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121  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 25, 2020, 08:31:21 AM

Regular Socrates Warning Broadcast

We don't want to spam this thread so go here: (click)

122  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 25, 2020, 08:29:33 AM
As I said before: The cat is out of the bag, the Charlatan-in-chief has no clothes.

We won the war. The truth is out, and it is NOT somewhere in the middle.

Resistance is futile.

I am sure the paid spammers are out in full force, working overtime, but they have been banned before, they are discredited.


Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for that reason but he has not changed.

Read this blog starting here to find out more about computerized fraud.

See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog.

yeo - paid trolls are the evil - we need better ways, anonymity is mostly evil as well btw. dont trust - verify - do own research

 Grin

I agree - do your own research. But who can afford it? It took me more than a year to get to this point, building armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com.

If a society wants to function efficiently, I should have someone who I can trust WITHOUT doing this massive amount of work myself. Perhaps google should provide an AI based web site verification service, such as

The Martin Armstrong Lie Detector I proposed before?


Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for that reason but he has not changed.

Read this blog starting here to find out more about computerized fraud.

See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog.
123  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 25, 2020, 12:03:11 AM
As I said before: The cat is out of the bag, the Charlatan-in-chief has no clothes.

We won the war. The truth is out, and it is NOT somewhere in the middle.

Resistance is futile.

I am sure the paid spammers are out in full force, working overtime, but they have been banned before, they are discredited.


Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for that reason but he has not changed.

Read this blog starting here to find out more about computerized fraud.

See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog.
124  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 24, 2020, 09:28:03 PM
Fraud Warning

Martin Armstrong is publishing misleading content here under his handle over45.

He also recently posted here as m96 and under Gumbi. Gumbi needs a break because he has fallen flat on his face here once again.

His scheme has been exposed many times. The damage is done. Irreversible damage. It's a scam. Game over. There are just too many facts.

You are welcome to check the facts here.

The charlatan has no clothes.


Marty, unfortunately MANY people who bought your reports are very unhappy.

Please refer to the following recent sample case:

Fraudulent Blog Post Revisions

If you want to contact Marty directly, just send a private message here: Contact Martin Armstrong and daughter.

Once again Martin Armstrong is denied the option to use this forum for fraudulent advertising. Yes, fraudulent advertising, false advertising. And we are here to take corrective action with information, just the facts.

Meanwhile, our themes of the day are still "Which Government has asked Martin Armstrong for Advice?", "Socrates Technical Analysis Prediction Magic" and "Economic Advice by Martin Armstrong".



And YOU MARTY (posting as over45 here), you get your standard reminder as promised. You fight facts with spam, you get the warning. You have been warned!

As previously said, Gumbi's and cohorts' posts get replied to in a way that will remind them of the context in which we showed them that Martin Armstrong is a charlatan.

Let him be reminded again that we have a model case where this behavior is documented in much detail. Here we show how Martin Armstrong's fraud manifests itself. Beyond any doubt. A self-documenting case. It actually saves time and effort to repeat this as opposed to wasting the time trying to argue this same type of thing without end.

Whatever smokescreen over45, Gumbi, m96, Alex-11 and cohorts are coming up with now, they get this reply. I know they just want this message to go away but I am not going to do Martin Armstrong the favor.

The pattern is the same again and again: Pick one of the ambiguous conflicting Socrates signals in hindsight to argue the case. For us, there is no need to formulate a custom response to that. We use this standard response that documents the following model case. To show everyone what these charlatans are doing.

I have an obligation to spread the message for the honest people, and as painful as it is for me, I am going to persevere until the Armstrong promoters shut up. So they are warned. The honest people have all the facts on their side.


AnonymousCoder"Quarterly reversal time unit is one quarter. Gold rallied before the quarter was over and no other signal in the opposite direction was available to indicate change of direction.

The time span is 1 to 3 units in time so the quarterly bearish reversal had 1 to 3 quarters before time was up.

