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161  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Be careful about some messages to your DM on: April 10, 2024, 01:39:35 AM
Now, that's obviously a scam.
It's not scam. It's April Fool.

[April fools] Adjustments to Merit calculation
Edit: April fools!

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There's no way your merits will be removed
theymos can demerit your posts.
162  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: April 09, 2024, 10:32:19 AM
It is actually kind of sad to see Postecoglou’s Man fighting with Aston Villa to stay in the fourth position when they were showing good signs at the start of the season and almost looked like they were going to give good competition for the English Premier League title. From mid February they are trying to occupy this position, now I think they are going to finish in the fourth position. Because they have a good advantage over Aston Villa as they have played one match less compared to them.
Aston Villa have a long amazing adventure this season but in quality, they are worse than Tottenham Hotspur and in depth of player resources between two clubs, Tottenham Hotspur are better too.

Aston Villa still don't lose all chance to get a fourth position and there are some matches and opportunities for them to reclaim it from Tottenham Hotspur. Aston Villa have a big disadvantage as they already played one match more than Tottenham Hotspur while two clubs have same total points.

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Also, Aston Villa is not in good form right now because they have only one win in the last five matches. But I think they will be able to improve because right now they do not have any pressure from the teams that are below them. The team wages right below them is Manchester United and there is a difference of 11 points between them. By the way, Manchester United is also not in good form at all.
Aston Villa will have to pay attention on their dual race with Tottenham Hotspur and they don't have to care too much about Manchester United. Risk to lose the fifth position to Manchester United is very small and I believe Aston Villa will be able to defend it successfully.
163  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: April 09, 2024, 10:24:13 AM
In the Manchester City defense line, gaps are often found which makes it easy for the opponent to score a goal when counterattacking if the opponent is free to find the gap and exploit it well.
They will not have Walker for this match but it's not clear about Ake. Without Kyle Walker, Manchester City will have big troubles to face with two young and speedy attacking players, Vinicius Jr. and Rodrygo from Real Madrid. They will have to focus on defense in a first leg match and aim at a draw before going home to host Real Madrid and find a winning there.

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As a supporter of Manchester City, I am not too fanatical about any team that is not good, I will judge it as not good, sometimes just because people's favorite team bets big and eventually loses because of that bet. I think it will be difficult for both of them to win in this first leg match.
With two absence of Walker and Ake, Manchester City will have a weaker defense system than normal and it's not good for a home-away match at Bernabeu stadium. At home, Real Madrid can beat any big opponent in Europe and they also really want to revenge a big defeat under Manchester City last season.

The home field is a very important aspect in such a match, and given that Real have not lost a single official game at home this season, it becomes clear that defeating Real today will not be easy. Real today only needs a win, because Ancelotti understands that at the Etihad it will be a different team and City will have huge support. I don’t believe in City’s win today, there are problems in defense that will make it difficult to achieve this, especially since Real’s attack is now stronger than ever.
At highest level like this, playing at a home stadium is a big advantage and Real Madrid also don't have to worry about homeaway goals because UEFA already eliminated this rule. A goal at a home stadium or homeaway stadium has same weight in an aggregated result. It is not like seasons ago, when a homeaway goal can decide a winner in an aggregated result when two clubs end two legs with a draw.
164  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Becareful with telegram wallet! on: April 09, 2024, 02:30:56 AM
Well for starters, telegram is definitely not a place that anyone would even think of doing anything aside from its communication purpose because the app has given himself a reputation that befits the abuse of it. Telegram is currently a ground hole for scammers and alot of them are very active finding and coursing for their next naive victim. If I had been the one seeing this then I would probably first have a wrong view about and probably even abandoned it as well.
For starters, they have to learn to customize their Telegram account settings, and prevent scammers to reach in communication and avoid automatic downloads files, videos.

