NFL Sportsbet.io discussion & predications thread rev

[ChiBitCTy]

Do not know anybody who had Drew Lock and the Seahawks to win that game especially after the announcement of Geno Smith being out of the game.
The face of Jalen when the camera panned over to him with around a minute left sitting on the sidelines told the entire story: "It Hurts so much!"

We have some good matches coming up for the week with the playoff picture smoothing out a bit more.

Geno has really been overrated IMO.  I knew that last year was mainly a fluke.  Don't get me wrong he's a good player, but he's not a star.

Some great matchups this week.  I will reevaluate these as the week goes on, but as of right now here's my top picks..

Colts +1 versus Falcons  Aruther Smith is a JOKE , losing to Carolina last week.  Even if Pittman is out, ATL is a joke
Lions -3.5 versus Vikings
Browns -2.5 versus Texans  Now if Nico and Stroud play, I'd swap this bet.  But no Stroud I'm smashing the Browns at -2.5


Not much else I like spread wise.

[1715357914]

1715357914

[bbc.reporter]

@ChiBitCTy. Agreed on the Browns and the Colts, however, not on the Vikings especially now Justin Jefferson is healthy. He and Addison will be difficult to defend for the Lions and the spread on +3.5 might be enough to win a bet. They are also playing in their home stadium.

On the the Patriots vs. the Broncos, what does everyone think of +6.5 for the Patriots? The Broncos cannot score +6 vs. the Patriots, I reckon.

Also the Chiefs -10 in Kansas against the Raiders might cover, I reckon.

[rdbase]

Tonight we have Thursday Night Football with the heavy favorites Los Angeles Rams going up against the New Orleans Saints.
Rams are in the hunt to make it to the post season, and with this win they should punch their ticket.

Here are the markets for the TNF starting in around an hour and a half in L.A:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/los-angeles-rams-v-new-orleans-saints-6578cf38b14b99000195cfe9

Looking at the line for player props with Kupp to record a touchdown since he scored one in his last three games played.
Stafford going over on passing and having three TD looks doable for this hot streaking wins team.

[ralle14]

On the the Patriots vs. the Broncos, what does everyone think of +6.5 for the Patriots? The Broncos cannot score +6 vs. the Patriots, I reckon.

Also the Chiefs -10 in Kansas against the Raiders might cover, I reckon.

The weather might cause some issues for the Broncos, but I still like the -6.5 if it stays that way until the weekend.

Between the Chiefs and Raiders spread, I would take the Chiefs -10 and maybe buy it down to -9.5 because they already won by 11 in their previous meeting.

After a quick check between the Rams and Raiders, the Rams spread felt like it should be slightly higher, as they've been beating a few good teams, while their only recent loss came from one of the best teams in the league.

If it's this close, maybe the Raiders will pull something unexpected to cover the spread.

[rdbase]

Congratulations on another solid win there @ralle14 !
Rams with Stafford at the helm won against the Saints 30-22 and covered your handicap bet easily.
Their push into the playoffs are complete according to the Rams QB in a press interview where he commend his teammates for getting them there.

Today we have two match-ups between the Bengals and the Steelers in about 45 minutes then a few hours later the Chargers and the Bills get into their match.

Here are those markets in this NFL Saturday night of football:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/pittsburgh-steelers-v-cincinnati-bengals-657f969c0e460c00011b22aa
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/los-angeles-chargers-v-buffalo-bills-657fd4adaafd2b00011a1cd1

[ralle14]

Congratulations on another solid win there @ralle14 !
Rams with Stafford at the helm won against the Saints 30-22 and covered your handicap bet easily.
Their push into the playoffs are complete according to the Rams QB in a press interview where he commend his teammates for getting them there.

Thanks. I almost thought the Raiders would be the ones covering the spread after the Rams missed an FG in the second quarter, but they're quick to score in the final few minutes to extend the lead by double digits and held long enough in the second half.

I'll keep it simple today and take the Bengals because even without Burrow, they're still doing well with their backup QB and beating decent teams like the Jags and Colts.