Armstrong wrote on his private blog on the first of March our quarterly level of the model generated a bullish reversal at the end of the year reversing its short position and going long. This also signaled that gold would rally from the $1060 area and should test the next bullish reversal at the $1347 level."

Not sure if you are aware or not but you are losing this discussion. Kiss

Here we go. You are providing the proof of my assertion yourself!

Hindsight, Fraud. This hindsight message is fraudulent misrepresentation of performance, pure fraud!
Now here you are saying, and I know you are speaking for Martin Armstrong, that


Martin Armstrong had this information, this bullish signal, the fact that his model went long - at the end of the year - but at the same time failed to tell his clients?

In fact he sent the opposite signal to his clients at the time!

If he knew this at the time when he claimed the system went long, and let's assume for the sake of argument that what you say is true then he could have been trading against his clients because he published this signal only three months later.

You are not worth the respect of a single honest being on earth! You are a fraud!


And yes, I have all the reports. How could I otherwise quote them? I have everything!

More importantly, all other people who lost, they have everything as well.



Here is a detailed time line of the events:


Quarterly Superposition Event in Gold 2015


Martin A. Armstrong: convicted felon, shameless conman, schizophrenic crackpot & financial comedian

Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for that reason but he has not changed.

Read this blog starting here to find out more about computerized fraud.

See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog.

125  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 24, 2020, 01:31:24 PM
I forgot to say: The cat is out of the bag, the Charlatan-in-chief has no clothes.

We won the war. The truth is out, and it is NOT somewhere in the middle.

Resistance is futile.

Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for that reason but he has not changed.

Read this blog starting here to find out more about computerized fraud.

See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog.
126  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 24, 2020, 10:48:10 AM

Unsolicited Government Advice
by Martin Armstrong


Letter to president confidence trick
...
Also, why is he even writing these letters if government will never listen in the first place (as he says)? So are circling it between all the governments who won't listen to it anyway? Why are they sharing the letter? For the laughs? Then they enjoy the dinner together?


As you pointed out quite correctly, it is another confidence trick in the toolbox of his scam.

So as he can later once again claim that he has provided Government advice.

Unsolicited advice which is a mental health issue (search google for it).

No chance in hell that this petition with the name of a convicted felon and scammer on it will get the minimum number of signatures. And he knows it. Why is his name on it? Self-promotion, advertising. A petition is for something to happen not for someone personally doing it. It is pathetic.

The other issue with this petition, and this is the proof, is that it has a due date of April 22, 2020. By then, this will be all over anyway and he knows that as well. All Propaganda, hot air.

The funny thing is that his business is even sustainable while every man and his dog knows it is a scam. As he wrote to me: "There is no such thing as bad publicity".

It is just the way armstrongeconomics does business. Until he gets locked up behind bars again. Don't forget: we are prepared for every aspect of his system, and we respond on short notice. We have all the bullets to win this war of words. Proof: We wrote about the Government Advice Scam before this Coronavirus thing even started.


I am fairly confident that the Government has Health advisers with a proven track record who are feverishly working on damage control, to fine tune the response as to prevent the overwhelming of the health system. Therefore things have to be shut down to some extent even in face of the economic damage. The last thing is to have to look after a crackpot like Martin Armstrong. What would he be doing anyway? Handing out face masks? He is incompetent!


And here is the last bullet point, a general one that is most critical. With the level of media activity for decades, the daily blog writing, he has not even had the time to become proficient in any field.

With his proven track record of incompetent advice, plagiarism and fraud, having wasted 11 years in prison, how can this school dropout even claim to be competent in any field?

He as not written even a single peer-reviewed paper, and he was NEVER in any discussion with competent people that could challenge him.

This is the blueprint for a crackpot.



Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for that reason but he has not changed.

Read this blog starting here to find out more about computerized fraud.

See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog.
127  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 24, 2020, 08:34:11 AM
Thanks for your comment.

