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Author Topic: NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev  (Read 6474 times)
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November 20, 2023, 12:03:55 AM
Last edit: November 20, 2023, 04:26:19 AM by ralle14
 #461

under
The live totals shifted constantly throughout the match, but unfortunately, the gap was big enough between the teams, so there wasn't much urgency to stop the Bengals from scoring in the fourth quarter to reach the over.

I'm going for the same play for the SNF match between the Broncos and Vikings. I expect the Broncos to keep on rolling with their streak and stop the Vikings since they've been mostly facing weaker teams on the road so far.



Edit: What a finish, the under nearly lost in the fourth but the Broncos defense held on.

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November 20, 2023, 11:03:36 AM
 #462

under
The live totals shifted constantly throughout the match, but unfortunately, the gap was big enough between the teams, so there wasn't much urgency to stop the Bengals from scoring in the fourth quarter to reach the over.
I'm going for the same play for the SNF match between the Broncos and Vikings. I expect the Broncos to keep on rolling with their streak and stop the Vikings since they've been mostly facing weaker teams on the road so far.

Edit: What a finish, the under nearly lost in the fourth but the Broncos defense held on.
Glad you got the under that game.
As for teams who are on a roll, CJ Stroud is on one with the Texans pulling another one out of the fire. For a rookie QB CJ has had a year that many of the veterans dream of having in their debut season. Amazing statistics and just 16 yards shy of breaking an all time record of consecutively passing 350 yards in the last 3 games.
The Detroit Lions are 8-2 on the season so this was the matchup against the Chicago Bears I was tuned into over the weekend. And it didn't disappoint.
Goff drove down the field in the last 1:30 minutes of play at the end of the game to give them the final score. Think were I was chatting with other NFL bettors they were 7.25x before that drive to win the game.

One game I am looking forward to watching this coming MNF is a rematch of the Superbowl with Eagles vs Chiefs. Now this one should be a definite over right?

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November 21, 2023, 12:35:49 AM
 #463

One game I am looking forward to watching this coming MNF is a rematch of the Superbowl with Eagles vs Chiefs. Now this one should be a definite over right?
The Texans' win this week is expected, and the real test for them starts next week since half of their remaining matches are against teams within their division.

The Lions' comeback was probably one of the best to watch this week because you don't always see teams regularly come back in the last few minutes of the final quarter while being down by double digits.

I don't have a good read on the totals for the Chiefs vs. Eagles match. They're both solid offensively, so they should be able to score, but it could still go under if they waste too much time in each drive. I've already placed my money on the Chiefs because this is one of the few matches where I don't have to take their spread.  Grin


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November 23, 2023, 05:01:14 PM
 #464

Was surprised to see the Chiefs lose as I watched until halftime and it was for certain looking like an easy KC win.

Today we have an early match since it is the Thanksgiving holidays and Americans love to watch football during the course of the day waiting for the turkey to finish cooking slowly in the oven:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/usa/nfl/matches

Lions and Packers are up on tap first for the three matches being played for today.

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November 23, 2023, 07:47:21 PM
 #465

Was surprised to see the Chiefs lose as I watched until halftime and it was for certain looking like an easy KC win.

Today we have an early match since it is the Thanksgiving holidays and Americans love to watch football during the course of the day waiting for the turkey to finish cooking slowly in the oven:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/usa/nfl/matches

Lions and Packers are up on tap first for the three matches being played for today.

Wow and packers are up by 9 pts with just about 20 mins left, while they were 4.2 odds and 8 pt favorites!!

However way this goes i do think now its best to bet favorites next 2 matches as i expect lines to move towards underdogs
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November 24, 2023, 12:05:30 AM
Merited by rdbase (1)
 #466

Wow and packers are up by 9 pts with just about 20 mins left, while they were 4.2 odds and 8 pt favorites!!

However way this goes i do think now its best to bet favorites next 2 matches as i expect lines to move towards underdogs
Most bettors probably got destroyed by that upset from the Packers since I saw so many predictions on the side of the Lions. I guess the moon curse is legit because I saw the others pointing out the losing streak of the Lions due to the moon phase.  Wink

On the last match of the day, i'm sold on the 49ers spread now that they're back to winning and looking at their three road wins, they usually win by seven or more points.


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November 25, 2023, 11:07:33 PM
 #467

Black Friday had only one game between Miami and the New York Jets.
Tua and the Dolphins controlled the match from beginning to the end winning with a dominating score of 34-13.

