NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev

[morvillz7z]

My only play this week...waiting on the Bills to take care of business. Barkley playing shouldn't really matter much, Giants have one of the worst offensive lines in the league, also the worst points differential coming into Week 6.

I was thinking about adding the 49ers to my slip 💀...but decided against it. With the injuries to McCaffrey and Deebo, as well as the missed game-winning FG, i'm sure folks who had the 49ers in their survivor pools, or parlays are now beyond pissed. I didn't see it coming.

[rdbase]

^^ Nice looking betslip and it looks like it will win cause the Bills are looking solid just like the Dolphins.

You were lucky enough to leave off the 49ers and now the Eagles who just lost to the Jets after Hurts had another interception with under 2 minutes left in the 4th quarter.
So now there are no undefeated teams in the NFL anymore after the New York Jets beating them for the first time in franchise history. Which found it hard to believe when I first heard it but there you have it.

[ralle14]

I was thinking about adding the 49ers to my slip 💀...but decided against it. With the injuries to McCaffrey and Deebo, as well as the missed game-winning FG, i'm sure folks who had the 49ers in their survivor pools, or parlays are now beyond pissed. I didn't see it coming.

Good job on avoiding a bullet from the 49ers.   The bookies are probably cashing in on that upset when i've seen so many bettors share their parlays that include the 49ers.

I'm still going for the same betbuilder play (alternate handicap+ total) because I still like the under for this match but on a slightly higher number in case the Bills' offense can't be stopped.

[bbc.reporter]

@ralle14. However, it appears that it will be the Bills that are having difficulties on winning against the Giants. I am sharing @morvillz7z's frustration because I have James Cook in my fantasy league and on a very important week hehehe.

It also appears that Josh Allen is not the same player when he was written by sports news outlets to be an MVP for the last 2 seasons before this.

[ralle14]

@ralle14. However, it appears that it will be the Bills that are having difficulties on winning against the Giants. I am sharing @morvillz7z's frustration because I have James Cook in my fantasy league and on a very important week hehehe.

It also appears that Josh Allen is not the same player when he was written by sports news outlets to be an MVP for the last 2 seasons before this.

The game is a bit ugly as both teams struggle when they start to go near the end zone. The Bills don't look like a favorite atm with a turnover at the start and then that missed field goal attempt.

I'm starting to think my bet is already dead because I don't think they can cover the spread with this type of performance.

Edit: They gave the ball back again as I was posting this.  I thought this would be an easy win but I guess we're in for a ride and maybe even an upset if the Bills don't wake up in the second half.

[bbc.reporter]

@ralle14. It is very ugly if you are a Bills fan or if you have James Cook placed as one of the running backs in your fantasy league instead of using Derrick Henry heheehheehe. Also, this type of performance is very much assumed for the Giants on the road against the Bills. This is a very shocking performance for the Bills.

How much points did you give? I speculate it might be -10 points? It might be difficult, however, it is not impossible.

[ralle14]

How much points did you give? I speculate it might be -10 points? It might be difficult, however, it is not impossible.

I only went for -6.5, but the missed field goal in the first half killed my chances.


I have the Cowboys -1.5 for this week's MNF. The public and the sharps are all on the Chargers, but I think this is a recovery game for the Cowboys after losing badly to the 49ers last week. I also thought of adding the under, but with the defense of these two teams, it could still go over.



Edit: Winner, even with the Cowboys taking the lead you can't be too comfortable. lol

[rdbase]

I was thinking about adding the 49ers to my slip 💀...but decided against it. With the injuries to McCaffrey and Deebo, as well as the missed game-winning FG, i'm sure folks who had the 49ers in their survivor pools, or parlays are now beyond pissed. I didn't see it coming.

Good job on avoiding a bullet from the 49ers. The bookies are probably cashing in on that upset when i've seen so many bettors share their parlays that include the 49ers.
I'm still going for the same betbuilder play (alternate handicap+ total) because I still like the under for this match but on a slightly higher number in case the Bills' offense can't be stopped.

If the Bills won then people were thinking all this was going according to some sort of script for the NFL or something. Just kidding of course.
But having the two only undefeated teams lose on the some day and then the best team in the east going down the following evening match would make any bettor who had nearly dead even odds on these matches question what was going on over the weekend in the NFL.

