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1101  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: July 21, 2023, 09:35:49 AM
Man City are probably the best club in Europe right now, but don't forget how they only managed to push Arsenal out of first place at the end of last season... So there are strong clubs in the EPL now too... I think that next season Man City will not be as easy as last season and I don't rule out the possibility that they won't be able to win again...
A trophy in Champions League last season can be a good start for them to be recognized as a big club in Europe but they are far to be a best club or a dominating club in Champions League. They don't have such tremendous history like Real Madrid and they have yet won some Champions League in a row.

They can do it, starting from the last season, and will achieve it if they continue to succeed in Champions League next few years. We have to wait for their sustainable success in Champions League to conclude they are a dominating club in the last 5 years or 10 years. They have years to come to that recognition which is not easily to achieve.
1102  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: July 21, 2023, 07:16:18 AM
now the dilemma is at PSG when they don't let go of Mbappe now, so they may not get anything when Mbappe's status is a free transfer next year. however, Mbappe needs tougher competition with stronger competition such as in La Liga or the Premier League.
PSG might consider Madrid's offer if they are really serious about the agreed figures. I'm sure PSG will soften up a bit for the price.
Real Madrid want to have Mbappe and they can not delay the transfer too much as they are fearful that other rich clubs will take Mbappe from PSG. PSG want to sell the player and if the buyer is not Real Madrid, will they have problem to sell the player to another big club with good transfer price?

Absolutely no issue for PSG and it's what Real Madrid are fearful about. They have to deal smartly to save cost for themselves but have to do it carefully and keep their eyes on PSG and other clubs because I am sure they will not want to lose Mbappe.


Karim Benzema is undoubtedly a more experienced player than Mbappé but considering the current performance, Mbappé will be far ahead of Karim Benzema. When Cristiano Ronaldo was at Real Madrid, Karim Benzema didn't have that much of a role for the team. After Ronaldo left the club, when the responsibility of the team's main striker fell on Karim Benzema, Karim Benzema's performance came to everyone's attention. But if you look at Real Madrid's midfield and forwards right now, it's clear how strong Real Madrid are at the moment. The team is already strong and if Mbappe joins the team it will become even stronger. And one of the favorites for the Champions League will be Real Madrid.
Two seasons ago, Mbappe was worse than Benzema and in the last season, it's fair enough to say they have similar performance but Benzema went to Champions League semi finals. How about Mbappe in Champions League last season? He had to say goodbye too early after losing against Bayern Munich.

In a new season, Mbappe will no longer have to keep his eyes on Benzema or Messi who both left Europe to join MLS and Saudi Professional League. Mbappe will have a biggest competitor invidually is Erling Haaland. They will compete with each other for biggest clubs and they will have to beat each other in personal award competitions like Ballon d'Or.
1103  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BLACKROCK SPOT ETF DISCUSSION on: July 21, 2023, 03:35:14 AM
Sure, but existence of ETF doesn't prevent anyone from buying and holding actual bitcoins. ETF is designed for institutional investors or for those who, for whatever reason, don't want to hold it themselves.
Institutional investors are market makers and manipulators. Bitcoin Spot ETFs will bring more institutional investors into Bitcoin market and they will do their manipulation games, more than now.

They like Bitcoin Spot EFTs because they don't want to hold bitcoin by themselves and because they are familiar with capital management and investments through ETFs. I hope they will not learn any big lessons from losing coins because they don't buy bitcoin and don't own private keys.

