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Author Topic: Which is your strategy on dice sites?  (Read 23111 times)
ciocgun
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April 07, 2015, 08:01:06 AM
 #441

Wow i fine the new strategy Smiley
Màrtingale in 33%chances and from small base bet Smiley

Does anyone can create a table to performe a confrontation with the different percentages?

vennali
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April 07, 2015, 08:22:39 AM
 #442

I have been using a different strategy lately. Its sort of similar to martingale but very different. I did a simulation of dice by betting at 93%, and the maximum losses I have ever got in a row at 8, with 8 being only once and mostly 7. So I have been running a bot by betting 0 satoshi or lowest amount, and wait for such a streak. And after 7 losses, I bet around 1 BTC at the odds.

I know it sounds like gamblers fallacy, but since the maximum losses in a row have been 7 or 8, I don't mind risking it on the stats I have got before. I started about a week back and have made the bet of 1 BTC 3 times till now. So its been going good till now.
huh, you sure? I just wonder how long it took till eventually you find that 8x lose in a row

I am more like banking on the fact that if I do get that 8th loss, I have the bankroll for the 9th, and I won't be afraid to put that bet in. But hasn't happened till now, so fine with it.

ShetKid
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April 07, 2015, 08:30:35 AM
 #443

Wow i fine the new strategy Smiley
Màrtingale in 33%chances and from small base bet Smiley
MArtingale with small or big will eventually fail at the end. At one point you will have a streak big enough that your bankroll won't be able to cover the bet.
sherbyspark
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April 07, 2015, 09:29:22 AM
 #444

Wow i fine the new strategy Smiley
Màrtingale in 33%chances and from small base bet Smiley

try martingale on 75% chance Smiley

Martingale would fail in both cases . It will lead to a bad streak in both, at 33% you will probably hit a streak of 50, and with 75% chance to win, you will still be hitting over 18 over long term. And since you multiply bets exponentially like 3x in 75%, you will be reaching the max bet very soon.
muhrohmat
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April 22, 2015, 09:36:52 AM
 #445

well people i notice that a 47% chance to double gets in martin gale like only 42% of double its very risky i woul not use constantly marin gale

boopy265420
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April 22, 2015, 09:46:35 AM
 #446

You can not apply same strategy on every dice site. I play with 50% chance with variable betting strategy what I want to say is I change little bit according to situation. I am not in loss at all. Last day I turned free bonus of 1mbtc into 16mbtc and took withdraw.Although the sum is not much but something is better than nothing.
rayhan
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April 22, 2015, 11:12:33 AM
 #447

not sure coz everytime i change my odds , it depends on the numbers that come out before I make a bet, but mostly I use 70% above

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April 22, 2015, 12:16:56 PM
 #448

not sure coz everytime i change my odds , it depends on the numbers that come out before I make a bet, but mostly I use 70% above

how many red streaks you can have using 70% chance??

using 70% chance good on risk:reward ratio? because what i know is martingale only wok on 47-50% chance its like coin flip..

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shorena
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April 22, 2015, 12:49:04 PM
 #449

not sure coz everytime i change my odds , it depends on the numbers that come out before I make a bet, but mostly I use 70% above

how many red streaks you can have using 70% chance??

using 70% chance good on risk:reward ratio? because what i know is martingale only wok on 47-50% chance its like coin flip..

If you give me "botable" values for a 70% win chance I can run a few simulations for you. I need values like below:

Code:
$prefix = "martingale22"
$numer_of_rolls_do_make = 10**9
$chance_to_win = 4950 # assumes lowest possible = 0000 and higest possible = 9999
$bankroll = 1*2**22 # how much satoshi do you start with
$basebet = 1 # in satoshi
$multiplier = 2 # if won
$increase_bet = 1.0 # percent to increase the bet, set 0 for flatbet; 1.0 for 100%

I typically run 10k simulations with up to 106 or 109 rolls each. Per simulation I store how many rolls have been made (number will be below the max if you bust), the overall profit (might still be positive in some cases even after a bust), number of rolls won, number of rolls lost, biggest streak (positive or negative number, depending on win/lost streak). The output is a .csv file.

