Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress]

[montaga]

None of the Russian diesel unloaded and  the last one heading for US port. Only expenses for taxpayers with no result.
"The art of the deal" 📉


Meantime in Baltic sea the largest export facility in St. Petersburg (Ust-Luga) has damage again.
Russia managed to shoot down its most advanced attack helicopter the Ka-52, in total 3 helicopter went down

Negotiation are over, Russia offered to protect Europe from Russia.

[DaRude]

September 2, 2025-Putin says Russia doesn't oppose Ukraine joining the EU

"You go around and you realise that, in many countries, politicians don't expect Ukraine to join in 10 years," said Gerald Knaus, chairman of the European Stability Initiative think tank.
But any message that the EU is not serious about Ukraine's accession could have a demoralising effect on the country "that nobody in Europe wants to see," said Knaus, an EU accession expert.
...
Only 47% of EU residents say Ukraine should join in the coming years, down from 69% in March 2022, according to a survey published in October by Bertelsmann Stiftung, a German political foundation.
In France and Poland, 57% of those polled opposed Ukrainian membership in the coming years. In Germany, the figure was 59%.
...
The United States is opposed to Ukraine joining NATO, so EU membership may be Kyiv's best hope of claiming a geopolitical victory when the war ends, political analysts say.
...
"If Ukraine joined the European Union, we would be the first losers, doubly so," Le Pen posted on X, saying France would face "fierce unfair competition" and a cut to its share of EU farm subsidies.

The Alternative for Germany, which leads opinion polls in Europe's biggest country, submitted a motion to parliament in September urging the government to rule out Ukraine's EU accession.
...
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has ​proposed giving Ukraine a new status of "associate member" to allow Ukrainian officials to take part in EU summits ​and ministerial meetings but not vote.

They're doing a terrible job at even attempting to keep the Ukrainian hopes up

[paxmao]

September 2, 2025-Putin says Russia doesn't oppose Ukraine joining the EU

"You go around and you realise that, in many countries, politicians don't expect Ukraine to join in 10 years," said Gerald Knaus, chairman of the European Stability Initiative think tank.
But any message that the EU is not serious about Ukraine's accession could have a demoralising effect on the country "that nobody in Europe wants to see," said Knaus, an EU accession expert.
...
Only 47% of EU residents say Ukraine should join in the coming years, down from 69% in March 2022, according to a survey published in October by Bertelsmann Stiftung, a German political foundation.
In France and Poland, 57% of those polled opposed Ukrainian membership in the coming years. In Germany, the figure was 59%.
...
The United States is opposed to Ukraine joining NATO, so EU membership may be Kyiv's best hope of claiming a geopolitical victory when the war ends, political analysts say.
...
"If Ukraine joined the European Union, we would be the first losers, doubly so," Le Pen posted on X, saying France would face "fierce unfair competition" and a cut to its share of EU farm subsidies.

The Alternative for Germany, which leads opinion polls in Europe's biggest country, submitted a motion to parliament in September urging the government to rule out Ukraine's EU accession.
...
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has ​proposed giving Ukraine a new status of "associate member" to allow Ukrainian officials to take part in EU summits ​and ministerial meetings but not vote.

They're doing a terrible job at even attempting to keep the Ukrainian hopes up

Of course, the best job is currently done in the frontline.... and in the middle range... and at the back in the oil industry of Ruzzia... Well, I think that Ukraine is keeping their own hopes quite well.

How much territorial loss would you say is getting Ruzzia last couple of months? Or if you want to use Ruzzian propaganda terms..."how much negative progression"?

1- Missiles fly both directions, refineries in Russia cannot operate and mid-range strikes have stopped any Russian advance.
2- Russia still has nukes, which are useless in an territorial conquest offensive war.
3- Trump is "temporary", Hegset is very "temporary".
4- Dems and Reps are not the same and nothing is the same as the Orange Clown.
5-  Corruption wise, there is zero chance of correcting corruption if Ruzzia takes over a territory. Russia brutally corrupt regime.

The "destruction" has changed. Now it is blow for blow and fronts are not going well for Ruzzia. No the same it is no.

I was thinking of answering you point by point. But that benefits nobody. Much of the time the pax, as in paxmao, often means 'peace'. And everybody knows that the mao often stands for Mao Zedong.

[...]

BA, thinking is not your strength, you are going to hurt you neuron (singular).  BA stands for dumBAss... that is actually something everyone here knows.

