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Author Topic: Could This Be a Pattern Or Strategy That Works  (Read 912 times)
KTChampions
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September 13, 2026, 02:53:57 PM
 #21

So recently I decided to try out a live betting strategy instead of betting on the match before it starts I patiently wait until the game is far into the second half but since it is something that I have been studying for a while I deligently wait and take out time to test my theory. What I do is that I place a bet on the team winning with 2 goals ahead during the 80th minute knowing that it would be difficult for their opponents to equalize at that dying minute, I simply use that to my advantage. N/B:I only make this bets when I find such opportunities instead of forcing them. The only down side to this is that the odds can be extremely small and this might require you to take stake high on each bet. I have made four different bets so far and I have been on a winning streak, even though the profits are quite small but it's a work in progress. As someone that has a level of experience with sports betting I know it is possible for the opponent to equalize with the team that's 2 or 3 goals ahead within a space of two minutes, nothing is totally guaranteed.
Has anyone ever tried this?

Are you sure you're actually doing this, and didn't just completely make it up?  Wink
It seems to me that if you were actually doing this, you could cite specific figures instead of just saying the "odds are very low". As for the fact that you won four bets, there is nothing surprising about that, since at this stage of the game, given such a significant advantage, the odds generally fall within the 1.03 - 1.05 range (assuming the favorite wins). Place at least 20 such bets, or better 100 and then we’ll see the results.

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September 13, 2026, 02:54:03 PM
 #22

First of all, there is no strategy that "works" all the time. Plenty of people have tried this exact method, and it is a classic trap in sports betting.

Have you calculated how many consecutive wins you need just to break even if you hit one loss? For example, betting on a two-goal lead at the 80th minute might give you odds like 1.02 or 1.05. If you risk $100 to make $2, you have to win 50 times in a row just to recover one single loss.

Winning four bets in a row feels great, but is too small of a sample size to prove anything.

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September 13, 2026, 02:58:02 PM
 #23

What I do is that I place a bet on the team winning with 2 goals ahead during the 80th minute knowing that it would be difficult for their opponents to equalize at that dying minute, I simply use that to my advantage.

Have you ever heard about Chasing pennies in front of a steamroller? Cheesy
What you call winning streak is actually taking massive risk for tiny profit.
Odds for those team leading by 2 goal in 80th minute will never exceed 1.01 to 1.05.
This mean if you stake $100 at odds of 1.02, your profit is a mere $2. Lol. Tongue
But if that match somehow end in draw or opponent pull off any incredible comeback then you will lose that entire $100.

So to cover your one loss you would need to win 50 to 100 match in a row! Winning just 4 match won't make any dent in that loss.

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September 13, 2026, 02:59:17 PM
 #24

So recently I decided to try out a live betting strategy instead of betting on the match before it starts I patiently wait until the game is far into the second half but since it is something that I have been studying for a while I deligently wait and take out time to test my theory. What I do is that I place a bet on the team winning with 2 goals ahead during the 80th minute knowing that it would be difficult for their opponents to equalize at that dying minute, I simply use that to my advantage. N/B:I only make this bets when I find such opportunities instead of forcing them. The only down side to this is that the odds can be extremely small and this might require you to take stake high on each bet. I have made four different bets so far and I have been on a winning streak, even though the profits are quite small but it's a work in progress. As someone that has a level of experience with sports betting I know it is possible for the opponent to equalize with the team that's 2 or 3 goals ahead within a space of two minutes, nothing is totally guaranteed.
Has anyone ever tried this?
First, this is a strategy because it is very obvious that all gamblers should have a experience of such strategy and one thing that is funny about this strategy is  that, i as a gambler will not like to consider playing with such option because once you decide to be staking on a live betting, it simply means that such a gambler will not gambling with what he/she can afford to lose anymore because staking on a live games that has gotten to 80 minutes of the second half of the game, it means that for you to win big from the small odds that is remaining from the initial odds given when the game has not started, you will needing a high staking power and some time you might still end up losing, OP was just lucky to have seen winning from it because i think there is no options that i have not tried, as far as football predictions is concerned.

