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Author Topic: Skill and luck, which play bigger role in sports betting?  (Read 1399 times)
Ishicryptic
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November 18, 2025, 06:29:09 AM
 #161

There have been so much argument about gambling being a game of luck and not necessarily skill but is that really true? Sports betting is not entirely based on lucky because there can be expertise in analysis that can give a gambling some form of advantage and ease to win gambling. Am I thinking too much or skill is definitely the major factor in sports betting and not luck?
Skills are important for efficiency and perfect results but in sports bet skills doesn't always mean a perfect result, after applying skills in your analysis you still need luck to win so if takes more than skills to win in bets. There are very intelligent bettors out there who understands formations and statistics yet they lose their bets because everything can change on match day. An opponent of the team you are sure to win can capitalize on a simple mistake by your favorite and win them which will counter all your perfect analysis. When you analyze and bet you should hope that everything will go as planned the way you predicted it and that is where you depend on luck to win.

mak013
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November 18, 2025, 06:44:31 AM
 #162

There have been so much argument about gambling being a game of luck and not necessarily skill but is that really true? Sports betting is not entirely based on lucky because there can be expertise in analysis that can give a gambling some form of advantage and ease to win gambling. Am I thinking too much or skill is definitely the major factor in sports betting and not luck?
Skills are important for efficiency and perfect results but in sports bet skills doesn't always mean a perfect result, after applying skills in your analysis you still need luck to win so if takes more than skills to win in bets. There are very intelligent bettors out there who understands formations and statistics yet they lose their bets because everything can change on match day. An opponent of the team you are sure to win can capitalize on a simple mistake by your favorite and win them which will counter all your perfect analysis. When you analyze and bet you should hope that everything will go as planned the way you predicted it and that is where you depend on luck to win.
It is not luck but random. Weather changes, bad breakfast, injury on the morning training. It is unpredictable things but not luck. That`s why no one can reach 100% win rate.
Luck is a goal on additional time that change the result, or the goalie who catch all the shots. But for a long term you can see how decrease percent of such games.

PS. Often such things, that i call "random" are called luck. But i don`t think that it is the same things. Random is something unpredictable, uncalculatable until you don`t know about it. And luck is game changer that you can`t suppose.

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Koadharber
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November 18, 2025, 07:10:53 AM
 #163

There have been so much argument about gambling being a game of luck and not necessarily skill but is that really true? Sports betting is not entirely based on lucky because there can be expertise in analysis that can give a gambling some form of advantage and ease to win gambling. Am I thinking too much or skill is definitely the major factor in sports betting and not luck?
Skills are important for efficiency and perfect results but in sports bet skills doesn't always mean a perfect result, after applying skills in your analysis you still need luck to win so if takes more than skills to win in bets. There are very intelligent bettors out there who understands formations and statistics yet they lose their bets because everything can change on match day. An opponent of the team you are sure to win can capitalize on a simple mistake by your favorite and win them which will counter all your perfect analysis. When you analyze and bet you should hope that everything will go as planned the way you predicted it and that is where you depend on luck to win.
It is not luck but random. Weather changes, bad breakfast, injury on the morning training. It is unpredictable things but not luck. That`s why no one can reach 100% win rate.
Luck is a goal on additional time that change the result, or the goalie who catch all the shots. But for a long term you can see how decrease percent of such games.

PS. Often such things, that i call "random" are called luck. But i don`t think that it is the same things. Random is something unpredictable, uncalculatable until you don`t know about it. And luck is game changer that you can`t suppose.
This question has always been one of the biggest debates in gambling and sports betting there is indeed a balance between skill and luck but neither works alone a bettor can be highly skilled in analyzing statistics player form team tactics or even external factors like injuries or weather conditions and still lose because the actual event of a match has countless unpredictable variables. Sports betting is unique because it gives you the illusion of control when in reality you’re only slightly improving your chances you can do everything right study for hours make a perfect bet based on logic and still lose to a freak goal in the 90th minute that’s not because you were wrong it’s because the game itself is built on randomness.

Luck in this sense doesn’t mean magic it’s more like the unpredictable factors that no one can calculate even the best analysts in the world the bookmakers included cannot predict these with certainty that’s why no one has a 100% win rate. The key to success in sports betting is learning how to manage probabilities and emotions over time if you keep placing bets with logic data and consistency you can reduce the influence of luck in the long term but you can never remove it completely.

