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Author Topic: Skill and luck, which play bigger role in sports betting?  (Read 2079 times)
rachael9385
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April 04, 2026, 02:42:38 AM
 #281

Skill plays a greater role in sports betting but luck is still a factor. While skill can improve your chances of winning all forms of gambling ultimately rely on luck. This is different from slot machines, which depend purely on luck although some people believe in strategies, these are often nothing more than wishful thinking a common mindset among those who gamble for profit.
That's a fact that cannot be changed, skills is important but luck is something that's always going to be needed when it comes to betting no matter how skilled you are as a gambler. Be it casino games or sports betting there is always going to be luck required when playing any of these games. But this doesn't mean that luck should be relied on constantly, a lot of gamblers forget that gambling also requires Skill, they depend too much on luck that's why they lose.
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April 04, 2026, 08:30:52 AM
 #282

In sports betting, skill plays bigger role, majority of the gamblers that win in sports betting succeed because of their skill, while those who win by luck are very few. Various skills and technics are involved in sports betting, and those skills makes you win more than you loose. Not every gambler are skillful in prediction. Some gamblers only pick games at random and place bet on them or place bet based on odds, and such gambler can only win bet out of luck. The skilful gamblers plays thoughtful bet, they engage themselves in research, know the team's form, check stats on present and past records and their end results. This is what a skilful gambler does, and obviously, they record more wins than those gamblers who win basically by luck as they don't engage in indepth research before placing their bet.

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April 04, 2026, 09:26:39 AM
 #283

In sports betting, skill plays bigger role, majority of the gamblers that win in sports betting succeed because of their skill, while those who win by luck are very few. Various skills and technics are involved in sports betting, and those skills makes you win more than you loose. Not every gambler are skillful in prediction. Some gamblers only pick games at random and place bet on them or place bet based on odds, and such gambler can only win bet out of luck. The skilful gamblers plays thoughtful bet, they engage themselves in research, know the team's form, check stats on present and past records and their end results. This is what a skilful gambler does, and obviously, they record more wins than those gamblers who win basically by luck as they don't engage in indepth research before placing their bet.
Admittedly, sport betting puts expertise as the mandatory variable in predicting the success in the long term. Majority of the winning gamblers get the results work out to their favor because they have been in a position to study the match information. Effective gamblers always study about the performance of the teams recently, previous statistical data and overall outcomes before making their choices. Conversely, any gambler who pick matche randomly or only depending on luck is a person who depend on luck. This disparity enable expert gambler to win more time.


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junder
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April 04, 2026, 09:42:12 AM
 #284

I agree with this very much, although skill is important in sports betting, but the result is never guaranteed at the end ever. Because we have seen many matches where the result is beyond our expectations in the end, even if the whole time goes as expected, an unexpected situation at the last minute changes the outcome of the game. That is why although skill is important in sports betting, there is no way to deny the importance of luck, suddenly gambling means luck is needed here, without luck, in any case, you cannot win for sure only through skill.
That’s the nature of gambling the final outcome is never guaranteed even if we have what’s considered a good strategy or knowledge, not to mention that some matches especially major ones can sometimes be manipulated by bookmakers. However, when it comes to sports betting skill and knowledge do play a significant role because they can improve your chances of winning. It’s better not to bet at all than to do so haphazardly, relying solely on luck.

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April 05, 2026, 02:01:23 PM
 #285

In my opinion, skill plays a bigger role than luck when it comes to sports betting. It’s not like slots where luck is the only factor. The examples you gave is simply confirmation that football is an unpredictable sport, sometimes the underdogs win and the favorites lose, but that doesn’t take away the impact of analytical skills when making predictions.
That's right, things in sports betting apply to that and also to things related to knowledge. I would give more weight to knowledge because with knowledge you can obtain the best results. I apply knowledge, strategy, or skill because I believe that has to be in accordance with what is known, because tactics and something like that don't make much sense because each match is a different story.

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July 13, 2026, 12:29:14 PM
 #286

That's right, things in sports betting apply to that and also to things related to knowledge. I would give more weight to knowledge because with knowledge you can obtain the best results. I apply knowledge, strategy, or skill because I believe that has to be in accordance with what is known, because tactics and something like that don't make much sense because each match is a different story.
In Sports Betting of course, the factors you mentioned are useful for increasing the chances of winning it is very silly if someone does sports betting with the aim of making a profit but they do not have adequate knowledge by betting only depending on luck it will not make him able to succeed in getting a win unless he is lucky.
I do not doubt the skill in sports betting that does have a role but even so Luck is also a thing that plays also just maybe this is a smaller role in sports betting.