[DaRude]

September 2, 2025-Putin says Russia doesn't oppose Ukraine joining the EU

"You go around and you realise that, in many countries, politicians don't expect Ukraine to join in 10 years," said Gerald Knaus, chairman of the European Stability Initiative think tank.
But any message that the EU is not serious about Ukraine's accession could have a demoralising effect on the country "that nobody in Europe wants to see," said Knaus, an EU accession expert.
...
Only 47% of EU residents say Ukraine should join in the coming years, down from 69% in March 2022, according to a survey published in October by Bertelsmann Stiftung, a German political foundation.
In France and Poland, 57% of those polled opposed Ukrainian membership in the coming years. In Germany, the figure was 59%.
...
The United States is opposed to Ukraine joining NATO, so EU membership may be Kyiv's best hope of claiming a geopolitical victory when the war ends, political analysts say.
...
"If Ukraine joined the European Union, we would be the first losers, doubly so," Le Pen posted on X, saying France would face "fierce unfair competition" and a cut to its share of EU farm subsidies.

The Alternative for Germany, which leads opinion polls in Europe's biggest country, submitted a motion to parliament in September urging the government to rule out Ukraine's EU accession.
...
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has ​proposed giving Ukraine a new status of "associate member" to allow Ukrainian officials to take part in EU summits ​and ministerial meetings but not vote.

They're doing a terrible job at even attempting to keep the Ukrainian hopes up

Of course, the best job is currently done in the frontline.... and in the middle range... and at the back in the oil industry of Ruzzia... Well, I think that Ukraine is keeping their own hopes quite well.

How much territorial loss would you say is getting Ruzzia last couple of months? Or if you want to use Ruzzian propaganda terms..."how much negative progression"?
...

You keep alluding to this overall Russia territorial loss, is it in the room with you right now? Can you point your finger at it? We already played that game, you asked Mostly on the offensive. What do you think about something called operation Vivaldi? Do you think that there may be something similar happening right now in a different direction? To which i replied with

Oct. 26, 2026, update:  Based on data from Ukraine’s DeepState OSINT group, in the past four weeks (Sept. 29–Oct. 26, 2026), Russia gained a net of 18 square miles of Ukrainian territory (about 4/5th the area of Manhattan Island). In comparison, during the previous four-week period (Sept. 1–29, 2026), Russia lost a net of 18 square miles of Ukraine’s territory, according to DeepState’s data.

But you ignore anything that doesn't fit your narrative and just continue parroting the same thing. So all I can do is just cite the latest info from the Ukrainian biased source, but something telling me that you wouldn't like it either and will probably just ignore it again Nov. 3, 2026, update: Based on data from Ukraine’s DeepState OSINT group, in the past four weeks (Oct. 6–Nov. 3, 2026), Russia gained a net of 20 square miles of Ukrainian territory

Might as well ask me about some Ukrainian Mars colonization attempt that's supposedly happening, and expect me to find any truth to your own uncited claims. Both sides seemed to have considerably slowed down for the winter, sure, there are some localized Ukrainian offensives but overall Russia is still slowly grinding through Ukraine in a war of attrition.

It's interesting to see you admit that Ukraine does not have much industry left. Do you still think it was worth it for Ukraine to ruin stability and peace Ukraine had in 2013 just to essentially become a military test range for NATO to launch attacks on Russia?

Both sides have near parity in FPV attack drones, but Russia has more artillery and on top of that launches about 283 glide bombs at Ukraine DAILY! Ukraine faces a shortage of troops to relieve tired fighters at the front The loss of life on both sides will be truly horrendous once revealed.

Multiply that by 283 and you have an average day in August 2026. Multiply it by 8,766 and you have the whole month — the highest monthly glide-bomb total anyone has recorded since February 2022, according to Ukrainian General Staff figures compiled by the OSINT project Oko Hora and first reported by Defence Blog on 10 September.

[BADecker]

~

1- Missiles fly both directions, refineries in Russia cannot operate and mid-range strikes have stopped any Russian advance.
2- Russia still has nukes, which are useless in an territorial conquest offensive war.
3- Trump is "temporary", Hegset is very "temporary".
4- Dems and Reps are not the same and nothing is the same as the Orange Clown.
5-  Corruption wise, there is zero chance of correcting corruption if Ruzzia takes over a territory. Russia brutally corrupt regime.

The "destruction" has changed. Now it is blow for blow and fronts are not going well for Ruzzia. No the same it is no.

I was thinking of answering you point by point. But that benefits nobody. Much of the time the pax, as in paxmao, often means 'peace'. And everybody knows that the mao often stands for Mao Zedong.

[...]

BA, thinking is not your strength, you are going to hurt you neuron (singular).  BA stands for dumBAss... that is actually something everyone here knows.

Well, well, well! So, you agree that you are looking for peace through Mao Zedong. Lol.

However, that doesn't have anything to do with the Russia Ukraine battles.

If Putin really wanted to do something BIG, there are loads of things he can do. One easy one would be to make a signup page for anybody from the whole world, that if they wanted to join the Russian military to fight in Ukraine, they would get (following the war) 100 (500, 1000) acres of land in New Russia (formerly Ukraine).

