NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev

[rohang]

SF 49ers are rightly 10 points favorites against the giants who  got smacked around in the first 90 minutes of  the season.

They turned the previous game around in the last 30 mins outscoring falcons 8-31 to win the game.

Very conflicted  on this as 49ers  -10.5 looks like obvious winner here but like  i said last week expect the unexpected on MNF and TNF

Believe the  best play  would be  over 42.5

I didnt  watch the game live and was very surprised to see 49ers cover the -10.5 handicap

The total bet of over 42.5 missed by 0.5 which  is very very saddening

After  this game however 12-70 if you dont count their second game, i think i will  be betting against giants handicaps for their next few games for sure

[rdbase]

This weekend we continue on to week 3 for the NFL matches with one many are looking forward too with the New York Jets vs New England Patriots. This one will be a fun one with the current situation both teams are in for quarterback side of things.

Another one to look out for would be the match with the Kansas City Chiefs taking on the Chicago Bears.
Now this one everyone is saying has to be the most lop-sided matchup between two quarterbacks seen in a while. Fields against Mahomes. I don't see this game being very competitive and the oddsmakers must be in agreement on this prediction as it reflects in the odds:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-v-chicago-bears-6500cac249a198000145539c

All matches markets can be viewed here for this NFL weekend:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/usa/nfl/matches

[ralle14]

This week has been a bloodbath after a few decent favorites like the Ravens, Cowboys, and Jaguars found a way to lose against the weakest teams in the league.  

The Jaguars ruined all of my survivor picks and I guess that's what I get for putting every entry I have on a single team.  

At least my under is on a good start for the Steelers vs. Raiders game.



Edit: after posting they scored 2 TDs within a minute lol.

[bbc.reporter]

@ralle14. Hehehe The Raiders suddenly became alive on the 4th quarter and have been very aggressive to get another touchdown and I am quite certain Jimmy G will try to get another 2 point conversion to have this game taken into overtime.

However, Jimmy G's offensive line are not doing a very good job in protecting him. The Steelers have 4 sacks on the Raiders already.

[ralle14]

@ralle14. Hehehe The Raiders suddenly became alive on the 4th quarter and have been very aggressive to get another touchdown and I am quite certain Jimmy G will try to get another 2 point conversion to have this game taken into overtime.

However, Jimmy G's offensive line are not doing a very good job in protecting him. The Steelers have 4 sacks on the Raiders already.

That was so sweaty I thought the Raiders could've taken the lead at different points of the match if it wasn't for their turnovers and almost forced an OT after getting the ball back in the last few minutes.

Then again, the Steelers defense did the heavy lifting for the second time with the stops and that clutch turnover at the end to seal the win.  

[rdbase]

@ralle14. Hehehe The Raiders suddenly became alive on the 4th quarter and have been very aggressive to get another touchdown and I am quite certain Jimmy G will try to get another 2 point conversion to have this game taken into overtime.

However, Jimmy G's offensive line are not doing a very good job in protecting him. The Steelers have 4 sacks on the Raiders already.

That was so sweaty I thought the Raiders could've taken the lead at different points of the match if it wasn't for their turnovers and almost forced an OT after getting the ball back in the last few minutes.

Then again, the Steelers defense did the heavy lifting for the second time with the stops and that clutch turnover at the end to seal the win.  

The Steelers actually won that match 23-18 against the Raiders.
I was surprised when I checked all the scores for the weekend because somebody had a thread up with their betslip having Pittsburgh to win that match inorder to win a $214k ticket on a $2.49 bet. Which was the only game left deciding if the betslip was a winner or not.
@rohang remembers that thread because he had a response to it before the OP took it down.
Unbelievable if he didn't cash out as he was wanting too so to secure atleast $199k from it.

[ChiBitCTy]

This week has been a bloodbath after a few decent favorites like the Ravens, Cowboys, and Jaguars found a way to lose against the weakest teams in the league.  

The Jaguars ruined all of my survivor picks and I guess that's what I get for putting every entry I have on a single team.  

At least my under is on a good start for the Steelers vs. Raiders game.