Edit: Okay my bet is dead the Bengals can't score lol.

[wheelz1200]

@ChiBitCTy. Agreed on the Browns and the Colts, however, not on the Vikings especially now Justin Jefferson is healthy. He and Addison will be difficult to defend for the Lions and the spread on +3.5 might be enough to win a bet. They are also playing in their home stadium.

On the the Patriots vs. the Broncos, what does everyone think of +6.5 for the Patriots? The Broncos cannot score +6 vs. the Patriots, I reckon.

Also the Chiefs -10 in Kansas against the Raiders might cover, I reckon.

I can't bet on the Patriots this year.  Their defense is amazing but it's questionable every game if they are even going to score.  Theor offense is atrocious.  At less than a touchdown speed I think I'm laying in on the Broncos.  They are fighting for playoff position so they shoukd come out firing.  Can see this end up like 23-6 type of game.

[bbc.reporter]

@wheelz1200. On your argument that the Broncos might win because they are fighting for a wildcard position, do you think something similar can used as an argument for the Colts? I might change my mind on them. The Falcons is not a very good team and I only saw now that the Colts need to win their next game to maintain their wildcard postion hehehe.

[rdbase]

Some huge games today with massive play-off implications. So it is a great day to be watching some NFL!

Here is mine I put in just before they begin:


A total of 10 games on today so here are those matches markets:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/usa/nfl/matches

Don't forget there are some matches being played tomorrow on Christmas day too!
Have fun watching the games as I will be all during these three days of the official start of the holiday season!

[wheelz1200]

@wheelz1200. On your argument that the Broncos might win because they are fighting for a wildcard position, do you think something similar can used as an argument for the Colts? I might change my mind on them. The Falcons is not a very good team and I only saw now that the Colts need to win their next game to maintain their wildcard postion hehehe.

It's not the sole factor I would lean on but I don't think the Pats have anything to play for whereas Broncos do.  In the other game ypu are talking about both are fighting for playoffs so its gonna be a good game.  It's 7-7 now and expect a tight game all the way through.  I do like the colts in this one even without Pittman. Shame because he was really turning it on and becoming a superstar.

[ralle14]

It's nothing but the favorites that are hitting today and got to cash this three-legged earlier(each leg was around 1.60+).  



The Vikings got me sweating when they started marching in the last two minutes of the game, but the Lions' defense sealed the win with a turnover.

I'm still waiting for this parlay i've placed earlier since i'm still on the Broncos, but unsure about them covering the spread now that it moved up by a point.

[rdbase]

Yeah @ralle14 even that Miami Dolphins win was making bettors sweat. It was a field goal fest which kept that score lower than what even bookies thought it would be below 48 pts.

Last match of Sunday Night Football is a team which I don't usually bet on with Wilson at the helm of the Broncos. You got to back the home team here because the Patriots are just so bad with Zappe as their quarterback which does nothing.
I expect Broncos to cover the handicap -7.5 pts and outscore the Patriots all day up and down the field this evening.

Taking the Denver ML @1.28x doesn't do anyone any favors on their betslips.
So here are the markets right before the match starts for you to make your own decisions on what is the right play:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/denver-broncos-v-new-england-patriots-6578d2bc86ef1700010383a0

Best of luck to all and Happy holidays!

[ralle14]

It would have been a perfect day if it weren't for the Broncos failing to stop the Patriots from reaching the FG range. 

And what a surprise from the Chiefs earlier as the next upset came from their match and i'm glad I missed it because i'd most likely add Chiefs ML in one of my parlays.

I've placed my bet on the Ravens to cover against the Niners (with a nice super boost) since the additional points felt too high on the Ravens' side, and all three of their losses have been within a TD or FG.

[bbc.reporter]

@ralle14. That is a good bet. The 0.5 appears not be needed, however, if the game ends on something similar to a 31-24 scoreline, you would thank yourself for paying for the 0.5.

In any case, Lamar Jackson created an impossible run and got a 1st down after a 31 yard carry. The 49ers fans are boiling hot on this cold night hehehehee.