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Yablee0
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November 18, 2025, 08:07:11 AM
 #164

There have been so much argument about gambling being a game of luck and not necessarily skill but is that really true? Sports betting is not entirely based on lucky because there can be expertise in analysis that can give a gambling some form of advantage and ease to win gambling. Am I thinking too much or skill is definitely the major factor in sports betting and not luck?
The both of them play a significant roll in gambling in the sense that :

Luck is needed because since gamble is a thing of luck and not some kind of stuff that is completely our making we do need luck as well to scale through and achieve success.

Skills is also necessary and very important because it gives you a flexible chances of winning. ie regardless the fact that people consider luck as the number one factor of gambling success, skills also gives you a clear analysis of the game played and enable you to measure the respective strengths of every teams  for better predictions and all that. Furthermore, so it is am additional advantages to have a slight skill in gambling because not always luck can see you through , you also need to be skillful to top up your game.

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November 18, 2025, 08:53:11 AM
 #165

There have been so much argument about gambling being a game of luck and not necessarily skill but is that really true? Sports betting is not entirely based on lucky because there can be expertise in analysis that can give a gambling some form of advantage and ease to win gambling. Am I thinking too much or skill is definitely the major factor in sports betting and not luck?
This is very tricky to be frank, because doing a proper analysis is very important in sport betting if you want to stand a chance of winning, especially in accumulated games, but on the other hand their are some few individuals that don't even gamble at all, they will just select a few games with bigger odds, and decide to go with an option, and when the final outcome of the game is out, they will win because their luck is good, so if I will be giving a direct answer, I think that in sport betting, luck is like 60% , while skill is 40%, that's my own take in this matter.

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November 18, 2025, 09:23:45 AM
 #166

There have been so much argument about gambling being a game of luck and not necessarily skill but is that really true? Sports betting is not entirely based on lucky because there can be expertise in analysis that can give a gambling some form of advantage and ease to win gambling. Am I thinking too much or skill is definitely the major factor in sports betting and not luck?
The thing is that gamblers doesn't always reason the same when gambling, that's why you see that some people believe on skill why some people believe on luck. So I would glady tell you the simple truth that gambling is purely a game of luck, don't mind those gamblers that are believing on skill because gambling doesn't work with anything else except luck, which is why we need to rely on it every time we are in the game.

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Cryptmuster
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November 18, 2025, 09:30:45 AM
 #167

It is not luck but random. Weather changes, bad breakfast, injury on the morning training. It is unpredictable things but not luck. That`s why no one can reach 100% win rate.
Luck is a goal on additional time that change the result, or the goalie who catch all the shots. But for a long term you can see how decrease percent of such games.

PS. Often such things, that i call "random" are called luck. But i don`t think that it is the same things. Random is something unpredictable, uncalculatable until you don`t know about it. And luck is game changer that you can`t suppose.

There are unpredictable factors that are almost impossible to account for. A team may attack throughout the entire match, but then a counterattack happens and they lose, or a penalty appears that can't be predicted. The same goes for a red card, and in the end it changes the whole game. So yes, random events happen often, and it is difficult to predict them, but they can have a big impact on the result. This is not luck, it is simply randomness.

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November 18, 2025, 10:00:38 AM
 #168

Skill pay a bigger role in sports betting because before could have the opportunity of having luck in your staking games you must first of all have the skills of being able to accumulate those games that you think is like to give you winning before you could talk of placing a luck in your sports betting, because i don't think if there is no skill in sports betting then there will no luck in your sports betting, so at such most of the winning games is based on the way the gamblers stakes his game.

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November 18, 2025, 10:19:48 AM
 #169

My own candy option is that skill play a bigger role than luck in sports betting,I can clearly recall when I first downloaded a bet app and started betting using my own personal lame knowledge.to be franks I never had any wins I always loss cause I thought is all about luck so I just choose my odds and play.I got fed up about betting till I came across this guy who is a pro and had the strategy and skill on how he bets.he started putting me through and teaching me is skills believe me things change I started win gradually.so from personal experience I believe skills plays a bigger role in sport betting.
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November 18, 2025, 11:24:16 AM
 #170

I am 100% sure that betting is a skill that can be trained and learned. I worked at a betting shop, so I can say for certain that people can make money from it, I talked to them and saw both their wins and their losses. If bookmakers make money from bets, then everything is directly proportional, which means that players can also earn using the same principle. But would I personally choose this as my way of making money. Absolutely not. It’s way too stressful.