There would be so many mercenaries who would sign up, that it would be like Genghis Khan's Mongolian hordes. They would run right over Europe, and New Russia would become way bigger than simple, little Ukraine. Many of these mercenaries would be coming from western European countries, and from NATO, itself.

The website, Times of India, seems to be a somewhat anti-US website. Yet, they are full of videos that show how the West and Ukraine are failing right now.

Wake up, Mr. Chinese guy. You are a has-been in the new world order.

[paxmao]

[...]

How much territorial loss would you say is getting Ruzzia last couple of months? Or if you want to use Ruzzian propaganda terms..."how much negative progression"?
...

You keep alluding to this overall Russia territorial loss, is it in the room with you right now? Can you point your finger at it? We already played that game, you asked Mostly on the offensive. What do you think about something called operation Vivaldi? Do you think that there may be something similar happening right now in a different direction? To which i replied with

Oct. 26, 2026, update:  Based on data from Ukraine’s DeepState OSINT group, in the past four weeks (Sept. 29–Oct. 26, 2026), Russia gained a net of 18 square miles of Ukrainian territory (about 4/5th the area of Manhattan Island). In comparison, during the previous four-week period (Sept. 1–29, 2026), Russia lost a net of 18 square miles of Ukraine’s territory, according to DeepState’s data.
[...]

Both sides have near parity in FPV attack drones, but Russia has more artillery and on top of that launches about 283 glide bombs at Ukraine DAILY!

So that is your number, last 4 weeks (to Oct 29th) 18 square miles? Is that mostly on the offensive? Like 2000+ dead Ruzziks for that?

Ok, so you give the same probably of a Mars settlement and an ongoing offensive that you may not be aware of.

I am asking because Deep State will update only when allowed to do so. They keep operational silence when required and it helps a lot catching Ruzzis unaware. Last time they captured the Ruzzian drone operators, because nobody told them to leave  

However the ISW does not care that much and it says "negative progression" all over.
https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-1-2026/

Russian forces continue to sustain significant personnel losses while losing ground, and Russia’s current force generation system continues to recruit fewer soldiers than needed to replace these losses.[3]

Russian casualty rates and territorial losses match the battlefield reality that Russian forces have lost the initiative and their offensive capabilities in much of the theater. Russian forces retain the initiative in the immediate area of Dobropillya, Donetsk Oblast, where they have concentrated the bulk of their offensive operations. But Ukrainian forces have seized the initiative in the Kupyansk, Lyman, and Oleksandrivka directions and are contesting it in western Zaporizhia Oblast.

Re artillery, sure... it is just a question of getting it anywere without being droned. As of today, it is certain that Ukraine has the advantage in drone warfare.

Yep, there are glide bombs, that may be reduced drastically if Ukraine gets Gripen + Meteor, which is becoming more and more likely.

I am just watching a few videos of Ust-luga oil depots and port burning. Sorry if my answer is short, I am just going for pop-corn for this one.

[hostm]

Uncle Sam is a great pragmatist.

They are preparing a contingent to restore order. In the future, they plan to organize coups d'etat in weak countries, and then introduce Ukrainian militants there. The Middle East and Africa - right now, they are gradually failing in those regions.

But first they will try to destroy as many Russians as possible. History repeats itself, time and again.

[montaga]

15 km (9 mi) to revisit Bakhmut.
Russian colonel blown up in his car in Saint Petersburg, maybe he had some help?
Omsk (the largest) oil refinery 🔥 It produces gasoline, diesel and kerosene

Wild times
https://x.com/Euan_MacDonald/status/2120807435011080273/video/1

[DaRude]

[...]

How much territorial loss would you say is getting Ruzzia last couple of months? Or if you want to use Ruzzian propaganda terms..."how much negative progression"?
...

You keep alluding to this overall Russia territorial loss, is it in the room with you right now? Can you point your finger at it? We already played that game, you asked Mostly on the offensive. What do you think about something called operation Vivaldi? Do you think that there may be something similar happening right now in a different direction? To which i replied with

Oct. 26, 2026, update:  Based on data from Ukraine’s DeepState OSINT group, in the past four weeks (Sept. 29–Oct. 26, 2026), Russia gained a net of 18 square miles of Ukrainian territory (about 4/5th the area of Manhattan Island). In comparison, during the previous four-week period (Sept. 1–29, 2026), Russia lost a net of 18 square miles of Ukraine’s territory, according to DeepState’s data.
[...]

Both sides have near parity in FPV attack drones, but Russia has more artillery and on top of that launches about 283 glide bombs at Ukraine DAILY!

So that is your number, last 4 weeks (to Oct 29th) 18 square miles? Is that mostly on the offensive? Like 2000+ dead Ruzziks for that?

Ok, so you give the same probably of a Mars settlement and an ongoing offensive that you may not be aware of.

