NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev

[morvillz7z]

Who else has McCaffrey Anytime TD?

Shit odds but that's what you get when you score in 16 consecutive games, this dude is unreal. Also, 49ers need to better that two-game skid.

edit; this was rather quick Lol


image source: https://twitter.com/NFL/status/1718731867523084697/photo/1

[ralle14]

Shit odds but that's what you get when you score in 16 consecutive games, this dude is unreal. Also, 49ers need to better that two-game skid.

Congrats on cashing that CMC ATTD slip, but the 49ers still can't end their losing streak after the Bengals held them off to one TD per half.

I'll opt for the team totals on today's SNF as I don't have the confidence to go for the spread or totals, thinking it could go either way when the Bears are starting to show up in their past few matches. Two TDs in the first half shouldn't be too hard of a task for the Chargers when they're one of the better teams at scoring TDs.



Edit: The bet hits in the first quarter. 

[rdbase]

Seems the weekend was a good one for those bets above.
It had as usual the upsets with Bengals beating the 49ers, Broncos somehow blowing out the Chiefs and Panthers winning against the Texans to get their first of the season.
Lions won easily versus the Raiders last night as expected.

[ralle14]

Lions won easily versus the Raiders last night as expected.

That Raiders game was tight at the start because the Lions couldn't get anything but FGs until the near end of the half after the Raiders got the first TD.

The match for today seems like a battle of the defense as the Steelers are one of the teams that shines more through their defense and the bookies expect it as well due to the low totals(36.5). The Titans still have the potential to take this game away from the Steelers, but everything points to the home team winning when I think they are doing slightly better in offense and defense than the Titans. The Steelers also have impressive wins against teams that I think they shouldn't be winning against and it's why i'll be backing them today to cover at least three points.

[rdbase]

Lions won easily versus the Raiders last night as expected.

That Raiders game was tight at the start because the Lions couldn't get anything but FGs until the near end of the half after the Raiders got the first TD.

The match for today seems like a battle of the defense as the Steelers are one of the teams that shines more through their defense and the bookies expect it as well due to the low totals(36.5). The Titans still have the potential to take this game away from the Steelers, but everything points to the home team winning when I think they are doing slightly better in offense and defense than the Titans. The Steelers also have impressive wins against teams that I think they shouldn't be winning against and it's why i'll be backing them today to cover at least three points.

Sounded just like the last San Francisco game I watched. Only FGs in the better part of first half.

For Thursday night football we have Titans vs Steelers with Ryan Tannehill being ruled out due to injury so they will have Will Levis in again after he took over for him.
And he did decent so you are right, they have the potential to take the game away from the favorites in Pittsburgh.
Your bet looks good though so will tag it so it displays within the post:

Here are the markets:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/pittsburgh-steelers-v-tennessee-titans-653819ce0a6c95000115494a

[rdbase]

First game of the weekend started early!
Kansas City Chiefs are in the early part of the first quarter against the Miami Dolphins.
The more surprising thing is they are leading by a touchdown!

The rest of the Sunday early games are at their regular time in about 3 hours from now with the following markets:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/today

The interesting ones are the Eagles vs Cowboys and Bills vs Bengals.

[ralle14]

The interesting ones are the Eagles vs Cowboys and Bills vs Bengals.

The Eagles took back the lead in the third quarter and should win if they can hold the Cowboys in the fourth.

It's time for me to go against the Bills for the SNF match. The Bills struggled more than I expected in the past few weeks, and the Bengals have more impressive wins than the Bills. I guess the bookies want the trend to continue since the Bengals always have tight results at home (4-point win vs Seahawks, 3-point win vs Rams, 3-point loss vs Ravens).



Edit: Winner, Bengals got the win as expected. 

[rdbase]

Good bet on the Bengals as Burrows was due for an impressive win against the Bills and doing it on home field was icing on the cake.

Chargers just destroyed the Jets in the MNF match last night. Didn't watch it but from the score 37-6 it was a one-sided affair.

The biggest news from the weekend was the rookie quarterback CJ Stroud with 5 touchdowns beating the buccs.

With the first string quarterbacks going down like flies lately this is a nice bit of news coming out of week 9.

[ralle14]

Good bet on the Bengals as Burrows was due for an impressive win against the Bills and doing it on home field was icing on the cake.

Chargers just destroyed the Jets in the MNF match last night. Didn't watch it but from the score 37-6 it was a one-sided affair.

Thanks, the Bills tried to claw their way back during the second half, but they took too much time to score while the Bengals tried to waste as much time as possible.

The MNF match was a disaster for the Jets, and their offense did nothing except help the Chargers score easy points through turnovers. The impressive part for me was how the Chargers special team got away with a couple of TDs during that match.

[rdbase]

TNF has Carolina Panthers going up against a Chicago Bears team without their first string quarterback since Justin Fields got injured.
He was practicing throwing earlier in the week but believe he wasn't medically cleared to play tonight so they will dressing Tyson Bagent to take his place at the helm of the bears.

Here are the markets for tonight's Thursday night game:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/chicago-bears-v-carolina-panthers-6541414234ce9a000133ca83

[ralle14]

Here are the markets for tonight's Thursday night game:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/chicago-bears-v-carolina-panthers-6541414234ce9a000133ca83

It's best to skip this match or go low because there's no obvious winner, but i'm on the Bears only because of the way they performed these past few weeks.

To me, the Panthers are worse than the Bears even without Fields, but still, i'd factor in the possibility of the Panthers waking up when this is their best chance of getting their second win, which is why i'm only risking a small bet for today.

[rdbase]

Another early Sunday game in Germany which begins in about an hour between the Indianapolis Colts going up against the New England Patriots.