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July 13, 2026, 12:35:44 PM
 #287

That's right, things in sports betting apply to that and also to things related to knowledge. I would give more weight to knowledge because with knowledge you can obtain the best results. I apply knowledge, strategy, or skill because I believe that has to be in accordance with what is known, because tactics and something like that don't make much sense because each match is a different story.
In Sports Betting of course, the factors you mentioned are useful for increasing the chances of winning it is very silly if someone does sports betting with the aim of making a profit but they do not have adequate knowledge by betting only depending on luck it will not make him able to succeed in getting a win unless he is lucky.
I do not doubt the skill in sports betting that does have a role but even so Luck is also a thing that plays also just maybe this is a smaller role in sports betting.
No amount of research can guarantee the result because sports are always unpredictable. The best you can do is improve your odds by making informed picks and managing your bankroll properly. In the long run, discipline usually matters more than chasing quick wins. On the other hand, I think preparation gives you an edge, but it can never remove uncertainty from sports betting. Researching team form, player availability, tactics, scheduling, and even weather can help you make more informed decisions, yet unexpected moments like injuries during a match, controversial officiating or an underdog delivering an exceptional performance can still change the outcome.
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July 13, 2026, 12:41:38 PM
 #288


That's right, things in sports betting apply to that and also to things related to knowledge. I would give more weight to knowledge because with knowledge you can obtain the best results. I apply knowledge, strategy, or skill because I believe that has to be in accordance with what is known, because tactics and something like that don't make much sense because each match is a different story.
That is more important, and I agree. Sports betting is not just about luck.

If you believe it is purely based on luck, then every time you lose, you will simply accept that you were unlucky. But if you believe knowledge and analysis also matter, you will look at what went wrong and think about how to correct your mistakes next time.

That is where improvement comes from, and I think that is also part of the journey serious bettors go through. In the end, it is about mindset. If you see it as pure luck, then it is mostly just for fun. But if you rely on knowledge and analysis, then it becomes a real challenge.

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July 13, 2026, 12:57:16 PM
 #289


That's right, things in sports betting apply to that and also to things related to knowledge. I would give more weight to knowledge because with knowledge you can obtain the best results. I apply knowledge, strategy, or skill because I believe that has to be in accordance with what is known, because tactics and something like that don't make much sense because each match is a different story.
That is more important, and I agree. Sports betting is not just about luck.

If you believe it is purely based on luck, then every time you lose, you will simply accept that you were unlucky. But if you believe knowledge and analysis also matter, you will look at what went wrong and think about how to correct your mistakes next time.

That is where improvement comes from, and I think that is also part of the journey serious bettors go through. In the end, it is about mindset. If you see it as pure luck, then it is mostly just for fun. But if you rely on knowledge and analysis, then it becomes a real challenge.


By looking how people try to find proves of bribing and cheating in Argentina favor during current football cup, hard to believe that any knowledge and analysis would ever work. Big sport starts to turn slowly into more luck than analysis. Minor leagues are more about random result than trying to figure out whos is going to win. A combination of a little bit of everything is the right answer, but I think betters should lean more to luck.

 
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July 13, 2026, 01:12:06 PM
 #290

There have been so much argument about gambling being a game of luck and not necessarily skill but is that really true? Sports betting is not entirely based on lucky because there can be expertise in analysis that can give a gambling some form of advantage and ease to win gambling. Am I thinking too much or skill is definitely the major factor in sports betting and not luck?
Speaking of skill, in sport betting you need to understand how to analyse and do research on the teams you want to get on. For me sport betting requires skills, experience and luck. Because only those three would make you profits on the long term. You can't just place random bets on games and hope to win out of luck. It's quite different from casino games because of in casino games you are betting on random games which are stipulated and your chances of even winning is very much lower compared to that of sport betting. So you are right.

If you believe it is purely based on luck, then every time you lose, you will simply accept that you were unlucky. But if you believe knowledge and analysis also matter, you will look at what went wrong and think about how to correct your mistakes next time.

That is where improvement comes from, and I think that is also part of the journey serious bettors go through. In the end, it is about mindset. If you see it as pure luck, then it is mostly just for fun. But if you rely on knowledge and analysis, then it becomes a real challenge.

Yes, true for someone who believes only on luck, they would not Wang to admit the fact that skills is involved in sport betting. They would just accept their losses every time as being unlucky..

R


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July 13, 2026, 01:38:26 PM
 #291

There have been so much argument about gambling being a game of luck and not necessarily skill but is that really true? Sports betting is not entirely based on lucky because there can be expertise in analysis that can give a gambling some form of advantage and ease to win gambling. Am I thinking too much or skill is definitely the major factor in sports betting and not luck?