I am asking because Deep State will update only when allowed to do so. They keep operational silence when required and it helps a lot catching Ruzzis unaware. Last time they captured the Ruzzian drone operators, because nobody told them to leave  

However the ISW does not care that much and it says "negative progression" all over.
https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-1-2026/

Russian forces continue to sustain significant personnel losses while losing ground, and Russia’s current force generation system continues to recruit fewer soldiers than needed to replace these losses.[3]

Russian casualty rates and territorial losses match the battlefield reality that Russian forces have lost the initiative and their offensive capabilities in much of the theater. Russian forces retain the initiative in the immediate area of Dobropillya, Donetsk Oblast, where they have concentrated the bulk of their offensive operations. But Ukrainian forces have seized the initiative in the Kupyansk, Lyman, and Oleksandrivka directions and are contesting it in western Zaporizhia Oblast.

Re artillery, sure... it is just a question of getting it anywere without being droned. As of today, it is certain that Ukraine has the advantage in drone warfare.

Yep, there are glide bombs, that may be reduced drastically if Ukraine gets Gripen + Meteor, which is becoming more and more likely.

I am just watching a few videos of Ust-luga oil depots and port burning. Sorry if my answer is short, I am just going for pop-corn for this one.

Yes any overall gained territory by definition means that the side is mostly on offensive. You seemed to be utterly confused, or just playing dumb as usual, to how war of attrition is fought Attrition warfare is a form of military strategy in which one side attempts to gradually wear down its opponent to the point of collapse by inflicting continuous losses in personnel, materiel, and morale. educate yourself and let us know how much territorial gains are important to the attrition warfare

"Might as well ask me about some..." != "you give the same probably" stop acting stupid

If now you don't even trust Ukrainian biased sources, the next step is to enter troll montaga's feel good echo chamber, but be careful, if you close your ears, reality will still catch up but it'll just be sudden and all at once

Right, something is coming really really soon that will surely change the dynamic to Ukraine's favor, any minute now. You've been saying that for almost 5 years now, remember switchblades, how did that turn out? HIMARS, Challenger, Abrams, Leopards, M777, ATACMS, F16, Stormshadow etc etc etc...  I'd rather stick to factual reality. Once this ends and the real Ukrainian losses are released don't forget to act surprised at what 8.766 glide bombs a month have been doing to Ukraine's military

[paxmao]

[...]

How much territorial loss would you say is getting Ruzzia last couple of months? Or if you want to use Ruzzian propaganda terms..."how much negative progression"?
...

You keep alluding to this overall Russia territorial loss, is it in the room with you right now? Can you point your finger at it? We already played that game, you asked Mostly on the offensive. What do you think about something called operation Vivaldi? Do you think that there may be something similar happening right now in a different direction? To which i replied with

Oct. 26, 2026, update:  Based on data from Ukraine’s DeepState OSINT group, in the past four weeks (Sept. 29–Oct. 26, 2026), Russia gained a net of 18 square miles of Ukrainian territory (about 4/5th the area of Manhattan Island). In comparison, during the previous four-week period (Sept. 1–29, 2026), Russia lost a net of 18 square miles of Ukraine’s territory, according to DeepState’s data.
[...]

Both sides have near parity in FPV attack drones, but Russia has more artillery and on top of that launches about 283 glide bombs at Ukraine DAILY!

So that is your number, last 4 weeks (to Oct 29th) 18 square miles? Is that mostly on the offensive? Like 2000+ dead Ruzziks for that?

Ok, so you give the same probably of a Mars settlement and an ongoing offensive that you may not be aware of.

I am asking because Deep State will update only when allowed to do so. They keep operational silence when required and it helps a lot catching Ruzzis unaware. Last time they captured the Ruzzian drone operators, because nobody told them to leave  

However the ISW does not care that much and it says "negative progression" all over.
https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-1-2026/

Russian forces continue to sustain significant personnel losses while losing ground, and Russia’s current force generation system continues to recruit fewer soldiers than needed to replace these losses.[3]

Russian casualty rates and territorial losses match the battlefield reality that Russian forces have lost the initiative and their offensive capabilities in much of the theater. Russian forces retain the initiative in the immediate area of Dobropillya, Donetsk Oblast, where they have concentrated the bulk of their offensive operations. But Ukrainian forces have seized the initiative in the Kupyansk, Lyman, and Oleksandrivka directions and are contesting it in western Zaporizhia Oblast.

Re artillery, sure... it is just a question of getting it anywere without being droned. As of today, it is certain that Ukraine has the advantage in drone warfare.

Yep, there are glide bombs, that may be reduced drastically if Ukraine gets Gripen + Meteor, which is becoming more and more likely.

I am just watching a few videos of Ust-luga oil depots and port burning. Sorry if my answer is short, I am just going for pop-corn for this one.