Hard to say who will win this one as the odds have reflected this same sediment with the sportsbooks:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/new-england-patriots-v-indianapolis-colts-645ba89a6796e3118ed6bf95

The regular scheduled games for the Sunday start time are as follows:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/today

[ralle14]

Another early Sunday game in Germany which begins in about an hour between the Indianapolis Colts going up against the New England Patriots.

That Pats match was a field goal fiesta. Both sides could only make it within the field goal range, but at least the Colts got their fifth win to keep their playoff hopes alive.

Also, the Houston Texans got a solid upset against the Bengals, and the 49ers finally broke their three-game losing streak after beating the Jags earlier.

For the SNF match between the Jets and Raiders, I got a small one on the Jets only because I think their defense will probably make enough space and give more time for Wilson to cook.

[rdbase]

Was a close match and last I took a look the Jets had the ball and running down the field with about 4 minutes left late in the 4th.
So with the scoreline, it looks like they were just short by a score.

Two huge upsets during the Sunday game earlier on with the Bengals falling to the Texans which went into overtime and CJ Stroud managed to do it again! The other shocker was the Ravens going flat late in the game against the Browns. Who got a late FG to win it right at the end.

The match for tonight's MNF looks alot more lopped sided then the one last night.
With Buffalo Bills playing against the Denver Broncos at Highmark stadium. Denver being 4.00x odds it doesn't look like anybody is giving them a chance to make much of a game out of it.

Here are the markets:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/buffalo-bills-v-denver-broncos-654144450a6c950001c28e8a

[ralle14]

The match for tonight's MNF looks alot more lopped sided then the one last night.
With Buffalo Bills playing against the Denver Broncos at Highmark stadium. Denver being 4.00x odds it doesn't look like anybody is giving them a chance to make much of a game out of it.

Bronco's odds are tempting after they beat the Chiefs in their last match but the Bills won't let this one slip away when most of their wins are at home.

The Bills still don't have the best record at covering the spreads, so i've made this bet builder hoping it's the better option while having decent odds because the Bills rarely go over 50 points at home and the recent form of the Broncos makes me think they can hold the Bills to a more competitive scoreline.

[rdbase]

They did infact hold the Bills to a very competitive scoreline and then took it away right at the end in the most controversial way!
Broncos were knocked out of field goal range within the final 60 seconds of play. By a fluke Wilson heaves a pass up in the air for a receiver down the field and gets a pass interference call. So they place it on the 17 yard line.
They go for the field goal but miss it. You would think the game is over with the Bills winning by a point right?
Wrong!
Buffalo Bills had 12 men on the field due to the Broncos rushing their field goal unit onto the field so they were still shuffling their defensive line.
So they got to retake the missed field goal. With 0:00 on the clock they make the points to win the match!
That was a shock to the Bills as you can see Josh Allen's face all over social media after that too many men on the field call was made.

The Bills are now 5-5 at the end of week 10 and the announcer was stating during this game, if teams do not have 10 wins by the end of the regular season and going into the post season,
They will not make the play-offs.
Kansas City Chiefs are already the leaders of the AFC West Conference with a 7-2 record going into week 11. So they are clear and have a bye week.
The Philadelphia Eagles are 8-1 so they should be the leaders of NFC East Conference.

[rdbase]

Best Thursday Night Football (TNF) ever is about to happen tomorrow!
Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals 

After both of these teams coming off deflating defeats from teams lower on the leaderboard which one will bounce back so to regain their race into the postseason for week 11?

https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/baltimore-ravens-v-cincinnati-bengals-654a8d1e0a6c950001590c35

[morvillz7z]

Best Thursday Night Football (TNF) ever is about to happen tomorrow!
Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals  

After both of these teams coming off deflating defeats from teams lower on the leaderboard which one will bounce back so to regain their race into the postseason for week 11?

https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/baltimore-ravens-v-cincinnati-bengals-654a8d1e0a6c950001590c35

^ Yup.... a divisional clash worth betting on. I like the Ravens a lot here, and i expect them to come pissed the way they gave away their last game to the Browns. Or even going back to last season, the Bengals beat them twice in a week to end their season. I've also Keaton Mitchell to hit 30+ rushing yards. I like this guy, he just needs one play, he is such an explosive and elusive back. It'd be great to see Harbaugh give him more touches in the future.

source: https://www.fantasylife.com/articles/redraft/fantasy-football-mismatches-week-11-matchups-to-target

Let’s just say the Bengals are a far cry from topping the leaderboard in just about any run defense metric:

    EPA allowed per rush: -0.044 (No. 27)
    Explosive run play rate allowed: 18.7% (No. 32)
    Yards per carry allowed: 5.0 (No. 31)
    Yards before contact per carry allowed: 1.8 (No. 31)
    Yards after contact per carry allowed: 3.0 (No. 27)

[ralle14]

Both teams playing for today's TNF lost to teams I wasn't expecting to win, so I went with the under 47.5 and bought a point to avoid losing by the hook. I'm mostly backing the under because the trend for TNF is still going strong.



If I didn't like the under this much, I would've gone for the Bengals and the extra four points, hoping it'll be a close game because this is still a division match and these two won't go down without a fight when one of them is going to extend their losing streak.

[rdbase]

Bengals QB is out of the game and left since the 2nd quarter. It is near halftime and they were leading.
Don't know if he will be returning as they state he's questionable to return in the second half due to a wrist injury.
They showed a photo of him departing the plane with a device around his wrist over his thumb, so he was entering into this game injured or recovering from one from the last match over the weekend.
He was trying to throw the ball but instantly knew something was wrong as he couldn't raise his elbow far enough to release it from his wrist. The ball went straight into the turf.
Doesn't look good for the Bengals at this time but the under might still happen because they have his replacement Jake Browning 1st year and 1st career pass during week 1 of the Browns game as Cincinnati's quarterback.