NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev

[rdbase]

@ralle14 & @buwaytress  Upsets galore for the first championship matches yesterday!

Feel bad for you and Packer fans around the globe with that 00:00 field goal for 49ers to win.
Jimmy G didn't have a single yard in the first quarter and think he only had 10 yards before the half ended.
The only way they won was that last play by Green bay kicking off from their own end zone and then having it blocked. It was up in the air for so long. The Packers didn't know where it was then it landed in the bunch of San Fran defenders to score the touch down to tie it.
That was a very painful loss to take and you can see it when they panned over to Rodgers after the winning field goal was scored.
The Titans got rolled over in a similar fashion with a winning field goal but they still had a chance to comeback at the end but Tannerhill gave up an interception to shut them down and the Bengals go on to face the winner in today's match.

Here are the two matches happening today with the Buccs vs Rams in about an hour:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/tampa-bay-buccaneers-vs-los-angeles-rams-61e641db4f19067339022830

Chiefs vs Bills later on to close out the day:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-vs-buffalo-bills-61e4ef75367b9e508dd549ae

I feel for another upset as it was from last night for both teams.
Which one I could not say.

[ralle14]

That was unexpected, both top seed teams getting eliminated just like that.

With the Rams getting the job done against the Bucs, only the Bills remain to keep the perfect underdog streak this weekend. With that said, i'll take the Bills @2.04 I know it's tough to bet against Mahomes but the last time these two met it ended in the way of the Bills and I think we'll see a similar result as the Chiefs .

[bbc.reporter]

That was unexpected, both top seed teams getting eliminated just like that.

With the Rams getting the job done against the Bucs, only the Bills remain to keep the perfect underdog streak this weekend. With that said, i'll take the Bills @2.04 I know it's tough to bet against Mahomes but the last time these two met it ended in the way of the Bills and I think we'll see a similar result as the Chiefs .

The Buffalo Bills is very hard to beat if Josh Allen is being Josh Allen in a game that matters hehehe. He just threw a 75 yard touchdown to Gabriel Davis near end of the 3rd quarter to answer Mahomes. Every touchdown by the Chiefs, Josh Allen has also scored with his own touchdown hehe. This defense of the Bills does not look like what they were during the regular season, however.

[rdbase]

That was the most dramatic match ever in a playoffs ever seen according to the announcer and he has been doing matches for some decades now.
Bills Allen and Mahomes were trading touchdowns in the last 2 minutes of the game where they scored 25 points and Davis had a record setting 4 touchdowns for Buffalo but still lost the match.
And the only home side and favorite to win this weekend in the divisionals.
Bengals will definitely have their work cut out for them next weekend for the AFC title in the east.

[bbc.reporter]

@rdbase. Agreed. It was very unlucky for the Bills to lose because of a flip of a coin before overtime. I am not a fan, however, I am a fan of Josh Allen. It is another year that he was stopped by Mahomes in the playoff.

It also appears the results of the post season has created a clear road for the Chiefs to win the superbowl. The Bengals in the conference final and either the 49ers or the Rams for the superbowl. Let us be together to side with the Bengals and either the 49ers or the Rams in the hext games hehehehe.

[ralle14]

I agree, the match between the Chiefs and Bills was just amazing, even though i've lost my bet it felt like it was worth it as both QBs just one upping each other with the little amount of time they have.

With how all the games come down to a single possession, I feel like the best option is to take the plus points on the underdog so i'm leaning Niners +3.5 and Bengals +6.5 hopefully they move towards the other side so we get +7.5 and +4.5 during the weekend.

[wheelz1200]

I agree, the match between the Chiefs and Bills was just amazing, even though i've lost my bet it felt like it was worth it as both QBs just one upping each other with the little amount of time they have.

With how all the games come down to a single possession, I feel like the best option is to take the plus points on the underdog so i'm leaning Niners +3.5 and Bengals +6.5 hopefully they move towards the other side so we get +7.5 and +4.5 during the weekend.