Atleast tomorrow we get back into the swing of things with the regular scheduled games on the weekend again.
So we have more variety to choose from on what to place our bets on for props.
Looking at the NCAAF games to put a wager on tonight before the Sunday games for tomorrow begin:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/usa/nfl/matches

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November 26, 2023, 11:52:58 PM
Last edit: November 27, 2023, 01:02:06 AM by rdbase
 #468

CJ Stroud and the Texans almost pulled off the late comeback against the hot Jaguars but doinked the field goal off the crossbar that would of sent the game into overtime.

Looking forward to the LA Chargers going against the Baltimore Ravens for tonight's last game of the Sunday matches.
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/los-angeles-chargers-v-baltimore-ravens-6553d53234ce9a0001161335

The divisions are starting to shape out now for the NFL playoff picture.

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November 27, 2023, 12:03:03 AM
 #469

CJ Stroud and the Texans almost pulled off the late comeback against the hot Jaguars but doinked the field goal off the crossbar that would of sent the game into overtime.

Looking forward to the LA Chargers going against the Baltimore Ravens for tonight's last game of the Sunday matches.

The divisions are starting to shape out now for the NFL post season.
I'm lucky I skipped out on that division match because I would've backed the Texans when they were on the rise these past few weeks.

The odds providers are really giving respect to the Chargers today and i'm guessing it's due to the close loss they've had against the Lions the other week. I won't fall for their bait and will buy a point on the Ravens to push the handicap down to -2.5 in case it becomes a competitive match.


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November 28, 2023, 12:09:04 AM
Last edit: November 28, 2023, 02:33:42 AM by morvillz7z
 #470

I'm on the Vikings to cover the spread and make history. Important game for them nonetheless currently sitting 6th in the NFC. Can't see them top Detroit in the division but easy enough schedule (post their bye week with Justin Jefferson back in the squad) to make the playoffs.

source: https://www.espn.com/sports-betting/story/_/id/38990713/nfl-favorites-need-vikings-cover-historic-winning-week
Quote
Favorites have covered the spread in 12 of 15 games in Week 12, tying the record for most in a single week (Week 12 of 2017) in the Super Bowl era. According to ESPN Stats & Information, there has never been a week in the Super Bowl era in which favorites covered the spread in 13 games.

I'm also on DJ Moore, Hockenson, and Addison's alt rec lines to spice things up, they should dominate the receiving game and all get showered with targets.

edit; sighh, what a slugfest of a first-half


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November 28, 2023, 12:40:37 AM
 #471

The SNF match yesterday was surprisingly close in the last quarter. Even with those several turnovers from the Chargers, they somehow kept it close and forced OT. At least the Ravens didn't crumble, unlike the Bills. Tongue


I have the Vikings for today as well, but only the match-winner. I think it's a good recovery match for them after falling short against the Broncos on the road. The Vikings don't have the best record at home, so i'm not too confident, but hopefully, they can edge them out for the second time.



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November 28, 2023, 12:41:40 PM
 #472

The SNF match yesterday was surprisingly close in the last quarter. Even with those several turnovers from the Chargers, they somehow kept it close and forced OT. At least the Ravens didn't crumble, unlike the Bills.


I have the Vikings for today as well, but only the match-winner. I think it's a good recovery match for them after falling short against the Broncos on the road. The Vikings don't have the best record at home, so i'm not too confident, but hopefully, they can edge them out for the second time.


Watched the end of the SNF match and those Bills are real chokers. Ravens held strong to win it 20-10.
The Vikings on the other hand blew it last night for the MNF match losing to the Bears 12-10.
Not sure how they managed to lose as Jefferson was back in the lineup for last nights game.
Glad I missed it because from the score line it seemed like a boring match with only a couple of TDs.

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November 29, 2023, 01:23:33 AM
 #473

The Vikings on the other hand blew it last night for the MNF match losing to the Bears 12-10.
Not sure how they managed to lose as Jefferson was back in the lineup for last nights game.
Glad I missed it because from the score line it seemed like a boring match with only a couple of TDs.
True, the game was so slow and ugly that it started to become a defensive game. It's always a quick punt, and it's frustrating to watch the Vikings' offense because whenever Dobbs throws the ball, there's always a bigger chance that it'll get caught by the Bears' defense for an interception. The Bears had their fair share of turnovers as well, but it didn't have a big impact since the Vikings were consistently struggling to get 10 yards.

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November 30, 2023, 12:09:26 PM
 #474

Let's hope the matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and Seattle Seahawks isn't the same in the scoring department for tonight's game.

