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Author Topic: ★ NBA expert picks: New Season ★  (Read 28716 times)
Xiaoxiao (OP)
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December 18, 2014, 04:07:17 AM
 #301

Spurs vs MEM... what a game, 98-98 in OT
Xiaoxiao (OP)
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December 18, 2014, 04:30:42 AM
 #302

2nd OT... now 3rd OT, WOW
Xiaoxiao (OP)
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December 18, 2014, 04:56:22 AM
 #303

Day 13 + 0.923 u

Quote
Today's picks:

1 unit:

Dallas Mavericks v Detroit Pistons
Game: Dallas Mavericks -71.952 (-105) W

Utah Jazz v Miami Heat
over 188.51.971 (-103) W
 
Phoenix Suns v Charlotte Hornets  L
under 2011.933 (-107)                   


27 - 23, - 0.277u

enryk
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December 18, 2014, 05:10:57 AM
 #304

Is the 23-22, wins to losses or viceversa?
And any plans to start offering parley payout tips as well in your subscription?

Xiaoxiao (OP)
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December 18, 2014, 08:42:51 AM
 #305

Is the 23-22, wins to losses or viceversa?
And any plans to start offering parley payout tips as well in your subscription?

it's 27 wins to 23 losses right now.  All odds are even money odds or 1.7 to 2.0 or better up to even 10.0 picks.  I almost never take 1.05 odds or something so stupid like that, simply not worth it to win virtually nothing.

Regarding parlays, I have offered some parlays, but I have to be considerate of my subscribers to ensure that they have a proper bankroll to tail my exact bets.  My parlays are profitable in the long run but they are extremely high variance.  So I don't want to have my subscribers run out of funds before seeing a winning parlay.  So I am still thinking about what units and the # of combos as well as # of parlays to do.
Xiaoxiao (OP)
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December 19, 2014, 10:32:21 AM
 #306

Day 14, +1.823 u

Quote
1 unit

Oklahoma City Thunder v Golden State Warriors
Game: Golden State Warriors -2.5 1.933 (-107)   W

Milwaukee Bucks v Sacramento Kings
Game: Milwaukee Bucks +7.5 1.890 (-112)   W

That's all tonight.  More analysis to come during the games. 

Record 29-23, +1.55u
Xiaoxiao (OP)
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December 19, 2014, 01:02:09 PM
Last edit: December 19, 2014, 01:40:27 PM by Xiaoxiao
 #307

PM me for subscription details.  Was down 8 units to start, and now up 1.55 units (after 5+ units of commission paid to books).  Just shows you how much variance is in this game.  Your normal handicapper would have crumbled.  The experts this year have been taking a beating.  But I am killing it, and obviously it's not luck considering sample size.

No gimmicks or BS either, I bet either 1-2 units and that is it.  No martingale BS to show a profit.  Parlays are always .1 or .2 units, once again no BS.

Let me do all the work for you, while you enjoy a profit and while watching this beautiful game on TV.

$30 for 45 day subscription, less than 75c a day.  Get rewards for all your wagers AND make a profit.  And if I don't give a you profit for your duration, I will refund you 50% of your subscription fee.

Win win situation.  The more subscribers, the more tools I have; all videos and film, lunch with NBA pro trainers, low downs, advance stats and algorithms, etc.  NOTE-- unlike other subscription services that only go by stats and algorithms, I consider the intangibles as well such as team fatigue, momentum, match ups, and coaching failures and successes.


The NBA is no joke.  I'd say that 97% of people lose wagering on NBA in the long run after commission.  It is the toughest league to handicap because of the long schedule and # of games.  I am that 3%.  Don't miss out.  Over 2,400 games in a season, lots of units to be made.
Xiaoxiao (OP)
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December 19, 2014, 11:07:42 PM
 #308

Just opened a twitter follow for sneak peak at subscription ... will post some locks from time to time...

https://twitter.com/NBA_Killer1
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December 20, 2014, 07:14:29 AM
 #309

your picks are awesome but no money to pay the fee Sad

Xiaoxiao (OP)
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December 20, 2014, 10:59:44 AM
 #310

Day 15 +0.93

Quote
1 unit

NBAWashington Wizards v Miami HeatGame: Washington Wizards -5 1.924 (-108) L

NBAToronto Raptors v Detroit PistonsGame: Toronto Raptors -7.5 1.961 (-104) W

Basketball - NBAWashington Wizards v Miami HeatGame: over 189 1.971 (-103) W

31-24, +2.5 u

follow on twitter for sneak peak at subscription

https://twitter.com/NBA_Killer1 
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December 20, 2014, 06:08:02 PM
 #311

Is that score, after the subscription began?


