left.
So they did an offside kick and managed to get the possession to make it alot closer than it should of been with 17-15.
But the last offside kick did not go in their favor so that sealed the deal with 34 seconds remaining and WFT kneeling to run down the clock to double zeroes. A pretty exciting game and I had them to win with the under but of course had it in a parlay so it got snuffed out even before the game ended.
The first blocked extra point kick with a return of the season was done by Seattle, which gave them the 2 points to make it tied 9-9 early in the second half.

@ralle14. The Buccaneers were very lucky on the final minutes of the game. The Colts defense were controlling them for much of the game and with Tom Brady only having 11 fantasy points in our fantasy league.

It also appears you are correct with the Redskins hehe. Seattle is only 3 - 7 in the NFL and at the bottom of their division. They are also 1 - 4 on the road. The only win on the road was versus San Francisco during the 49ers’ losing streak.

Seattle is officially not able to make it to the playoffs so their season is done. Any games they have left will probably see Wilson sitting off the remainder of the season so to heal his hand which just had surgery on.
Was surprised with San Francisco winning against Minnesota over the weekend. So they are still in it for the post season.

[bbc.reporter]

@rdbase. Breaking news. Deebo Samuel and Fred Warner are injured and they will not play versus the Seattle Seahawks. They are the best of the offense and the defense of San Francisco. I am not certain how the spread should be, however, I reckon -3.5 for San Francisco should be -2.5 for less than a field goal?

Also, this is a divisional game. I am quite certain that Russel Wilson will certainly play and both 49ers and the Seahawks will play to win.

[rdbase]

^^
Interesting news and thanks for the update of those players.
I agree with you if this is a divisional match then Russel will play even if he isn't fully healed from surgery yet.

There is the prediction challenge up for Thursday night football tomorrow between the Cowboys vs Saints.
Here is the link so to have a chance to win a freebet:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5374176.0

[ralle14]

Today i'm taking the Cowboys -6.5 initially I was leaning on plus points on the side of the Saints since the Cowboys didn't look that great against the Raiders last week and now that both teams are missing key players I think the Cowboys have the upper hand. Everything points to a Dallas win the only question is if they'll win by a field goal or a touchdown. I just hope it's the latter because they need to build some momentum if not they might struggle in the next upcoming matches as most of them are the remaining divisional matches.

[rdbase]

^^
It is a solid pick for the Cowboys as Lamb took it to the 1 yard line with a big run on a hand off from Prescott.
Gallup with the 1 yard catch near the back of the endzone to put them up 7 early for the first score of the night.
So it is looking good for that handicap pick so far "the NFL sharp one" ralle14!

[ralle14]

So it is looking good for that handicap pick so far "the NFL sharp one" ralle14!

Thanks   I don't think i'm the NFL sharp since i've had my fair share of losses but i'm trying my best to share the picks that I like.  

Moving on to MNF we have an interesting divisional match between the Patriots and Bills, for this one, i'll go with the Bills to win @1.66 I know the Bills are somewhat struggling as of late but at the same time this will be a good way to put the rising Patriots to the test. I just think the Patriots have to regress at one point and imo this is one of them.

Edit : Loss, Bills had some good chances late in the 4th quarter as they're able to stop the Patriots but they blew it and turned the ball over in downs.

[rdbase]

Bills were on the ropes most of the match and New England with their rookie quarter back are still rolling on with another win.
I think Mac Jones will win the rookie of the year for his winning streak and getting by all these championship teams in his first year in the league.

There is a Thursday night competition for your chance to win a freebet between the Steelers and the Vikings by going to the link below:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5375842.0

[buwaytress]

So, guys, NFL n00b here, be wary. Could someone tell me where we're at with all this playoff goings on. Just to remind myself, these were my preseason picks on outright winners:

Steelers @37.3
Dolphins @34
Patriots @34
Seahawks @25.2
Packers @14.2

According to Sportsbet.io odds right now, these are:
Steelers @91
Dolphins @251
Patriots @8
Seahawks @251
Packers @8.5

So I'm not doing too badly, then? 2 of my 5 picks are in the Top 5. But exactly how far away are we from finding out who goes through and all that? Uncle Google is confusing me.

After my MLB heartbreak with BoSox, I'd love to get some happiness from Super Bowl =)

[ralle14]

TNF once again, I don't like these two teams since both of them are somewhat inconsistent but i'm taking the extra points on the side of the Steelers. I'm thinking this will end in a field goal win since Steeler's usual winning margin boils down within less than 3 points. 

