Would you buy a Parlay bet if you’re offered one?

[viljy]

So he offered to sell the game to me, added an extra $50 to the cashout amount.

What do you mean with this sentence? You mean the bettor added $50 to the amount he want to cash out and sold you the bet slip? I believe I am wrong with this but I will like you to explain better.

We can not just decide if you should buy the bet slip, you will need to let us know the four matches left to be played?

Okay what I mean is that, he was actually offered a cashout of around $70 so he said he had an emergency and the $70 cashout won’t be enough to cover for the emergency, thus the reason why he decided to sell it in the first place, so instead of cashing out the  $70, he added an extra $50 to the $70 making it a total of $120, so he’s offering to sell the game for $120. That’s what I meant.

I wouldn’t buy it. He wants to get another $50 more than what the bookmaker would pay him now. It’s clear that this is much more than the bookmaker’s margin (since the total payout is $70, and the margin can’t be 70+% because that would distort the odds too much compared to other bookmakers. So, it’s as if you’re being offered to pay for the risk calculated by the bookmaker at a higher price, as if it were a smaller risk...

PS: explanation: 100% * 50 / 70 ~ 71% indicates that $50 is likely more than the bookmaker’s margin for the matches that have already been played.

[Smartprofit]

I wouldn't buy this bet. 🙋

If this bet really had a high probability of making you a profit, your friend wouldn't have sold it to you. What's the point? He'd take the winnings and pop the champagne! Nobody turns down a great opportunity!

In my opinion, the whole point of this situation is that this unplayed accumulator is a very risky proposition... Your friend doesn't want to take the risk and is looking for someone who will take on all the risks and pay an extra $50 for it. In my opinion, this is a very bad deal!

A good deal is one with high profit potential and low risk. The question is... Where can you find such a deal? 🤔

I will not just make conclusion that I will buy the bet. What if one or two or three of the remaining matches are highly risky? What if the person use the opportunity to earn money and actually not using money to do anything? I can not know human mind. I will make sure I analyze the remaining bets before making any deal.

In my opinion, a four-way parlay bet is very risky. Personally, I'm not ready for such a big risk. 🙋

I'm generally a staunch opponent of parlay bets. Yes, there was a time in my life when I was playing roulette in a real casino and had a long winning streak (red/black). After each win, I even bought myself a shot of absinthe. But that was crazy, and I wouldn't want to repeat it.

A parlay bet always carries a huge risk, since to win in such bets you need to be absolutely right (make the right prediction every time). I don't know about other players, but I often make mistakes and incorrect predictions. Moreover, each bet in a parlay chain usually involves paying a margin to the bookmaker. Personally, I don't want to overpay for the pleasure of making such bets. 🧖

[Africolo]

I don’t know if anyone has been in a tough situation like this before. A situation where someone offers to sell a parlay game that’s already halfway through.
Here’s what really happened, a friend of mine offered to sell a 10 leg parlay bet which is already halfway done, 6 games are already green with a pretty good cashout option and 4 games left to clear the slip. So he offered to sell the game to me, added an extra $50 to the cashout amount.

If the game eventually pulls off, I’ll be making more than 5x of what I bought it, but it’s a really tough decision to make because there’s really no guarantee that it’s gonna end in a win.
What would you do if you were in my shoes, Buy or Pass?

This is just a clear trap that that friend wants you to fall in because if the game was okay why will he sell a parlay that will be profitable to him to another person?, this means there are hidden consequences behind him wanting to sell such games or maybe he must have noticed or seen the possibility that the game is not going to play that's why he is trying to sell it, there are too many questions to which he needs to answer before such game can be bought and ordinary I can't even buy a game that's halfway played because it's just a trap as we know it doesn't have a 100% change that it will play.

If I were to be in your shoes I won't buy such games because there is more to why he is selling the game and not waiting for him to win it by himself so it's very suspicious no matter the amount involved in it. Parlay has so much risk involved and no good gambler will accept to buy that kind of game knowing the high risk so I will pass and not buy.

