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Author Topic: ★ NBA expert picks: New Season ★  (Read 28763 times)
Xiaoxiao (OP)
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December 02, 2014, 06:36:20 PM
Last edit: December 02, 2014, 06:54:42 PM by Xiaoxiao
 #181

Subscription begins Dec. 5!!!

Record thus far this year: 91-59-5 (W-L-T) for 30.5 units profit!

Included is expert picks (guaranteed 60-200+ picks per month), solid parlay combos that I see profitable, confidence level, explanations, insider news content and rumors, and more.

Why I am so good at what I do:

Most experts only rely on stats and algorithms, and might manage a small victory in the long run and probably a loss after vig (the fee taken by the sports betting exchange). My picks will be aided by film analysisand statistical algorithms as well, but I will also factor in team psychology, momentum, morale and motivation, bench rotations, and many other factors denoted in a point system.

Finally there are things that go beyond algorithms.

I was a former basketball trainer (yes basketball exclusively), AAU coach, and serious basketball player.  But most of all, I understand the NBA and the psychology of the odds makers, as well as players and coaches.  

Price for subscription:

3 days: $5 (in btc)*

1 week: $10

SPECIAL PROMOTION 1 month 45 days: $30*

SPECIAL PROMOTION for monthly subscribers: If I don't profit in units for your month, you will get a 50% refund of your money in btc for the days of that month*

Please private message me if interested or questions, and I will be supplying you an address for payment.

I will be emailing report daily @ 22:00 GMT on weekdays.  Weekends will be the same unless there is matinee game.


Remember:

I am not just a sports tipper or math guy, I am also a basketball expert.  This is why I win, and this is my day job.

If you're a basketball fan and sports bettor, let me do all the work for you.

*Promotion ends Jan. 1, 2015
*Due to the complications with paypal, I can only accept payment in btc
*All conversion will be in bitstamp price.



sangwan1212
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December 02, 2014, 06:49:03 PM
 #182

Yes i agree your predictions are really good, i will place bets on today's picks around 2 hrs from now , any idea when are these game starting

Xiaoxiao (OP)
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December 02, 2014, 06:57:21 PM
Last edit: December 02, 2014, 07:11:19 PM by Xiaoxiao
 #183

Record: 91-59-5

Today's picks:

Toronto Raptors v Sacramento Kings Game: Sacramento Kings +1.5 1.942 (-106)

Portland Trail Blazers v Denver Nuggets Game: Portland Trail Blazers -3 1.857 (-117)

Los Angeles Lakers v Detroit Pistons Game: Los Angeles Lakers +2.5 1.807 (-124)

Boston Celtics v Atlanta Hawks under 210 1.906 (-110)

Orlando Magic v Golden State Warriors over 202.5 1.991 (-101)

More to come @ 22:00 GMT

Milwaukee Bucks v Cleveland Cavaliers Game: over 202 1.890 (-112)

Oklahoma City Thunder v New Orleans Pelicans Game: over 196 1.942 (-106)

Brooklyn Nets v New York Knicks Game: Brooklyn Nets -1 1.952 (-105)



Parlay (.1 unit so 1/10 of straight bet amount):

Los Angeles Lakers v Detroit Pistons Game: Los Angeles Lakers +2.5 1.897 (-111)

Oklahoma City Thunder v New Orleans Pelicans over 196 1.865 (-116)

Portland Trail Blazers v Denver Nuggets Game: Portland Trail Blazers -3 1.915 (-109)

Toronto Raptors v Sacramento Kings Game: Sacramento Kings +1.5 1.873 (-115)

4 Game Parlay 12.69 (+1169)
Xiaoxiao (OP)
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December 02, 2014, 09:23:18 PM
 #184

Did well today for personal bets, won every single wager (12-0 i think), but didn't have access to laptop with 2btc account.  would have made a lot more if i rememberd pw or laptop.  Subscription offers a precise tail of my personal bets.  Hit every combo, o/u, spread, ml, 1st q, half etc...lol







Insane. 2000% profit! Do you always parlay?

Yes! I like to do parlays when there are some GREAT odds.  The key to parlays are that you stick to it and have bankroll management.
Xiaoxiao (OP)
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December 02, 2014, 09:37:20 PM
 #185

Westgate Lv odds for championship right now:

HEAT 40-1 <--- Huh no way heat has no chance this year...
THUNDER 10-1
SPURS 3-1
CLIPPERS 10-1
PACERS 300-1
BULLS 7-1
WARRIORS 8-1
ROCKETS 20-1 <--- good odds here they have powerful team when everyone gets healthy
BLAZERS 20-1
WIZARDS 20-1
NETS 60-1 <--- really i wouldnt do 500-1 odds for nets...
GRIZZLIES 14-1
MAVERICKS 14-1
NUGGETS 100-1
RAPTORS 20-1
KNICKS 200-1
WOLVES 1000-1
PELICANS 50-1
LAKERS 1000-1  <---sick odds for a team that has a lot of room to improve.
CELTICS 500-1
CAVALIERS 3-1
SUNS 60-1
HORNETS 200-1
HAWKS 50-1
JAZZ 500-1
KINGS 100-1
PISTONS 1000-1
MAGIC 1000-1
76ERS 9999-1
BUCKS 300-1

