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161  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 04, 2019, 04:20:45 PM

https://twitter.com/barrysilbert/status/1124678902167818241

The only thing W buffet is = an OG boss that made billions, but doesn't wanna admit to see the future....



Does not want to look like a 'fool' if his predictions on BTC are wrong....that and the fact ..he made his $$$ in traditional markets

thus has a different 'skill set' (ie outdated) that also is in the back of his mind, IMHO.
I wouldn't say it's "outdated" at all, it just doesn't apply to BTC. Traditional metrics for companies aren't going to disappear.
162  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 04, 2019, 01:36:37 PM
Decided to dig mine up

Just checked mine.

I am seriously, seriously impressed with myself.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=349698.msg3745619#msg3745619
God damn it. Please let me know when to go 80x.

Edit: Wait, does this forum mark edited posts?
163  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 03, 2019, 09:09:12 PM
W Buffett bought AAPL at $1tril valuation
W Buffett bought AMZN at $1tril valuation

There must be method in his...never mind.
He will buy BTC at $50-60K (~1 tril) or maybe when BTC price exceeds BRK-A (currently at $327,765/share)
Did he actually pay a $1t valuation for his shares though?

But yeah, seems like he's gotten old.
164  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 03, 2019, 08:57:14 PM
https://i.imgur.com/Z3r9VVT.jpg
not the brightest pickle in the jar, but winged it
That is better than I expected of him and his rhetoric.



Edit: Yikes. His Master thesis is a complete joke too. Just copy/pasting definitions and not a single proof. Most likely wouldn't even pass for a Bachelor here. In fact, this might even pass as plagiarism (*nvm since the regurgitation is cited). I'm too lazy to read the thing, but brushing over it it seems like there isn't a single original thought.
165  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 03, 2019, 08:53:07 PM
Leave it to fascists to come up with hypocritical terminology all the time. Unless they are implying that they are tipping the balance in whichever direction they please.
166  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 03, 2019, 04:13:56 PM
I just noticed that Misandry is a name in game of thrones. Different spelling, but no damn way is it a coincidence.
First we had Nazis on the right, now they're on the left.

First we had little to no rights for women, now we get less and less rights for men.


There's a reason why oscillators are so powerful at describing the world.
167  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 03, 2019, 02:15:14 PM
Are you still planning to sell 1 million USD worth at, I think you said before, $6,000?

Tell me to fuck off if you want brother but I think you’ll be way under selling yourself if hou were to Bob. The halving is next May, we could be at double or treble the current price in a year.

Best of luck any way, man.

LFC
I mean depending on his stash it can make sense. Would consider selling in bulks of 50-100k per month though.
168  Other / Meta / Re: MERIT SOURCE application on: May 03, 2019, 11:00:13 AM
Yikes, this is still going on.

I would merit the OP to show my support, but I'm perpetually out of sMerits.
169  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 03, 2019, 12:10:04 AM
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170  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 02, 2019, 03:45:45 PM
#Gold is in big trouble. H&S top projects to 1236, then much lower. $GC_F $GLD



https://twitter.com/PeterLBrandt/status/1123944564224659456

#buyBTC
Did the Grayscale ad actually work?
171  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 02, 2019, 12:15:41 PM
3)  The ISS cost $150 billion, can only handle a crew of 7, and doesn't generate near enough power to mine anything.  Facilities to do all this nonsense you speak of would be trillions of dollars and science fiction levels of size.  Please draw us up your sketch of what this supposed facility looks like.  Lemme guess, it's a dyson sphere?  Imagine them trying to drag asteroids towards this thing, making some tiny mistake, and it runs into your base at 10mph, which is enough to destroy your entire bazillion dollar facility that took decades to build and everyone dies.  Or they lose control of the rock, drop it on earth, and it just wipes out a state or country.


Exponentially declining costs. But even those aside, $150 Billion is pretty cheap if you can mine trillions worth of metals on a fucking asteroid. You could spend ten times as much as on the ISS and still come out with profits.
172  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 02, 2019, 05:24:36 AM

Let's assume that we now live in a world without central banking. I am the first person to create a bank.

People deposit their money with me for safe-keeping because I have state-of-the-art impenetrable security. I now realize that people only use 50% of the funds during peak load.

Meanwhile, businesses ask me for loans so they can eventually turn them into profits.

Once you promise your depositors that can withdraw their money at any time while simultaneously lending that money out in the “hope” most of your depositors won’t ask all ask for their money at once you have committed fraud. You have made a series of promises you cannot honor if unfavorable circumstances arise. If you are smart you will bribe the politicians to make the scheme legal. If you are smarter you will get the government to backstop the fraud when inevitable bank failures occur putting the taxpayer on the hook.

I wrote a series of essays on the topic a while back if you are interested.

Finance: Part 1, 2, 3
In the force majeure tier case in which all depositors withdraw their money simultaneously I could still take out a loan myself.

Accumulated profits or initial deposits of mine could also guarantee 100% withdrawal at any time whilst leaving room for fractional reserve.