[KiaKia]

I don't like that idea of paying someone for a sure match, because it doesn't mean they will be right too, this type of move is for dullard people who can't do their own research, even AI predictions relies heavily on data analysis, why can't you do the same?

Also I guess too many gamblers cares too much about winning that's why they give attention to things like this, I don't have to do it, because it's not as if this is the ultimate solution to gambling and sport bets, they can fail just as much as doing it myself.

I will keep saying it, anyone who knows what they are doing won't rely so much on sport bets or gambling, they will take risks on it base on what they can only afford to lose..

[Mate2237]

6 greens out of 10 games isn't a guarantee that the game is going to play out successfully, the person that made that made the bet originally staked less than that amount that he is selling the game and if the game isn't successful the buyer would be in a major loss. Buying a parlay cause it is more than a half way through isn't really a good idea, if I'm aware of the fact that the person is making a bet I would also stake on it, this is far better than buying a ticket and risking more Just because you think that there is a chance that the game might play out.

Parlays can be very tricky, all it takes is for one game to ruin your entire ticket, this is what makes it very dangerous and buying it is a bad idea, even though It's just a game left out of ten I would not buy it.

[Pandorak]

I don’t know if anyone has been in a tough situation like this before. A situation where someone offers to sell a parlay game that’s already halfway through.
Here’s what really happened, a friend of mine offered to sell a 10 leg parlay bet which is already halfway done, 6 games are already green with a pretty good cashout option and 4 games left to clear the slip. So he offered to sell the game to me, added an extra $50 to the cashout amount.

If the game eventually pulls off, I’ll be making more than 5x of what I bought it, but it’s a really tough decision to make because there’s really no guarantee that it’s gonna end in a win.
What would you do if you were in my shoes, Buy or Pass?

To be honest, this is a very tempting offer. Imagine out of 10 matches, you’ve already secured 6 wins and only have 4 left, the potential profit is also huge if you win them all. However, there are certainly risks to consider, especially since you’re placing the bet not with your initial capital but based on the cashout amount offered at that time.. Personally, i’d evaluate the remaining 4 matches. If i think the potential for winning all four is high, i'm going to buy it, but if i’m not confident, i’ll just turn it down or suggest that he cash it out if he really needs the money.

[Makus]

I would not do that, I prefer to stake on a bet with the amount of money that I choose because the risks is lower than buying at an expensive rate from someone just because you think that the game has a few more runs to go. It is not common knowledge that parlays can be very disappointing and even though you Just have a single game left there is still a chance that you might end up losing your bet. There is nothing like a sure match or bet, doing this puts you under a lot of risks. There are lot of risks involved in playing parlays that's why it's always preferable to stake low when betting on them.

And I don't always trust deals like this, why is he deciding to sell the game and what would be the case if the entire bet slip turns out to be Green, wouldn't he change his mind about it?

[m2017]

I don’t know if anyone has been in a tough situation like this before. A situation where someone offers to sell a parlay game that’s already halfway through.
Here’s what really happened, a friend of mine offered to sell a 10 leg parlay bet which is already halfway done, 6 games are already green with a pretty good cashout option and 4 games left to clear the slip. So he offered to sell the game to me, added an extra $50 to the cashout amount.

If the game eventually pulls off, I’ll be making more than 5x of what I bought it, but it’s a really tough decision to make because there’s really no guarantee that it’s gonna end in a win.
What would you do if you were in my shoes, Buy or Pass?

I would definitely pass on it; I wouldn't want to take the risk, as correctly predicting 10 leg parlay bets (or even just the remaining 4, given that 6 have already been won) would be extremely difficult. The reason your friend is selling this leg parlay bet is to offset his current risk - he doubts he’ll actually win all 10 legs. I think that instead of multiplying your stake fivefold, you are far more likely to lose both the current buyout cashout amount + $50.