Yes any overall gained territory by definition means that the side is mostly on offensive. You seemed to be utterly confused, or just playing dumb as usual, to how war of attrition is fought Attrition warfare is a form of military strategy in which one side attempts to gradually wear down its opponent to the point of collapse by inflicting continuous losses in personnel, materiel, and morale. educate yourself and let us know how much territorial gains are important to the attrition warfare

"Might as well ask me about some..." != "you give the same probably" stop acting stupid

If now you don't even trust Ukrainian biased sources, the next step is to enter troll montaga's feel good echo chamber, but be careful, if you close your ears, reality will still catch up but it'll just be sudden and all at once

Right, something is coming really really soon that will surely change the dynamic to Ukraine's favor, any minute now. You've been saying that for almost 5 years now, remember switchblades, how did that turn out? I'd rather stick to factual reality. Once this ends and the real Ukrainian losses are released don't forget to act surprised at what 8.766 glide bombs a month have been doing to Ukraine's military

Thanks for your analysis and advice about me, but back to the topic: Deepstate updates are usually very delayed, ISW however shows "negative progression", in the sense that Ruzzia loses net controlled territory, and it matches reports even from Ruzzian vloggers. A dose of "copium" looks a lot like your comment, even if we take at face value your number it is frankly ridiculous to send thousands of Ruzzis to down drones with their bodies for such a ridiculous (dubious) gain.

Here, this guy is obviously US, but the sources are public and all over.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pz9tC--mpaM

450.000 offcially dead Ruzzian soldiers - this is dead and official, the number of injured, out of action and many not counted for are not included. Probably all that sums 3 times that.

On one day, 1st Nov, an estimate of 2500 ruzzis died. You can think of this as all people in a small town dying each week. I think someone must find a Putin-sized window and use it.

[DaRude]

[...]

How much territorial loss would you say is getting Ruzzia last couple of months? Or if you want to use Ruzzian propaganda terms..."how much negative progression"?
...

You keep alluding to this overall Russia territorial loss, is it in the room with you right now? Can you point your finger at it? We already played that game, you asked Mostly on the offensive. What do you think about something called operation Vivaldi? Do you think that there may be something similar happening right now in a different direction? To which i replied with

Oct. 26, 2026, update:  Based on data from Ukraine’s DeepState OSINT group, in the past four weeks (Sept. 29–Oct. 26, 2026), Russia gained a net of 18 square miles of Ukrainian territory (about 4/5th the area of Manhattan Island). In comparison, during the previous four-week period (Sept. 1–29, 2026), Russia lost a net of 18 square miles of Ukraine’s territory, according to DeepState’s data.
[...]

Both sides have near parity in FPV attack drones, but Russia has more artillery and on top of that launches about 283 glide bombs at Ukraine DAILY!

So that is your number, last 4 weeks (to Oct 29th) 18 square miles? Is that mostly on the offensive? Like 2000+ dead Ruzziks for that?

Ok, so you give the same probably of a Mars settlement and an ongoing offensive that you may not be aware of.

I am asking because Deep State will update only when allowed to do so. They keep operational silence when required and it helps a lot catching Ruzzis unaware. Last time they captured the Ruzzian drone operators, because nobody told them to leave  

However the ISW does not care that much and it says "negative progression" all over.
https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-1-2026/

Russian forces continue to sustain significant personnel losses while losing ground, and Russia’s current force generation system continues to recruit fewer soldiers than needed to replace these losses.[3]

Russian casualty rates and territorial losses match the battlefield reality that Russian forces have lost the initiative and their offensive capabilities in much of the theater. Russian forces retain the initiative in the immediate area of Dobropillya, Donetsk Oblast, where they have concentrated the bulk of their offensive operations. But Ukrainian forces have seized the initiative in the Kupyansk, Lyman, and Oleksandrivka directions and are contesting it in western Zaporizhia Oblast.

Re artillery, sure... it is just a question of getting it anywere without being droned. As of today, it is certain that Ukraine has the advantage in drone warfare.

Yep, there are glide bombs, that may be reduced drastically if Ukraine gets Gripen + Meteor, which is becoming more and more likely.

I am just watching a few videos of Ust-luga oil depots and port burning. Sorry if my answer is short, I am just going for pop-corn for this one.

