With how things are going recently, I’m starting to believe that some games are really rigged. I won’t mention the specific league here, since I don’t want to offend the die hard fans.
But if my assessment is right, then sports betting may not be something we can beat through analysis alone. You can spend hours checking stats, injuries, and matchups, but if the result is already controlled, then all that analysis becomes useless.
Maybe the better thing to study is how the line moves, where most bettors are placing their money, and whether there is a trap. If most people are on one side, maybe the value is on the other side.
I will say here that if sports are not happening at the local level, then there is no possibility of rigging, especially top-level sports like football, cricket, etc. We have seen match fixing in these sports in the past, but it has become very rare these days. We don't see match stories at all, especially in international and prestigious tournaments.
So, from a perspective, I would never say that doing analysis is useless in sports betting.
However, we must remember that there is no guarantee that we will win in sports betting by doing analysis because everything depends on your luck.