Sports betting is actually predictable, with a certain margin of error. And here, by knowing the history, specifics, and nuances before the game, you can predict the outcome with a high degree of certainty. And even more so if you have some inside information Smiley
But with games based on probability theory, a positive outcome is purely a matter of luck. And it’s absolutely not guaranteed, even if you play your whole life.


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July 13, 2026, 01:57:44 PM
 #292

In my opinion, skill plays a bigger role than luck when it comes to sports betting. It’s not like slots where luck is the only factor. The examples you gave is simply confirmation that football is an unpredictable sport, sometimes the underdogs win and the favorites lose, but that doesn’t take away the impact of analytical skills when making predictions.
That's right, things in sports betting apply to that and also to things related to knowledge. I would give more weight to knowledge because with knowledge you can obtain the best results. I apply knowledge, strategy, or skill because I believe that has to be in accordance with what is known, because tactics and something like that don't make much sense because each match is a different story.
The mainstream have argued that a devoted football fan, if not already, is a gambler. So with that point, to make traces in proper football analysis, you must understand beyond what the regular casino gambler does. That requires some level of skills, luck can only blend in.

Meanwhile, I wasn't expecting to see another thread about skills and luck on this board. Haven't we discussed enough of it? It's understandable if I give an opinion once and read from the contributions of others, but what am I discussing to have 5-10 post on a thread like this?! Y'all be doing too much!

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July 13, 2026, 02:11:44 PM
 #293

There have been so much argument about gambling being a game of luck and not necessarily skill but is that really true? Sports betting is not entirely based on lucky because there can be expertise in analysis that can give a gambling some form of advantage and ease to win gambling. Am I thinking too much or skill is definitely the major factor in sports betting and not luck?

I can tell you from experience that gambling has been hitch on the basis of skills and luck , that is to say that both of it works with each other to bring the winnings, as a gambler you must be good in making analysis and knowing the teams to bet with before luck comes in because if you don't have a good knowledge  skills in selecting games you can't win and on the other hand you can be very good in analyzing and if luck doesn't come your way all the strategies and knowledge you have used goes in vain so both of it works hand in hand with each other.

On a lighter note, much skills is required in gambling than luck because skills can actually make one win games but  you can't win games with just luck when the right analysis is not done, while gambling I pay much attention on the team selections and the odds before I can rely on luck for the outcome so skills plays much bigger roles than luck.

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July 13, 2026, 02:18:40 PM
 #294

In my opinion, skill plays a bigger role than luck when it comes to sports betting. It’s not like slots where luck is the only factor. The examples you gave is simply confirmation that football is an unpredictable sport, sometimes the underdogs win and the favorites lose, but that doesn’t take away the impact of analytical skills when making predictions.
That's right, things in sports betting apply to that and also to things related to knowledge. I would give more weight to knowledge because with knowledge you can obtain the best results. I apply knowledge, strategy, or skill because I believe that has to be in accordance with what is known, because tactics and something like that don't make much sense because each match is a different story.
I cannot argue about the importance of skills in sports bet because the same people plays the games all the time and if you can be able to figure out their traits, teams and players strengths and all the rest it will increase your chances of winning but their is a lot more to winning which is luck. I can argue that luck plays a bigger role in winnings than skills, the simple reason is that I know quite a lot of skilled bettors that are not rich, the reason is that they are not lucky enough to win most of the time. Gambling generally is risky and whether it is casino games like slot or sports bet like football you need luck to win, the difference is that you need more luck to win in casino games than sports bet.

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July 13, 2026, 02:29:52 PM
 #295

On a lighter note, much skills is required in gambling than luck because skills can actually make one win games but  you can't win games with just luck when the right analysis is not done, while gambling I pay much attention on the team selections and the odds before I can rely on luck for the outcome so skills plays much bigger roles than luck.
If you choose skills then it depends on the type of gambling you are playing, I understand that you need to do some analysis to be sure of what you want to gamble on but what happens when you do all your research but end up losing your money? it means that the luck wasn't there to help you win but luck play a better role in gambling cause you will need not to struggle but once you gamble you see yourself winning.

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July 13, 2026, 02:34:55 PM
 #296

On a lighter note, much skills is required in gambling than luck because skills can actually make one win games but  you can't win games with just luck when the right analysis is not done, while gambling I pay much attention on the team selections and the odds before I can rely on luck for the outcome so skills plays much bigger roles than luck.
If you choose skills then it depends on the type of gambling you are playing, I understand that you need to do some analysis to be sure of what you want to gamble on but what happens when you do all your research but end up losing your money? it means that the luck wasn't there to help you win but luck play a better role in gambling cause you will need not to struggle but once you gamble you see yourself winning.
Regardless the kind of game you're playing, luck is still very important to win your bet. Skill based games are just there for us to test our skills to see if it can fetch us profit but without luck, your skill is useless because gambling isn't a skill thing and that is why nobody can learn gambling and be a pro in it.