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I don't think there's anything that prevents big whales from manipulating BTC price currently, so I don't expect introduction of the spot ETF would increase that risk.
The higher the volume, the less volatility. Not being able to experience another x1000 pump might sound bad at first, but it's a god thing in a long run. Due to it's nature BTC should still be steadily increasing in value and become more of a solid store of value than a high-risk-high-yield asset.
Manipulations exist in all markets and Bitcoin market has less strict regulations on other markets so manipulation in this market should be more easily for whales, institutional investors. It is more easily for them to manipulate the market because the marketcap is smaller than other markets which they already manipulated successfully.
1104  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: July 20, 2023, 03:21:50 PM
The best scenario for Luis Enrique and PSG is to release Mbappe so that the focus of the other players in the squad is not divided by the contents of the transfer. There are many things that Enrique has to fix, not just Mbappe alone, my prediction is that if Mbappe still refuses to extend his contact then he will be released next season.
PSG need to get money from Mbappe so they will not release the player. They will not terminate the contract and let Mbappe goes away as a free agent. They can reduce price at the end to sell Mbappe but they can hold the negotiation to bargain as highest transfer price as possible.

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If Neymar stays at PSG so he can be relied upon for another two or three seasons, Enrique only needs to organize the squad from the defensive and attacking midfielder sectors.
Problem with Neymar is he is very vulnerable to injury and PSG can no rely on Neymar as latest seasons show that Neymar usually was in hospital by injuries when PSG need him most.

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If you read the news about their transfer market, the arrival of several new players made Enrique have to let go of several players to streamline the squad, I think it is very likely that players returning after a loan spell like Icardi will be released in this summer's transfer window.
Yeah he has to sale off many players he does not plan to use in a new future to save salary budget for the club and to have vacant positions for new players. Definitely he does not want to lose Mbappe but the future of Mbappe is not controlled by Luis Enrique.
1105  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Can DEX Replace CEX as the Future of Crypto Trading? on: July 20, 2023, 03:13:24 PM
There's no DEX offer futures, scalping, liquidity, and low fee, how it's possible DEX can replace CEX in terms of crypto trading?

Maybe there's someone use DEX for trading for short term trade like a week or a month, but it's not enough to replace CEX. DEX isn't used for trading, it's only for buy and sell Bitcoin not in hurry. Maybe less decentralized exchange can replace CEX in the future.
DEXs will grow more with more products and maybe they will have bigger liquidity but I agree with you that it is so hard and liekly impossible for DEXs to replace CEXs because they can not reach or surpass CEXs in all those criteria.

People as exchange users will find exchanges which provide as many products they like as possible. They also find convenience, good trading fees and big volume, liquidity to avoid losing more by price change as their trading impact.

Only when DEXs can do it, they will be able to replace and surpass CEXs. So far I don't think DEXs will get it in too near future and they have very long development and need more adoption to get there.
1106  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: July 20, 2023, 11:38:16 AM
Though I get to agree with few of your points listed but using the Pre Season games to judge the upcoming Premier League is a very wrong thing to do.
Before each season, what happens in summer transfer, player in and out, pre-season training and physical fitness care from medical staffs for players will be very important for a new season. Because it will help a club have enough quality players for a long season, new players have enough time to adapt to a new coach and team mates or don't have enough time from pre-season training. It can reduce injuries of players or cause many injuries in a long season like Liverpool experienced in the last season. No club will want to have bad preparation which results in massive unwanted injuries of their key players.

Pre-season preparation and friendly matches won't be enough to conclude what team will lift the trophy when a new season ends but it is important to have overview on strength and readiness for that coming season.
1107  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: July 20, 2023, 10:30:37 AM
Real Madrid have no shows their interest to Vlahovic because they have Joselu and this player can be played as centre striker but i highly doubt Joselu quality will be equal to Benzema because although last season he was performing well with Espanyol but during his career Joselu only spend his time playing with mediocre teams so for centre striker Real Madrid have to look for other players and it's necessary because next season the competition will be so tight especially at champion league and Laliga
Their main interest is on Mbappe but Vlahovic is not a bad striker. He is very good and has many good skills including free kick but of course he does not have similar style and skills like Karim Benzema. With Vinicius and Rodrygo, it is not bad if Real Madrid buy Vlahovic and put him into the center of their attacking system.

Joselu is like an alternative player and not a main striker for Real Madrid. I believe that Real Madrid will look for another better striker in this summer and they still have time to complete a transfer to fill up that position.