Yes any overall gained territory by definition means that the side is mostly on offensive. You seemed to be utterly confused, or just playing dumb as usual, to how war of attrition is fought Attrition warfare is a form of military strategy in which one side attempts to gradually wear down its opponent to the point of collapse by inflicting continuous losses in personnel, materiel, and morale. educate yourself and let us know how much territorial gains are important to the attrition warfare

"Might as well ask me about some..." != "you give the same probably" stop acting stupid

If now you don't even trust Ukrainian biased sources, the next step is to enter troll montaga's feel good echo chamber, but be careful, if you close your ears, reality will still catch up but it'll just be sudden and all at once

Right, something is coming really really soon that will surely change the dynamic to Ukraine's favor, any minute now. You've been saying that for almost 5 years now, remember switchblades, how did that turn out? I'd rather stick to factual reality. Once this ends and the real Ukrainian losses are released don't forget to act surprised at what 8.766 glide bombs a month have been doing to Ukraine's military

Thanks for your analysis and advice about me, but back to the topic: Deepstate updates are usually very delayed, ISW however shows "negative progression", in the sense that Ruzzia loses net controlled territory, and it matches reports even from Ruzzian vloggers. A dose of "copium" looks a lot like your comment, even if we take at face value your number it is frankly ridiculous to send thousands of Ruzzis to down drones with their bodies for such a ridiculous (dubious) gain.

Here, this guy is obviously US, but the sources are public and all over.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pz9tC--mpaM

450.000 offcially dead Ruzzian soldiers - this is dead and official, the number of injured, out of action and many not counted for are not included. Probably all that sums 3 times that.

On one day, 1st Nov, an estimate of 2500 ruzzis died. You can think of this as all people in a small town dying each week. I think someone must find a Putin-sized window and use it.

How delayed are they? Is that Vivaldi offensive still ongoing or ended? When do you expect Deepstate to start reflecting the changes you speak of? But who are we kidding, you won't address any serious questions and will just post another youtube video or X post.

Russia is loosing 2500 dead a day but 2026 31 July-Zelenskyy: Ukraine has lost around 50,000 troops in the war right, just 6 months worth of glide bombs so Russia is loosing more per month than Ukraine for the whole war. Ukraine has nothing to worry and about to conquer Moscow any minute now, just need to find more souls who'd believe that nonsense for expedited busification to the front line. These claims are become so desperate and ridiculous that even the most hardcore Zelenskiy supporter must be questioning that something isn't right here


 

[Lucius]

~snip~
Russia is loosing 2500 dead a day....

You and your brainwashed comrades don't comment on the official data about 450 000 dead Russian soldiers that came from a Russian source + tens of thousands more who died from wounds? I understand that you are deeply in Tsar Putler's ass, but if you looked at how Russians are dying in Ukraine, then those numbers wouldn't be strange to you at all.

[paxmao]

~snip~
Russia is loosing 2500 dead a day....

You and your brainwashed comrades don't comment on the official data about 450 000 dead Russian soldiers that came from a Russian source + tens of thousands more who died from wounds? I understand that you are deeply in Tsar Putler's ass, but if you looked at how Russians are dying in Ukraine, then those numbers wouldn't be strange to you at all.

He knows.. but why bother about others dying when he and his trollmates can be making money out of it.

Interesting negotiations happened in Abu Dhabi. Ruzzia sent there a guy that tried to kill the Ukranian delegation using boredom as weapon. Also they invented a new way of negotiation, in which the other side gives you everything you want under the promise of "maybe talking after".

Dark humour apart, there is no intention of closing the war. The major obstacle at this point has a name and it is Putin. A change of government in Ruzzia would enable a window of opportunity. Yep, a window is the solution (pun intended).

Putin is still pretending to live in Soviet Times, only recognising the US as "equal" and Trump is fully into this narrative. This is not happening by chance. Russia has assessed Trump as a narcissist and this personality profile is easy to manipulate - precisely because recognising him and only him as equal reinforces Trump self-image.  The US delegation has basically two crooks as leaders, Europe is ignored - despite being clear that can and will finance the war as long as it takes...

The only way forward is a cease fire to allow for diplomacy, but that is not going to happen with Putin alive and Trump in the WH. Let's see which of these conditions changes first. Or better, let's see if both change.

https://www.politico.eu/article/why-the-us-wants-europe-at-ukraine-talks-next-time/

The official declarations would be hilarious if this were not all so sad.

“The reality is there’s no trust right now between the sides,” Donald Trump’s son-in-law and trusted envoy told POLITICO during a post-talks briefing. “There were some pretty tough discussions.”

The reality is that Ruzzia has sent a nobody to negotiate, whatever discussion were there are meaningless because the Ruzzian delegation has no power.

“We need to have the Europeans at the table,” Kushner said, answering a question from POLITICO at the briefing. “We have relayed to President Putin directly several times and to his team that the only way to get this done is to have them by our side, and I think they are receptive to it.”

Let's see what Trump thinks of this, after alienating Europe for the last two years with insults, tariff and the invasion of Greenland.

If Europe could identify one person to speak on their behalf, that would be a bigger achievement than getting the Russians to include them in the negotiation.”

Yes, and if rain fell upwards our noses would fill up quickly with it. This guy simply does not understand Europe.

But it does not matter, they probably want Europe in to put forward more unacceptable conditions, but this time to Europe... who knows... maybe giving Baviera to Ruzzia, demilitarising the baltic republics and expelling Sweeden from NATO? When you do not want peace, the only limit is your imagination.