Xiao..who do u think will win?? i think it could be OKC this year...eventhough KD is yet to make a start..! dont mind Spurs winning it again! Cheesy

OKC would have been a good choice if there team was all healthy from the start.  I'd be worried about KD's injury A LOT more than Westbrook's injury.  A fracture in the foot is a lot worse than in the hand, and even stress fractures can be very dangerous even when healed.  You become a lot more prone to the Kevin Ware incident.

I really like the chances of Cleveland to come out from the East.  Their team is way too stacked on offense, and depending on who they match up with in the East, it would be very hard to beat them in 7 games.

I'm not sure if the Bulls can get their act together come playoff time, in a 7 game series, there's just too many teams that can exploit them.

Out the West I really like Spurs, because they just have the experience.  A lot of really good teams with no experience simply crumble come playoff time.  Spurs seem to turn it up to another level during playoffs.  I also like Dallas and Grizzlies a lot come playoff time. 

My call is that it will be Spurs/Dallas/Grizzlies v Cleveland in the playoffs.  The winner of the Larry O'brien trophy will be...

the Dallas Mavericks.  I know, sounds crazy.  We will see.  (obviously injury would void everything)

sherbyspark
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December 02, 2014, 10:29:21 PM
 #186

I am new to sports betting, and am just trying the bets out.
For the one you mentioned above:

Toronto Raptors v Sacramento Kings Game: Sacramento Kings +1.5 1.942 (-106)

on Nitrogen, all bets for Sacramento Kings are maximum +0, and rest are -ve.
What would you suggest in this case?
jjc326
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December 02, 2014, 10:32:47 PM
 #187

Record: 91-59-5

Today's picks:

Toronto Raptors v Sacramento Kings Game: Sacramento Kings +1.5 1.942 (-106)

Portland Trail Blazers v Denver Nuggets Game: Portland Trail Blazers -3 1.857 (-117)

Los Angeles Lakers v Detroit Pistons Game: Los Angeles Lakers +2.5 1.807 (-124)

Boston Celtics v Atlanta Hawks under 210 1.906 (-110)

Orlando Magic v Golden State Warriors over 202.5 1.991 (-101)

More to come @ 22:00 GMT

Nice record at your odds, do you normally make so many picks though?  Do you think you can keep it up?  GL, I'd be interested in subscription but I'm wondering how many units you are up, versus your record which doesn't always mean too much.
Jerrietg
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December 02, 2014, 10:37:37 PM
 #188

wow , i am very glad to see that this forum also

have some guys likes betting nba, i  predict that lakers will win 10+ tomorrow Cheesy
Xiaoxiao (OP)
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December 02, 2014, 11:02:14 PM
 #189

Record: 91-59-5

Today's picks:

Toronto Raptors v Sacramento Kings Game: Sacramento Kings +1.5 1.942 (-106)

Portland Trail Blazers v Denver Nuggets Game: Portland Trail Blazers -3 1.857 (-117)

Los Angeles Lakers v Detroit Pistons Game: Los Angeles Lakers +2.5 1.807 (-124)

Boston Celtics v Atlanta Hawks under 210 1.906 (-110)

Orlando Magic v Golden State Warriors over 202.5 1.991 (-101)

More to come @ 22:00 GMT

Nice record at your odds, do you normally make so many picks though?  Do you think you can keep it up?  GL, I'd be interested in subscription but I'm wondering how many units you are up, versus your record which doesn't always mean too much.

~30 units AFTER vig. I found some gems early on by taking Sacramento ML and Lakers 1st wins ML.  As well as a few others.

 I don't like to bet crappy odds like 1.1 or 1.05.  It's not really worth it because you're more profitable finding gems on really good odds like 1 to 1 or better.

I don't usually like betting too many games, but I feel like today is a good day to hit a huge parlay for me personally (i don't recommend people that don't understand NBA to do parlays on their own).

I look at parlays as lottery tickets with really good odds.
Vani
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December 03, 2014, 12:04:30 AM
 #190

I am new to sports betting, and am just trying the bets out.
For the one you mentioned above:

Toronto Raptors v Sacramento Kings Game: Sacramento Kings +1.5 1.942 (-106)

on Nitrogen, all bets for Sacramento Kings are maximum +0, and rest are -ve.
What would you suggest in this case?