Really good choice in your bet for MNF as I was backing the Chargers if I had put in a bet since the match from last week still left me doubting Dak and the Cowboys intentions this season.

So good call on the spread ralle14!

[morvillz7z]

For those of you considering taking the Jags' ML, they last beat the Saints in 2003, yeah it's been a while. 👀

I don't know, it seems like a must-win game for the Saints. Before the start of the season, i felt they were the overwhelming favorite to run away and win the NFC South, but after six weeks they are 3-3, dropping three of the last four...it's not a position they want to be in.  Either way, i'm avoiding any spreads and totals and going with Kamara's rec props instead.



Kamara has 23 receptions for 76 yards L3
This is what the Jags have given to opposing RBs L3:

Colts: J. Taylor 5rec for 46yards
Bills: J.Cook 3rec for 25yards
Falcons: Bijan 5rec for 35yards

edit; early second quarter winner 

[ralle14]

Really good choice in your bet for MNF as I was backing the Chargers if I had put in a bet since the match from last week still left me doubting Dak and the Cowboys intentions this season.

So good call on the spread ralle14!

Thanks, I initially doubted the Cowboys as well, but I always remember the Chargers as the team that would do well half the time and struggle against teams that are slightly better than them due to their leaky defense.

We have another close game for today. This should be a win for the Jags if nothing happened last week, but Lawrence got injured. I don't know how he'll perform after the injury but i'm going for the under since both defenses are good enough and it's still the trend for most games.

[rdbase]

NFL Sunday is here and we will see how well the San Francisco 49ers and Philadelphia Eagles come to play today after both falling off their unbeaten streaks with a loss.

San Francisco's match: https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/minnesota-vikings-v-san-francisco-49-ers-6525acc934ce9a0001a1ae10

Philadelphia Eagles match:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/philadelphia-eagles-v-miami-dolphins-6525acca1650fc000116edb8

Here is a rundown of all them being played today without an early game since the London matches are done for the season:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/today

[morvillz7z]

I think i'm going with Cooper Kupp's rec yards today. After returning from injury, he has over 100 receiving yards in both games. Kyren Williams is injured which will impact Ram's run game to some extent. I expect Stafford to air it out, relying on both Kupp and Nacua. Last week, Kupp had nearly a 50% target share (which is ridiculous) and played 100% of the Rams' pass plays. The Steelers have struggled to defend the pass and have given opposing WR1s monster games, with Aiyuk, Adams, and Collins all having 100+ rec performances against them.

source: https://www.pff.com/news/a-statistical-review-of-nfl-week-6-eagles-49ers-fall-as-favorites#12

[ralle14]

The underdogs covered nicely this week, and i'm lucky to avoid most of the matches after having a nice quick sleep.  

With the Eagles losing last week, i'm starting to think they'll lose in this SNF match, but i'm still hesitating on the Dolphins because the teams they've mostly rolled over are on the mid to low side of the standings.

The over quickly caught my attention and I thought it was too low when these two don't have the best defense to hold one another below 20 or fewer points. Also, the Eagles gave up 30 points twice at home so it should hit again if the Dolphins can keep their offense going like in the previous weeks.

[rdbase]

The underdogs covered nicely this week, and i'm lucky to avoid most of the matches after having a nice quick sleep.
With the Eagles losing last week, i'm starting to think they'll lose in this SNF match, but i'm still hesitating on the Dolphins because the teams they've mostly rolled over are on the mid to low side of the standings.

The over quickly caught my attention and I thought it was too low when these two don't have the best defense to hold one another below 20 or fewer points. Also, the Eagles gave up 30 points twice at home so it should hit again if the Dolphins can keep their offense going like in the previous weeks.

Almost forgot there was this huge matchup between these 5-1 teams happening tonight.
Just began watching the first quarter coming to an end but the score is quite low so far only 10-3 for the Eagles.
Things should get more interesting later in the second half as Philadelphia seem to always take sometime to get going in their games running up to week 7 of the season so far.
Tua seems to be not fairing to well in passing so we will see if he can get going later in 2nd quarter. As Tyreek Hill is his target for most of their offensive yardage and getting them close enough for their sole field goal.

So you betslip isn't dead yet. They usually turn it up in the second half of their games.