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November 18, 2025, 11:28:39 AM
 #171

Skill pay a bigger role in sports betting because before could have the opportunity of having luck in your staking games you must first of all have the skills of being able to accumulate those games that you think is like to give you winning before you could talk of placing a luck in your sports betting, because i don't think if there is no skill in sports betting then there will no luck in your sports betting, so at such most of the winning games is based on the way the gamblers stakes his game.
Yes, skill is a big factor in sports betting, no one can think of winning long-term just by luck. Earlier, luck was really more important in staking games but now in sports betting, analyzing information and understanding the match is the main strength. In my experience those who win regularly understand the style of play, know the team form, see the players' status and make decisions accordingly. In other words they analyze history well, like trading, and luck is definitely needed but to use that luck, you first need the skill of choosing the right game. And yes luck never works without skill.

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November 18, 2025, 03:05:01 PM
 #172

I am 100% sure that betting is a skill that can be trained and learned. I worked at a betting shop, so I can say for certain that people can make money from it, I talked to them and saw both their wins and their losses. If bookmakers make money from bets, then everything is directly proportional, which means that players can also earn using the same principle. But would I personally choose this as my way of making money. Absolutely not. It’s way too stressful.

I agree, and it's not a stable income. How can I take betting absolutely seriously if there's always a luck factor that could simply leave me broke?
Yes, I can place many different bets, which over time can reduce the impact of luck. But what if the bookmaker I use declares bankruptcy tomorrow and stops all withdrawals? That's possible, and mortgages and similar debts will still need to be paid regularly; the bank doesn't care about excuses about the bookmaker being scammed.

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November 18, 2025, 03:24:17 PM
 #173

Luck is ths major factor that leads to profit when gambling and not skill so don't get it twisted. In sportbet, if you want to depend on your skills alone, you win never win anything because no matter hoa you analyze the gane if luck isn't at your side, it's a waste of time. Ac lot of gamblers would have been multimillionaires assuming sportbet is more of skill like you put it because most gamblers stake on sportbet than any other games.
Do you know that some individuals pay money to learn gambling as a skill. When I saw this I was so surprised, because people still believe that gambling is all about skills,
Yes I understand that they probably want to know how to analyse statistically but, that is not enough reason to pay someone to learn gambling as a skill, you can simply watch matches and you will understand the major things you need to know for betting.

The only skill one needs to know in gambling is risk management, gambling is based in luck, yes you can have some levels of skill to analyse the club with the higher probability of winning a game, but that doesn't guarantee you winning that game, it all boils down to luck, any thing at all can affect a good club and they wouldn't perform well on a match day. With this knowledge all you have to do when gambling is to apply proper risk management.

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November 18, 2025, 03:28:37 PM
 #174

Luck is ths major factor that leads to profit when gambling and not skill so don't get it twisted. In sportbet, if you want to depend on your skills alone, you win never win anything because no matter hoa you analyze the gane if luck isn't at your side, it's a waste of time. Ac lot of gamblers would have been multimillionaires assuming sportbet is more of skill like you put it because most gamblers stake on sportbet than any other games.
Do you know that some individuals pay money to learn gambling as a skill. When I saw this I was so surprised, because people still believe that gambling is all about skills,
Yes I understand that they probably want to know how to analyse statistically but, that is not enough reason to pay someone to learn gambling as a skill, you can simply watch matches and you will understand the major things you need to know for betting.

The only skill one needs to know in gambling is risk management, gambling is based in luck, yes you can have some levels of skill to analyse the club with the higher probability of winning a game, but that doesn't guarantee you winning that game, it all boils down to luck, any thing at all can affect a good club and they wouldn't perform well on a match day. With this knowledge all you have to do when gambling is to apply proper risk management.
It is very common to see people spending money to be taught how to play the game and this question may be of concern to many as we can really know that the game is still within the confines of deterministic chance. Analysis may give a rough idea on a team’s performance yet match results may play out above expectations. Risk management to prevent impulsive decisions is the only skill that is to be considered. This way helps to make the activity more manageable despite the mere existence of uncertainty.