...
AC, you are beginning to come across as petulant and even a bit unhinged at times.

I am not surprised by that.

Please keep in mind that most remaining MA supporters here are still trying to use this platform for advertising purposes. One way or the other, they are paid by MA and my responses to their tactics are influenced by their style.


If you are interested in a more moderate style you are welcome to visit armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com which is basically a compilation of the facts.

Wow, my virus scanner pops up and wants to educate me about Coronavirus scams as I write this ...
128  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 24, 2020, 01:17:30 AM
Economic Advice by Martin Armstrong


Alright, no problem. Thanks for the heads up. Here we go.

Another Coronavirus scam, shameless Martin Armstrong self-promotion / advertisement.

Calls himself an "expert".

Let's get the record straight ... The ...





Martin Armstrong so thoroughly discredits himself in many blog posts, only a complete idiot would take any of his advice.

The guy is such a crackpot, he does not even know what the words "economic", "economy" actually mean.

As usual, I provide the naked Proof.

Take for example his ideas on food security, the most important topic on the planet:

Local Food a Good Idea for Economic Freedom
Quote
Posted Feb 5, 2016 by Martin Armstrong
Sorry for the typo, this is a good idea for those who want to look at having a back-up for the future. But this idea should also be taken seriously in places that need to import food. The number one reason politicians have stated that Greece should remain in the euro is that they have to import their food. This would eliminate the majority of that problem. I strongly recommend Greeks look at this technology. It can also provide economic freedom from the EU.
The Way of the Future
Quote
Posted Feb 5, 2016 by Martin Armstrong
One of the more vital technological advancements has been developed. They can grow all the necessary food without farmland from inside a warehouse that is completely free from genetic tinkering or chemical whatever.
This technology and has been doing a bang-up job around the world. It would probably not be a bad idea to set one up in a basement for the years ahead. This is the way of the future - fresh food coming from your basement.

So here we go. Expand your basement to the size of a few acres and grow wheat, rice and potatoes.

Some say say Martin Armstrong is an economist. He isn't one. He is a school drop-out who spent 11 years in jail. Anyway: How could any economist ignore economic principles?

Show me one farmer on earth who economically produces staple food without sunlight. There isn't one and there will never be one.

No my friend, this was NOT an April Fool's Joke - check the dates.

Now he thinks that based on his Economic Expertise as documented herein, the Government would take his advice once again.

Any questions?



Martin A. Armstrong: convicted felon, shameless conman, schizophrenic crackpot & financial comedian

Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for that reason but he has not changed.

Read this blog starting here to find out more about computerized fraud.

See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog.
129  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 24, 2020, 12:51:19 AM
Apparently Martin Armstrong is VERY worried. With good reason indeed. Loses every discussion, discredits himself to the point where he cannot use one of his avatars any more. Makes Threats of Legal Action based on posting of copyrighted material covered under the Fair use doctrine. Desperate, threadbare, bankrupt.

Now spamming is his tool of last resort. Thanks heaps for demonstrating that to everybody!

over45 talks senseless garbage while we prove here for everyone to see that





Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for that reason but he has not changed.

Read this blog starting here to find out more about computerized fraud.


See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog.
130  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 23, 2020, 10:50:01 AM

Armstrong Economics
the Largest Forecasting Firm in the World


Let's look at some of Martin Armstrong's claims, for example:


We Apologize For Site Overload - Expanded Servers Are Up

Quote
You must realize we are the largest forecasting firm in the world. We cover more than 1,000 markets ever day. When the surge of millions of people tries to get in at one time, the system is designed to ... so that when tens of millions trying to get into the basic level, it does not bring down all levels.

With ten million subscribers as claimed each paying USD$150 per year for the minimum basic subscription - that would be USD1.5 Billion per year.

However, it appears that this message is nothing more than a confidence trick by an operation that is run on a shoestring budget. Because:


In March 2020, years after first launch, not enough money to even fix the bugs?