By the way, I hope you’ll let us know what you decide to do and how this 10-leg parlay bets turns out (whether it ends up being a win or a lose).

[Curious T]

I can't do that kind of business. Let him take the cashout if he wants to. There is a reason the bet company didn't add the extra 50 dollars he wants from you. If he is sure of the remaining four games, he should leave it, if he's not sure, then he should take the cashout and move on. Looking for a way to get extra money is greed. You would lose the most if the bet doesn't play. I would pass. It would be a hard decision for me. Even if he offered it to me at the exact amount the bet company gave to him, I would still pass. let him take the cashout of look for someone else that would do business with him.

[Su-asa]

6 greens out of 10 games isn't a guarantee that the game is going to play out successfully, the person that made that made the bet originally staked less than that amount that he is selling the game and if the game isn't successful the buyer would be in a major loss.

The truth is that things happen under different circumstances; let's use Nigeria as an example. Here in Nigeria, I believe we already know that most people normally bet at physical betting stores, and at a physical betting store you will get your betting slip on paper; you can take a picture of it if you want, just in case you misplace it before the end of the games, but still you have to keep it safe because that's your claim that you won the bet as without it you have no other evidence that you won a bet or even go close to store.
My point is, in life, many things happen; just because you can't do that doesn't mean it's totally wrong, as long as it doesn't lead to scams or affect anyone mentally or financially. Well, I get your point clearly, but to me, if anyone is taking a calculated risk, then it's fine; but if they are taking a risk blindly, then it should be a problem

[iv4n]

I don’t know if anyone has been in a tough situation like this before. A situation where someone offers to sell a parlay game that’s already halfway through.

We had similar threads in the past... actually this is something that happens here & there, especially if you are hanging out in betting shops, casinos, and meet people who bet a lot. There's always something going on there...

What would you do if you were in my shoes, Buy or Pass?

Well, you should know the best... It's your friend, is he usually winning or losing? You saw the parlay & games left, so what do you think about them? It's a decision you need to make, and you know whether it's "buy or pass". The rest can just blindly guess & gamble on picking "what's the best thing you can do in your situation".

[Findingnemo]

I simply won't accept the offer, it may not make sense or does but I would simply ignore anything that can have complicated results because people often fail to honour their words if the results are in favor of them. Imagine all the 10 games come as green, do you think that friend will say okay you won the amount and withdraw to your wallet or he will blame you for cheating the winning amount.

[Junii]

I don’t know if anyone has been in a tough situation like this before. A situation where someone offers to sell a parlay game that’s already halfway through.
Here’s what really happened, a friend of mine offered to sell a 10 leg parlay bet which is already halfway done, 6 games are already green with a pretty good cashout option and 4 games left to clear the slip. So he offered to sell the game to me, added an extra $50 to the cashout amount.

If the game eventually pulls off, I’ll be making more than 5x of what I bought it, but it’s a really tough decision to make because there’s really no guarantee that it’s gonna end in a win.
What would you do if you were in my shoes, Buy or Pass?

I think i will pass because as u said 6 games are already in green but four games are still left and those four games carry the whole risks. No doubt a 5x return is attractive return majority of people get it with a lot of struggle but without understanding the true odds of those four remaining games it is hard to say that there is an edge i mean the profits are not guarantee. If the price is good then go on take the risk but first of all find the reason why your friend wants to sell it if he has an edge.   

[Sunshine1525]

I simply won't accept the offer, it may not make sense or does but I would simply ignore anything that can have complicated results because people often fail to honour their words if the results are in favor of them. Imagine all the 10 games come as green, do you think that friend will say okay you won the amount and withdraw to your wallet or he will blame you for cheating the winning amount.

I'll do same too cause there's no guarantee that the remaining 4 out of the 10 games would make me win, even the bettor is not confident that his remaining games would be green talk more of me, instead of selling the game I'll advise him to take the cashout since it's a fair amount, then use some of it to stake on the remaining 4 games.