Telegram Scams
Disable Automatic Download
Do this if you don't want to be dragged to different telegram ICOs
Some Telegram tips for newcomers in the crypto community
165  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: April 09, 2024, 02:19:04 AM
liverpool - atalanta

I'm still thinking about which games I'm going to bet on. I see Liverpool's game against Atalanta as being a game that I could bet on Liverpool, looking at Liverpool's performance in the Premier League this season I think it's a good performance, even if Liverpool are having problems beating Manchester United which is a very unstable team, yet Liverpool is a strong team, on the other hand Atalanta is not fighting for the Serie A title, they cannot stay in the top 4 of Serie A and will come into this game with a defeat. That's why I'm more inclined to bet on Liverpool
Atalanta have very bad form in Serie A and they did not have good preparation for two big matches with a strong opponent, Liverpool. Liverpool will host Atalanta in a first leg but I believe they will be able to beat Atalanta in both legs.

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Leverkusen-West Ham

In my opinion I see Leverkusen having difficulties in this game, although Leverkusen are a very strong team in the Bundesliga, even so in games against teams from other leagues things are completely different, West Ham are not fighting for the premier league title, but we all know how the premier league is a very strong league which makes west ham strong outside the premier league and looking at west ham's last games played in the premier league we can see that they haven't lost in the last 2 games, that's why I watch this game Being very difficult for Leverkusen, I wouldn't be surprised to see a draw in this game
Leverkusen are one of most impressive teams in Europe this season and recent forms of two clubs are different too. Leverkusen surely can be considered as stronger and a winner in this pair but West Ham have good attacking power. They can create some challenge against Leverkusen and if best, they can beat Leverkusen and create a biggest shock in Europa League quarter finals. I still believe more in Leverkusen than in West Ham.

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Milan - Roma

Without a doubt, this will be a very interesting game to watch, both teams are from Serie A and the last time these two teams played against each other, Roma were without their head coach and Milan won the game, in a game in which the Milan managed to score 3 goals, but this time Roma will be playing with a main coach who is having good results, I see that it will be a very competitive game. Milan have gone 8 consecutive games without losing and in my opinion Milan are a strong candidate to win the European League. We'll see if Roma can beat Milan
AC Milan will be my choice as they are stronger than Roma and they also have support from history, head to head records between two clubs. AS Roma will start two quarter final matches with AC Milan, under pressure of history that is not on Roma side.

Roma are improving with De Rossi but they are not good enough to compete fairly against AC Milan. Their attacking power has signals of worse performances and their defense system is still weak that can be exploited by AC Milan.
166  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: April 09, 2024, 02:12:16 AM
No friends. Bayern and Arsenal have rest periods that are not much different. because the latest match schedules in the Bundesliga and Premier League are not much different. Only a little difference or a few hours. So the conditions for both teams are actually the same when talking about rest time.
Concerns in domestic leagues of Bayern Munich and Arsenal are different with their positions and chances in their leagues. Bayern Munich gave up in Bundesliga and Arsenal are taking a first position in Premier League. Arsenal will be more affected by their ambition to win Premier League than Bayern Munich that gave up their race against Leverkusen in Bundesliga. From now, Bayern Munich only have two quarter final matches in Champions League to focus on.

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But if we talk about the Man City and Real Madrid match. So, in this case, there is a big difference in rest time between Man City, which has a busier schedule, compared to Real Madrid, which has a less busy schedule. But about Bayern and Arsenal I think they have almost the same rest time.
The same for Manchester City and Real Madrid, with Manchester City is like Arsenal and Real Madrid is like Bayern Munich. Real Madrid don't have enough points to win La Liga at the moment but have good differences against Barcelona and Girona. They will have better choices for preparations against Manchester City with good advantage in La Liga.

