BTC Sentiment Poll for 2026

[bubilas]

Given Saylor's sales announcements and the current asset rebalancing, all of this is clearly not in Bitcoin's favor. But IMHO, it's holding up remarkably well, considering the eight-week outflows from the ETF. And I've found one explanation for this resilience: Bitcoin is now mostly in the hands of those called Long-Term Holders: they currently control 83 percent of Bitcoin, an all-time high, according to onChainMind.
Basically, the situation among holders is like a party gone bad—only the most resilient ones remain, those who are confidently sitting in the kitchen.

[bbc.reporter]

@bubilas. Yes, it appears that Michael Sellor's dump on bitcoin and the outflows from the ETFs was not enough to create a big short occurrence on bitcoin! However, I am beginning to speculate and mention that what might cause the next big short occurrence on bitcoin and the cryptospace might be the AI bubble pop!

This is a warning sign when venture capitalist from the cryptospace begin investing money on something else because they have very bad timing and this implies that the AI stocks will dump soon!



Paradigm has raised $1.2 billion for a new venture fund focused on artificial intelligence and robotics, according to a blog post Wednesday.

The firm's third venture fund reflects growing interest in AI and defense technology, though it does not signal an exit from digital assets.

"Crypto was the first frontier for us, and it continues to be a really exciting one, but there's so much else happening right now that's pretty hard to ignore," managing partner Alana Palmedo told Bloomberg.

Paradigm has already deployed capital from the new fund into several companies, including autonomous drone delivery company Zipline International, which was valued at $7.6 billion in January, and space defense startup True Anomaly, which reached a $2.2 billion valuation in April.

Read in full https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/07/08/crypto-vc-paradigm-launches-usd1-2-billion-ai-fund-as-it-broadens-beyond-digital-assets-bbg

[STT]

Saylor shouldn't matter, he is just one dude.  I really fear for the idea of any reliance on any one person, and I think Satoshi setup that idea long ago that BTC can never really be in the orbit of a person or entity.  We are all just mortal after all and Saylor can have a car crash or plane or whatever and that's it, whatever is going on there and in Bitcoin has to be far more resilient then hopes reliant on one person, one company etc.

  For progress right now we are technically trending upwards but clearly the wider picture is far more important, wider and great inertia.   We have weekly trend and we got 200 week ascending which makes BTC long term positive.   However every time scale in between remains in flux at best, or a negative, bear market as some want to say.

  I don't really see a proper bear market for 2026 but at the same time the average over 200 days keeps falling, its not being arrested in decline and till negatives are averted we're in a fight to stay positive; hence 2026 is a battleground not a victory march.
  Its going to take longer then 5 months (year end) to turn this around, assets trillion(s) big don't double fast easily.

[fullfitlarry]

Saylor shouldn't matter, he is just one dude.  I really fear for the idea of any reliance on any one person, and I think Satoshi setup that idea long ago that BTC can never really be in the orbit of a person or entity.  We are all just mortal after all and Saylor can have a car crash or plane or whatever and that's it, whatever is going on there and in Bitcoin has to be far more resilient then hopes reliant on one person, one company etc.

Right, and just like any other influencer before, specially Elon Musk then Saylor, we should move on from this guy. Yes, Saylor is the poster child for Bitcoin but it doesn't mean that everything he do or say should affect the market or as investors we should believed in him.

Just go on with our investment, if we want to invest then do it and don't wait for the market to go down even further. Or maybe Saylor is just trying to manipulate  the market and so we can take advantage of that as well and ride with him.

[BALIK]

Saylor shouldn't matter, he is just one dude.  I really fear for the idea of any reliance on any one person, and I think Satoshi setup that idea long ago that BTC can never really be in the orbit of a person or entity.  We are all just mortal after all and Saylor can have a car crash or plane or whatever and that's it, whatever is going on there and in Bitcoin has to be far more resilient then hopes reliant on one person, one company etc.

Right, and just like any other influencer before, specially Elon Musk then Saylor, we should move on from this guy. Yes, Saylor is the poster child for Bitcoin but it doesn't mean that everything he do or say should affect the market or as investors we should believed in him.

Just go on with our investment, if we want to invest then do it and don't wait for the market to go down even further. Or maybe Saylor is just trying to manipulate  the market and so we can take advantage of that as well and ride with him.

The issue is not Elon Musk or Saylor himself. The issue is that he holds a massive amount of Bitcoin, equivalent to around 4% of the total supply.

What people are interested in is the amount of Bitcoin that Strategy holds, not who Saylor is. That's because any buying, selling or strategic decision made by Strategy can have a significant impact on the market in the short term.

Saylor doesn't control Bitcoin, but the size of Strategy's Bitcoin holding gives him the ability to influence short term price movement. There is no denying that.

