buwaytress
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June 30, 2020, 12:08:42 PM |
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Man, I love you but you have to be joking right? ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) . I was joking. People do tell me my sense of humour hasn't developed well though;) But yeah, I'm not a Spurs supporter but I'm always checking on them as I prefer them to steal a spot rather than the big spenders (talking United, City and Chelski of course). Anyway, he did look supremely groggy in his first match only to turn out a huge performance right after so there you go! P.S. Transfermarkt has a REALLY good injury update thingie on each player from the big leagues, in case you ever need help. I always recommend FJ to look at it to keep tabs on squad rosters (they update loans too) and injuries.
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fullhdpixel
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
June 30, 2020, 07:56:03 PM |
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Another hard week at the majestic 7, I think it is not going to be that easy to actually get 7/7 but I really didn't think it would be this difficult, like I get it maybe I am bad at it and there is really no way to know if I am bad at it or good it at so far because I have lost all the time but so did everyone else.
However what is a shocker to me is, how did nobody every figured out one 7/7 in all of these weeks. I do not have the numbers of how many people play this majestic 7, maybe less people do so since we restarted but at the same time I keep having this difficulty to believe that probably tens of thousands of people trying to guess 7/7 every week, and nobody has won it. It is a big marvel that it never happened, or maybe there aren't as many people trying to guess as I imagined.
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buwaytress
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July 01, 2020, 12:17:36 PM |
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However what is a shocker to me is, how did nobody every figured out one 7/7 in all of these weeks. I do not have the numbers of how many people play this majestic 7, maybe less people do so since we restarted but at the same time I keep having this difficulty to believe that probably tens of thousands of people trying to guess 7/7 every week, and nobody has won it. It is a big marvel that it never happened, or maybe there aren't as many people trying to guess as I imagined.
The topic's been discussed to death, to be honest. The bookies and statisticians and odd makers are professionals at their jobs, so they've obviously done the math. And even if we take the most prolific strikers of all the teams, and use the goalscorer any time odds and multiply it by 7, then you can understand it's a longshot. Salah and Kane at their peak will have about 1.8 odds. So even if both Kane and Salah are in picks, you then have others with 2.5 and more. So let's just assume we get the best: 1.8*1.8*2.5*2.5*2.5*2.5*2.5, then each of us has 316/1 chance to hit it all. And I bet you, we don't go for the best picks in each team;) I like to mix it up a bit too.
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condoras
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This is what I do. I drink and I know things.
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July 01, 2020, 06:47:29 PM |
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The topic's been discussed to death, to be honest. The bookies and statisticians and odd makers are professionals at their jobs, so they've obviously done the math. And even if we take the most prolific strikers of all the teams, and use the goalscorer any time odds and multiply it by 7, then you can understand it's a longshot. Salah and Kane at their peak will have about 1.8 odds. So even if both Kane and Salah are in picks, you then have others with 2.5 and more.
So let's just assume we get the best: 1.8*1.8*2.5*2.5*2.5*2.5*2.5, then each of us has 316/1 chance to hit it all.
And I bet you, we don't go for the best picks in each team;) I like to mix it up a bit too.
My best pics/team of majestic 7 reaches 5/7 for 3 times. I never look at the odds though for any of my pics, even if in some cases, their odds weren't good. IMO if you "believe" that a player will score, don't check his odds and just play it. ![Cool](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cool.gif)
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FortuneJack (OP)
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www.fortunejack.com
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July 02, 2020, 09:27:49 AM |
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Hi Dear Community, Just posting to let you know, that we are running a Bug Bounty Campaign for our new website and you can get rewarded for finding bugs, also there is a nice deposit offer there, so maybe you would like to use to get some free spins. Check this thread and with you a good Bounty Hunging. Cheers, FJ.
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cabalism13
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🤩Finally Married🤩
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July 02, 2020, 02:17:41 PM |
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From now on, the casino will cover all BTC transaction fees concerning deposits and withdrawals made on our website.
Is this still up? Or am I missing the update somewhere? Please enlighten me. Thanks. Been wondering for I have seen this at the new site: Blockchain transaction fee will be deducted from your withdrawal amount
So I can't withdraw my 0.004Balance 😂
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Indymoney
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
July 02, 2020, 03:58:42 PM |
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From now on, the casino will cover all BTC transaction fees concerning deposits and withdrawals made on our website.