Edit: after posting they scored 2 TDs within a minute lol.

I won all the games I bet on this weekend.  I only bet on I think either 3 or 4 games at most, which is my typical strategy as I pick the 3-5 games I feel like I've got the best chance at betting on.

I had the Dolphins which of course they absolutely blew out the Denver Broncos as well as I had the Chargers, which I felt good about them going up against the Vikings.

[ralle14]

I won all the games I bet on this weekend.  I only bet on I think either 3 or 4 games at most, which is my typical strategy as I pick the 3-5 games I feel like I've got the best chance at betting on.

I did the same, but I placed a teaser instead of singles only for this week, which was a mistake after thinking the favorites were close to a guaranteed win.

I was surprised when I checked all the scores for the weekend because somebody had a thread up with their betslip having Pittsburgh to win that match inorder to win a $214k ticket on a $2.49 bet. Which was the only game left deciding if the betslip was a winner or not.
@rohang remembers that thread because he had a response to it before the OP took it down.
Unbelievable if he didn't cash out as he was wanting too so to secure atleast $199k from it.

That's still a big chunk of winnings starting from a $2.5 bet, so I wouldn't blame him for cashing out with one match left. 

Also, I wasn't expecting this collab for the Jaguars vs. Falcons match this coming weekend. Seeing one of the players dressed up as one of the Toy Story characters while playing sounds fun. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kpi6t1TM5z4

[rohang]

@ralle14. Hehehe The Raiders suddenly became alive on the 4th quarter and have been very aggressive to get another touchdown and I am quite certain Jimmy G will try to get another 2 point conversion to have this game taken into overtime.

However, Jimmy G's offensive line are not doing a very good job in protecting him. The Steelers have 4 sacks on the Raiders already.

That was so sweaty I thought the Raiders could've taken the lead at different points of the match if it wasn't for their turnovers and almost forced an OT after getting the ball back in the last few minutes.

Then again, the Steelers defense did the heavy lifting for the second time with the stops and that clutch turnover at the end to seal the win.  

The Steelers actually won that match 23-18 against the Raiders.
I was surprised when I checked all the scores for the weekend because somebody had a thread up with their betslip having Pittsburgh to win that match inorder to win a $214k ticket on a $2.49 bet. Which was the only game left deciding if the betslip was a winner or not.
@rohang remembers that thread because he had a response to it before the OP took it down.
Unbelievable if he didn't cash out as he was wanting too so to secure atleast $199k from it.

Ya i really hope he didnt cashout , but even if he did he got around 100k which isnt too bad either TBH

Eagles win over buccaneers was  all over the news due to the score being unique, never seen before in NFL - 25-11
Such scores usually happen  very rarely and mostly due to 'safety' being scored for 2 points, which are super rare itself in the hyper competitive NFL!

[bbc.reporter]

@ralle14. Hehehe The Raiders suddenly became alive on the 4th quarter and have been very aggressive to get another touchdown and I am quite certain Jimmy G will try to get another 2 point conversion to have this game taken into overtime.

However, Jimmy G's offensive line are not doing a very good job in protecting him. The Steelers have 4 sacks on the Raiders already.

That was so sweaty I thought the Raiders could've taken the lead at different points of the match if it wasn't for their turnovers and almost forced an OT after getting the ball back in the last few minutes.

Then again, the Steelers defense did the heavy lifting for the second time with the stops and that clutch turnover at the end to seal the win.  

The Steelers actually won that match 23-18 against the Raiders.
I was surprised when I checked all the scores for the weekend because somebody had a thread up with their betslip having Pittsburgh to win that match inorder to win a $214k ticket on a $2.49 bet. Which was the only game left deciding if the betslip was a winner or not.
@rohang remembers that thread because he had a response to it before the OP took it down.
Unbelievable if he didn't cash out as he was wanting too so to secure atleast $199k from it.

Was this the thread where the bettor was asking for $50k to help hedge his bet? If he took his own thread down, I speculate that he might have cashed out.