[MarryWithBTC]

...The poll will be open for three months but the thread will be open until the end of the year.

I guess you forgot to close the poll as promised. I voted for "No" and not surprised that it is the answer that is leading the vote. The market does not move in sharp reverse direction within a short period of time. One window closes before another opens, so we are expecting another ATH after halving. Although in the previous circle, it happened earlier.

The price was about $87k when this thread was created and it dragged to the 50's region and now back to the 60's. Seeing another 80 in the bear market is a miracle. This means that a new ATH this year is just impossible.

Looking for ATH, wait for 2028-2029

[cryptomaniac_xxx]

Looking for ATH, wait for 2028-2029

It's obvious that after the thread was created, we've seen the heart of the bear market. And with that said, we won't see any new all time high and most likely the next will come after the next halving.

But the thing is that most of us who have been in the market for so long knows that we will be in the bear market. So we started the accumulation phase once the price goes done hard. And the good thing is that we have been trending in the high $50k'ish to $65k so that is still a good entry point. We should forget about Michael for know, what we should focus is how to build our portfolio.

[dwyane36]

Looking for ATH, wait for 2028-2029

Given that during the previous cycle, it took BTC a full three years to rise from a low around $15k to a new ATH around $125k, the forecast for the next new ATH in 2028-29 makes sense. In that case, I think BTC would need to finally hit bottom by the end of 2026 and start rallying again in 2027.

[ultrloa]

Looking for ATH, wait for 2028-2029

Given that during the previous cycle, it took BTC a full three years to rise from a low around $15k to a new ATH around $125k, the forecast for the next new ATH in 2028-29 makes sense. In that case, I think BTC would need to finally hit bottom by the end of 2026 and start rallying again in 2027.

I'm reading lots of articles and those articles points out that we are going to go up despite of those challenges happen for this year.

It seems that sentiments change now and now they are thinking positive that Bitcoin will go up.

https://www.gate.com/learn/articles/bitcoin-price-forecast-for-2026-cycle-dynamics-halving-effects-and-potential-target-ranges/15219

https://www.forbes.com/sites/digital-assets/2026/01/01/what-is-bitcoins-price-prediction-for-2026/

Well let see if there's more dump will occur, but looking how market behave this days it seems that the next trend is Bitcoin will enter on its recovery phase.

[MarryWithBTC]

Looking for ATH, wait for 2028-2029

Given that during the previous cycle, it took BTC a full three years to rise from a low around $15k to a new ATH around $125k, the forecast for the next new ATH in 2028-29 makes sense. In that case, I think BTC would need to finally hit bottom by the end of 2026 and start rallying again in 2027.

I'm reading lots of articles and those articles points out that we are going to go up despite of those challenges happen for this year.

It seems that sentiments change now and now they are thinking positive that Bitcoin will go up.

Bitcoin going up any moment is also not a bad projection, given that we saw an ATH in the last circle before halving.

This circle halving will happen in the first quarter of 2028, so seeing another ATH in the last quarter of 2027 is very possible.

Meanwhile all these projections will happen from 2027. IMO, we will not see miracles the remaining months of this year, instead we should expect some unnecessary dramas caused by the clarity and genius bills.

[Popkon6]

Bitcoin price was a little low at the beginning of this month, Bitcoin price touched $66.9k again. Bitcoin price stood tall but due to high selling pressure, it started moving downward again. It has been going on like this for two months but since this July Bitcoin price is improving a little but I guess Bitcoin price will definitely touch $70k.
Now the price has corrected slightly and touched $65k, any time Bitcoin price will rise again and will make a position above $70k. So this time is the best time to hold Bitcoin.

[tokeweed]

^  Here's the funny part tho and we've seen it happen again and again.  The minute it goes to 70k - 72k, assuming that it goes there, some of the guys who bought around that range would prolly sell if the price doesn't move above that.  And remember, we're in a bear market...  There's a thing people like to say during bear markets and that's the opposite of 'buy the dip'...  Sell the rips. 

[STT]

We're in a bear maybe market, the 50 day average is rising now so the fight back in slow motion is underway.   I'll stick to my previous guess which is this entire year is the schedule, it takes so long to turn this ship around it'll be December before we can really hope for higher on a regular basis.
  A good fight is a positive even if people want to call it a bear still, its a fight higher not a clear path like the last time we had a nice run to 100k.  When the 200 day simple moving average is also ascending we can celebrate proper; I dont think it'll shoot up it'll sell off still but on average I think rise.

[Shussainshah]

^  Here's the funny part tho and we've seen it happen again and again.  The minute it goes to 70k - 72k, assuming that it goes there, some of the guys who bought around that range would prolly sell if the price doesn't move above that.  And remember, we're in a bear market...  There's a thing people like to say during bear markets and that's the opposite of 'buy the dip'...  Sell the rips. 