[ralle14]

Almost forgot there was this huge matchup between these 5-1 teams happening tonight.
Just began watching the first quarter coming to an end but the score is quite low so far only 10-3 for the Eagles.
Things should get more interesting later in the second half as Philadelphia seem to always take sometime to get going in their games running up to week 7 of the season so far.
Tua seems to be not fairing to well in passing so we will see if he can get going later in 2nd quarter. As Tyreek Hill is his target for most of their offensive yardage and getting them close enough for their sole field goal.

So you betslip isn't dead yet. They usually turn it up in the second half of their games.

Close loss, they suddenly scored a bunch of touchdowns in the second and third, but when it came to the final quarter, the scoring slowed down because of that unfortunate turnover by Tua.

After that, the Dolphins got broken and failed to convert a first down, forcing a turnover to allow the Eagles to milk the last few minutes of the clock. I was praying the Eagles would've scored another TD as they were in the red zone during those final few minutes, but they chose to play it smart.

[rdbase]

Damn ralle14, I feel your pain in that match last night.
I had made a similar bet late in the first quarter for the over 52.5pts @2.45x and it was looking great up until that interception of Tua's pass in the fourth quarter as you had said. Then I knew it was certainly over.
Up to that last drive by the Eagles which they could of scored with 2 minutes left as they reached the 10 yard line but decided to just knell the ball ending the game. Only had a small amount put on the game but still very disappointing when you see a team driving with nearly 4:50 left on the clock and reach well into the red zone just to play off the clock.

Anyways, we have a nice relaxing Monday Night Football to look forward too tonight with the San Francisco 49ers heading into the Minnesota Vikings U.S Bank Stadium.
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/minnesota-vikings-v-san-francisco-49-ers-6525acc934ce9a0001a1ae10

Christian McCaffrey is returning from last week but Deebo Samuels is still out with a shoulder injury and will miss this game and the Bengals matchup:
https://www.49erswebzone.com/articles/173523-glazer-calling-around-nfl-samuel

[ralle14]

I'll try to go light for today's MNF as i'm not too confident with the Niners covering comfortably, and like you've mentioned, they have a few players out. Even though the Vikings always lose by a single possession, they might get exposed if the Niners pull ahead with their defense consistently getting stops or turnovers. I was debating if I should go for the over, but after what happened yesterday i'm starting to imagine it'll go under if both offenses can't get a quick score in the first quarter.



Edit: The Game isn't over, but the spread is dead now that the Vikings are the ones in control of the game and still in the lead by two possessions. 

[rdbase]

I'll try to go light for today's MNF as i'm not too confident with the Niners covering comfortably, and like you've mentioned, they have a few players out. Even though the Vikings always lose by a single possession, they might get exposed if the Niners pull ahead with their defense consistently getting stops or turnovers. I was debating if I should go for the over, but after what happened yesterday i'm starting to imagine it'll go under if both offenses can't get a quick score in the first quarter.

Edit: The Game isn't over, but the spread is dead now that the Vikings are the ones in control of the game and still in the lead by two possessions.

You were right about the under as both offenses struggled to score touchdowns. The Vikings did look stronger at the start but 49ers started getting in their red zone but just couldn't punch it into the back to score. They had to settle for field goals.
I went for the over on this match and got sorely beaten seeing San Francisco's performance which was far from stellar compared to their earlier matches at the start of the season.

Since it is Thursday we have TNF later on today with another struggling offense in the Buffalo Bills going head to head with a rather impressive Tampa bay Buccaneers who beat those Minnesota Vikings back in September.

https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/buffalo-bills-v-tampa-bay-buccaneers-652eed02b3c69600012eebf3

So choose wisely!

[rohang]

This being a TNF game makes me want to go with the bucs +9.5 with how the TNF games have gone this season, but i also feel like Bills might finally do something and just smash the bucs today :/

Maybe Bills -2.5 & u49.5 is the play  ?

[ralle14]

This being a TNF game makes me want to go with the bucs +9.5 with how the TNF games have gone this season, but i also feel like Bills might finally do something and just smash the bucs today :/

Maybe Bills -2.5 & u49.5 is the play  ?

It's the best play to go for since Mayfield might not be at his best for today's match, but I remember getting cooked on my last bet builder and I saw a lot of bets being placed on the over.

I still can't forget how the Bills disappointed me last time and i'm backing them once again to cover the spread. Their mediocre performance can continue, but i'm hoping they're due for a dominant win after a close loss against the Patriots.