Yes I saw the same an hour ago. Meanwhile it has changed again and Sacramento Kings +1 is now available for 1.881 (-113).

If you have good trust in the tip, you can do the +1.

The line difference: let say the Sacramento Kings lose with 189-190 you get a push and your money back. The people that bet on the the pick earlier (for +1.5) wins the bet. If the Kings lose with a difference of 2, everyone loses.

Price difference: if the kings wins: you get a pay out of 1.881 * your stake (stake included) and the the people that have chosen the pick earlier gets a pay out of  1.942 * their stake (stake included).

So, Sacramento Kings +1 vs the original tip: price is worse and the line is worse, but again if you have faith, you can do it.
Vani
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December 03, 2014, 12:17:23 AM
 #191

Subscription begins Dec. 5!!!

Record thus far this year: 91-59-5 (W-L-T) for 30.5 units profit!

Included is expert picks (guaranteed 60-200+ picks per month), solid parlay combos that I see profitable, confidence level, explanations, insider news content and rumors, and more.

Why I am so good at what I do:

Most experts only rely on stats and algorithms, and might manage a small victory in the long run and probably a loss after vig (the fee taken by the sports betting exchange). My picks will be aided by film analysisand statistical algorithms as well, but I will also factor in team psychology, momentum, morale and motivation, bench rotations, and many other factors denoted in a point system.

Finally there are things that go beyond algorithms.

I was a former basketball trainer (yes basketball exclusively), AAU coach, and serious basketball player.  But most of all, I understand the NBA and the psychology of the odds makers, as well as players and coaches.  

Price for subscription:

3 days: $5 (in btc)*

1 week: $10

SPECIAL PROMOTION 1 month 45 days: $30*

SPECIAL PROMOTION for monthly subscribers: If I don't profit in units for your month, you will get a 50% refund of your money in btc for the days of that month*

Please private message me if interested or questions, and I will be supplying you an address for payment.

I will be emailing report daily @ 22:00 GMT on weekdays.  Weekends will be the same unless there is matinee game.


Remember:

I am not just a sports tipper or math guy, I am also a basketball expert.  This is why I win, and this is my day job.

If you're a basketball fan and sports bettor, let me do all the work for you.

*Promotion ends Jan. 1, 2015
*Due to the complications with paypal, I can only accept payment in btc
*All conversion will be in bitstamp price.





Count me in: going to send you a pm now.
Vani
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December 03, 2014, 12:20:16 AM
Last edit: December 03, 2014, 12:36:14 AM by Vani
 #192

I am new to sports betting, and am just trying the bets out.
For the one you mentioned above:

Toronto Raptors v Sacramento Kings Game: Sacramento Kings +1.5 1.942 (-106)

on Nitrogen, all bets for Sacramento Kings are maximum +0, and rest are -ve.
What would you suggest in this case?

Yes I saw the same an hour ago. Meanwhile it has changed again and Sacramento Kings +1 is now available for 1.881 (-113).

If you have good trust in the tip, you can do the +1.

The line difference: let say the Sacramento Kings lose with 189-190 you get a push and your money back. The people that bet on the the pick earlier (for +1.5) wins the bet. If the Kings lose with a difference of 2, everyone loses.

Price difference: if the kings wins: you get a pay out of 1.881 * your stake (stake included) and the the people that have chosen the pick earlier gets a pay out of  1.942 * their stake (stake included).

So, Sacramento Kings +1 vs the original tip: price is worse and the line is worse, but again if you have faith, you can do it.


Thanks. I guess, I will just skip it if its worse.

It is not a lot worse, but yes +1.5 was better as you can read above. If you think you want to skip (and not feel good about it) then you must skip for sure! Follow your instinct Grin
Xiaoxiao (OP)
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December 03, 2014, 01:50:48 AM
 #193

Exciting NBA season.  Everyone is back, and they're competing.

There's actually only two teams that are way behind the curve as of right now: Minnesota and Philly.  MIN would be a competitor if Rubio didn't get hurt.  He is the glue for that team running point.  Everyone else is a level above them and competing.  Even Detroit because they play defense and rebound.
Xiaoxiao (OP)
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December 03, 2014, 02:10:09 AM
 #194

Westgate Lv odds for championship right now:

HEAT 40-1 <--- Huh no way heat has no chance this year...
THUNDER 10-1
SPURS 3-1
CLIPPERS 10-1
PACERS 300-1
BULLS 7-1
WARRIORS 8-1
ROCKETS 20-1 <--- good odds here they have powerful team when everyone gets healthy
BLAZERS 20-1
WIZARDS 20-1
NETS 60-1 <--- really i wouldnt do 500-1 odds for nets...
GRIZZLIES 14-1
MAVERICKS 14-1
NUGGETS 100-1
RAPTORS 20-1
KNICKS 200-1
WOLVES 1000-1
PELICANS 50-1
LAKERS 1000-1  <---sick odds for a team that has a lot of room to improve.
CELTICS 500-1
CAVALIERS 3-1
SUNS 60-1
HORNETS 200-1
HAWKS 50-1
JAZZ 500-1
KINGS 100-1
PISTONS 1000-1
MAGIC 1000-1
76ERS 9999-1
BUCKS 300-1