Quote
Thank you for visiting Ask-Socrates.com. We are in the process of updating our site, migrating data, and transitioning to a new infrastructure.
You may experience delays and discrepancies during this time. We appreciate your patience and understanding.

Forecasting & Political Correctness

Quote
The problem stems from the fact that I am INDEPENDENT and we are not a one-man-band newsletter. We have the resources and are global and have always been. Therein lies the distinction. Because we are global, we have to monitor the world. We have been the LARGEST institutional adviser with more than 25,000 institutions stemming from back in the 1990s.

The simple fact is that Martin Armstrong does not even have a permanent office outside his Florida home.


See also:


and






Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for that reason but he has not changed.

Read this blog starting here to find out more about computerized fraud.

See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog.
131  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 23, 2020, 10:34:14 AM

Spam Warning

The previous 3 messages by truth727 are spam paid for by Martin Armstrong.

Apparently Martin Armstrong is VERY worried. With good reason indeed. Loses every discussion, discredits himself to the point where he cannot use one of his avatars any more. Makes Threats of Legal Action based on posting of copyrighted material covered under the Fair use doctrine. Desperate, threadbare, bankrupt.

Now spamming is his tool of last resort. Thanks heaps for demonstrating that to everybody!

truth727, now you are perplexed, aren't you? You are talking to yourself. Nobody reads your stuff.


What you are doing has the opposite effect of what you are trying to achieve! What next?

Ask Martin Armstrong for more money and Get a Global Artificial Intelligence Computer Spam robot!

Smiley Cheesy Grin Smiley Cheesy Grin Smiley Cheesy Grin Grin Grin Grin

Gee. Marty can't even get this one right. Everything he does is to our advantage. The spammers help us get the message out! Martin Armstrong you are no match for us. Why? Because you are such a liar, whenever you do something, you contradict yourself and fall into a new trap. We just need to react consistently. Look a the history of this thread. I am running around you in circles, waiting for the next disaster to happen.



Martin A. Armstrong: convicted felon, shameless conman, schizophrenic crackpot & financial comedian

Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for that reason but he has not changed.

Read this blog starting here to find out more about computerized fraud.


See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog.
132  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 22, 2020, 05:58:31 AM


Spam Warning


The next 3 messages are spam. Sorry for the inconvenience. Please scroll down to the spam-free area.


Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for that reason but he has not changed.

Read this blog starting here to find out more about computerized fraud.


See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog.
133  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 22, 2020, 03:09:17 AM
Thanks over45 for exposing yourself, your true character, the depth of your thought.

You are a genius Kiss

See



Martin A. Armstrong: convicted felon, shameless conman, schizophrenic crackpot & financial comedian

Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for that reason but he has not changed.

Read this blog starting here to find out more about computerized fraud.


See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog.
134  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 22, 2020, 12:17:53 AM
Just the statistics for the day:

2020-03-21 13:11:39 (Read 630307 times)
2020-03-22 13:12:34 (Read 630547 times

This thread is still read more than 200 times a day on a lousy weekend. 100 reads a day is a fairly good average.

Believe me folks, it's again been a great successful day!

Everybody can get the facts now. Look at who is providing content and who is posting spam. Easy to see.

The people are looking for facts when they come here and they get them ...

The are not looking for troll content ...

Very expensive for Martin Armstrong ... draining his troll account hahahaha Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

These jerks have been trying for years to cultivate a group of people in this forum who discuss Socrates trading ideas here so they can use this forum to promote their scam.

Again, I provide proof:

Look at posts of Strike Eagle 26, another Martin Armstrong shill alias to see how they started it.

This has completely failed - look at the damage. It is a total disaster - expos? after expos?.

BANKRUPT


Martin A. Armstrong: convicted felon, shameless conman, schizophrenic crackpot & financial comedian

Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for that reason but he has not changed.