In any case, agreed. I wish he did not cash out and he did not find $50k to hedge the bet and went away to hide from his wife with the whole amount hehehe.

[rdbase]

@ralle14. Hehehe The Raiders suddenly became alive on the 4th quarter and have been very aggressive to get another touchdown and I am quite certain Jimmy G will try to get another 2 point conversion to have this game taken into overtime.
However, Jimmy G's offensive line are not doing a very good job in protecting him. The Steelers have 4 sacks on the Raiders already.

That was so sweaty I thought the Raiders could've taken the lead at different points of the match if it wasn't for their turnovers and almost forced an OT after getting the ball back in the last few minutes.
Then again, the Steelers defense did the heavy lifting for the second time with the stops and that clutch turnover at the end to seal the win.

The Steelers actually won that match 23-18 against the Raiders.
I was surprised when I checked all the scores for the weekend because somebody had a thread up with their betslip having Pittsburgh to win that match inorder to win a $214k ticket on a $2.49 bet. Which was the only game left deciding if the betslip was a winner or not.
@rohang remembers that thread because he had a response to it before the OP took it down.
Unbelievable if he didn't cash out as he was wanting too so to secure atleast $199k from it.

Was this the thread where the bettor was asking for $50k to help hedge his bet? If he took his own thread down, I speculate that he might have cashed out.
In any case, agreed. I wish he did not cash out and he did not find $50k to hedge the bet and went away to hide from his wife with the whole amount hehehe.

From what I recall about the thread, they were asking for a loan from anyone on the forum so to hedge their bet.
So if the very last leg on their betslip did manage to lose, which were the Steelers, then he would still secure the win no matter what the outcome.
They put up the way to contact them (which is a major mistake due to alot wanting to scam him one way or another via sim swap or whatever the sophisticated ways hackers do it nowadays) and a discord server from what I understood was a gambling tips channel. They have since took both the thread's OP and that discord channel even before the match began.

So they either secured the requested loan and hedged their bet or just let it play out and made the $214k on the betslip as a win.
Which they probably would be on that very thread posting right now.

[ralle14]

The TNF match is closing in. I've locked my bet on the Lions -1.5 and think they'll get away with a close win against the Packers. The Lions look like the better team in this matchup but their passing defense is a bit concerning. The Packers could abuse that struggling defense and keep this one tight.

The under 45 is also an alternative play when the trend keeps pushing and I was close to taking it if only the odds on the Lions weren't this close.

[rdbase]

Thursday Night Football has two teams which are equally matched up for this game tonight.

We have the Detroit Lions going up against the Green Bay Packers. Goff vs Love.
Watched the Packers last week and have to say I was impressed with his performance even though he hasn't been playing that long.
And everybody knows Goff from his days with the LA Rams and who could of won the championship when they went on to win the Superbowl that year.

Here are the markets for this game which begins in about 15 minutes:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/green-bay-packers-v-detroit-lions-6509e07d127408000109bab5

[rohang]

Really nice win for Detroit lions today
Unfortunately for me i woke up at half time, saw the score 27-3

Total odds for lions were o/u 34.5 few mins into third quarter, surely lions score 8 more points in 25+ mins right ?
Nope.


 

[rdbase]

The TNF match is closing in. I've locked my bet on the Lions -1.5 and think they'll get away with a close win against the Packers. The Lions look like the better team in this matchup but their passing defense is a bit concerning. The Packers could abuse that struggling defense and keep this one tight.

The under 45 is also an alternative play when the trend keeps pushing and I was close to taking it if only the odds on the Lions weren't this close.

Your bet won easily as Detroit cover the spread and then some. People were already saying Lions had won even after the first half had ended with a score as rohang described it as 27-3.
Then like always the losing team comes roaring back in the second half to make it look as if they will make a comeback to win the game. But it ended 34-20. So good decision in not taking the under on this one.
So many interceptions as Goff's first drive had been just that to start the Thursday night off with.
The Lions running was what got them the win as Montgomery had three touchdowns all of them staying on the ground.