R


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September 13, 2026, 03:00:44 PM
 #25

So recently I decided to try out a live betting strategy instead of betting on the match before it starts I patiently wait until the game is far into the second half but since it is something that I have been studying for a while I deligently wait and take out time to test my theory. What I do is that I place a bet on the team winning with 2 goals ahead during the 80th minute knowing that it would be difficult for their opponents to equalize at that dying minute, I simply use that to my advantage. N/B:I only make this bets when I find such opportunities instead of forcing them. The only down side to this is that the odds can be extremely small and this might require you to take stake high on each bet. I have made four different bets so far and I have been on a winning streak, even though the profits are quite small but it's a work in progress. As someone that has a level of experience with sports betting I know it is possible for the opponent to equalize with the team that's 2 or 3 goals ahead within a space of two minutes, nothing is totally guaranteed.
Has anyone ever tried this?
I often bet online, but I don't wait until the 80th minute to place a bet, and I wouldn't call it my strategy.
In my strategy, I only bet on matches I've analyzed. Sometimes the starting odds are too low for me, and they can rise during the game. Or I might increase my bet if things are going well, or place an extra bet on goal difference, for example.
But that's just an add-on to my strategy - for when I have time to watch the match or have money I'd planned to bet but didn't.

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September 13, 2026, 03:08:17 PM
 #26

I often bet online, but I don't wait until the 80th minute to place a bet, and I wouldn't call it my strategy.
In my strategy, I only bet on matches I've analyzed. Sometimes the starting odds are too low for me, and they can rise during the game. Or I might increase my bet if things are going well, or place an extra bet on goal difference, for example.
But that's just an add-on to my strategy - for when I have time to watch the match or have money I'd planned to bet but didn't.
It is a very bad strategy to be going for a very low odd, but I prefer your strategy, I have also used it before and I am still using it. Example was the Arsenal match. I knew Arsenal would win, I waited until the match was 25th minutes before betting, the odd went up. Sunderland first scored at 58th minutes, the odd went up higher, but I did not increase my bet because at that time, I thought Arsenal may fuck up and the cash out was very low and discouraging. But at least I won the money because Arsenal later equalize and won the match. It is a very good strategy.

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September 13, 2026, 03:10:52 PM
 #27

I have never bet like this and I may not feel that much excitement by betting like this. And yes, if the team is two goals ahead in the 80th minute, the odds will be very low, so it is normal that there will be low profit, so those who are used to betting with a high amount of risk and getting a profit of a large amount will not have much fun by betting like this. And if you bet with a higher amount, the profit may be a little higher, but if the opponent team that was behind and was more likely to lose that team wins with a comeback or the match is drawn, then you will suffer a bigger loss. And you will not be able to profit consistently by betting even if you follow any strategy. So it is much less risky to bet responsibly for entertainment purposes rather than betting with the intention of making a profit regularly.

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September 13, 2026, 03:16:21 PM
 #28

Has anyone ever tried this?
I have analyzed this strategy myself for while. To be honest though I didn't make much profit from it.


I know it is possible for the opponent to equalize with the team that's 2 or 3 goals ahead within a space of two minutes, nothing is totally guaranteed.
You’ve admitted yourself that scoring 2 goal in two minutes is possible, football history is full of hundred of such examples.
After 80th minute a red card or VAR penalty or even a late substitution can completely change the complexion of match in final two minute.
In my observation about 25% of goal in football are scored after 75th minute.
During this period trailing team goes on an all out attack while defending team tighten up and begin to make mistake.


Have you ever heard about Chasing pennies in front of a steamroller? Cheesy
LMAO, that was actually pretty funny. Cheesy,  +1 for this.

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September 13, 2026, 03:23:08 PM
 #29

I have used the strategy before, it failed.

It will encourage you to use all the money won also on the next bet, but later in one of the matches, the opportunity will later score and draw or maybe win.

Just be careful about it.

It will let you also spend more time gambling which may not be good.

The odds are so small that it can just be 1.02. $100 to win $2 or less is not worth it.
It is a strategy that works for me many times, but it is very addictive if one is not careful. Especially for those it has favored more, it can make one feel as if winning is certain, and if you are not careful, you may decide to play with an amount that can't be afforded to lose.

Because of the high amounts used in this game and high expectations, it makes one feel tense and scared of losing. It is good when this game is played with understanding and with an amount one can afford to lose.
That is the problem with the strategy, it does not encourage gamblers to use the amount of money that they can afford to lose.

On the gambling sites that I have used it in the past, the odds are not more than 1.02, but some sites still give 1.01 and there was a site that give 1.005 as the match is approaching 90 minutes.