Yes it is.
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December 20, 2014, 06:31:04 PM
 #312

Sure, I can understand that - all the results you read on this thread after 5 December are the entire results after the subscription.

Xiaoxiao (OP)
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December 20, 2014, 08:34:47 PM
Last edit: December 20, 2014, 08:50:35 PM by Xiaoxiao
 #313

Lot's of copy cats out there since I created this thread.  I don't think they understand the work I put in or my connections and dedication to the game.

Follow me on twitter to get certain locks from subscription reports: https://twitter.com/NBA_Killer1  tweets only available to followers!
Xiaoxiao (OP)
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December 20, 2014, 10:31:12 PM
Last edit: March 18, 2015, 04:10:33 PM by Xiaoxiao
 #314

 

Follow me on twitter to get locks and sneak peaks from subscription reports: https://twitter.com/NBA_Killer1  tweets only available to followers!


NEW PROMOTION: If I do not profit in units after book's commission for your duration, I will refund 100% of your fee in BTC


Follow on twitter for some locks I post from time to time https://twitter.com/NBA_Killer1  


Subscription begins Dec. 5!!!

Record thus far this year: 91-59-5 (W-L-T) for 30.5 units profit!

Included is expert picks (guaranteed 60-200+ picks per month), solid parlay combos that I see profitable, confidence level, explanations, insider news content and rumors, and more.

Why I am so good at what I do:

Most experts only rely on stats and algorithms, and might manage a small victory in the long run and probably a loss after vig (the fee taken by the sports betting exchange). My picks will be aided by film analysisand statistical algorithms as well, but I will also factor in team psychology, momentum, morale and motivation, bench rotations, and many other factors denoted in a point system.

Finally there are things that go beyond algorithms.

I was a former basketball trainer (yes basketball exclusively), AAU coach, and serious basketball player.  But most of all, I understand the NBA and the psychology of the odds makers, as well as players and coaches.  

Price for subscription:

3 days: $5 (in btc)*

1 week: $10

SPECIAL PROMOTION 1 month 45 days: $30*

SPECIAL PROMOTION for monthly subscribers: If I don't profit in units for your month, you will get a 50% refund of your money in btc for the days of that month*

Please private message forum member DebitMe profile: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=73438 for payment info.  He will be escrowing funds and handling payments.

For any questions, please private message myself.

I will be emailing report daily @ 22:00 GMT on weekdays.  Weekends will be the same unless there is matinee game.  In that case, I will be emailing picks 1 hour before the start of the matinee game.


Remember:

I am not just a sports tipper or math guy, I am also a basketball expert.  This is why I win, and this is my day job.

If you're a basketball fan and sports bettor, let me do all the work for you.

*Promotion ends Jan. 1, 2015
*Due to the complications with paypal, I can only accept payment in btc
*All conversion will be in bitstamp price.
*Picks before subscription does not count towards a losing record for the month
badjacks99
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December 21, 2014, 12:17:23 AM
 #315

Hi i followed your picks when they were free and was pleased with the results. im considering purchasing a 3 day pass and was wondering if you have picks for tonight? thanks.
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December 21, 2014, 12:53:56 AM
 #316

Did not mean to offend you with my parlay comment, best of luck. Variance can be a bitch for sure.
Xiaoxiao (OP)
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December 21, 2014, 01:09:16 AM
 #317

Hi i followed your picks when they were free and was pleased with the results. im considering purchasing a 3 day pass and was wondering if you have picks for tonight? thanks.