So, guys, NFL n00b here, be wary. Could someone tell me where we're at with all this playoff goings on. Just to remind myself, these were my preseason picks on outright winners:

There's still a month left before the playoffs so if everything goes as expected on the side of Packers and Patriots then they should lock both of the playoff spots.

The only question is which seeding they'll get based on their standings.

[buwaytress]

TNF once again, I don't like these two teams since both of them are somewhat inconsistent but i'm taking the extra points on the side of the Steelers. I'm thinking this will end in a field goal win since Steeler's usual winning margin boils down within less than 3 points. 

Yeah I'm with Steelers not just because I like these kind of teams always punching above their weight, but capable of losing spectacularly too, and I think this game they'll edge, but with a bigger margin. I'll have to start paying attention to the stats a little with all these different scoring systems but for now, still betting blind.

There's still a month left before the playoffs so if everything goes as expected on the side of Packers and Patriots then they should lock both of the playoff spots.

The only question is which seeding they'll get based on their standings.

I tend to like the lower seedings in playoffs, stats-wise they don't do well but I always feel like it's better to get the hard work done first, as in KO formats, the teams who have it "easy" en route to finals seem to let their foot off the gas when it matters.

[rdbase]

Nice comeback for the Steelers in the 4th quarter after being down so badly in the first half 29-0.
They just couldn't get anything offensively done but then it came down to the last throw of the game to possibly tie it up if they did score (needed a two point conversion to get it to 36 even).
It was a stressful but exciting match if you were a Vikings fan.

As for the question posed by @buwaytress on who were more likely to make it through the final showdown:
I would say the Patriots on that list of teams you had dibs on from the start of the season.

[ralle14]

Going for a cheeky 2 team parlay between Bucs -2.5 and Broncos moneyline for a total of 1.95, Bills are somewhat shaky and have been struggling against winning teams plus the Bucs are one game away from contesting the top spot of the NFC. Broncos are hungry for a win and I don't think the Lions would pull off another upset twice in a row knowing they have a lot of missing players.

[Hydrogen]

So, guys, NFL n00b here, be wary. Could someone tell me where we're at with all this playoff goings on. Just to remind myself, these were my preseason picks on outright winners:

Steelers @37.3
Dolphins @34
Patriots @34
Seahawks @25.2
Packers @14.2

According to Sportsbet.io odds right now, these are:
Steelers @91
Dolphins @251
Patriots @8
Seahawks @251
Packers @8.5

So I'm not doing too badly, then? 2 of my 5 picks are in the Top 5. But exactly how far away are we from finding out who goes through and all that? Uncle Google is confusing me.

After my MLB heartbreak with BoSox, I'd love to get some happiness from Super Bowl =)

The current timeline of NFL games is week 14.

The regular season schedule goes up to week 18.

Then it goes like this on a week by week breakdown.

Wild Card Games (january 12 - 18)
Divisional Round (january 19 - 25)
Conference Championships (january 26 - february 1)
Pro Bowl (february 2 - 8 )
Superbowl (february 9 - 15)

Green Bay Packers is a good pick. Aaron Rodgers has looked great despite his COVID protocol troubles and injured toe. I think Rodgers is passing the ball the best out of all the current active quarterbacks playing. The biggest question for green bay is whether their defense can hold up. Green bay's defense gave up 30 points today, against a chicago team not known for their offense. In a close game, that could be the difference between win and loss.

[ralle14]

What an overtime win by the Bucs yesterday, couldn't believe they'd hold when everything is falling apart for them throughout the final quarter.

Today i'm going with the obvious pick which is the Cardinals moneyline and over 47.5, divisional match but both teams have the potential to bleed a lot of points so i'm expecting a similar outcome just like their last meeting.

[rdbase]

^^
Had Cardinals to win this one with Higbee to catch on the over 49.5 yards but he was ruled out of the game so it voided it anyways.
Sorry ralle14 but your sharps in Nfl are slipping.

Here is how the table looks for the teams who are going qualified to clinch and who are in a wild card position:

[buwaytress]

@Hydrogen @rdbase

Thanks for this, appreciate the summary. I did get into baseball for a bit to try and understand how things worked out but it's all flown the brain coop since and then, blame my age and lack of motivation but I got pretty lost trying to dig into NFL.

But yeah! Packers and Steelers for me were natural picks as I felt they were the most offensive and relied always on one high performing quarters or two. Terrible to watch as a fan I guess though.