Xiao..who do u think will win?? i think it could be OKC this year...eventhough KD is yet to make a start..! dont mind Spurs winning it again! Cheesy

OKC would have been a good choice if there team was all healthy from the start.  I'd be worried about KD's injury A LOT more than Westbrook's injury.  A fracture in the foot is a lot worse than in the hand, and even stress fractures can be very dangerous even when healed.  You become a lot more prone to the Kevin Ware incident.

I really like the chances of Cleveland to come out from the East.  Their team is way too stacked on offense, and depending on who they match up with in the East, it would be very hard to beat them in 7 games.

I'm not sure if the Bulls can get their act together come playoff time, in a 7 game series, there's just too many teams that can exploit them.

Out the West I really like Spurs, because they just have the experience.  A lot of really good teams with no experience simply crumble come playoff time.  Spurs seem to turn it up to another level during playoffs.  I also like Dallas and Grizzlies a lot come playoff time. 

My call is that it will be Spurs/Dallas/Grizzlies v Cleveland in the playoffs.  The winner of the Larry O'brien trophy will be...

the Dallas Mavericks.  I know, sounds crazy.  We will see.  (obviously injury would void everything)



Would definitely be profitable to place a few dollars for Houston, Dallas, Memphis, LAC, Spurs, Bulls, GSW and Cavs
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December 03, 2014, 05:50:25 AM
 #195

Maybe you should post the record you have from posts on this site? If you look at the record from just this forum post, you are in the negative units.
sherbyspark
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December 03, 2014, 06:50:49 AM
 #196

I am new to sports betting, and am just trying the bets out.
For the one you mentioned above:

Toronto Raptors v Sacramento Kings Game: Sacramento Kings +1.5 1.942 (-106)

on Nitrogen, all bets for Sacramento Kings are maximum +0, and rest are -ve.
What would you suggest in this case?

Yes I saw the same an hour ago. Meanwhile it has changed again and Sacramento Kings +1 is now available for 1.881 (-113).

If you have good trust in the tip, you can do the +1.

The line difference: let say the Sacramento Kings lose with 189-190 you get a push and your money back. The people that bet on the the pick earlier (for +1.5) wins the bet. If the Kings lose with a difference of 2, everyone loses.

Price difference: if the kings wins: you get a pay out of 1.881 * your stake (stake included) and the the people that have chosen the pick earlier gets a pay out of  1.942 * their stake (stake included).

So, Sacramento Kings +1 vs the original tip: price is worse and the line is worse, but again if you have faith, you can do it.

Looks like SAcramento lost. Good thing, I didn't bet.
Unfortunately, the others were losses too except for one.
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December 03, 2014, 07:38:02 AM
 #197

Looks like SAcramento lost. Good thing, I didn't bet.
Unfortunately, the others were losses too except for one.
[/quote]

The last day of free tipping was kind of Abysmal if I was asked to judge solely based on it..!Xiaoxiao... Can u explain how u chose Kings over raptors?? That one was pretty obvious 4 me..! got a lil lucky with the win u got in one of them..! n 1 unlucky...but rest were sad picks!
PM me if u dont want to send the reasons here!

Vani
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December 03, 2014, 08:29:28 AM
 #198


Looks like SAcramento lost. Good thing, I didn't bet.
Unfortunately, the others were losses too except for one.

Yes, your instinct was right here Cheesy
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December 03, 2014, 08:59:12 AM
 #199


Looks like SAcramento lost. Good thing, I didn't bet.
Unfortunately, the others were losses too except for one.

Yes, your instinct was right here Cheesy

It was a easy decision, if u watch NBA. I had no doubt that Raptors were going to win that one. Xiao went 4 the gamble I guess, but it wasnt healthy for the one's who dont watch NBA n r betting.

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December 03, 2014, 01:23:03 PM
 #200

Looks like SAcramento lost. Good thing, I didn't bet.
Unfortunately, the others were losses too except for one.

The last day of free tipping was kind of Abysmal if I was asked to judge solely based on it..!Xiaoxiao... Can u explain how u chose Kings over raptors?? That one was pretty obvious 4 me..! got a lil lucky with the win u got in one of them..! n 1 unlucky...but rest were sad picks!
PM me if u dont want to send the reasons here!
[/quote]
I think he said, more tips will be coming out before he starts accepting money.

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