The Cowboys are the heavy favorites with their record and having home field advantage. But can you really count out Geno Smith in this one? Maybe the handicap is at play for this TNF clash:

Here are the markets:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/dallas-cowboys-v-seattle-seahawks-655cfa6a34ce9a0001128ede

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November 30, 2023, 04:01:27 PM
 #475

Let's hope the matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and Seattle Seahawks isn't the same in the scoring department for tonight's game.

The Cowboys are the heavy favorites with their record and having home field advantage. But can you really count out Geno Smith in this one? Maybe the handicap is at play for this TNF clash:

Here are the markets:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/dallas-cowboys-v-seattle-seahawks-655cfa6a34ce9a0001128ede

cowboys have allowed only 60 points this season in their 5 games at home
Seattle away arent a scoring maching either so i think seattle team total under 18.5 points might be a good play Smiley

Dont like betting big handicaps favorites on TNF but the recent form of both these teams does not give any confidence to bet any line in favor of seattle
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December 01, 2023, 12:34:39 AM
 #476

cowboys have allowed only 60 points this season in their 5 games at home
Seattle away arent a scoring maching either so i think seattle team total under 18.5 points might be a good play Smiley
That and the Cowboys team total over 28.5 points is the solid play for this week's TNF. I still think the Cowboys will steamroll the Seahawks and win by a lot, but i'd take the less sweaty alternative.

They haven't gone below 30 points at home and looking at the Seahawks' road results, they'd probably let the Cowboys hit the over when they allowed other teams like the Ravens and Lions that many points.


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December 03, 2023, 03:17:24 AM
 #477

cowboys have allowed only 60 points this season in their 5 games at home
Seattle away arent a scoring maching either so i think seattle team total under 18.5 points might be a good play Smiley
That and the Cowboys team total over 28.5 points is the solid play for this week's TNF. I still think the Cowboys will steamroll the Seahawks and win by a lot, but i'd take the less sweaty alternative.

They haven't gone below 30 points at home and looking at the Seahawks' road results, they'd probably let the Cowboys hit the over when they allowed other teams like the Ravens and Lions that many points.


Good call to both of you on that matches scoreline. The Cowboys won the game in the end but it didn't look that way at the beginning. The Seahawks were just like a pest in their rearends for most of the match until the end 41-35.
High scoring as it ended well over 57.5 points if you had them to cover the spread.

Tomorrow's matches are looking like this:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/usa/nfl/matches

Houston and Detroit being the heavy favorites for the early matches.
The matchup to look out for are the Eagles going against the 49ers for the later one.

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December 03, 2023, 07:57:19 AM
 #478

Let's hope the matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and Seattle Seahawks isn't the same in the scoring department for tonight's game.

The Cowboys are the heavy favorites with their record and having home field advantage. But can you really count out Geno Smith in this one? Maybe the handicap is at play for this TNF clash:

Here are the markets:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/dallas-cowboys-v-seattle-seahawks-655cfa6a34ce9a0001128ede

Hehehe Geno Smith is one of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL. He is also not the Seahawks' real QB1, he was only a reserve quarterback. It was Russell Wilson who was their real QB1, however, he was traded to the Broncos and the Seahawks had no other choice but Geno.

I am quite certain the Seahawks will draft a quarterback for their first pick next year.

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December 04, 2023, 11:21:30 PM
 #479

The Chiefs' road loss yesterday against the Packers was surprising as their offense and defense underperformed. I thought it'd be similar to the Raiders match, where they start slow and then turn it up in the second half, but it never happened. The Packers played well and abused the Chiefs' defense that couldn't stop any of their plays.

In today's MNF, i'll be testing my luck on this betbuilder, and I took some of the lowest numbers I could find to boost the odds above even because i'm struggling to find a decent single bet to take for the match.


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December 04, 2023, 11:30:01 PM
Last edit: December 05, 2023, 01:16:13 AM by rdbase
 #480

The Chiefs' road loss yesterday against the Packers was surprising as their offense and defense underperformed. I thought it'd be similar to the Raiders match, where they start slow and then turn it up in the second half, but it never happened. The Packers played well and abused the Chiefs' defense that couldn't stop any of their plays.

In today's MNF, i'll be testing my luck on this betbuilder, and I took some of the lowest numbers I could find to boost the odds above even because i'm struggling to find a decent single bet to take for the match.


Had 49ers to win that game yesterday when they were comeback in the 2nd quarter. They were 1.41x odds prematch and had them at 1.85x at that time. But as you mentioned they lost the game against the Eagles.

Tonight's matchup looks like a good one with Jacksonville against Cincinnati for this MNF game:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/jacksonville-jaguars-v-cincinnati-bengals-655cfa6a1650fc0001e3b422

Jaguars are the heavy favorites @1.22x with Trevor Lawrence at the helm .


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