[hostm]

450 000 dead Russian soldiers that came from a Russian source

Yes, but that was just something made up by Ukrainian propagandists (Hackers who broke into Russia’s stats agency say 400,000–450,000 Russians have died in Ukraine war).

It’s the same sort of thing as the claim that Russian hackers "stole" a database containing records of 1.7 million dead and missing Ukrainian soldiers.

If you want to find approximate (!!!) casualty figures for both sides, get all that propaganda bullshit out of your head.

[paxmao]

450 000 dead Russian soldiers that came from a Russian source

Yes, but that was just something made up by Ukrainian propagandists (Hackers who broke into Russia’s stats agency say 400,000–450,000 Russians have died in Ukraine war).

It’s the same sort of thing as the claim that Russian hackers "stole" a database containing records of 1.7 million dead and missing Ukrainian soldiers.

If you want to find approximate (!!!) casualty figures for both sides, get all that propaganda bullshit out of your head.

Sure, but records have been made public but we will believe you. What is your figure then?

Maybe 10 or 15 people that died from heart attack while marching into Kiev?


This window may work well. Putin size with some extra to make sure.

[DaRude]

~snip~
Russia is loosing 2500 dead a day....

You and your brainwashed comrades don't comment on the official data about 450 000 dead Russian soldiers that came from a Russian source + tens of thousands more who died from wounds? I understand that you are deeply in Tsar Putler's ass, but if you looked at how Russians are dying in Ukraine, then those numbers wouldn't be strange to you at all.

He knows.. but why bother about others dying when he and his trollmates can be making money out of it.

Interesting negotiations happened in Abu Dhabi. Ruzzia sent there a guy that tried to kill the Ukranian delegation using boredom as weapon. Also they invented a new way of negotiation, in which the other side gives you everything you want under the promise of "maybe talking after".

Dark humour apart, there is no intention of closing the war. The major obstacle at this point has a name and it is Putin. A change of government in Ruzzia would enable a window of opportunity. Yep, a window is the solution (pun intended).

Putin is still pretending to live in Soviet Times, only recognising the US as "equal" and Trump is fully into this narrative. This is not happening by chance. Russia has assessed Trump as a narcissist and this personality profile is easy to manipulate - precisely because recognising him and only him as equal reinforces Trump self-image.  The US delegation has basically two crooks as leaders, Europe is ignored - despite being clear that can and will finance the war as long as it takes...

The only way forward is a cease fire to allow for diplomacy, but that is not going to happen with Putin alive and Trump in the WH. Let's see which of these conditions changes first. Or better, let's see if both change.

https://www.politico.eu/article/why-the-us-wants-europe-at-ukraine-talks-next-time/

The official declarations would be hilarious if this were not all so sad.

“The reality is there’s no trust right now between the sides,” Donald Trump’s son-in-law and trusted envoy told POLITICO during a post-talks briefing. “There were some pretty tough discussions.”

The reality is that Ruzzia has sent a nobody to negotiate, whatever discussion were there are meaningless because the Ruzzian delegation has no power.

“We need to have the Europeans at the table,” Kushner said, answering a question from POLITICO at the briefing. “We have relayed to President Putin directly several times and to his team that the only way to get this done is to have them by our side, and I think they are receptive to it.”

Let's see what Trump thinks of this, after alienating Europe for the last two years with insults, tariff and the invasion of Greenland.

If Europe could identify one person to speak on their behalf, that would be a bigger achievement than getting the Russians to include them in the negotiation.”

Yes, and if rain fell upwards our noses would fill up quickly with it. This guy simply does not understand Europe.

But it does not matter, they probably want Europe in to put forward more unacceptable conditions, but this time to Europe... who knows... maybe giving Baviera to Ruzzia, demilitarising the baltic republics and expelling Sweeden from NATO? When you do not want peace, the only limit is your imagination.

So EU is not allowing Ukraine to end the war unless EU is present at the negotiations, but EU being EU can't even agree who should be representing them at said negotiations. We're not sure ourselves who should be representing us, but we want to be represented right now! Great plan, sorry Ukrainians that's the best that you have to deal with.

Putin is still alive and Trump will be in the WH for the next 2 years. But will Europe run out of Ukrainians or will ultra rights come in power in Europe first?

If the only thing you have left to hope for is for Putin to jump out of the window with Trump, then we must be getting close to a final resolution, real shame that they're pushing Ukrainians into a winter like this.

Zelenskyy Says SpaceX’s Starshield Restrictions Have Returned—Disrupting Ukraine’s Drone Defenses

With replacements scarce, some troops have spent up to a year at the front with little opportunity for rotation, said Afer, the deputy commander of the Da Vinci Wolves battalion. His unit is operating at only about half its strength while its area of responsibility has doubled, he said, meaning the same number of forces must defend about twice the territory.