If you risk $100, for 1.02, that means you need to play 50 of the bets before you can earn 2 odds. Is it possible that the gambler will bet 50 matches and win all? The chance is little and the person will later lose.


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September 13, 2026, 03:25:37 PM
 #30

I use this strategy sometimes, but what we should know as bettors which you as the op acknowledge is that, whichever strategy we are using, we shouldn't rely too much on it, normally betting on live bet of 2 ahead is a bet that is likely to come but as we know, gambling is not something that we can be sure of.
Op even though you've been on a winning streak with this strategy, don't see it as a consistent strategy, and don't bet with what you can not afford to lose because, the day you'll lose, will be unknown to you, and it might be a day you stake high, atleast you understand that no singular strategy is certain in gambling.

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September 13, 2026, 03:31:24 PM
 #31

That's a good strategy, but how much was the odds at that time in the game? 1.10? Or maybe lower?

The thing about betting when the game is almost over is that the odds are not that profitable anymore. I mean, there's no way they will let us take advantage of it, and they instantly change the odds before we can even press it.
This is something that could also be tiring because you will need to monitor the game and the odds. Plus, the timing of when to press the button before it closes.

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September 13, 2026, 03:38:16 PM
 #32

I patiently wait until the game is far into the second half but since it is something that I have been studying for a while I deligently wait and take out time to test my theory. What I do is that I place a bet on the team winning with 2 goals ahead during the 80th minute knowing that it would be difficult for their opponents to equalize at that dying minute, I simply use that to my advantage.

To account for this, bookmaker set live betting margin in such way that there is no real value in these type of odd. They are well aware that after 80th minute most casual bettor feel safe wagering on team currently in lead. Consequently bookie slash odds even further.

When you have to place large stake for small profit then any single upset result can wipe out your entire bankroll. After suffering a loss you might start placing even larger bet to try and recoup that money. This is the Martingale trap, a cycle that ultimately lead to nothing but an empty bankroll.

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September 13, 2026, 03:45:01 PM
 #33

The only down side to this is that the odds can be extremely small and this might require you to take stake high on each bet.

Extremely low odds and high stakes... I don't like it. You are risking a lot for almost nothing. As others explained, you need a lot of wins just to cover one loss... and that one loss is around the corner.

I like to place live bets when I watch games, and usually it's on more goals or not. It's the feeling when the game seems active even in the last minutes, and I expect at least one more goal, or if the game becomes boring, I go for no goals. Odds can be interesting

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Could This Be a Pattern Or Strategy That Works

The thing with patterns or strategies is that many of them work for some time, and after some time they disappoint you... I guess we all should know/learn when to stop & change approach.

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September 13, 2026, 04:06:04 PM
 #34

The only down side to this is that the odds can be extremely small and this might require you to take stake high on each bet. I have made four different bets so far and I have been on a winning streak, even though the profits are quite small but it's a work in progress.

Has anyone ever tried this?

A few months ago I placed a bet at minute 89' for, as you said, a very small odd, and you know what? Yes, the losing team scored in stoppage time, so I lost.

Since odds are millimetrically calculated and only one loss costs you all the amount bet but you would need many victories to double that amount, I don't think this is a good strategy. In addition, I prefer to watch my favourite matches without the pressure of having to make decisions about my bets, and that is why I place them in advance and I do not worry about them until the referee blows the whistle at the end of the match.


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September 13, 2026, 04:10:56 PM
 #35

What I do is that I place a bet on the team winning with 2 goals ahead during the 80th minute knowing that it would be difficult for their opponents to equalize at that dying minute, I simply use that to my advantage. N/B:I only make this bets when I find such opportunities instead of forcing them. The only down side to this is that the odds can be extremely small and this might require you to take stake high on each bet.
And that is the challenge because the chances that within 10 minutes that things can change is pretty high depending on the team you are betting on and with a small odd, putting in an high amount is the only guarantee that you can win something big but we all know how that in football, even in the last 5 minutes, things can suddenly change in a manner you never see coming.

If you try out a strategy a time and it works out it does not immediately translate to a strategy you can depend on. you have to try it multiple times and even when you have done that, you still need to be careful with the money you are putting into it because gambling is a risky stuff that can surprise you at a time you least expect.