Read this blog starting here to find out more about computerized fraud.

See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog.
135  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 21, 2020, 10:06:01 AM


How to copy Socrates Private Blog Text

Socrates is designed to prevent copying the report contents to the clipboard hence the need for this article.

More importantly, two more factors have made this subject more relevant recently:


In the United States we have the Fair use doctrine. This allows for the copying and publishing of copyrighted material without consent of the publisher to the extent that I am talking about here.

Obviously we don't want to publish all reports we paid for on this blog. However we can copy selected pages in cases where we want to criticize the content, such as the following:

FACTS DO MATTER! Marty says DO NOT BUY THE LOW 4 days after the 2018 LOW. We need to publish / quote a report page with URL (yes these pages have URLs), subject, author and date, with the text verbatim as originally published as to be authentic and verifiable so that readers can compare notes.

Therefore, in order to be able to do this easily, we would ideally need to get the report text.

There is another reason to get the text: We want to store the reports on private storage such as our computer hard drive so we can SEARCH for words / sentences. Or if we copy all reports into a single file with the headers separating them, then searches can be done in a single file. Obviously, this is not practical with screen prints.

I would encourage any critics to keep posting selected Socrates reports with their fraudulent revisions because critics are covered by the law, the fair use doctrine.


Obviously, Martin Armstrong's copy prevention is not helpful in case you want to build a track record. You need to copy the text to archive it.

There are two ways to do it:

1) Save the entire page

2) View the source code of the page in your browser, copy the text part and remove the HTML tags and save the raw content as text file. I prefer this option because a text file or text snippet is easier to manage.


There is of course the option to just copy the content as an image which is quicker but this has the disadvantages as shown above.




Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for that reason but he has not changed.

Read this blog starting here to find out more about computerized fraud.

See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog.
136  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 21, 2020, 02:13:22 AM
Dow Jones ready for a major low in 1 to 2 weeks .
Gold will see a low in April .may correct to the 1300 level before any rebound . Martin signal a test of 19000 and below for Dow and if it holds ,then we have a good bounce here. this is what the private blog says .

Shit happens.


Martin Armstrong forgot his Socrates forecast arrays and ECM can predict the lows down to the day. But never mind, be assured that HE WILL spout the "down to the day" forecast of his hindsight system after the event.
Smiley Cheesy Grin Smiley Cheesy Grin Smiley Cheesy Grin Grin Grin Grin

Honestly, what does it mean when he says this on Friday? A low could be in the next trading day, Monday and he could claim success.
A low could be 10 April and he would still claim success.

This is not better than saying a low is when the price goes up after it and a high is when the price goes lower after it.

In other words: It is just gossip.


Dow Jones ready for a major low in 1 to 2 weeks .
Gold will see a low in April .may correct to the 1300 level before any rebound . Martin signal a test of 19000 and below for Dow and if it holds ,then we have a good bounce here. this is what the private blog says .

yippee ... Smiley Cheesy Grin Smiley Cheesy Grin Smiley Cheesy Grin Grin Grin Grin

So ridiculous ...

Intelligent readers feel free to check out what such "forecasts" really mean (info with no strings attached):

A Self-fulfilling Financial Forecast

Spoiler: If it's a high then it's a high, and if it's a low then it's a low.

Smiley Cheesy Grin Smiley Cheesy Grin Smiley Cheesy Grin Grin Grin Grin

And Martin Armstrong

charges a monthly fee for that

Meaningless Garbage



Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for that reason but he has not changed.

Read this blog starting here to find out more about computerized fraud.

See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog.
137  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 21, 2020, 01:56:00 AM
Just the statistics for the day:

2020-03-20 14:00:50 (Read 629992 times)
2020-03-21 14:06:37 (Read 630324 times)

This thread is read 300 times a day which is a record number. 100 reads a day is a fairly good average.

truth727 sorry your quackery does not seem to work.