[ralle14]

@ralle14. That is a good bet. The 0.5 appears not be needed, however, if the game ends on something similar to a 31-24 scoreline, you would thank yourself for paying for the 0.5.

In any case, Lamar Jackson created an impossible run and got a 1st down after a 31 yard carry. The 49ers fans are boiling hot on this cold night hehehehee.

There's still one quarter left, but the Ravens should close this one out with a win as they're now up by double digits and Purdy is having a bad day with his four interceptions against the Ravens defense.

Initially, I was expecting the worst for them, and i'm glad they got to pull away after getting 17 points in the third.

[bbc.reporter]

@ralle14. Agreed and this game might decide who will be the regular season MVP similar to what I have already mentioned in the original NFL thread. This did not get much reaction from the fans there, however.

I reckon much of all the NFL fans want Brock Purdy or Christian McCaffery to be voted as MVP. If a Christmas miracle occurs and the 49ers win this game, there might be a chance but Purdy needs to be on the field.

[rdbase]

@ralle14
Congrats on the win with the Ravens making it look as if the match was no sweat against the 49ers.
Watched the first half of the game and Purdy didn't look like his usual self and had fumbles and a three inceptions which never happened to him before and I think the announcer mentioned not even in his college years in any first half.

Very true @bbc.reporter !
Christian McCaffery even though the game was a big loss for his team, he still performed outstanding and should still be considered MVP of the season. It shouldn't matter if the team he's on is on the losing end of the stick.
Had him for getting over 5.5 passing receptions @4.04x on my NFL acca and he got that easily.
Just too bad there were many upsets that day with 1.3x odd teams getting beat.

[rdbase]

Today we have a good match-up between the Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets for our Thursday Night Football!

The Browns are heavy favorites with a N.Y Jets team who says Aaron Rodgers will not return for the remainder of the season so they are still relying on another quaterback Siemian since Wilson is in concussion protocol.
source: https://www.nfl.com/news/jets-qb-aaron-rodgers-says-it-wasn-t-his-idea-to-be-activated

There seems to be always some sort of controversary with this guy, whether that be on or off the field.
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/aaron-rodgers-injury-update-jets-qb-practicing-with-team-robert-saleh-says-veteran-looks-normal-to-me
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/39188039/jets-aaron-rodgers-rips-critics-not-my-idea-activated

Here are the markets for the event tonight:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/cleveland-browns-v-new-york-jets-6581ec7eb14b9900013017b4

[ralle14]

The best play for today's TNF would be on the Browns because of their playoff situation, but something feels off when most bettors are expecting the Browns to win by 7 or more.

The under would've been a solid pick against these two good defensive teams, but the over has been hitting more than usual and will probably continue until the final week.

That said, i've come up with this bet builder to bet on the INT prop and added an alternative over to get the plus odds.

@ralle14
Congrats on the win with the Ravens making it look as if the match was no sweat against the 49ers.

Thanks and I wish we get to have more of these sweat-free wins.  

Edit: Nice, the betbuilder hits in the second quarter as Flacco got his INT and the total is already at 40+ points.

[rdbase]

^^
Great prediction on that betbuilder and you have some guts made of steel to take the interception as I always pass by this prop from hitting in an NFL game. Flacco was on a roll and especially with a team like the Browns being 7-1 at home before yesterday match. They were running on a high this night.

Watched bits and pieces of the game as Cleveland had this game won by the first half. As you have already mentioned with the second half only having a single field goal split between both teams to show for their efforts.

Tonight we have only games in the NCAA with some high profile teams playing.
Here are those markets if you plan on betting on the favorites and the over as these games are really fast paced:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/usa/ncaa-regular/matches

Next match in the NFL is on Saturday in the evening with the Cowboys going against the Lions:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/dallas-cowboys-v-detroit-lions-6584249226cfeb0001a030e2

Dallas is in poor form and hopefully the Lions can capitalize on this and come away with a win being 11-4 so far on the season.