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About Mbappe although many media has been speculate he will be arrived to Real Madrid this summer but in fact so far they will be stick to their decision that this summer they wouldn't bought him and Real Madrid will gets Mbappe for season 2024 with free transfer status but transfer window deadline still a month remaining so everything still possible to happend and maybe Fiorentino Perez will change his mind and he will attempts to buy Mbappe soon
Mbappe does not show his best performance if he is used at the striker position so if Real Madrid buy Mbappe, they will plan to use him at swings if they already have a good striker. If they still lack of a striker, they will temporarily use Mbappe at that position but it won't last long and the player will not feel happy too.

With a clear announcement from PSG that they will not again increase salary and power of Mbappe in their club, just to expand the contract. Real Madrid will continue their negotiation with PSG and complete the transfer in this summer. Meanwhile they will look around for a good striker too but it is not their main priority in this summer.
1108  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Kuwait Bans Bitcoin and crypto payments, investement and mining on: July 20, 2023, 10:16:57 AM
So it looks like Kuwait has decided to ban crypto payments, investments, and also mining. The reason? is the usual:

Kuwait has prohibited the use of crypto for payments or investment to combat money laundering, according to a circular by the country's financial regulator issued on Monday.
They can ban it because they are government in that nation but they should borrow better reasons for this prohibition against cryptocurrency. Banning it because of money laundering is just gibberish as they don't ban fiat currencies with same reason.

I don't expect it too because Middle East nations are more friendly with Bitcoin and cryptocurrency than Europe and North America. Many blockchain summits, conferences, companies were hosted and operated in Middle East. This regulatory movement from Kuwait is very strict and not expected.
1109  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: July 20, 2023, 08:21:31 AM
Even if it doesn't seem obvious, there are two motives of clubs, it's to win trophies and to make money. It now depends on what they focus on and how they still manage their resources to achieve the two for themselves. Borussia Dortmund is stylishly achieving the two at the same time, and I will not blame them for that, though it's obvious that people have been talking much about it. Yet, they manage to always deliver as they always have a voice in the league and a top rival of any winner of the league.
Dortmund chose their strategy and they prioritize money than titles. It helps their club to have good finance in latest years and are competitive in Bundesliga as well as regularly participating in Champions League. However, ending seasons with a runner up position caused a lot of regret, disappointment to their players and fans. Honestly, if their players and fans can make choices, they will choose to win titles.

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They've been second in the last 5 leagues and ended up being third in one. This is not so bad and one day they will get it right and be the winner.
They are a most popular runner up in Bundesliga in last 11 years and we know since a transfer to Dortmund, Marco Reus has never won Bundesliga with Dortmund. It is big regret that Reus deserves to win one Bundesliga trophy and he is counting down last seasons before a retirement.

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Bayern Munich is not a club you could just win anyhow even without selling good players, Dortmund would not also sell all their good players, only that they would have had their chance on Bayern last season if they are better serious enough.
Bayern Munich are a strongest club in Bundesliga from strength on field to their power in finance. They use money to buy best players from their domestic competitors and reduce chances for those competitors to win against Bayern.
1110  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Can DEX Replace CEX as the Future of Crypto Trading? on: July 19, 2023, 10:58:30 PM
do take note that some of these traders are converting their crypto to fiat, so they still need CEXs on this process. the truth is, we still need to convert our crypto to fiat to actually use it in our everyday life. not many merchants are directly accepting crypto. also, there are some bottlenecks why crypto is still not widely use as payment method. not only the availability but the fees involve.
Most of them use CEXs because it is most convenient for them, cheapest trading fee and they don't care about privacy.

They can use non KYC DEXs but they see those exchanges are less convenient, risk to be scammed by trade partners.
They can use Bitcoin or cryptocurrency ATMs but they don't want to be charged very high fee such as 15% or even ridiculously higher.