As much as Martin Armstrong's stuff does not work, either Smiley Cheesy Grin Smiley Cheesy Grin Smiley Cheesy Grin Grin Grin


Conman sells snake oil to conman - great stuff.


Believe me folks, it's been a great successful day!

truth727 is a professional spammer hired by Martin Armstrong - his aim is to make our compelling messages go away. They cannot defeat us because we have the facts.

Everybody has the facts now.


BANKRUPT hahahaha Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin



We won, you lost. Grin Cool Kiss


They are wasting their time... Everybody can see what they are doing.

The people are looking for facts when they come here and they get them ...

The are not looking for troll content ...

Very expensive for Martin Armstrong ... draining his troll account hahahaha Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

In fact the popularity of this thread goes up not down. Just look at the numbers above. compared with

previous stats

138  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 21, 2020, 01:55:29 AM
Please dibley8899 re-write your previous post - DO NOT quote spammer garbage because


That gets this thread penalized by google because it detects that this thread is low quality / not moderated.

Please let sleeping dogs lie -  do NOT quote this message either.

Just edit the post and remove the spammer garbage.

Thanks!
139  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 21, 2020, 01:54:57 AM

The Reversal System - Engineering Background


....
So when the market is trending, it's fine. But it IS when the market TURNS, that traders make a killing of their money, but you will NOT get the correct timing from Armstrong/Socrates.
....

That sums it up nicely. So what is the reason for this from the technical / engineering perspective?

What constitutes the Reversal System? Note: The following does NOT cover the fraudulent hindsight-based Revision Signals which are mislabeled Reversals, and as such they are not Reversals in the sense of the following.

1) Extreme detection is applied to find the time and value of the previous high / low in a time series.

2) To the result of the extreme detection, a simple segmentation algorithm is applied to split the time between the extremes into segments. At the borders of these segments, the reversal values are looked up.

That's it. It nicely even explains how double and triple reversals are generated.

Let's go into this with some more detail:

Imagine the reversals are generated by slicing the time going backwards from the generating extreme to the previous opposite extreme into time slots. This is the segmentation algorithm. There might be some kind of projection involved which is needed for reversal values that the market has not yet visited, but nothing fancy.

The reversal values are somewhere near where the price line crosses the four vertical boundary lines of these time slots. In some cases, depending on the shape of the price curve going backwards to the previous extreme, there are multiple reversals with same or near same values, which are then the double, triple reversals.

The reversals are near previous / projected resistance and support values naturally because that is where the price movement is flatter, and where the vertical time lines cross the price line more easily / more often. It does make sense. Doesn't it?

These reversals work, if the trend is clear, price wise going back into the direction of the previous extreme or some kind of projection. They are elected one after the other, just like following your nose.

If however, the market does NOT move in this simple fashion, but the market is in some kind of consolidation period, then the reversals are elected in a chaotic fashion.

Guess what: You buy the high and sell the low!

That is because the reversals are near resistance and support, and you are getting whip-lashed in the trend channel between them with no end in sight.

It is this situation where we need the ambiguous human interpretation of the forecast arrays to provide excuses for the failures. Here, recently MA produces user feedback about them trading AGAINST the failing reversals, praising them for doing so in his public blog. See Trading Against the Reversals.

Also, in such movements, failing weekly reversals are effectively degraded to daily reversals or any time period by providing another excuse as described here: Reversals & Timing. This really destroys any confidence in the reversals because it is a complete mess, just for the purpose of ambiguity and perfect deniability.

The Socrates system does not have any means to detect whether the market is in a mode where the reversal system works or not (trending or turning). Therefore, over time, using this system, a trading account will be depleted, basically because markets are moving sideways longer than they are declining / rising as nicely as the reversal system wants them to. Or, when the market is turning and there are no signals indicating the turn.


Now let's combine this knowledge with actual observations and an experimental implementation.

I am re-publishing here the work of decipher11.