Though Real Madrid have good advantage in player resource, this pair is very hard to predict final result because they are at same levels, with very little difference in quality.
167  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Factors that might affect ATH in BTC price after halving on: April 08, 2024, 07:43:20 AM
I don't understand the logic on why the upcoming election in the US will be pivotal in giving Bitcoin another ATH. America with all her shenanigan towards Bitcoin can never be said to aid it. I don't believe it will boost BTC price. What I know is that there's going to be some alts floated to raise money for major front runners in the elections and that's as far as it goes. Those alts can blossom but I don't see that transcending to Bitcoin. It's a coin–cidence that the US election is the same year of Bitcoin halving and that makes it look like it has any impact on it. It doesn't.
It is speculation on potential changes in politics in the USA. from Democratic party to Republic party as main political force in the country next four years. Because the Biden administration does not treat cryptocurrency industry fairly and friendly, people speculate that if the Republic Party takes their progress in the White House and Congress, there will be changes that are helpful for cryptocurrency industry.

I agree that speculation is speculation only, we can not be sure about what will happen in the USA. from politics to their policy after the President Election.
168  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Do not forget your Bitcointalk account password!!! on: April 08, 2024, 07:24:35 AM
Anyone that is not able to to have access to his password and also not able to have access to the email used is just careless with his account.
It is doubled careless practice and not OPSEC.

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Although, staked bitcoin address might be helpful to regain back his account.
Staked Ethereum address can be used too but a first priority is a staked Bitcoin address because it is a Bitcoin forum.

Stake PGP key is helpful for account recovery too.

These methods are in those topics for account recovery.
Account recoveries are moving again
Recovering hacked/lost accounts
FYI: "ownership change queued"
169  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: April 08, 2024, 02:49:31 AM
An injured player can damage the team and this can make a change in the tactics they are planning for this game.
The good news for Real Madrid is about the payler of Macsnther City, Joško Gvardiol the Croatian player of this team. In the game against Crystal Palace in which they won the game with a 4-2 result, Joško Gvardiol got injured.
Guardiola didn't say anything clearly about this player but the absence of this right-back player can definitely damage Manchester City.
Gvardiol is a talented central defender and he is an important piece in Manchester City defense system. If he can not play for them in two quarter final matches against Real Madrid, it's big loss for Manchester City in player resource and can affect their performances.

Sportsgambler.com does not have information about Gvardiol's injury but Manchester City have two other defensive players, Ake and Walker, in list of injured players. Manchester City will have to pray for good recoveries from Ake and Walker as they need these players in Champions League.
170  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: April 08, 2024, 02:45:25 AM
Well after the yesterday results in Bundesliga we can have a game changer in someways, because now Leverkusen is practically secured the title so they can rest players in their Bundesliga games if this is necesary.
Leverkusen have more advantage than last 8 clubs in Europa League after solving their domestic league Bundesliga very early. They can focus most of their resources for Europa League, and it makes them stronger in this competition.

Leverkusen had got smaller chance to win the Europa League compared to Liverpool, which has won the competition numerous times in the past and many people knew the history of liverpool at europa league. If you ask me which team has become my favorite, I would probably say Liverpool since it has proven its existence in europa league many times. Leverkusen is a strong club, but their performance in the Bundesliga does not convince me to pick them as my favorite team to win the competition for the current season.
Both Leverkusen and Liverpool have four matches to reach to the final match. They will have to beat two more opponents to appear in the final match of Europa League. If they meet each other in the Europa League final, chance will be 50/ 50 for each club. If Manchester United can get a draw from Liverpool and came very nearly to a winning, Leverkusen can do the same or better than Manchester United.

It's too soon to talk about a champion of Europa League 2023 - 2024 but if the final will be between Liverpool and Leverkusen, it will be an interesting match. They are both very attacking in their tactical philosophy and can contribute an exciting final match for watching.
171  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: April 08, 2024, 02:36:33 AM
La Liga 2023 - 2024 season has only 8 more matches for each club and Girona after the 30 match day, has 65 points. The club at a fifth position, Athletic Club has 56 points, 9 points less than Girona. This point difference between Girona and Athletic Club means Girona are counting down very last matches to celebrate a first chance ever in their club history to play in Champions League.