I like San Fran here as well, they match up well versus the Rams and think it will be a field goal either way.  I'm leaning on the Chiefs here at under a td.  Burrow has been on a great run but I think the way Chiefs came out of last nights game they are gonna be rocking come Sunday.  Niners and Chiefs for me

[rdbase]

@rdbase. Agreed. It was very unlucky for the Bills to lose because of a flip of a coin before overtime. I am not a fan, however, I am a fan of Josh Allen. It is another year that he was stopped by Mahomes in the playoff.

It also appears the results of the post season has created a clear road for the Chiefs to win the superbowl. The Bengals in the conference final and either the 49ers or the Rams for the superbowl. Let us be together to side with the Bengals and either the 49ers or the Rams in the hext games hehehehe.

In a coin flip do you ever pick tails? Most people would chose heads. But the bills did, so they lost. Would of liked to see what the bill could do with another possession but those are the rules in OT.

So here we have it. The final two matches to make up the teams to go on to the Super Bowl next month.
Check out the odds and you decide which team you will back to make it through:

Bets can be placed at the link below:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/future

[buwaytress]

Yeesh guys, I'm really not sure I enjoy this more now that I'm following it. I still honestly can't shake the feeling that results are just looking more and more random and less and less because a team's actually pretty good. I thought this was true after following baseball a bit (MLB) and now I'm almost sure of it looking at NFL.

Now, I know people say the same about football anyway, but because it's such a low-scoring game, the difference in team quality almost always is good enough for the edge needed to win.

Sorry if I sound like a whiner. Not at all. Now maybe next season my mission is to actually WATCH a game.

Anyway, good luck to you guys but this is about it for me in terms of betting!

[rdbase]

^^
The playoffs are crazy time in the NFL and no matter how much research you do and think you know of the teams before they play, it won't really matter.
Because anyone can win on any given day.
They made a movie about american football with a similar name.

[jeremypwr]

Because anyone can win on any given day.
They made a movie about american football with a similar name.

You're referring to "Any Given Sunday" (sorry rdbase, didn't want to correct you; but I couldn't watch you butcher the name of this Oliver Stone classic).

Speaking of the NFL @ Sportsbet.io 🏈 NFL Championship Weekend 🏈 (Sunday) @ https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5383287.0

[Hydrogen]

I'm observing and learning about the NFL.

It seems prep and study time can make a difference. The green bay packers may have spent all their time studying and preparing to face the dallas cowboys. When the san francisco 49ers defeated the cowboys in a big upset victory, that could have thrown off all their plans and preparations. Leaving them only 1 week to prepare for the game with san francisco.

On the opposite end, san francisco could have had more than 2 weeks to prepare to face green bay, who was expected to win that initial play off game.

Perhaps the results we're seeing relate to whether or not the expected team wins, and the amount of preparation and planning they're able to implement.

[ralle14]

Switched my picks and took both favorites @2.05, I think both home favorites should pull through even though both of them lost in their h2h encounter it's kind of scary to bet against the Chiefs after that performance against the Bills.

Then on the other match you have the 49ers playing way too conservative and I don't think it'll work for the third time unless the Rams makes a couple of crucial mistakes.

[wheelz1200]

Switched my picks and took both favorites @2.05, I think both home favorites should pull through even though both of them lost in their h2h encounter it's kind of scary to bet against the Chiefs after that performance against the Bills.

Then on the other match you have the 49ers playing way too conservative and I don't think it'll work for the third time unless the Rams makes a couple of crucial mistakes.

I like the Chiefs here.  No way the Chiefs let chase beat them over the top and don't think bengles can win a shootout with Chiefs without that.  But I'm taking the 49ers.  They dominated them the first game and then the second came back from way down to get in the playoffs.  As long as Deborah is healthy he will be the best weapon on the field all day.  Niners in a grind out game.  Enjoy the games!

[OgNasty]

Switched my picks and took both favorites @2.05, I think both home favorites should pull through even though both of them lost in their h2h encounter it's kind of scary to bet against the Chiefs after that performance against the Bills.

Then on the other match you have the 49ers playing way too conservative and I don't think it'll work for the third time unless the Rams makes a couple of crucial mistakes.

I like the Chiefs here.  No way the Chiefs let chase beat them over the top and don't think bengles can win a shootout with Chiefs without that.  But I'm taking the 49ers.  They dominated them the first game and then the second came back from way down to get in the playoffs.  As long as Deborah is healthy he will be the best weapon on the field all day.  Niners in a grind out game.  Enjoy the games!

