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161  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 09, 2022, 12:29:38 PM
Anything can happen but I highly doubt that Leipzig will lose to Arminia, but like you have there is a possibility if we look at the past game for Leipzig VS Arminia, on December 18, 2021, Arminia won the game with 2 - 0 an upset for RB Leipzig playing at home, but if Leipzig could win this and Leverkusen lose to Freiburg if I am not wrong with how the Bundesliga give score to teams, Leipzig could end up on the 3rd place, and with their upcoming match against Freiburg, on DFB-Pokal if Leipzig wins then there can be a bright future coming for Leipzig in next season of Bundesliga,
Leipzig can't overtake Leverkusen anymore, they are 4 points behind with only 1 game left. It would have been of no significance anyway. Leipzig will need a draw to safely qualify for the Champions League (4th rank). Only Freiburg is threatening them who has to play against Leverkusen coincidentally.

I think Leipzig will get at least 1 point from their game, rendering the Leverkusen vs Freiburg game insignificant. I don't think Freiburg would win it though.
162  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 08, 2022, 07:20:16 PM
As Stuttgart managed to steal the point they wanted from Bayern Munich today, I think that they wouldn't lose their play-out chance and relegate that easy from now on. Bielefeld are three points behind and they have no choice other than beating Leipzig on the final week of the season. But we all know that Leipzig won't let them even get one point easily. Because it is going to be an important game for them at the same time too. They are destroying Augsburg now by 4-0 and this will carry them right ahead of Freiburg in the standings by two points. And they wouldn't leave their Champions League ticket to chance on the final week.
Yea good job by Stuttgart to get the draw against Bayern. Bielefeld is left with only a tiny chance now and Stuttgart could even reach the 15th rank by winning against Cologne (if Hertha also loses in Dortmund, which seems probable)

In the last game today Leipzig is leading 4-0 against Augsburg. Augsburg doesn't care anymore, but these points are very important for Leipzig to reach the Champions League. Leipzig now only needs 1 more point against Bielefeld next week to secure the 4th rank
163  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - 2nd Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 08, 2022, 03:04:28 PM
the 33rd matchday is now over. werder bremen won 3:0 in aue and has a great chance to be promoted
directly back to the first bundesliga with a win or a draw against regensburg next sunday.
hamburger sv,darmstadt 98 or st. pauli all still have a chance of finishing in 3rd place.
i'm curious to see who will end up with the relegation place.
The last games are:
Schalke vs Nürnberg - now with no significance anymore (well, maybe just for the fame to be 1st for Schalke  Wink)
Regensburg vs Bremen - Bremen needs 1 more point to be safely on the 2nd rank. And they have to get this 1 point, otherwise they will sink to the 3rd or even 4th rank due to their worse goal difference. Regensburg is on rank 13, I think Bremen will win this.
Rostock vs Hamburg - Rostock is 12th and not the best team playing at home. Hamburg seems in a good shape after the last weeks, I think they can actually win this.
Darmstadt vs Paderborn - Darmstadt just lost and is now running behind Bremen and Hamburg. If Hamburg wins and Bremen gets 1 point, there is nothing Darmstadt can do anymore. They can hope for one of them to mess up, but then they still need to beat Paderborn, who is not an easy opponent.
Düsseldorf vs St.Pauli - another game which suddenly has no importance anymore. St.Pauli's goal difference is too low to overtake Hamburg or Darmstadt.

It is a pity for St.Pauli, I remember at the half time of the season when they were like 5 points ahead and everybody was so convinced they can make it. They put up a good fight, but they just didn't get enough points in the last months.
164  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 07, 2022, 04:35:55 PM
If Köln wants to go to Europe in the match that is going on 0-0 at the moment, it has to win. They shouldn't let go when they're this close. I thought there would be plenty of goals, but it doesn't go that way.
Cologne lost 0-1 in the end, but I read that apparentely they have their qualification for the Conference League already secured now. (Hoffenheim also lost, which is why they can't be removed from their 7th rank anymore. (I always thought they need to reach the 6th rank for international qualification, but this seems to be the case only for the Euro League)
165  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - 2nd Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 07, 2022, 02:19:14 PM
oh man, this is a super exciting season. and only on the last matchday will we know 100% which teams will go into the relegation
or which teams will make it into the 1.bundesliga.
but.........wins schalke the game against st. pauli schalke is safe in the 1.bundesliga
yea, incredible developments and it will stay exciting until the last minute, no matter the other results tomorrow. just like that Hamburg is back with a realistic.