@rohang
That was a bad one since they could of kicked a field goal within the last minute of the match but of course teams don't do that if they are leading by so much even if they are within range to do it.
It is a show of respect to the other team for some reason or another so not to be unsportsman-like in a way.

[morvillz7z]

https://www.talkimg.com/images/2023/10/01/PLHwj.png

I was one selection off of a big win today, one Justin Fields rushing TD off $1k+ on 500+ odds parlay.

Broncos gave 350 rush yards and like 5 rush TDs last week, thought it was the perfect matchup for him and the Chicago running backs, instead Fields threw for a career-high 4 pass TD. Lol

Looking again at my ticket, really good calls on Pickett's interception, Texans ML and the Dolphins rookie Achane, the rest kind looks obvious.

Ahhh, so close...

[ralle14]

I was one selection off of a big win today, one Justin Fields rushing TD off $1k+ on 500+ odds parlay.

That is brutal, but it's still impressive to see every leg hitting, including the other ATTD props. I guess they didn't want to switch things up when the passing game kept working for them.

I'm thinking of buying some points for the Chiefs match but I decided to scrap that play and just go for the under 41, when the under trend remains hot. I'd imagine this match to be similar to the Jags vs. Chiefs a couple of weeks ago, where we won't see much scoring since the Jets still have a top-tier defense.



Edit: My under is a guaranteed loss at this point after the Chiefs scored way too fast and the Jets can't get a stop.

[rdbase]

I was one selection off of a big win today, one Justin Fields rushing TD off $1k+ on 500+ odds parlay.

That is brutal, but it's still impressive to see every leg hitting, including the other ATTD props. I guess they didn't want to switch things up when the passing game kept working for them.

I'm thinking of buying some points for the Chiefs match but I decided to scrap that play and just go for the under 41, when the under trend remains hot. I'd imagine this match to be similar to the Jags vs. Chiefs a couple of weeks ago, where we won't see much scoring since the Jets still have a top-tier defense.



Edit: My under is a guaranteed loss at this point after the Chiefs scored way too fast and the Jets can't get a stop.

Yes, it ended 23-20 for the Chiefs which they didn't deserve to win. Mahomes had 2 interceptions from what I witnessed while watching the game and Kelce didn't get going in this one with his usual performance.
Not the same Chiefs team who won the Super Bowl last season that's for sure against a struggling and recovering offensive line-up including Zach Wilson.
Who hasn't got into the leading role of being the starting QB yet.

Those are huge shoes to fill and Aaron Rodgers was at the game on the sidelines.
They say he will be going in later this week to evaluate the surgery done to his injured leg. He wants to get into the bye week of the season, but that is being optimistic.

[acroman08]

I just started watching American Football(because of Jason Kelce, the dude is a wholesome guy) and watched the Jets vs. Chiefs match. I am really curious, near the end of the 4th quarter of the match, why did Patrick Mahomes stop near the goal instead of going for the Touchdown? I've read some comments on YouTube that it was to waste time and guarantee their win and others said that the Chiefs would still win if Patrick Mahomes went for the Touchdown.

sorry if this is a dumb question or if it is off-topic, I am still very new to American football.

[rohang]

I just started watching American Football(because of Jason Kelce, the dude is a wholesome guy) and watched the Jets vs. Chiefs match. I am really curious, near the end of the 4th quarter of the match, why did Patrick Mahomes stop near the goal instead of going for the Touchdown? I've read some comments on YouTube that it was to waste time and guarantee their win and others said that the Chiefs would still win if Patrick Mahomes went for the Touchdown.

sorry if this is a dumb question or if it is off-topic, I am still very new to American football.

Hey, thats absolutely right!

Its to waste time i.e. run out the clock

This is done when the leading team has possession and there is less then 2 mins left AND the opposing team has no time outs,

Since if  they kneel, the clock keeps  running and they get 40 seconds for the next play, that way they can kill 120 seconds easily in 3 plays (again,assuming no timeout from other team)

While it is right that they were in a really good spot to score a touchdown, but things like fumble/interceptions happen and no team risks that when the win is guaranteed if they just dont put the ball in play.