Depending on the ratio I could also take out a loan with variable rates of success to facilitate the withdrawals.

One could also offer different types of contracts for the deposits. Ones which don't guarantee 100% withdrawals at all times depending on the current dynamics but which offer interests on the deposit, perhaps variable with respect to the ratio of guaranteed withdrawals, and ones which offer 100% withdrawal rate but don't offer any interest or perhaps even have associated costs.


Will read your essays.
173  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 02, 2019, 04:37:46 AM
Some  of you guys seem to act like you are eternal holder.s  Whats the point of making money if you never spend it and enjoy yourself.  Never know how long you will live and you can enjoy it a lot more when your younger.


I was mostly confused when I was younger...still mostly confused...but I can rationalize it as the world being F*cked now...so it is now meh...

Life is just an experience machine. The second you die you'll piss yourself, literally and figuratively. And then proceed for another round on one of the many rides. /spoiler
174  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 02, 2019, 04:35:47 AM
Because in the fractional reserve banking system, the vast majority of the money that banks loan does not exist until the very moment the loan is made. It is the indebtedness itself that zaps the money into existence. As such, the 'principal' is something that the bank would not have to lend you (or to use for any other purpose), as that money does not even exist before the loan is made. The bank acts like this principal is their money that they are lending. But if it is the very act of borrowing it that zaps it into existence, was it really the bank's to begin with? (Of course not) Why could the borrower not zap it into existence themselves? Only because the bank has been granted under colour of law this exclusive ability to counterfeit new money into existence. And worse, when it is repaid, it is paid to the bank. Money that the bank did not have until the act of the loan zapped it into existence. And to add insult to injury, the bank not only gets this newly created money, they charge interest to the borrower for the privilege of being allowed to counterfeit this money into existence.

Bizarre, but it's the motherfuckin' truth.

Sure - if you can find a way to fix that, and allow for partial reserve banking, I'm willing to listen to your ideas. But if you're feeding me a turd that's been sprayed in gold paint, I ain't gonna go for that.

Response to yours lightfoot's post (omitted for space).

Perhaps I am misunderstanding the banking system in general. But what you're describing seems to be central banking to me.



Let's assume that we now live in a world without central banking. I am the first person to create a bank.

People deposit their money with me for safe-keeping because I have state-of-the-art impenetrable security. I now realize that people only use 50% of the funds during peak load.

Meanwhile, businesses ask me for loans so they can eventually turn them into profits.

I decide to use an amount sufficiently below 50% of the money deposited in my bank to hand out loans and receive interest.

What I have now done was writing loans using money that exists as my clients put it in my care.

I decide to be a greedy cunt because I'm the only bank in town and very smart, so I keep all the profits to myself.

Someone who is very smarterer than me comes along and copies my system, but now hands out some of the profits back into depositor accounts.

This repeats until an equilibrium creditor and depositor interest rate is reached that covers all risks while keeping marginal profits for all three parties involved.


Would that not describe private banks without central banking?

And how does that differ from a hedge fund that offered plastic cards and wire transfers?
175  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 02, 2019, 04:13:30 AM
The future of silver and gold is bleak.  Technology continues to improve mining yields on earth and over the next few decades we are likely to see a flood of precious metals from mining in space.  

And here's the 4000th retarded post pretending the cost to mine anything in space will not be astronomical.
If you try to do it right now, certainly. But that doesn't matter whatsoever for two reasons.

1.) Costs exponentially decline whenever there is an incentive

2.) Asteroids have so god damn fucking much gold on them that nominal cost is redundant. If something costs 1 Trillion but returns 2 Trillion you've got a viable venture.

And without a doubt at some point in time the cost of trying to get some metals out of space will be so far below the value of the mined metals that somebody will do it.


Also. Nuclear fusion + synthesis.
176  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 01, 2019, 10:37:08 PM
Fractional reserve has been working for banks for hundreds of years now, don't see why it can't for Finex. Even knowing what we know now people still hold their money there, it would take 75% of people to withdraw now for them to go belly up think and doesn't look like we're close to that happening, in fact they'd probably be "safe" running at 50% fractional reserve.
To clarify, my post was in reference to the cursive part.

As I see it the real issue is with central banking, over the top tax rates and government wastefulness. Fractional reserve can work if done sensibly and not bailed out by the tax payer. It's no different from debt, which is a highly productive tool.

Blasphemy. Partial reserve banking steals purchasing power -- and thereby wealth -- from the public at large, and concentrates it in the hands of the parasite banking class.
Suppose it was transparent and properly compensated as opposed to the way it was now, e.g. if depositors were paid proper interest for their deposits used in fractional reserve schemes, would you still see it that way?

If yes, why?