Non KYC exchanges to trade with cash.
https://kycnot.me/?cash=on
1111  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: July 19, 2023, 10:46:21 PM
A Maguire transfer from Manchester United to Chelsea would be a surprise for several reasons. Maguire had a hard time in Manchester and I think besides the financial aspects he could also be a winner if Chelsea performs well and he can play a part in that success. But if Chelsea fails again, I can already read all the public allegations against the club and those responsible for the transfers because why would they sign players that underperformed when they themselves underperformed and are now trying to recover? Negative times negative is positive? Maguire is a high risk transfer if this really happens as Chelsea doesn't have the time to run some experiments with players who failed elsewhere.
Maguire does not belong to top defenders and he was over estimated since his transfer from Leicester City to Manchester United. If Chelsea buy him and consider him as an average central defender, it is acceptable for their transfer decision.

I only wonder that does Chelsea actually need such an average central defender to improve their defense quality? Logically they don't need Maguire and they can find better players who have cheaper transfer price and even are younger than Maguire.

Personally I don't see chance for Maguire to move to Chelsea in this summer. He must find average clubs, not top ones like Chelsea.
1112  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: July 19, 2023, 03:24:55 PM
Until the end of July (when PSG will have to pay Mbappe 40 million for loyalty) there are only 12 days left and I see that the strategy of Real (do nothing  Grin ) is working 100%  Cool
If PSG don't sell Mbappe, their spending balance will be in a huge negative and this will affect their ability in the transfer market (even if they are cheaters). Therefore, the closer to July 31, the higher the desire of PSG to get rid of Mbappe and, in theory, they should reduce the price of him.
PSG will not want to lose more money to Mbappe but only want to maximum money from Mbappe transfer. Real Madrid is a club which shows biggest interest for Mbappe and is dealing with PSG and they will be best partner for PSG to sell the player. Your thinking is logic as PSG will have to complete it with pressure from both Mbappe and Real Madrid. They will no have enough time ask too much from Real Madrid. At the end, they will have to sell Mbappe at lower price than their initial demand.
1113  Other / Meta / Re: Lol. Has this ever happened to you? Merit sent again after refreshing. on: July 19, 2023, 03:04:39 PM
If you hit the refresh after the 60 seconds, then it's possible.
The three merit transactions are between 7 minutes so it is possible to happen after refreshing the merit page.

When you refresh or click Send, within 60 seconds, it will show the message.

" You just merited that post! Did you double-click? ".

Did Poker Player ignored the message?
1114  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Beginners, you don't need Bitcoin first on: July 18, 2023, 11:28:14 AM
You don't need Bitcoin first, What you need is a JOB, work on that first.
If they want to have bitcoin, they must get it somehow. From working, faucets, giveaways, airdrops, whatever can help them. Working is the best because nowadays giveaways and airdrops are more related to altcoins, tokens. Bitcoin faucets only allow to claim small amount of satoshi and waste your time.

Working to get bitcoin as your salary or get your salary in fiat currency or stable coin and use it to buy bitcoin.

Not just bitcoin, it applies to every investment when someone have the source of income to meet their daily needs, handle unexpected expenses, and have a safety net in case of any market volatility. The success you made from investing with the money as pocket money, gift or anything small as one time then it all just experimental so this can't serve enough to take the big risk of taking loan and use that money as capital for investment.
Investment means you must have capital to invest. The capital can be from inheritance, salary but most of us have it from our income, salary not from inheritance. Because we must work hard to get capital for investment, we must know how to store our bitcoin safely.

Reminder: do not keep your money in online accounts
1115  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: July 18, 2023, 11:25:04 AM
But it is interesting now to see what steps Chelsea will take after overhauling a lot of players who were just released. with the fresh funds they have from the sale actually Vlahovic is also still possible to bring in but as you said, there are several other options about this although it is likely that Vlahovic is one of the players prioritized.
Besides, some news about the exchange of Vlahovic and Lukaku is also still quite busy at this time so this can also be used as one of the good and mutually beneficial options for them
By selling some players to Saudi clubs and got big money from them, Chelsea have good transfer budget and no longer have to worry about financial observation and investigation from UEFA against their club finance. It might come back in future but in this summer, they are good and can enjoy this transfer season to rebuild their team.