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September 13, 2026, 04:13:09 PM
 #36

So recently I decided to try out a live betting strategy instead of betting on the match before it starts I patiently wait until the game is far into the second half but since it is something that I have been studying for a while I deligently wait and take out time to test my theory. What I do is that I place a bet on the team winning with 2 goals ahead during the 80th minute knowing that it would be difficult for their opponents to equalize at that dying minute, I simply use that to my advantage. N/B:I only make this bets when I find such opportunities instead of forcing them. The only down side to this is that the odds can be extremely small and this might require you to take stake high on each bet. I have made four different bets so far and I have been on a winning streak, even though the profits are quite small but it's a work in progress. As someone that has a level of experience with sports betting I know it is possible for the opponent to equalize with the team that's 2 or 3 goals ahead within a space of two minutes, nothing is totally guaranteed.
Has anyone ever tried this?

This strategy seems good, but/and at same time, it is very very risky, because in the history of football we've seen a lot of things that surprises us and shocked us. There is always a possibility of a team scoring two (2) goals in the dying minutes of a match. In some matches you might take that risk and end up losing at the end of the day, because great comebacks can or might happen in some football matches, especially after placing your bets on the winning teams against the loosing team. So, you must be extremely careful about how much you risk.

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September 13, 2026, 04:13:32 PM
 #37

Yo this is an interesting strategy. In fact, this is known as "safe leads" or "cushion betting" in the betting world and it's a great idea because the closer you are to the end with a 2-goal gap, the less the chance of a comeback.

But remember, if the odds are low, you need to stake big to make it worth it and if you get hit with a comeback even once, you could lose the profits from several wins (negative skew). I actually tried something similar myself a long time ago, I think it was 2014 or 2015 (Liverpool vs Crystal Palace). I bet on Liverpool, who were up 3-0 at that point, but in the final few minutes (I think it was around the 85th minute) Crystal Palace turned it around to make it 3-3, and it ended in a draw lol. Yes, I understand the comeback risk that you were talking about at the bottom of your post, it's not just theory, it's real.

4 bets is still a very small sample size to say that the strategy is profitable, it could just be luck, and you'll need way more data to know for sure.

Also worth checking if the leading team's subbed in defenders already, that's usually a good sign they're just trying to shut up shop.

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September 13, 2026, 04:14:59 PM
 #38

So recently I decided to try out a live betting strategy instead of betting on the match before it starts I patiently wait until the game is far into the second half but since it is something that I have been studying for a while I deligently wait and take out time to test my theory. What I do is that I place a bet on the team winning with 2 goals ahead during the 80th minute knowing that it would be difficult for their opponents to equalize at that dying minute, I simply use that to my advantage.

So you take a bet at 1.0005 or 1.002 odds, and by the time you win 90 cents for your $1bet the impossible does happen, and you lose that $1.
You're simply trying to find a sure bet, there are none!

I was just visiting the Bundesliga topic, do you remember how Bayern lost the CL final against Manchester in the 91 and 93 minute?
And since we're talkin about Bayern:





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KiaKia
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September 13, 2026, 04:15:23 PM
 #39

It could work but for how long? All I can say is there isn't any strategy that is reliable, they can work and fail at any time, I don't know why we are even encouraging ourselves about a gambling strategy, what happen to risking only what you can afford to lose?

I'd rather focus on risking small money, it's all entertainment until it's not more, do what works for you as a gambler and try as much as possible to stay within what you can afford to lose, I've gave up on a gambling strategy that works in a long time.

Today I declare that there is no such thing.

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September 13, 2026, 04:17:36 PM
 #40

I use this strategy sometimes, but what we should know as bettors which you as the op acknowledge is that, whichever strategy we are using, we shouldn't rely too much on it, normally betting on live bet of 2 ahead is a bet that is likely to come but as we know, gambling is not something that we can be sure of.
Op even though you've been on a winning streak with this strategy, don't see it as a consistent strategy, and don't bet with what you can not afford to lose because, the day you'll lose, will be unknown to you, and it might be a day you stake high, atleast you understand that no singular strategy is certain in gambling.

With this been said, I think another thing a better or gambler should always do is to make sure that whatever they are risking, the reward or outcome sould be worth it or worth more than what a gambler is risking because it is unwise to risk more than what the profit will be i mean that is insane. Even in forex or Crypto trading your risk to reward should be  at least 1:2 or 1:1.5 so that you will know it is worth it and not risking 1 to get half or below half.

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