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pureelite
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April 22, 2015, 01:53:08 PM
 #450

My dice strategy

Odd:3x
Increase on loss:80%
Start:at 4 satoshi
Bankroll at least:0.1 btc
TheGrapist
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April 22, 2015, 02:11:51 PM
 #451

Mine is 47& chance, 2x on loss, basebet of 300 satoshi with atleast .1btc bankroll

shorena
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April 22, 2015, 08:35:10 PM
Last edit: April 23, 2015, 05:18:43 AM by shorena
 #452

My dice strategy

Odd:3x
Increase on loss:80%
Start:at 4 satoshi
Bankroll at least:0.1 btc

random https://mega.co.nz/#!SkwCAIQK!d-TVuwN-adiw09vTOfgGkRgBrsUZ6zh1h9Kq2bo4pVs
hashes  https://mega.co.nz/#!K853ETyL!oD2ASRLleL-3HqQ0kL7HJqe-uwHkVE132sN7wVJu9E0

Mine is 47& chance, 2x on loss, basebet of 300 satoshi with atleast .1btc bankroll

random https://mega.co.nz/#!GoYCxZQB!fK3Xz2xUy4ddtQw_Y0ru_DOasDB7ciuRMJ5Q13uedGQ
hashes  https://mega.co.nz/#!zthCUapQ!iXbPTv0dZkoJEL_Ad8_B9D8RIJLJW8zoF3mjKesL5Xo

Make sure you copy the whole link, mega is strange in that regard.

I did run both 20,000 times, because they finished quite fast (~10 minutes per 10,000 simulations). Mainly because neither system actually makes the 109 rolls.


Edit: adding versions that are working with hashes instead of random numbers generated by the OS.

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April 22, 2015, 11:47:56 PM
 #453

unfortunately a lot of different strategies I've tried playing in a casino is only giving me a loss... I have nothing to tell you except simple truth - the casino wins only one person... is the owner of the casino  Sad
rayhan
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April 23, 2015, 01:41:50 AM
 #454

not sure coz everytime i change my odds , it depends on the numbers that come out before I make a bet, but mostly I use 70% above

how many red streaks you can have using 70% chance??

using 70% chance good on risk:reward ratio? because what i know is martingale only wok on 47-50% chance its like coin flip..
no , im not use martingale with high %, martingale is shit method.. i just waiting a good time for hit with 10% from balance n back to basebet

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April 23, 2015, 02:18:59 AM
Last edit: April 23, 2015, 03:10:37 AM by TippingPoint
 #455

I tried every dice strategy I could find, but eventually had to face the truth.  My best bet was playing against other players, and not against the house.  I realized that I needed to develop my poker skills.  I still gamble a lot, but now it is when I have an advantage against another player, not when the house has one against me.  It feels much better.  If another player is better than I am, I generally avoid playing against him unless I have a deceptive hand.
lucasjkr
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April 23, 2015, 02:33:20 AM
 #456

It's all luck.

I remember building 1 btc into over 4 on satoshidice, oy to squander them all by hoping to repeat that string of luck.
CoinFriend
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April 25, 2015, 03:03:11 PM
 #457

Which is your strategy?? Let's share it  Grin

My personal strategy is:

Payout: 1.20/1.25x
On lose: 900%

Base bet 50 and stop session profit at 0.01!

I'm curios to know yours Smiley

Maybe it's the best strategy if you never tell your strategy.

So why should i believe your strategey?
Maybe you has created this thread only to find out how all the other player handle this?
 Grin

- https://www.cryptopia.co.nz  - your one stop crypto shop  -
Exchange, Mineshaft, Marketplace and much more. Check it out Smiley
sukamasoto
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April 25, 2015, 03:27:00 PM
 #458

It's all luck.

I remember building 1 btc into over 4 on satoshidice, oy to squander them all by hoping to repeat that string of luck.

Because that Luck , I prefer rolling with low chance since I'm always got bust when I use 1,1x multiplier. With a low chance, I might win big like Hui (PD) for example. But recently I'm never seen Hui win against 9900x multiplier again...


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May 03, 2015, 07:08:44 AM
 #459

not sure coz everytime i change my odds , it depends on the numbers that come out before I make a bet, but mostly I use 70% above

how many red streaks you can have using 70% chance??

using 70% chance good on risk:reward ratio? because what i know is martingale only wok on 47-50% chance its like coin flip..
no , im not use martingale with high %, martingale is shit method.. i just waiting a good time for hit with 10% from balance n back to basebet

can you explain more cleary about "best time" for hit with 10% from balance? ty
sandykho47bt
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May 03, 2015, 07:12:00 AM
 #460

Martingale is bad idea
Better bet whole balance 3 times with 1.1x multiplier Grin
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