They have to lose 3 matches to have big risk of losing a position in top four of La Liga. Chance for Athletic Club to surpass Girona in last several matches is not actually too high. Girona have more scored goals and better goal difference than Athletic Club too. They have many advantages to defend their position and Champions League is not too far.
172  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: April 07, 2024, 02:51:43 AM
Manchester City got a comfortable win against Crystal Palace and same happened to the Gunners who found their way to the top of the table with a clean sheet, with the Citizens still hanging on to have their chances of some how getting to the top, while Liverpool are visiting Old Trafford to see if they could get something out of that encounter.
These winnings from Manchester City and Arsenal in early matches this week put pressure on Liverpool. Playing after two competitors and especially after these competitors won their matches, is not easy. It's big challenge for Liverpool and big test for their mentality especially their opponent will be Manchester United.

United don't have good form recently and they lost two latest matches with broken defense in late of these matches. This weak defense system and weak mentality make Manchester United look to be weak in a coming match with Liverpool. However as a big club, they can bounce and make a surprise in match against Liverpool.

I still believe in Liverpool to be a winner after final whistle but I see Manchester United still have small chance to make a shock and it depends on Ten Hag's approach in tactics for the clash.
173  Economy / Currency exchange / Re: I want to buy bitcoin on: April 07, 2024, 02:44:44 AM
Hi all,
I want to buy  0.15 BTC.   Could you help me?
If you have money, you can buy it by yourself.

Find an exchanges from
https://coinmarketcap.com/rankings/exchanges/
https://www.coingecko.com/en/exchanges

And spend your money to buy bitcoin.

Something to learn before funding your exchange account.
Reminder: do not keep your money in online accounts

You can buy it from an exchange, and withdraw it to your non custodial wallet like Electrum wallet or Bitcoin Core.
https://bitcoin.org/en/choose-your-wallet

Make your wallet back up and use a strong password to encrypt your wallet.
[GUIDE] How to Create a Strong/Secure Password
How to back up a seed phrase


I hope that you did not create this topic to scam.
174  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Good bitcoin security starts with strong PC and mobile device security on: April 06, 2024, 09:29:27 AM
When it comes to securing your bitcoin don't forget about having good basic security practices on your laptop, desktop and mobile devices.

That means always using a VPN whenever connecting to the internet, with a good antivirus and anti-malware software, preferably connecting through your own hardware router.
These viruses and malware can be programmed to steal your personal information including crypto. Of course you never want to connect to any public Wifi connection without a VPN.
You don't need a strong PC and strong mobile device to have good security.

If it is a clean device, by your behavior, your device is safe, secured and you will not lose your bitcoin.

You can buy a PC like Core i7 and high RAM, other good things but if you have bad behavior when using Internet, it can be affected.

Don't put your security in technical support and protection from VPN, AntiVirus Software. They are not protect you 100%. Behavior is most important.
175  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What is a best way of taking advantage of BTC dips when away? on: April 06, 2024, 09:13:37 AM
When you use a trading bot, there is risk of API key leak, hack and you will lose your money.

I feel normal to use Price alert bot and prepare my stable coin, when it's on time, I can deposit it to a centralized exchange and buy a dip. I probably won't best (cheapest) price but still good price around a dip.

Report: how cybercriminals abuse API keys to steal millions
176  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Why technical analysis is not reliable on: April 06, 2024, 03:28:16 AM
The reason why most TAs don't work with alts or crypto is due to the fact that the behaviour of these alts are hard to determine esp if the team is playing the wash trading technique. Or they are about to exit the market and they are dumping their holdings. This is why to understand what is indeed going on with the project, you need to keep up with their announcements, social media postings and other channels you think they will be active in.
Manipulation is key but we have to note about another thing. Trading volume of altcoins is not high and applying technical indicators, technical analysis for altcoins with low trading volume will be risky. Market makers can easily bend the chart with indicators they want to use, and they don't need to spend big capital for manipulation.

For cryptocurrency market, it is true too because total market cap of this market is very small compares to many traditional markets.
177  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Quick way to learn bitcoin trading on: April 06, 2024, 03:20:46 AM
They may need to be corrected again they are beginners not traders, they are still beginners and try to learn trading in every way they can.
It's not easy to learn from scratch, but learning everything gradually will give you better trading knowledge.
If they are newbies with empty knowledge like babies, they are easily to be taught with right knowledge about trading. If they already exposed with wrong knowledge and practiced trading a long time, it's very hard to teach and correct them.