If it was remaining a game, i doubt the bettor would sell that parley, maybe the odds for one of the remaining games increased which made him lose confidence that it would be green so he thought of seling it, I'll never accept such offer.

[Inior]

I would definitely pass because there is no point in buying a running ticket from someone knowing fully well that betting can be very unpredictable, it would be a foolish move for anyone to think that winning such game is guaranteed. if I'm offered such i would decline immediately and I have several reasons why I'm going to do that, one thing that is going to discourage me is that fact that the bettor can decide to claim the bet after winning and this would lead to a dispute, for those that are smart rhey would think about the possibility of this happening and do their best to avoid it.
Bettors or gamblers can be very funny, they can say something now and change their mind at any point as though they made no such statement.

[danadc]

I would buy it, but only to try my luck. It's better to buy it this way than to buy a raffle ticket that ends on a specific day, and you only get one number. With a parlay, the bet is already placed; you just have to wait or withdraw. If you want to take a chance at the end, that's another story, but I would buy it only to stay until the end. That's why I'm saying, I would treat it like a raffle and try my luck. It's not a bad idea to do it once in a while.

[Yorubek]

I would definitely pass because there is no point in buying a running ticket from someone knowing fully well that betting can be very unpredictable, it would be a foolish move for anyone to think that winning such game is guaranteed. if I'm offered such i would decline immediately and I have several reasons why I'm going to do that, one thing that is going to discourage me is that fact that the bettor can decide to claim the bet after winning and this would lead to a dispute, for those that are smart rhey would think about the possibility of this happening and do their best to avoid it.
Bettors or gamblers can be very funny, they can say something now and change their mind at any point as though they made no such statement.

The greed for money completely destroys humanity. Gambling is for enjoy why should we spend money on such parlay bets? There is no guarantee of winning money through gambling, so any result can be obtained through betting. I think it is complete madness to bet more with extra risk in the hope of making more money. If my main goal or purpose through gambling is to enjoy entertainment, then I will definitely bet on single bets, not parlay bets. Where the profit is high, the possibility of losing money is relatively high. Therefore, it is very important to bet within your means.

[Johnlomape]

I don’t know if anyone has been in a tough situation like this before. A situation where someone offers to sell a parlay game that’s already halfway through.

What would you do if you were in my shoes, Buy or Pass?

Buying a parley game can be risky without knowing the outcome and it's one of the risk we have to take as gamblers when trying to make profits from gambling. If the real owner of the bet is not interested in the game and feel like they want to cashout the available amount showing for the bet, it's not a bad idea if you buy the game but you must also know that anything can happen at the end because their is no guarantee for you if you allow the game to play through awaiting the outcome. You could become lucky to see the parly game ending in your favour or you could also be disappointed to see that the game ended in a lose for you to bear the lose.

[Grace333]

Personally, I don't like to buy bet codes, although there are reviews and testimonies about people who won after buying those codes, but I don't like it. There have been several cases of scams concerning these parlay betting codes that are being sold and due to the belief that it works, a lot of people, on the other hand have gambled with way more than they should. I believe those games are being predicted by a human like myself and there is actually no sure or guaranteed prediction.

[Leahized]

If the game eventually pulls off, I’ll be making more than 5x of what I bought it, but it’s a really tough decision to make because there’s really no guarantee that it’s gonna end in a win.
What would you do if you were in my shoes, Buy or Pass?

 I think it's not logical to have such daydreams. If I were in your place, I would never agree to this proposal. Betting uncertain win and parlays involve much more risk. Although the first 6 matches are green, the last 4 matches may not win. In parlays, I keep a maximum of 5 matches but I have never won. If your friend bets on the best team, I still wouldn't express interest in buying. If the bet was guaranteed to win, he would never have made a selling proposal.

Therefore, I think it's foolish to take excessive risks focusing on 5 times profit. In the end, it unexpectedly drains all the money.