Bear market is just started and btc can make a new bottom arround $40k to $45k in the comming month. Last fed meeting remained unchanged the rate and also clarity act Bill is not pass. I think btc can do a consolidation zone between $55k to $58k and then break it to make a new Bottom in 2026. After making the bottom you Can "Buy The Dip" there Huh. But it's just my predictions I don't know anyone can predict the perfect Bottom of btc. Clarity Act Bill will be pass in August and Hope at that's time Fed can do some changes in Rate Cut So if all the things goes Correctly then Btc can Break this long resistance and going towards a new all time high but not this year. The chances to make a new all time high are very much possible in the 2027

[internetional]

We're in a bear maybe market

Even if Bitcoin is in a bear market, the dollar is in a bear market too. I would not risk keeping my savings in dollars. And I am increasingly reading and hearing people express similar views.

Sooner or later, once enough people think this way, the shift will become qualitative, and the dollar could collapse against every other unit of account, including Bitcoin. I would not rule out such a collapse happening as early as this year.

So I answered "yes."

[bbc.reporter]

The investments in the cryptospace made this year by these very big financial institutions mentioned in this article might not cause an all time high for this year, however, will it cause an all time high for next  year?

This is very much possible, I reckon. The cryptospace has been very much different from what we have witnessed it before. Presently, traditional finance and governments are beginning to support it. But what might cause another weaker bull market might be if am anticrypto Democrat becomes president on 2028 in America ehehehehe.



A pair of financial institutions managing more than $1 trillion each approved crypto products this summer, a shift Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley says shows large firms are expanding crypto access even during a bear market.

"This year everyone just put on the crypto jersey," Horsley said during an interview with CoinDesk. "Everyone works for crypto now."

"This summer two financial institutions that manage over a trillion dollars of investor savings and wealth looked at this space in a bear market and said, we want to make this available to our clients.”

Bitwise did not identify the firms or answer questions about what the approvals allow or when client access begins. Horsley said financial institutions of that size were not opening access during the 2022 downturn.

Read in full https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/08/13/the-long-bitcoin-short-the-bankers-era-is-officially-over-as-tradfi-giants-embrace-digital-assets

[Emeraldo]

The investments in the cryptospace made this year by these very big financial institutions mentioned in this article might not cause an all time high for this year, however, will it cause an all time high for next  year?

I don't think any manipulation in the market can make the price of Bitcoin to pump this year and not even next year to reach an all time high. There has been proof that we are in the bear market and we should not expect any speculation that will illustration a pump when the market has been struggling to $80k level for months.

This is very much possible, I reckon. The cryptospace has been very much different from what we have witnessed it before. Presently, traditional finance and governments are beginning to support it. But what might cause another weaker bull market might be if am anticrypto Democrat becomes president on 2028 in America ehehehehe.

I don't know if the Democrats will be the next party to emerge as the next US president after Trump. If Trump can play his card very well, we might be seeing another president from same party, although I don't know the possibility of this happening but the people's choice will determine the winner.

[Wind_FURY]

There's a higher probability that Bitcoin might NOT surge to another All Time High this year, BUT Bitcoin we know a more important part of the Cycle.

 - Bitcoin has already made its All Time Low of the Cycle, giving everyone another Golden Opportunity to Buy the DIP and HODL.

Congratulations.

[STT]

The lows count more then a new high and the story there is positive.  At end of July I should have been more optimistic at that point as post low we had reacted positively and regained then held above 50 day average pretty consistently.
   Not nominally a great gain but it was progression which counts as do the lows ironically matter more then the highs.

I look back at that instance for a contrast to now and again we arent making exciting gains but progression is there.   The lows remain above the peaks of August and September start and recently BTC regained the weekly average.  Today the weekly bar will close retaining those positives which helps seal the deal.  I dont estimate a new high but BTC is positive for a great many weeks now.

[arwin100]

There's a higher probability that Bitcoin might NOT surge to another All Time High this year, BUT Bitcoin we know a more important part of the Cycle.

 - Bitcoin has already made its All Time Low of the Cycle, giving everyone another Golden Opportunity to Buy the DIP and HODL.

Congratulations.

Right and hard to expect something more bigger than what we experience nowadays, but still its good sight to look at that Bitcoin is testing up the waters to climb back at 6 digits.

We might not see a new all time high this year, the current pump happened is good for Bitcoin because it helps many people including those doubters to trust and decide to accumulate again.

Recent dumps also the recovery situation indicates there's no long dumps happen or Bitcoin is far away to die, if they just accumulate they already made profits when Bitcoin climbs back the same as what we have seen on current price right now.