Is this still up? Or am I missing the update somewhere? Please enlighten me. Thanks. Been wondering for I have seen this at the new site: Blockchain transaction fee will be deducted from your withdrawal amount
So I can't withdraw my 0.004Balance 😂 Few days back I have one withdrawal and this was without any decuction so I am sure now they are not taking any fees and its all free of charge.
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TheUltraElite
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So anyway, I applied as a merit source :)
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July 03, 2020, 05:12:28 AM |
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So I can't withdraw my 0.004Balance 😂
The text was probably not removed yet, last time I checked was when the last payout for the signature campaign was done. I had reported it here and probably it has been added to their to-do list but they are busy with the development of the new site. I am sure they will respond to this because it would be unreasonable for FJ to give a payment that would be smaller than the withdrawal fee itself. Few days back I have one withdrawal and this was without any decuction so I am sure now they are not taking any fees and its all free of charge.
I think the same too. Lets just wait till their account confirms the same.
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cabalism13
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July 03, 2020, 06:26:03 AM |
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Few days back I have one withdrawal and this was without any decuction so I am sure now they are not taking any fees and its all free of charge.
I think the same too. Lets just wait till their account confirms the same. I just received a confirmation from FJ, and yes they don't still charge fees on both deposit and withdrawal transactions.
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tranthidung
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Farewell o_e_l_e_o
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July 03, 2020, 11:15:55 AM |
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Few days back I have one withdrawal and this was without any decuction so I am sure now they are not taking any fees and its all free of charge.
It happened about one or two months ago, when BTC transaction fees were too high and Fortune Jack listened to community and decided to waive the fees. I checked and the decision was made on 20 May. AFAIK, there is nothing change since that day. Hi Dear Community,As you all have mentioned, there was some increase in transaction fees on FortuneJack and not only. It was long discussed in this thread as well, that increase was absolutely not something we intended to benefit on, this was caused by issues attached to halving as Cointelegraph reported .
However, we understand concerns and complaints from the community, and have decided to waive the fee for all BTC transactions at FJ. From now on, the casino will cover all BTC transaction fees concerning deposits and withdrawals made on our website.
With you all luck, FJ.
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fullhdpixel
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
July 03, 2020, 06:07:36 PM |
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The topic's been discussed to death, to be honest. The bookies and statisticians and odd makers are professionals at their jobs, so they've obviously done the math. And even if we take the most prolific strikers of all the teams, and use the goalscorer any time odds and multiply it by 7, then you can understand it's a longshot. Salah and Kane at their peak will have about 1.8 odds. So even if both Kane and Salah are in picks, you then have others with 2.5 and more.
So let's just assume we get the best: 1.8*1.8*2.5*2.5*2.5*2.5*2.5, then each of us has 316/1 chance to hit it all.
And I bet you, we don't go for the best picks in each team;) I like to mix it up a bit too.
You are confusing me buwaytrees ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) . First you say it has been talked to death, and then you come out and tell me that there is 316/1 to chance to hit it. Now if you do not mind I would like to respond to that as well. What I was trying to say that, even a 9999x hit happens in dice games, we have seen them right? So, when it is 316 to one, you think someone would get it. I have no idea how many people get to try it each week, maybe it is 10 or maybe it is 10000 I have no idea, which is why I said if there was plenty of people that play it, there would be at least one person who gets it. For something that is 316 to 1 with over a thousand people playing for over 40 weeks (last season's end was in there as well I think) I would have assumed it is a lot to actually get someone to figure it out eventually. Or maybe there is a winner and we just don't know, who knows?
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arallmuus
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July 03, 2020, 10:30:18 PM |
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I have no idea how many people get to try it each week, maybe it is 10 or maybe it is 10000 I have no idea, which is why I said if there was plenty of people that play it, there would be at least one person who gets it. You are kinda wrong in there 1 in 100 chance doesnt means it will shows up every 100 chances and also it doesnt means it shows up 1 times everytime there are 100 or 1000 people that take chance on that. It stays 1 in 100 for everyone Get what I mean? I would have assumed it is a lot to actually get someone to figure it out eventually. Or maybe there is a winner and we just don't know, who knows?
