Outrights 26/27 season for reference

[Brizi5000]

If I were going to place a huge bet, I would back Bayern Munich to win the title at odds of 1.16.
After all, there isn't a single team in the Bundesliga that can really challenge Bayern. In my opinion, the odds should have been 1.06.
Arsenal has been given odds of 1.05; even at 1.50, that would be a huge risk. There are so many title contenders in the Premier League, whereas the situation in the Bundesliga is completely different. Bayern Munich has won the championship 15 times in the last 20 years. Based on these statistics, 1.16 is an attractive price.

The premier league is a very competitive league and the 1.05 odd giving to Arsenal to win the league does not justify the high competitiveness of the league. Last season Arsenal won the league ahead of city with just 7 points and this comes after serious criticism from fans about how Arsenal are a league bottler team. I would avoid that Odd because Arsenal have been known as a team that always bottle their chances of winning a trophy when it matters, they can be at the top of the table for majority of the season but towards the end of the season they start dropping points. Last season I think they’ve grown and showed some strong mentality but I still do not trust them yet to win a back to back premier league title.

[KTChampions]

As I wrote, I decided to increase my position (on the right is the old bet, on the left is the new one). Even though Kimi won the Italian Grand Prix and significantly improved his title chances (which had a significant impact on the odds), thanks to PSG's failures, the final odds are even better.
Tomorrow the shortlist for the Ballon d'Or will be announced (I don't know why they took so long this year) and the voting will begin. I expect the odds for Kane to fall. Damn, they've already dropped from 2.0 (which I managed to bet on) to 1.61. Hmm... it still seems like a good level to increase the position.

[mak013]

As I wrote, I decided to increase my position (on the right is the old bet, on the left is the new one). Even though Kimi won the Italian Grand Prix and significantly improved his title chances (which had a significant impact on the odds), thanks to PSG's failures, the final odds are even better.
Tomorrow the shortlist for the Ballon d'Or will be announced (I don't know why they took so long this year) and the voting will begin. I expect the odds for Kane to fall. Damn, they've already dropped from 2.0 (which I managed to bet on) to 1.61. Hmm... it still seems like a good level to increase the position.

Was it your plan from the start to increase your stake? I'm curious because the drop in Kimi Antonelli's odds completely ate into the potential profit. If boosting your bet as the odds moved was part of a calculated strategy, then I get it. But if this was a last-minute call, I think you'd have been better off swapping Kimi for another pick - or just not increasing the bet at all.

[KTChampions]

As I wrote, I decided to increase my position (on the right is the old bet, on the left is the new one). Even though Kimi won the Italian Grand Prix and significantly improved his title chances (which had a significant impact on the odds), thanks to PSG's failures, the final odds are even better.
Tomorrow the shortlist for the Ballon d'Or will be announced (I don't know why they took so long this year) and the voting will begin. I expect the odds for Kane to fall. Damn, they've already dropped from 2.0 (which I managed to bet on) to 1.61. Hmm... it still seems like a good level to increase the position.

Was it your plan from the start to increase your stake? I'm curious because the drop in Kimi Antonelli's odds completely ate into the potential profit. If boosting your bet as the odds moved was part of a calculated strategy, then I get it. But if this was a last-minute call, I think you'd have been better off swapping Kimi for another pick - or just not increasing the bet at all.

But the profit has increased, the screenshot should be read from right to left, the overall coefficient was 1.66 and became 1.77. Kimi's position now looks rock solid - even if he misses two races and Russell wins two, Kimi will still remain the leader. Yes, he's like pig from a poke and no one expected such a performance from him this season, but more than half the season is over, and the numbers/results don't lie. So even 16% I consider a good deal here. There is no need to comment on Bayern, PSG may continue to be in crisis (however, this is a standard start to the season for them).
As for the Ballon d'Or, the shortlist was published today (no surprises), and the odds haven't moved at all. My theory is that, due to a self-fulfilling prophecy, Kane's chances will improve. While the best time to bet on him was when the odds were 2.0, betting on him now will be more reliable.