Between Lukaku and Vlahovic, Vlahovic is younger and can be useful for Chelsea so it is good for them if they can complete the deal with Juventus. I still don't think Juventus will be ready to lose Vlahovic because they know that striker is younger and has a longer career than Lukaku.

Actually, the financial conditions of Inter Milan and AC Milan are both almost the same. i.e. they don't have a huge budget to bring in high priced players. Even Inter Milan also failed to sign Lukaku.
They don't have good transfer budgets but it is because Lukaku has lost his good performance in the last two seasons so none of them want to take high risk with Lukaku. It is a bigger problem because with non abundant transfer budget, they will not want to lose precious fund for Lukaku with doubt that the striker will not contribute too much for them in a new season.

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And currently Inter Milan are trying to get Morata. and I think it will also be difficult for Inter Milan. But Morata himself seems really interested in playing in Serie A. AC Milan, AS Roma and Inter Milan I think it will be difficult to get Morata. Because other news is that Morata was also offered to play in the Arab League. Even the salary offered is quite high. But for now Morata has extended his contract at Atletico Madrid until 2026. So I don't think this season there will be a change of club for Morata.
Morata is like another player from the past as he failed when he returned to Juventus and had to return to Spain to continue his career. He has some kind of good skill but he is bad to deal with pressure, expectation and can not play well in big clubs. Morata is like another version of Lukaku and their careers have many similarities.
1116  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin is not compared to Bitcoin with the best anyone on: July 18, 2023, 04:19:18 AM
I agree also with you. Bitcoin is the King, my advice to you is if you just planning to hold some altcoins, don't forget to have Bitcoins in your bag.
We all know why people love altcoins is because of the ROI, they can get more profits on altcoins versus Bitcoin just incase there will be a parabolic run again.
For an experienced investor in cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin would account for 80% or 90% of portfolio. 10% or 20% of capital for altcoins is enough because investing in altcoins are risky.

Holding wrong altcoins can cause your capital drops to zero, no price, no volume to exit. Many altcoins die after every four year of a market cycle and if an altcoin investor hold a wrong altcoins more than four years, capital will become zero.

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But for long term, I'll choose Bitcoin to hold.
I agree. Bitcoin is the only cryptocurrency we can hold with diamond belief. Because only have questions like what altcoins are considered as commodity or security. With Bitcoin, it is not a security, it is a commodity, no need to discuss more about that. No risk from regulation on Bitcoin in terms of being a security or a commodity as it has been confirmed many times.
1117  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: July 18, 2023, 04:11:55 AM
It makes perfect sense, it's not about money but more about the prestige of the League and the guarantee of getting the UCL trophy. Kane has absolutely no interest in moving to PSG, his main priority now is Bayern Munich. Kane can fulfill his wish with Bayern Munich which he could not get while defending Tottenham, the potential to lift the UCL trophy could be the trigger for Kane move to Bayern Munich.
Kane must not pass up this good opportunity to make his dream come true, he deserves something more valuable before his career ends.
PSG at least will help Kane to win titles in France first and pay him high salary. I agree that Kane sees better chance in Bayern Munich because he will be able to win domestic titles with Bayern like in PSG with his opportunity to win Champions League with Bayern would be bigger than with PSG.

Bayern Munich still have a better general stability than PSG and their dress room is less conflicted like PSG's. Kane with his position as a captain of Tottenham and England teams will not want to stay below Mbappe in PSG. He is not a player with too high demand and ego but staying humble under Mbappe is very uncomfortable experience for Kane.

Harry Kane is one of Tottenham Hotspur's most effective players, and his desire to leave the club will only increase the club's significance. PSG is an elite club, but they lack the necessary team planning to be in a position to recruit the Englishman. Perhaps not every player would select PSG since, while they are an elite club, they are not a winning squad; these are the facts about the Parisians. As for the Bavarians, they're quite competitive in terms of performances and title challenges; let's hope Bayern Munich can finalize the Harry Kane trade soon.
Kane does not have too lower quality and performance than Mbappe in the last few seasons. He only did not have chance to win titles by playing for Tottenham many years. If he moves to Bayern Munich and win Champions League, I am sure he will beat Mbappe to get the Ballon d'Or which is very wanted by Mbappe.