Perhaps someone did but FJ doesnt announce it to the public or whatever other reason. You should know that not everyone has bitcointalk account to brag once they win. The odds was kinda wrong btw. Assuming that every player has equal chance to score and if you have to pick 1 player from 1 matchLets say we ruled out few players from each team so 1 goalkeeper and 4 defenders and 1 defensive midfielder will be ruled out because they have lower chance to scoreso that left us with 1/10 chanceand also you have to win 7 times in a row so the odds will be 1/10^7 = 0.00001 % chance ![Tongue](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/tongue.gif) Obviously the odds should be significantly lower because all player have equal chance to score except goalkeeper
Idk if my math is correct, its been a while for me ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) . Feel free to correct me up
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tokeweed
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July 04, 2020, 11:43:07 AM |
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Hey FJ, F1's back! Any chance you guys bring F1 betting back? And Gilbert Burns is out of UFC 251 due to covid. Please cancel all bets and remove him from the roster. Thanks. ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif)
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▀▀▀▀▀▀▀██████▄▄ ████████████████ ▀▀▀▀█████▀▀▀█████ ████████▌███▐████ ▄▄▄▄█████▄▄▄█████ ████████████████ ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄██████▀▀ | LLBIT | | | 4,000+ GAMES███████████████████ ██████████▀▄▀▀▀████ ████████▀▄▀██░░░███ ██████▀▄███▄▀█▄▄▄██ ███▀▀▀▀▀▀█▀▀▀▀▀▀███ ██░░░░░░░░█░░░░░░██ ██▄░░░░░░░█░░░░░▄██ ███▄░░░░▄█▄▄▄▄▄████ ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ | █████████ ▀████████ ░░▀██████ ░░░░▀████ ░░░░░░███ ▄░░░░░███ ▀█▄▄▄████ ░░▀▀█████ ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ | █████████ ░░░▀▀████ ██▄▄▀░███ █░░█▄░░██ ░████▀▀██ █░░█▀░░██ ██▀▀▄░███ ░░░▄▄████ ▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀▀ |
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buwaytress
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July 04, 2020, 09:37:19 PM |
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@fullpixelhd Sorry if you thought I was picking a fight, it seems my attempts at humour on this forum are often miscontrued as antagonist!
Anyway, I don't think even 100 people are really playing. Judging from the ones who actively post here, about 10 or so actively play, maybe another 90 who don't post here but who have no idea how to pick so pick anyone. It's like those free Survivor games for NFL. OR free draft picks. I can't be arsed to learn the game so I either don't play them or I make random picks that I'm sure people who know the game would laugh at.
@arallmuus: I just used odds for a player to score as given by bookies in the "To score any time" markets. Those are the odds I randomly plucked out, and I'm not researching so just my own take on the odds. I'm sure my version is more accurate than yours though=p Remember the week many of us got 5 and 6 correct picks? Using your calculations 5/7 is 0.001% which also doesn't then sound right when so many of us got it!
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arallmuus
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July 04, 2020, 10:26:02 PM |
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@arallmuus: I just used odds for a player to score as given by bookies in the "To score any time" markets. Those are the odds I randomly plucked out, and I'm not researching so just my own take on the odds. I'm sure my version is more accurate than yours though=p Remember the week many of us got 5 and 6 correct picks? Using your calculations 5/7 is 0.001% which also doesn't then sound right when so many of us got it!
Of course 0.001% doesnt sound too bad if you compare it with 0.00001% . Ever since the majestic 7 has started , I havent see anyone that brag he got 5/7 but perhaps someone actually got it (or perhaps in the past with reference to you post ) It's not easy for 7/7 at all but there was that one time many of us got 4 and 5 when Salah, Kane, Vardy all netted. Majestic 7's really cool I have to admit.