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July 13, 2026, 02:35:26 PM
 #297

In my opinion, skill plays a bigger role than luck when it comes to sports betting. It’s not like slots where luck is the only factor. The examples you gave is simply confirmation that football is an unpredictable sport, sometimes the underdogs win and the favorites lose, but that doesn’t take away the impact of analytical skills when making predictions.
That's right, things in sports betting apply to that and also to things related to knowledge. I would give more weight to knowledge because with knowledge you can obtain the best results. I apply knowledge, strategy, or skill because I believe that has to be in accordance with what is known, because tactics and something like that don't make much sense because each match is a different story.
Well, I have to agree with the both of you and at the same time point out that sports betting is not a skill based game but a knowledge based game, and I don't know what you guys believe but this is what I've always believed and will continue to believe..
That knowledge is the foundation of you the bettor knowing what you are doing while betting, without having adequate knowledge in sports, that is, you don't know anything about any team or clubs in football or any other sports and yet you want to bet on the game being played. It will all look like a mirage to you because at the end, instead of betting based on your own knowledge and who you believe will win the match, you just going to have no choice but to join the public in their own decision.

First thing in betting is to have have adequate knowledge of football, know the teams, clubs, the players and their individuals strength and possible weaknesses, have a good idea of different coaches and their different abilities, both in football and other sports of interest, having this knowledge sets you up to know who to place bet on whenever a match is being played, ones you've placed your bet, you relax and let luck do it's thing because no matter how good our knowledge of sports is, luck always have the final say in terms of game and bet outcomes..

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July 13, 2026, 03:08:05 PM
 #298

If you choose skills then it depends on the type of gambling you are playing, I understand that you need to do some analysis to be sure of what you want to gamble on but what happens when you do all your research but end up losing your money? it means that the luck wasn't there to help you win but luck play a better role in gambling cause you will need not to struggle but once you gamble you see yourself winning.

That's true, mate, some people don't just understand that it's not all games that is based on skill, also even the games of skills still requires luck for the player to win some bets they make, meanwhile those games that are specifically based on luck doesn't require the player to have any skill because no matter the skills you have, it's just luck that can make you keep winning.

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July 13, 2026, 03:10:30 PM
 #299

In my opinion, skill plays a bigger role than luck when it comes to sports betting. It’s not like slots where luck is the only factor. The examples you gave is simply confirmation that football is an unpredictable sport, sometimes the underdogs win and the favorites lose, but that doesn’t take away the impact of analytical skills when making predictions.
That's right, things in sports betting apply to that and also to things related to knowledge. I would give more weight to knowledge because with knowledge you can obtain the best results. I apply knowledge, strategy, or skill because I believe that has to be in accordance with what is known, because tactics and something like that don't make much sense because each match is a different story.
In gambling, You work on the things you can control and leave out anything that's out of your control. That way, you are able to minimise the extent of being too dependent on luck. Apart from times when you will have to trust your instinct against what your analysis will suggest, your skill should come first in terms of deciding what you're going to predict in a game.

If we look at predicting on the world cup for instance, at the early phase of the tournament, it's easier to predict based off certain fact and your prediction enters as planned but outside of that and coming to times like this where all the remaining team have similar potential of winning, you just have to make your selection and hope that you're lucky at it. At this stage, the only way your prediction can pull out well is if you're lucky enough.

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July 13, 2026, 03:16:58 PM
 #300

If you choose skills then it depends on the type of gambling you are playing, I understand that you need to do some analysis to be sure of what you want to gamble on but what happens when you do all your research but end up losing your money? it means that the luck wasn't there to help you win but luck play a better role in gambling cause you will need not to struggle but once you gamble you see yourself winning.

That's true, mate, some people don't just understand that it's not all games that is based on skill, also even the games of skills still requires luck for the player to win some bets they make, meanwhile those games that are specifically based on luck doesn't require the player to have any skill because no matter the skills you have, it's just luck that can make you keep winning.

That's exactly my point mate. The people who do not believe this will think their skills made them to win whenever they get lucky not knowing that it's all about luck not their skills. If skills could win gambling games by now a lot of skilled gamblers would have made millions by now but some people who even win big on gambling most times are not skilled gamblers. No matter how much of skill you have once you are not lucky winning becomes difficult for you.

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