[Rashlyowl]

The premier league is a very competitive league and the 1.05 odd giving to Arsenal to win the league does not justify the high competitiveness of the league. Last season Arsenal won the league ahead of city with just 7 points and this comes after serious criticism from fans about how Arsenal are a league bottler team. I would avoid that Odd because Arsenal have been known as a team that always bottle their chances of winning a trophy when it matters, they can be at the top of the table for majority of the season but towards the end of the season they start dropping points. Last season I think they’ve grown and showed some strong mentality but I still do not trust them yet to win a back to back premier league title.

You should be more careful in reading bros @Brizi5000, the 1.05 odds Arsenal got were not for winning the league. Odds of 1.05 are for Arsenal finishing in the league's top 6 & it is still reasonable to envision them in the top 5 by the end of the season. If it comes to winning the league, I think Arsenal should get around 2.00 - 3.00.

[Brizi5000]

The premier league is a very competitive league and the 1.05 odd giving to Arsenal to win the league does not justify the high competitiveness of the league. Last season Arsenal won the league ahead of city with just 7 points and this comes after serious criticism from fans about how Arsenal are a league bottler team. I would avoid that Odd because Arsenal have been known as a team that always bottle their chances of winning a trophy when it matters, they can be at the top of the table for majority of the season but towards the end of the season they start dropping points. Last season I think they’ve grown and showed some strong mentality but I still do not trust them yet to win a back to back premier league title.

You should be more careful in reading bros @Brizi5000, the 1.05 odds Arsenal got were not for winning the league. Odds of 1.05 are for Arsenal finishing in the league's top 6 & it is still reasonable to envision them in the top 5 by the end of the season. If it comes to winning the league, I think Arsenal should get around 2.00 - 3.00.

Thanks for bringing it to my notice as I was making my post based on the idea of what the user I quoted was saying about Arsenal being a title contender . Even at that, i think the premier league is the hardest league right now and Arsenal with a 1.05 odd to finish in the top 6 needs a little upgrade because so many teams now are fighting for that position, last season we saw what happened to Chelsea they couldn’t finish in the top 6 despite being one of the biggest clubs in the premier league. But i think the odd was given to Arsenal because they are just coming from the back of being the last winner of the league.

[mak013]

Was it your plan from the start to increase your stake? I'm curious because the drop in Kimi Antonelli's odds completely ate into the potential profit. If boosting your bet as the odds moved was part of a calculated strategy, then I get it. But if this was a last-minute call, I think you'd have been better off swapping Kimi for another pick - or just not increasing the bet at all.

But the profit has increased, the screenshot should be read from right to left, the overall coefficient was 1.66 and became 1.77. Kimi's position now looks rock solid - even if he misses two races and Russell wins two, Kimi will still remain the leader. Yes, he's like pig from a poke and no one expected such a performance from him this season, but more than half the season is over, and the numbers/results don't lie. So even 16% I consider a good deal here. There is no need to comment on Bayern, PSG may continue to be in crisis (however, this is a standard start to the season for them).
As for the Ballon d'Or, the shortlist was published today (no surprises), and the odds haven't moved at all. My theory is that, due to a self-fulfilling prophecy, Kane's chances will improve. While the best time to bet on him was when the odds were 2.0, betting on him now will be more reliable.

Yeah, I checked it And I noticed that if Kimi's odds hadn't dropped, they would have been 1.95 instead of 1.66. That kind of difference definitely makes you want to up the stake I'm curious about the strategy behind it, though - because 11% doesn't seem tempting enough for me to make an impulsive bet. I'd probably have just built a separate parlay instead – maybe with Kane (though that feels too risky for me).

P.S. Then again, an easy 11% is an easy 11% - why not?