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November 18, 2025, 03:29:17 PM
 #175

I am 100% sure that betting is a skill that can be trained and learned. I worked at a betting shop, so I can say for certain that people can make money from it, I talked to them and saw both their wins and their losses. If bookmakers make money from bets, then everything is directly proportional, which means that players can also earn using the same principle. But would I personally choose this as my way of making money. Absolutely not. It’s way too stressful.
Sure people can actually learn how to gamble, but do I think that skill alone can make gamblers win consistently? Absolutely no. I believe there are games that are skill based and there are those that are luck based. In games that are luck based, no matter how skilled or good you think you are, there’s only much your skill can do for you, because luck plays a more powerful role in ensuring victory as a gambler, while it’s actually the opposite in skill based games.

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November 18, 2025, 03:32:17 PM
 #176

In sport betting, I will go by admitting that we need both of them, skills is majorly required to play sport bets, however it takes brring luck for all that we have selected to come the same way ilthey have been predicted by us, so our competence in playing and knowing about sport betting is as important as making the right choice that could bring the desired luck for us.

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November 18, 2025, 03:59:52 PM
 #177

Skills are important for efficiency and perfect results but in sports bet skills doesn't always mean a perfect result, after applying skills in your analysis you still need luck to win so if takes more than skills to win in bets. There are very intelligent bettors out there who understands formations and statistics yet they lose their bets because everything can change on match day. An opponent of the team you are sure to win can capitalize on a simple mistake by your favorite and win them which will counter all your perfect analysis. When you analyze and bet you should hope that everything will go as planned the way you predicted it and that is where you depend on luck to win.

Maybe we need 70% skill and 30% luck in sport be but in casino games, you need 100% luck to make money from gambling. Result of previous matches easily tells us who is going to win in any game when you are betting and when you don't know who is winning, there are plenty of alternatives to test that can give you win, this is why you need skills to understand playing of bet and the rest is just that will come later and sometimes luck may not come and you will make more money.

As a gambler, if you don't have skills don't try bet. There is more that will go out from your pocket than you will lose doing it. It's better you don't even gamble in my opinion, but you can learn with few cent, some casino allows gamblers to bet with some cents as minimum requirements for wager. You can use that to learn, you can use that to appreciate if it's worth it to understand what risk is about or just gamble because you feel like you want to gamble and depend on luck.

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November 18, 2025, 04:21:39 PM
 #178

It is good question and you are correct that skill plays big part in sport betting unlike games of just luck such as lotteries. Smart advantage bettor uses to look for value is skill, and it is ability to study team numbers, look at outside things such as weather or fatigue, and find when bookmaker has incorrectly set price. This knowledge lets winning bettors keep up long term profit and it is clear that skill is thing that decides long term success. However, outcome of any single bet is still set by luck due to random events such as bad referee calls or missed shots. So, sports betting is mix of two, but difference between good and bad bettor is that good bettor has advantage that will make sure of profitability over large number of bets no matter luck in short run.

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November 18, 2025, 04:54:27 PM
 #179

Luck is ths major factor that leads to profit when gambling and not skill so don't get it twisted. In sportbet, if you want to depend on your skills alone, you win never win anything because no matter hoa you analyze the gane if luck isn't at your side, it's a waste of time. Ac lot of gamblers would have been multimillionaires assuming sportbet is more of skill like you put it because most gamblers stake on sportbet than any other games.

You just said my mind, Weldon. If it was skill, them betting companies would have closed down by now because there would be giant winnings everyday. Some spend more than an hour analysing and predicting games, checking history and what have you, finally they place a bet, and to your amazement, the first game on the slip renders your time, effort, skills and analysis useless. Isn't that very annoying and funny at the same time? What do we say when small teams beat bigger teams in top flight? Do we also call that skill? Like the team that kicked Manchester United out of the caraboa cup last month or so, will skill and analysis also show you that?

As far as an concerned, in sports betting, there is nothing like skill, after all, you are not the one to show the skill in the field of play. We are only predicting and luck carries it. Thats it

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November 18, 2025, 05:12:54 PM
 #180

Sure people can actually learn how to gamble, but do I think that skill alone can make gamblers win consistently? Absolutely no. I believe there are games that are skill based and there are those that are luck based. In games that are luck based, no matter how skilled or good you think you are, there’s only much your skill can do for you, because luck plays a more powerful role in ensuring victory as a gambler, while it’s actually the opposite in skill based games.
if winning consistent counted as always win, of course it wouldnt happen because every team will face a lose some day and stopped their winning streak or unbeaten record. But if consistent just counted as mostly get profit from all of his bet during a week, i think it still make sense to say this gambler able to make sure his betting can profit consistent. So, this is depend on personal perspective. But, I agree if luck the main role behind to bring gambler to the winning session.

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