That odds was calculated with assumption that every player has the same chance to score. Of course the chance for Vardy and Maddison from Leicester to score is obviously different So if you pick all top scorer on each team, your chance to win is significantly higher compared with if you pick up random players . Obviously there isnt really a good way to calculate the chances for people to get 7/7 but my calculation should seems about right at average ![Tongue](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/tongue.gif) I ruled out 6 players out of 11 and left each team with only 5 players to select. Each team has around 2-3 goal scorer in average. So yeah, its kinda hard to calculate
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▀▀▀▀▀▀▀██████▄▄ ████████████████ ▀▀▀▀█████▀▀▀█████ ████████▌███▐████ ▄▄▄▄█████▄▄▄█████ ████████████████ ▄▄▄▄▄▄▄██████▀▀ | LLBIT | │ | CRYPTO FUTURES | | | | | | | │ | 1,000x LEVERAGE | │ | COMPETITIVE FEES | │ | INSTANT EXECUTION | │ | . TRADE NOW |
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slaman29
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July 05, 2020, 10:51:57 AM |
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Damn Majestic Seven! I only got 1 right, so now even if I get all 3 correct for today I can only get 4/7, so already out before the games begin:)
Anyway, wish I had time to look for bugs on the new site but because my loading is always slow, I'd probably find bugs that only happen cause I load things too slowly. good luck finding them guys;)
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Juggy777
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
July 05, 2020, 05:02:32 PM |
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Damn Majestic Seven! I only got 1 right, so now even if I get all 3 correct for today I can only get 4/7, so already out before the games begin:)
Anyway, wish I had time to look for bugs on the new site but because my loading is always slow, I'd probably find bugs that only happen cause I load things too slowly. good luck finding them guys;)
@slaman29 I too got only two right but it’s fine, and further don’t be upset as there’s yet time for this season to end, so keep on trying and you may just win it. Also what bugs are you talking about, as I have visited the site few times and it’s loaded fine for me, however I haven’t tested it extensively so if you could share with me what these bugs are I’ll try and test them.
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fullhdpixel
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
July 05, 2020, 06:20:02 PM |
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~snip~
The odds are semi-correct, obviously when you put "all players have equal chances" and remove certain players like defense or defensive midfielder you are both shooting yourself in the leg with the calculation of "all players have equal chances" but also you are removing players at the same time. Don't we know that VVD scores time to time, look at ramos in La Liga dude is one of the top scorers. So, all I was saying is that strikers have a higher chance, so when you play on the player that scored once every 2 games on average, that should have a higher chance to hit than having a midfielder to score, doesn't mean it is always like that, a midfielder could have a hat trick while striker has zero in any game depending on luck, but I was talking about the luck and the statistics of how that could happen. Sorry if you thought I was picking a fight, it seems my attempts at humour on this forum are often miscontrued as antagonist!
Never need to be sorry mate! Text is something quite hard to convey the sense of humor, I am sure you are normally funny and it was me who didn't get it via texts.
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tokeweed
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
July 05, 2020, 10:37:02 PM |
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Hi FJ, some bookies started laying lines for Usman vs Masvidal for UFC 251. Something you guys might wanna look into. https://www.bestfightodds.com
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arallmuus
Legendary
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July 05, 2020, 11:21:04 PM |
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~snip~
The odds are semi-correct, obviously when you put "all players have equal chances" and remove certain players like defense or defensive midfielder you are both shooting yourself in the leg with the calculation of "all players have equal chances" but also you are removing players at the same time. So, all I was saying is that strikers have a higher chance, so when you play on the player that scored once every 2 games on average, that should have a higher chance to hit than having a midfielder to score, doesn't mean it is always like that, a midfielder could have a hat trick while striker has zero in any game depending on luck, but I was talking about the luck and the statistics of how that could happen. You should read my entire post before jumping on your own conclusion to what I wrote. This is the main point of my post of which you argued Obviously the odds should be significantly lower because all player have equal chance to score except goalkeeper If you would like to include all players including the goalkeepers then just go with 1/22^7 . Also I did wrote this That odds was calculated with assumption that every player has the same chance to score. This post is actually about every 5 other player on each team that I didnt rule out. Don't we know that VVD scores time to time, look at ramos in La Liga dude is one of the top scorers. Im quite aware of what I wrote and this is majestic 7 for premier league not La Liga. Even if it is majestic 7 for La Liga , I would still choose Benzema over Ramos depending on luck, but I was talking about the luck and the statistics of how that could happen. Luck/being lucky is part of the variances in a gamble. Someone could win 1 in 100 chances game with only 1 time of playing while someone could win it after 5000 tries, thats variances.
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