That's a UA battalion deputy commander directly saying that his unit is operating at only about half its strength, but i'm sure there's some European analysis about Russia loosing gazillion troops an hour, to counter this and make Ukrainians feel better.

[Lucius]

You and your brainwashed comrades don't comment on the official data about 450 000 dead Russian soldiers that came from a Russian source + tens of thousands more who died from wounds? I understand that you are deeply in Tsar Putler's ass, but if you looked at how Russians are dying in Ukraine, then those numbers wouldn't be strange to you at all.

He knows.. but why bother about others dying when he and his trollmates can be making money out of it.
~snip~

They are really incredible in their stupidity, even now they claim that Ukrainian hackers broke into a Russian state agency and inserted wrong data into the server and then presented everything as the truth

I have no doubt that in a few years the average Russian will be mentally on the same level as the average North Korean citizen, some already are today.

[DaRude]

~snip~
Russia is loosing 2500 dead a day....

You and your brainwashed comrades don't comment on the official data about 450 000 dead Russian soldiers that came from a Russian source + tens of thousands more who died from wounds? I understand that you are deeply in Tsar Putler's ass, but if you looked at how Russians are dying in Ukraine, then those numbers wouldn't be strange to you at all.

First address your post as will a single Russian troll in this thread admit... and then wonder why no one replies to you? Following your logic, which dumbest mothfucker will reply to this post?

[hostm]

Unfortunately, Putin is not Stalin. Putin is attempting to conduct negotiations with Ukrainian Nazis - futile negotiations.

Stalin, by contrast, simply destroyed them wherever he found them.

[DaRude]

[...]

How much territorial loss would you say is getting Ruzzia last couple of months? Or if you want to use Ruzzian propaganda terms..."how much negative progression"?
...

You keep alluding to this overall Russia territorial loss, is it in the room with you right now? Can you point your finger at it? We already played that game, you asked Mostly on the offensive. What do you think about something called operation Vivaldi? Do you think that there may be something similar happening right now in a different direction? To which i replied with

Oct. 26, 2026, update:  Based on data from Ukraine’s DeepState OSINT group, in the past four weeks (Sept. 29–Oct. 26, 2026), Russia gained a net of 18 square miles of Ukrainian territory (about 4/5th the area of Manhattan Island). In comparison, during the previous four-week period (Sept. 1–29, 2026), Russia lost a net of 18 square miles of Ukraine’s territory, according to DeepState’s data.
[...]

Both sides have near parity in FPV attack drones, but Russia has more artillery and on top of that launches about 283 glide bombs at Ukraine DAILY!

So that is your number, last 4 weeks (to Oct 29th) 18 square miles? Is that mostly on the offensive? Like 2000+ dead Ruzziks for that?

Ok, so you give the same probably of a Mars settlement and an ongoing offensive that you may not be aware of.

I am asking because Deep State will update only when allowed to do so. They keep operational silence when required and it helps a lot catching Ruzzis unaware. Last time they captured the Ruzzian drone operators, because nobody told them to leave  

However the ISW does not care that much and it says "negative progression" all over.
https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-1-2026/

Russian forces continue to sustain significant personnel losses while losing ground, and Russia’s current force generation system continues to recruit fewer soldiers than needed to replace these losses.[3]

Russian casualty rates and territorial losses match the battlefield reality that Russian forces have lost the initiative and their offensive capabilities in much of the theater. Russian forces retain the initiative in the immediate area of Dobropillya, Donetsk Oblast, where they have concentrated the bulk of their offensive operations. But Ukrainian forces have seized the initiative in the Kupyansk, Lyman, and Oleksandrivka directions and are contesting it in western Zaporizhia Oblast.

Re artillery, sure... it is just a question of getting it anywere without being droned. As of today, it is certain that Ukraine has the advantage in drone warfare.

Yep, there are glide bombs, that may be reduced drastically if Ukraine gets Gripen + Meteor, which is becoming more and more likely.

I am just watching a few videos of Ust-luga oil depots and port burning. Sorry if my answer is short, I am just going for pop-corn for this one.

Nov. 11, 2026, update: Based on data from Ukraine’s DeepState OSINT group, in the past four weeks, (Oct. 14–Nov. 11, 2026), Russia gained a net of 41 square miles of Ukrainian territory

Welcome to war of attrition against Russia. So are you ready to admit that it was only a local UA counteroffensive where overall Russia is still on slow offensive? Or it's so secret that even Ukrainians don't know about it, and you're the only one that can see this territorial loss would you say is getting Ruzzia last couple of months". If so i'll ask again is it in the room with you right now? Can you point your finger at it?

But I guess like with all other inconvenient facts, you'll just ignore it and talk about supposed millions of Russian looses every second.