With my view, Bayern will surely be a more favorite destination for Harry Kane than PSG.
1118  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: July 17, 2023, 10:37:10 AM
The new coach turned their games around last season for Sevilla and it was a surprise to everyone with the superb form that the club picked. It is good news that the coach contract has been extended because I believe that this season he surprise the world with the performance of Sevilla. He is a good coach and I think he has target to be among the top for in Laliga coming season. I didn't expect that Sevilla will win the final match against Monaco but I saw how desperate the players were and committed in the game. This shows that their new coach has a good way to motivate the players.
He helped Sevilla to exit relegation zone in La Liga and won Europa League so an expansion for his contract is well deserved. Sevilla are in top clubs of La Liga in the last twenty years and the last season is a warning that they got something wrong in their club.'

Though it is a red flag and they must make a forensic analysis about their problems to avoid a similar situation in a new season, the trophy in Europa League shows that Sevilla still have enough quality players to play well. Perhaps their main problems are not from player quality but about coach tactics and cooperation between coach and players.

I think for now Barcelona have shown their strength in Laliga and I'm sure next season Barcelona will focus all their strength on the Champions League. Apart from that, I think there are things that are interesting for the depth of the Barcelona squad because next season Gundogan will be one of the additional factors for their midfield which will make Barcelona very reckoned with in the Champions League.
Barcelona will need some more seasons to return to top level in Champions League and after Lewandowski, they have another experienced player Gundogan to help their young players growing up more.

Playing together with experienced players, who are already winners in Champions League, will help their young players a lot, in emotion control, pressure dealing which are important to compete with biggest clubs in Champions League.
1119  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin: Bull/Bear Market Which Do you Prefer? on: July 17, 2023, 04:00:56 AM
I guess others doesn't like bear market because obviously, you will see your portfolio going down (if you still have some bitcoin that you didn't sell during the height of a bull run). Nevertheless, it's a good time to accumulate, so for me both are very important.
If you hold your capital in cash, in stable coins in bear market you will feel good. Because during bear market, you will have better discount price to buy bitcoin. With same capital, you will be able to buy more amount of bitcoin, it's good. Your capital will not go down in bear market if you did not use all capital to buy bitcoin in a bull market and stuck in a bear market.

By dollar cost averaging in a bear market, it will help us to have good chance to see our portfolio growth in a bull run.

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And I will advise everyone that it's going to be a good learning experience if you are going to see how the bear/bull market is. You can adjust, make plans and strategized. With that, I will say that both for me is good.
Bear market is good to get experience and see how news is used for manipulation in this market.
1120  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: July 16, 2023, 03:17:40 AM
Less than 1 year for mbappe. PSG is trying to defend mbappe to stay even longer in the club but mbappe has been refusing it. There's no thing that can be done by PSG now.
PSG can only try to give mbappe a chance to pick which was best from him. PSG has been sending ultimatum so many times for him but he is not able to deciding it. I meant mbappe is not even trying to accept psg's offer to leave from the club.

It will be so good for real madrid if the club will able to get him for free. Madrid will not need to spend more than €200 m just to buy him only.
Real Madrid have to balance between the transfer cost they pay to PSG and the salary they will have to pay to Mbappe. Because they know Mbappe wants to join them and PSG no longer have control on the player. The very last barrier for the transfer is Real Madrid must convince Mbappe to sacrifice a little bit of his high salary if he wants to join Real Madrid in this summer.

It can be an offer to increase the player salary gradually year by year and I think it is a best solution for Real Madrid and Mbappe.

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Neymar is still long way to go.
PSG does not want to keep Neymar but they can not easily sell him. The player wants to get very high salary and he already won Champions League with Barcelona so he only lack of Balon d'Or and don't have many reasons to leave PSG and join another club which gives him lower salary.
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