ciocgun
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April 07, 2015, 08:01:06 AM |
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Wow i fine the new strategy ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) Màrtingale in 33%chances and from small base bet ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) Does anyone can create a table to performe a confrontation with the different percentages?
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vennali
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#SWGT CERTIK Audited
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April 07, 2015, 08:22:39 AM |
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I have been using a different strategy lately. Its sort of similar to martingale but very different. I did a simulation of dice by betting at 93%, and the maximum losses I have ever got in a row at 8, with 8 being only once and mostly 7. So I have been running a bot by betting 0 satoshi or lowest amount, and wait for such a streak. And after 7 losses, I bet around 1 BTC at the odds.
I know it sounds like gamblers fallacy, but since the maximum losses in a row have been 7 or 8, I don't mind risking it on the stats I have got before. I started about a week back and have made the bet of 1 BTC 3 times till now. So its been going good till now.
huh, you sure? I just wonder how long it took till eventually you find that 8x lose in a row I am more like banking on the fact that if I do get that 8th loss, I have the bankroll for the 9th, and I won't be afraid to put that bet in. But hasn't happened till now, so fine with it.
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ShetKid
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April 07, 2015, 08:30:35 AM |
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Wow i fine the new strategy ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) Màrtingale in 33%chances and from small base bet ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) MArtingale with small or big will eventually fail at the end. At one point you will have a streak big enough that your bankroll won't be able to cover the bet.
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sherbyspark
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April 07, 2015, 09:29:22 AM |
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Wow i fine the new strategy ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) Màrtingale in 33%chances and from small base bet ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) try martingale on 75% chance ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) Martingale would fail in both cases . It will lead to a bad streak in both, at 33% you will probably hit a streak of 50, and with 75% chance to win, you will still be hitting over 18 over long term. And since you multiply bets exponentially like 3x in 75%, you will be reaching the max bet very soon.
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muhrohmat
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April 22, 2015, 09:36:52 AM |
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well people i notice that a 47% chance to double gets in martin gale like only 42% of double its very risky i woul not use constantly marin gale
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boopy265420
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April 22, 2015, 09:46:35 AM |
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You can not apply same strategy on every dice site. I play with 50% chance with variable betting strategy what I want to say is I change little bit according to situation. I am not in loss at all. Last day I turned free bonus of 1mbtc into 16mbtc and took withdraw.Although the sum is not much but something is better than nothing.
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rayhan
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April 22, 2015, 11:12:33 AM |
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not sure coz everytime i change my odds , it depends on the numbers that come out before I make a bet, but mostly I use 70% above
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birdcat90
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April 22, 2015, 12:16:56 PM |
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not sure coz everytime i change my odds , it depends on the numbers that come out before I make a bet, but mostly I use 70% above
how many red streaks you can have using 70% chance?? using 70% chance good on risk:reward ratio? because what i know is martingale only wok on 47-50% chance its like coin flip..
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shorena
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No I dont escrow anymore.
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April 22, 2015, 12:49:04 PM |
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not sure coz everytime i change my odds , it depends on the numbers that come out before I make a bet, but mostly I use 70% above
how many red streaks you can have using 70% chance?? using 70% chance good on risk:reward ratio? because what i know is martingale only wok on 47-50% chance its like coin flip.. If you give me "botable" values for a 70% win chance I can run a few simulations for you. I need values like below: $prefix = "martingale22" $numer_of_rolls_do_make = 10**9 $chance_to_win = 4950 # assumes lowest possible = 0000 and higest possible = 9999 $bankroll = 1*2**22 # how much satoshi do you start with $basebet = 1 # in satoshi $multiplier = 2 # if won $increase_bet = 1.0 # percent to increase the bet, set 0 for flatbet; 1.0 for 100%
I typically run 10k simulations with up to 10 6 or 10 9 rolls each. Per simulation I store how many rolls have been made (number will be below the max if you bust), the overall profit (might still be positive in some cases even after a bust), number of rolls won, number of rolls lost, biggest streak (positive or negative number, depending on win/lost streak). The output is a .csv file.
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Im not really here, its just your imagination.
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pureelite
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April 22, 2015, 01:53:08 PM |
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My dice strategy
Odd:3x Increase on loss:80% Start:at 4 satoshi Bankroll at least:0.1 btc
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TheGrapist
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April 22, 2015, 02:11:51 PM |
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Mine is 47& chance, 2x on loss, basebet of 300 satoshi with atleast .1btc bankroll
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shorena
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No I dont escrow anymore.