The way I see it is that banks used to be necessary but not much longer will be, especially as Bitcoin establishes a status as an appreciating currency. As such I expect different banks running different schemes to attract clients, such as paying out profits made from fractional reserve trades.
177  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 01, 2019, 10:29:46 PM
Yes, I'd rather not champion the tether cause at all as I thought it was a fractional reserve from the beginning (you can find tons of my posts warning about it years ago) and still think it was but I believe they balanced the books by BTD during the winter and then had that law firm confim they had the funds but now they only have 75% because the US led attack on them seized to 750 million (orso). So it looks like they were completely solvent until the Good ol US of A went after them and that has interesting timing as other stablecoins that are institutionally backed are now launched.

Things that make you go Hmmm.

https://i.ytimg.com/vi/XM1-16wxe24/hqdefault.jpg
The government is only trying to protect us from our own bad choices.

Such as getting a double mortgage to 80x long Tesla over a 420 meme Tweet.

Or getting a job when you're on social welfare.
178  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 01, 2019, 10:19:02 PM
I always care about BTC price movements, as my bags are heavy with it. If there wasn't any upside for me in this advocacy, do you think I'd be taking the continued abuse?

And in point of truth, if you hadn't noticed, my attempts to gain recognition of the flaws within LN -- at the cost of crippled onchain capacity -- have nothing whatsoever to do with BCH nor SV, as neither of these chains suffer from anemic block size caps.

>says he's invested in BTC
>takes lame shots at BTC every chance he gets

The more breher speaks, the more I think hes a troll that lives in his mother's basement, and owns no crypto at all. Putting him on ignore. Its the healthiest option at this point. What does he actually contribute of value in terms of conversation? He can't absorb incoming information, only rehash tired rhetoric.

feel free to ignore him. i find he is a useful filter of information. ignores drama and fluff, only comments on technical stuff, with the chops to back up his views.

also as i still have some bitcoin cash from the btc/bcash_lol split (so by default abc and bsv, or whatever tickers those are under now as i havent moved them since those split), its useful to see what the "competition" is up to. as it just may effect btc price. although it sure doesnt seem to effect it much nowadays.
This is what I like about jbreher, even though I am against BCash.

And despite some of our differences, HM seems to be working towards that style of arguing as well which I can appreciate a lot.

As much as I love trash talking in private, I feel that if the general public made an effort to argue in a fact based and objective manner (objective as opposed to emotional) the political landscape would eventually follow suit.
And that would overall be one of the most positive achievements of humanity, regardless of whether or not we follow a conservative or liberal approach. Right now there's just far too much of a school tier popularity piss contest going on.

My hunch is that rational and fact based discourse would eventually lead to a fiscally conservative and socially liberal population, which appears to be the most sensible and empowering middle ground between the two ideologies. Fingers crossed Bitcoin and the current overall shitstorm will help us get there before we need to go for another round of WW.


Technically, Bitcoin is permissioned, but I wouldn't consider it like that when you can pay cents on the dollar to ask for, and be granted permission by almost everyone else, especially if you're sending larger value with less data. These so called rent-seeking middlemen designed to centralize will fight each other (opposing centralization) to include your transaction.

They're miners, that's what they do, and that's their incentive to do it.
While centralization by volume is certainly a very plausible outcome simply due to Economics of scale, your post precisely outlines why it doesn't matter in the way that Roach suggests. There is nothing to stop me from starting a premium service for the disenfranchised. In fact, payment accelerators already exist and anti-censorship transactions are no more than a variation of such.
179  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 01, 2019, 08:37:52 AM
Capitalism just works.

Here is the obvious answer to censorship:

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/30/youtube-algorithm-changes-negatively-impact-google-ad-revenue.html


What opponents of capitalism don't understand is that it is essentially a global voting mechanism. It's the closest we have ever gotten to democracy.
180  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: May 01, 2019, 05:07:05 AM
So Tether, the 100% backed by fiat 100% stable coin that no one can mine because it's SPECIAL is really only 74% backed by assets.

https://www.coindesk.com/tether-lawyer-confirms-stablecoin-74-percent-backed-by-cash-and-equivalents

Man what is it with people? Everyone falls for the infinite temptation of fractional-reserve banking. Everyone seems to just say the best intentions but really be full of 100% USDA horseshit.

Bitcoin is simply not going to succeed because you can't commit fraud with it. If you have a bitcoin you have a bitcoin. If you don't have a bitcoin you simply can't say you have a bitcoin.

Sad that the only thing which will work in this world is fraud.

I don't know how long it will take, but people are very slowly waking up. At least if liberals stop actively decreasing the average IQ by removing all responsibility from citizens in a charade of morals.

Fractional reserve has been working for banks for hundreds of years now, don't see why it can't for Finex. Even knowing what we know now people still hold their money there, it would take 75% of people to withdraw now for them to go belly up think and doesn't look like we're close to that happening, in fact they'd probably be "safe" running at 50% fractional reserve.
To clarify, my post was in reference to the cursive part.

As I see it the real issue is with central banking, over the top tax rates and government wastefulness. Fractional reserve can work if done sensibly and not bailed out by the tax payer. It's no different from debt, which is a highly productive tool.
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