Unfortunately the games have started for tonight.  PM me for info on when you would like to start and I will add you to the mailing list.
Xiaoxiao (OP)
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December 21, 2014, 03:42:22 AM
Last edit: December 21, 2014, 05:21:12 PM by Xiaoxiao
 #318

Day 16 12/20 +0.982 u

Quote
1 unit

Basketball - NBAPhoenix Suns v New York KnicksGame: Phoenix Suns -6.51.991 (-101)  W

More to come.

Basketball - NBAAtlanta Hawks v Houston RocketsGame: Houston Rockets -5.5 1.942 (-106) L

Basketball - NBAPortland Trail Blazers v New Orleans PelicansGame: Portland Trail Blazers +5.5 1.991 (-101) W

33-25

+3.482u

If you watched the Houston vs Hawks game, you know that the game was literally given away to Hawks by refs.  4-6 bad calls in just the 4th quarter against Houston EACH causing 4-5 point swings.  Jason Terry scoring waived off because of phantom call (literally), bogus loose ball fouls, and 3 more bogus calls.  The crowd was cussing out the refs (very understandably).  This was when Houston was up 2 and about to blow out the hawks.  It gave the Hawks opportunity to hit several 3s.  I'm very dissappointed in what happened to say the least.  These 2 refs needs to be under view.

I've yet to see the refs on a professional level perform so bad.  It costed me dearly in parlays (I almost swept ALL my other parlays today):








Xiaoxiao (OP)
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December 21, 2014, 05:25:10 PM
Last edit: March 18, 2015, 04:10:55 PM by Xiaoxiao
 #319

Follow me on twitter to get locks and sneak peaks from subscription reports: https://twitter.com/NBA_Killer1  tweets only available to followers!


NEW PROMOTION: If I do not profit in units after book's commission for your duration, I will refund 100% of your subscription  fee in BTC


Follow on twitter for some locks I post from time to time https://twitter.com/NBA_Killer1  


Subscription begins Dec. 5!!!

Record thus far this year: 91-59-5 (W-L-T) for 30.5 units profit!

Included is expert picks (guaranteed 60-200+ picks per month), solid parlay combos that I see profitable, confidence level, explanations, insider news content and rumors, and more.

Why I am so good at what I do:

Most experts only rely on stats and algorithms, and might manage a small victory in the long run and probably a loss after vig (the fee taken by the sports betting exchange). My picks will be aided by film analysisand statistical algorithms as well, but I will also factor in team psychology, momentum, morale and motivation, bench rotations, and many other factors denoted in a point system.

Finally there are things that go beyond algorithms.

I was a former basketball trainer (yes basketball exclusively), AAU coach, and serious basketball player.  But most of all, I understand the NBA and the psychology of the odds makers, as well as players and coaches.  

Price for subscription:

3 days: $5 (in btc)*

1 week: $10

SPECIAL PROMOTION 1 month 45 days: $30*

SPECIAL PROMOTION for monthly subscribers: If I don't profit in units for your month, you will get a 50% refund of your money in btc for the days of that month*

Please private message forum member DebitMe profile: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=73438 for payment info and escrow, or myself.

For any questions, please private message myself.

I will be emailing report daily @ 22:00 GMT on weekdays.  Weekends will be the same unless there is matinee game.  In that case, I will be emailing picks 1 hour before the start of the matinee game.


Remember:

I am not just a sports tipper or math guy, I am also a basketball expert.  This is why I win, and this is my day job.

If you're a basketball fan and sports bettor, let me do all the work for you.

*Promotion ends Jan. 1, 2015
*Due to the complications with paypal, I can only accept payment in btc
*All conversion will be in bitstamp price.
*Picks before subscription does not count towards a losing record for the month



Get ready for my early season top 10: teams, positions, coaches, scorers, shooters, rebounders, etc.  You will not find this on ESPN!!!!
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December 21, 2014, 05:33:40 PM
 #320

Can I ask what exactly would it mean  by:
"If I do not profit in units after book's commission for your duration, I will refund 100% of your fee in BTC"
Does this profit include even 1 or 2 units, or does it mean profit of atleast the 25-30$ that the person invested?

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