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April 22, 2015, 08:35:10 PM Last edit: April 23, 2015, 05:18:43 AM by shorena |
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My dice strategy
Odd:3x Increase on loss:80% Start:at 4 satoshi Bankroll at least:0.1 btc
random https://mega.co.nz/#!SkwCAIQK!d-TVuwN-adiw09vTOfgGkRgBrsUZ6zh1h9Kq2bo4pVs hashes https://mega.co.nz/#!K853ETyL!oD2ASRLleL-3HqQ0kL7HJqe-uwHkVE132sN7wVJu9E0 Mine is 47& chance, 2x on loss, basebet of 300 satoshi with atleast .1btc bankroll
random https://mega.co.nz/#!GoYCxZQB!fK3Xz2xUy4ddtQw_Y0ru_DOasDB7ciuRMJ5Q13uedGQ hashes https://mega.co.nz/#!zthCUapQ!iXbPTv0dZkoJEL_Ad8_B9D8RIJLJW8zoF3mjKesL5Xo Make sure you copy the whole link, mega is strange in that regard. I did run both 20,000 times, because they finished quite fast (~10 minutes per 10,000 simulations). Mainly because neither system actually makes the 10 9 rolls. Edit: adding versions that are working with hashes instead of random numbers generated by the OS.
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Im not really here, its just your imagination.
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wiesen
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April 22, 2015, 11:47:56 PM |
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unfortunately a lot of different strategies I've tried playing in a casino is only giving me a loss... I have nothing to tell you except simple truth - the casino wins only one person... is the owner of the casino ![Sad](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/sad.gif)
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rayhan
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April 23, 2015, 01:41:50 AM |
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not sure coz everytime i change my odds , it depends on the numbers that come out before I make a bet, but mostly I use 70% above
how many red streaks you can have using 70% chance?? using 70% chance good on risk:reward ratio? because what i know is martingale only wok on 47-50% chance its like coin flip.. no , im not use martingale with high %, martingale is shit method.. i just waiting a good time for hit with 10% from balance n back to basebet
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TippingPoint
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April 23, 2015, 02:18:59 AM Last edit: April 23, 2015, 03:10:37 AM by TippingPoint |
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I tried every dice strategy I could find, but eventually had to face the truth. My best bet was playing against other players, and not against the house. I realized that I needed to develop my poker skills. I still gamble a lot, but now it is when I have an advantage against another player, not when the house has one against me. It feels much better. If another player is better than I am, I generally avoid playing against him unless I have a deceptive hand.
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lucasjkr
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April 23, 2015, 02:33:20 AM |
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It's all luck.
I remember building 1 btc into over 4 on satoshidice, oy to squander them all by hoping to repeat that string of luck.
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CoinFriend
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support.
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April 25, 2015, 03:03:11 PM |
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Which is your strategy?? Let's share it ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) My personal strategy is: Payout: 1.20/1.25x On lose: 900% Base bet 50 and stop session profit at 0.01! I'm curios to know yours ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) Maybe it's the best strategy if you never tell your strategy. So why should i believe your strategey? Maybe you has created this thread only to find out how all the other player handle this? ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif)
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sukamasoto
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Black Panther
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April 25, 2015, 03:27:00 PM |
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It's all luck.
I remember building 1 btc into over 4 on satoshidice, oy to squander them all by hoping to repeat that string of luck.
Because that Luck , I prefer rolling with low chance since I'm always got bust when I use 1,1x multiplier. With a low chance, I might win big like Hui (PD) for example. But recently I'm never seen Hui win against 9900x multiplier again...
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janggernaut
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May 03, 2015, 07:08:44 AM |
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not sure coz everytime i change my odds , it depends on the numbers that come out before I make a bet, but mostly I use 70% above
how many red streaks you can have using 70% chance?? using 70% chance good on risk:reward ratio? because what i know is martingale only wok on 47-50% chance its like coin flip.. no , im not use martingale with high %, martingale is shit method.. i just waiting a good time for hit with 10% from balance n back to basebet can you explain more cleary about "best time" for hit with 10% from balance? ty
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sandykho47bt
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May 03, 2015, 07:12:00 AM |
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Martingale is bad idea Better bet whole balance 3 times with 1.1x multiplier ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif)
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