[KTChampions]

You should be more careful in reading bros @Brizi5000, the 1.05 odds Arsenal got were not for winning the league. Odds of 1.05 are for Arsenal finishing in the league's top 6 & it is still reasonable to envision them in the top 5 by the end of the season. If it comes to winning the league, I think Arsenal should get around 2.00 - 3.00.

Thanks for bringing it to my notice as I was making my post based on the idea of what the user I quoted was saying about Arsenal being a title contender . Even at that, i think the premier league is the hardest league right now and Arsenal with a 1.05 odd to finish in the top 6 needs a little upgrade because so many teams now are fighting for that position~

Look, you got caught not even fully reading the first post in the thread and spouting nonsense (and by the way, you’re far from the first person in this thread to do that) - so why make up tall tales now about how it happened? If you genuinely failed to grasp that odds of 1.05 don't apply to the Premier League title race, then you really shouldn't be writing anything about betting at all. Go ahead, tell me who is threatening Arsenal's spot in the top six and how it could happen that they fall out of it. And please, no AI.

[KTChampions]

Damn! Barcelona's PR machine is striking! Right now, the odds of Yamal not winning the award are trading at 78 cents - even lower than the price at which I bought in. Fraudicio Scamano, Flick, and even Rodri have spoken out in support of Yamal, but this seems to have rubbed many people the wrong way, and a war between fanboys has now broken out on social media.
To hell with them all - we’re making money here The question remains: is this a chance to buy at better prices, or is it time to come to our senses and avoid the risk, given that the reward is subjective and has already been rigged so many times? Hmm...

[KTChampions]

A single match between England and Spain was enough for the degens visionaries to believe in Yamal again, thereby driving up the payout odds for the outcome "Yamal won't win the Ballon d'Or." The coefficient is 1.35, better than the position I already have, so I will buy more.

By the way, I also took a position on Real Madrid winning the La Liga title. I most likely won't wait for the outcome to be resolved, but will simply sell the position when the reversal occurs. It couldn't get any worse, in my opinion, and the likelihood of a reversal over such a long distance is very high.

[KTChampions]

Let’s thank the entire PSG football club for the wonderful opportunities! 

https://polymarket.com/event/epl-2027-champion-20260701200428749

Maybe I’m blind and missing something, but when the tournament leader is priced at 1 to 5, I just have to place a bet. Now I have placed an order at 18 cents, I hope it will be filled. Then again, there’s probably no point in being greedy, I could have just bought in at 19 cents. But I am greedy.
Can someone explain this nonsense: City, which are 3 points ahead of Arsenal, have odds almost identical to Real Madrid, which are 6 points behind Barcelona?  I can’t figure out who has lost touch with reality - the bookmakers or me.

[KTChampions]

~
The odds for the top scorers have also started to change: Haaland 1.66 -> 1.56, Mbappe 1.57 - 1.28 (lol!). Unfortunately, Mbappe was not in my bets and now it’s too late.
~

By the way, the current odds are 2.0 for Mbappé and 1.90 for Raphinha. Despite Barcelona’s prolific scoring, I think Mbappé will take the prize, as he usually does. It’s a pity I didn’t check the odds back when Raphinha had nearly twice as many goals, the situation is much more balanced now. I think it makes sense to build a position, especially ahead of the Clásico!
In the Premier League, everything is running like clockwork, Haaland is performing like a machine, with his odds now at 1.33. His closest rivals are João Pedro at 9.0, and that rat Isak at 10.0.

[KTChampions]

Well, it’s time to count some profits!



+45% return on one of the most obvious outcomes can be considered a good profit i suppose 
It’s worth noting, however, that there were some unsettling moments - for instance, when Yamal suddenly surged into the top spot. At the time, it wasn’t clear whether this was just a brazen PR stunt or some sort of clumsy manipulation. Fortunately, I didn’t give in to panic, instead, I used that moment to increase my position.

Right now, I think it’s worth taking a position on Mbappé as La Liga’s top scorer. The numbers he’s putting up are something Raphinha couldn’t even dream of.