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Instead of having to pay a trading mentor and want everything to look instant, it can't be done.
The results will be different from those who learn from scratch to know how trading works.

Especially with experience done from the beginning, it will form a good mentality, because trading is not only about technical or fundamental analysis,
but also about how someone can control their emotions when trading.
One of first thing to teach them are:

Trading is risky.
Most of traders lose money and it's hard to get rich from trading.

Give them warning like:

Don't use leverages with hope to get rich. Use higher leverages means they have bigger risk to lose money faster.

If they are type of person with bad discipline, trading is not for them.

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And lastly, you have to determine which is the first Exchange you will use to start trading.
Give them an important warning about exchange too.

Reminder: do not keep your money in online accounts
178  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is the halving already priced in? on: April 06, 2024, 02:52:30 AM
BTC has been "pumped" massively ever since the spot ETFs were approved in the US a few months ago. The rise has been exponential, making BTC reach a new ATH before the halving. This has never happened before in the history of crypto (AFAIK).
It is a first time in Bitcoin history and it is contributed a lot by speculation on probability of Bitcoin Spot ETF approvals, then after approvals it was contributed by massive new capital from those ETFs. Without them, Bitcoin would have not made a new all time high many weeks before its halving in 2024.

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Considering that BTC is in a new ATH, I wonder if the halving is already priced in? If that's the case, then market prices will remain relatively the same post-halving. Don't you think?
First we have to look at its new ATH that is not too higher than 2021 ATH and today price is around its ATH in 2021.

Second we have to look at trading volume. Trading volume recent weeks in 2024 is about one third or half of trading volume around days when Bitcoin made 2021 ATH.

I believe price will not have reason to take off quickly after halving but we will gradually see new capital in and new ATHs in 2024.
179  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: April 05, 2024, 04:48:15 AM
West Ham are not teams that are fighting for the title. but they are teams that can cause surprises. A practical example of what I'm talking about is that Leverkusen's opponent is West Ham and when we look at West Ham's performance in the Premier League we will see the following:



West Ham:

31 games
17 victories
6 draws
7 defeats
With this information, I have more belief in Leverkusen because West Ham have very bad defense. They have not too bad results in Premier League, earned many points but they have negative goal difference and they got 55 conceded goals after 31 matches. A team at the 7th position with negative goal difference is very strange stats.

West Ham got about 1.8 conceded goals for each match they play in Premier League and this poor defense system will be tested by a strong attacking system of Leverkusen. The German club have impressive attacking and defense systems with 68 goals and 19 conceded goals after 27 matches in Bundesliga.
180  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: April 05, 2024, 04:37:10 AM
But just after that, in the Coppa Italia, they won the game against Lazio with a 2-0 result in the Semi-final match. Now Juventus is very close to being in the Coppa Italia final match after this win they got.

 
Juventus hoped to win Scudetto this season but they failed many weeks before the season ending. Coppa Italia is the only title they can win so they have to try to win it to rescue this failed season. Win Coppa Italia can help Juventus to make this season a little bit better and maybe Max will be able to save his coach position and have one more season with Juventus.

Spalleti departure is a major indicator of decline in my opinion, even though most of Napoli players have not changed, Spalleti inheritance players have not been able to unleash their best potential under their new coach. Rudi Garcia and Walter Mazzarri have been sacked, currently Francesco Calzona also can't do much to bring Napoli closer to the European zone.
If you noticed their last season, when they won Scudetto, their performances actually decreased in last months and I believe it is not coincidence but early signal of their decline. Spalleti saw that and he smartly decided to leave Napoli on top of success. He knew that if he stays with Napoli, he will not be able to help them repeats that success and will be sacked too.

Two coaches in Napoli this season, Rudi Garcia and Walter Mazzarri are responsible for their management works but they are not main causes of Napoli bad performances during this season.
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