Rough day for those picks.  Honestly, I would have chosen the same.  I didn't watch anything but highlights from the Bengals and Chiefs, but I used to date a girl from Kansas City and she left a lasting impression on me, so I never bet against KC. 

The 49ers game was a great one also.  At the end of the 3rd quarter I was even texting some friends who adamantly hate the 49ers just to stir them up a bit.  It worked but then everything in the game changed.  When that 49ers defender dropped the pass that literally went right to him with nobody else around, it felt like it was only a matter of time before the Rams won.  I know that guy is going to spend his offseason wishing he made that catch...  I know you can't blame a loss on one guy and it isn't solely his fault, but if he makes that catch (99 out of 100 times he probably would have) then the game is over and they're going to the Super Bowl.  I'm sure he had a rough morning today.

Great games though.  What we all love to see.  Hopefully the Super Bowl doesn't disappoint.

[ralle14]

Both underdogs covered again , when the Chiefs were up big I knew it's not over as their defense tends to loosen up in the second half.

On the other match, it's the battle of the defense, I feel like the 49ers should've had that win instead of the Rams but their defense pulled through late in the fourth getting crucial stops then that INT from Jimmy at the end to seal the deal.

For now, i'm leaning on the Bengals, I still think the Rams are the better team but at the same time I feel like they got lucky against the 49ers and maybe include a prop bet on the interceptions as all QBs got an interception yesterday.

[buwaytress]

Another seemingly random outcome to my eyes, but I did count on them both not making their spreads even if they won, so took a nice slice of the freebet action on jeremypwr's prediction thread, so a happy camper here!

Rough day for those picks.  Honestly, I would have chosen the same.  I didn't watch anything but highlights from the Bengals and Chiefs, but I used to date a girl from Kansas City and she left a lasting impression on me, so I never bet against KC. 

A person of culture. I have something of a similar nature here, except that because of my lasting impression, I make an occasional bet on the country the girl came from (New Zealand) on football. It was a weird period where Flight of the Conchords was running, and I had a personal run-in with the prime minister too heh.

[Hydrogen]

Both underdogs covered again , when the Chiefs were up big I knew it's not over as their defense tends to loosen up in the second half.

To cut down on injuries, teams apply the bare minimum needed to win. Then coast to preserve their player's health.

Kansas City has such a powerful and overwhelming offense. Their defensive line is prone towards falling asleep thinking its ok if they lose focus, their offense will bail them out.

Chiefs might have peaked in their game with the buffalo bills and began celebrating too early. They didn't prepare for the bengals the way they would if they were facing a bigger name team. They probably thought they would defeat the bengals easily and be in superbowl 2022 guaranteed.

All of these failings combined can converge to form the perfect storm necessary for underdogs to overcome the odds.

That said, this has been a strange season for the NFL and for the NBA as well. The normal skill gap which normally separates players and teams, appears to have narrowed considerably.

[ralle14]

That said, this has been a strange season for the NFL and for the NBA as well. The normal skill gap which normally separates players and teams, appears to have narrowed considerably.

I couldn't agree more, some teams get hit by injuries then bookies will quickly shift the odds by a couple of points and once the game is in play you'll see them perform above expectations where it doesn't make much sense.

Another seemingly random outcome to my eyes, but I did count on them both not making their spreads even if they won, so took a nice slice of the freebet action on jeremypwr's prediction thread, so a happy camper here!

Congrats on the prediction win, I got the first match correct but I failed on the Bengals as I got too confident on the Rams thinking they'd win by a touchdown.

[rdbase]

For now, i'm leaning on the Bengals, I still think the Rams are the better team but at the same time I feel like they got lucky against the 49ers and maybe include a prop bet on the interceptions as all QBs got an interception yesterday.

I am liking the Bengals chances more and more now. Burrows is hard to bet against as I seen some stat right after their Kansas City match that he was 7-0 in post season including his NCAA record which is fairly amazing to deny.
And why not go with them this year even if it is in LA. After all..
It is the year of the Tiger!