Since MA is trolling this blog to try to bury any information demonstrating that Socrates is a fraud and the product of his megalomania !

This is how reversals are created - far from quantum physic as stated by Martin Armstrong - since just human intelligence can generate them quite easily


Every time the market exceeds the previous tick's high or low, a set of reversals is generated. If that new high or low is not exceeded for the next tick, that reversal stays.

There are 4 prices in a set of reversals.

These are determined from the timings 3, 5, 13, 26. (for stocks he seems to use 4, 8, 16, 23, however for the Dow he seems to be using 3, 5, 13, 26).

So if a new high is made, the low from the previous 3rd tick is a bearish reversal, the low from the previous 5th tick is another bearish reversal, the low from the previous 13th tick is another bearish reversal, and the low from the previous 26th tick is another bearish reversal.

The same is true if a new low is made, in this case the previous nth high is used.
If there is a holiday and the markets were closed, that still counts as a day.

You can generate reversals yourself at all levels of time.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MA constantly says that the plebe (useful idiot) doesn't connect the dot as his system does, meaning no market move alone, everything is correlated.

Which is a cleaver observation.

BUT using Socrates you will never find any correlation, all markets are "analyzed" separately from each other .... not dot connection, no correlation

Socrates is everything except Artificial Intelligence !


For those interested a pinescript to use in tradingview calculating reversals multi-complex system Grin

written in 10 min, can be improved with elected reversal not being displayed anymore

//@version=2
//decipher11

study("[RS]Reversal", overlay=true)


Mod = input(true, title="box checked : 3-5-13-23 Reversal (Commodities and Dow) - unchecked 4,8,16,26 Reversals (Ind Stocks)")

r1 = Mod - 3 : 4
r2 = Mod - 5 : 8
r3 = Mod - 13 : 16
r4 = Mod - 23 : 26

topl1 = valuewhen ( high >= highest(high,13), low[r1],0)
toph1 = valuewhen ( low <= lowest(low,13), high[r1], 0)
topl12 = valuewhen (high >=highest(high,13), low[r2], 0)
toph12 = valuewhen (low <= lowest(low,13), high[r2], 0)
topl13 = valuewhen (high >=highest(high,13), low[r3], 0)
toph13 = valuewhen (low <= lowest(low,13), high[r3], 0)
topl14 = valuewhen (high >=highest(high,13), low[r4], 0)
toph14 = valuewhen (low <= lowest(low,13), high[r4], 0)



tl1 = plot(topl1, color =topl1 != topl1[100] - na : red, linewidth=2, style=linebr, offset=0)
th1 = plot(toph1, color =toph1 != toph1[100] - na : green, linewidth=2, style=line, offset=0)

tl12 = plot(topl12, color =topl12 != topl12[1] - na : red, linewidth=2, style=linebr, offset=0)
th12 = plot(toph12, color =toph12 != toph12[1] - na : green, linewidth=2, style=line, offset=0)

tl13 = plot(topl13, color =topl13 != topl13[1] - na : red, linewidth=2, style=linebr, offset=0)
th13 = plot(toph13, color =toph13 != toph13[1] - na : green, linewidth=2, style=line, offset=0)

tl14 = plot(topl14, color =topl14 != topl14[1] - na : red, linewidth=2, style=linebr, offset=0)
th14 = plot(toph14, color =toph14 != toph14[1] - na : green, linewidth=2, style=line, offset=0)

//


hey Marty, can you imagine, if I had an hour to lose I would have been able to rewrite SOCRAPS !



Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for that reason but he has not changed.

Read this blog starting here to find out more about computerized fraud.


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140  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 21, 2020, 12:43:54 AM
Please dibley8899 re-write your previous post - DO NOT quote spammer garbage because


That gets this thread penalized by google because it detects that this thread is low quality / not moderated.

Please let sleeping dogs lie -  do NOT quote this message either.

Just edit the post and remove the spammer garbage.

Thanks!
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