I expect Bremen to get 3 points tomorrow and Schalke to win vs St.Pauli (the even more exciting outcome would be if St.Pauli wins, then everything would be open between 5 teams)

Then in the last week, Bremen and Dramstadt have home games which they should be able to win. It will depend on Hamburg if they can win in Rostock which won't be an easy task.

166  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 07, 2022, 05:42:58 AM
unfortunately, Bielefeld couldn't beat Bochum because they were lucky enough with an own goal made by bielefeld's player (Bello in 89th minute"). until the end of the season that will soon arrive it looks like Bielefeld will be relegated, they have to fight hard again.
A draw wouldn't have helped Bielefeld either. It was win or die (relegate). They still have a tiny chance next week, but Stuttgart now only needs 1 more point to have secured the 16th rank. My guess is that both teams will continue to lose and nothing will change until the end of the season. If this will be the case then Stuttgart will have to play (probably) Darmstadt or Hamburg for the relegation game. This could be an interesting match.
167  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Semifinals! on: May 06, 2022, 04:31:10 PM
Don't forget to take into account the current position of Frankfurt in Bundesliga. Their position means they are actually a very good club in Bundesliga and are fighting with Leipzig for a fourth position in order to join Champions League. They will have two options to participate in Champions League: win Europa League final or finish this season in the fourth position in Bundesliga.
You seem to confuse Frankfurt with Freiburg or Leverkusen. Frankfurt is ranked 11th in the middle of the table with no hope for international qualification whatsoever. Frankfurt played a pretty bad 2nd half of the season, which is why winning the Euro League is their only hope for an international tournament next year.

Leipzig on the other hand is safely qualified for the Euro League next year, but they still fight for the Champions League qualification.

It is indeed difficult to compare Frankfurt and the Rangers, just because their respective leagues are very different. I also think that the Rangers have a good chance for winning, just because they already kicked out other top teams.
168  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2021/2022 on: May 06, 2022, 02:54:51 PM
Liverpool's schedule is very busy now and the opposition is strong. Liverpool will play 5 more matches before the Champions League match. The opponents are Tottenham, Aston Villa, Chelsea, Southampton and Wolves respectively. All the teams are strong enough. They will then face Manchester United and Crystal Palace in the last two matches. All teams are strong enough, and all teams have the ability to beat Liverpool. And so now it is very difficult to win the Premier League title.
Liverpool has lost only 2 games this season, most of their opponents are from the lower half of the ranking, I don't know how you conclude that most of them are able to beat Liverpool. I am not saying that Liverpool has a very big chance to win the title. ManCity is the favorite here and needs to make some mistakes to enable Liverpool to have any chance at all.

Bookmakers see the chances at
ManCity 1.44
Liverpool 2.7

169  Local / Altcoins (Deutsch) / Re: Binance Exchange & Binance Coin (BNB) & DEX on: May 06, 2022, 01:36:04 PM
Wie kann sich das für Binance rentieren, wenn sie 5% auf BUSD geben? Ich muss mal abchecken ob meine Coins im Vault liegen und wenn nicht diese rüberschieben. Der Preis für BNB fällt aktuell auch wie der Gesamtmarkt und ein Aufstocken könnte irgendwann interessant werden. Ob wir bei BNB 2-stellige Kurse wieder sehen werden?
Naja, die 5% sind auf ein begrenztes Kontingent und könnten auch bald "ausverkauft" sein. Anbieter wie Nexo geben >10% auf USDT und USDC, von daher ist Binance ja noch eher konservativ unterwegs  Grin
Sollten wir einen längeren Bärenmarkt bekommen dann werden diese Renditen eh fallen.

Für 2-stellige Kurse muss BNB um mehr als 70% fallen. Das ist sicherlich nicht unmöglich, aber zum Vergleich ETH stünde bei einem ähnlichen Einbruch dann bei $800 und BTC bei $10k
170  Local / Altcoins (Deutsch) / Re: Binance Exchange & Binance Coin (BNB) & DEX on: May 06, 2022, 01:27:28 PM
Ich habe heute zufällig einen neuen Coin in meinem Account bei Binance gefunden: GAL. Der wird wohl seit 30.4. an die Vault-Beteiligten ausgeschüttet - man konnte und kann ihn aber auch separat staken (habe ich gerade gelesen).
Wenn ich das richtig sehe, hat hier niemand (wie sonst meistens) darauf hingewiesen!? Ihr seid hier mein hauptsächliche Info-Quelle! Bitte nicht nachlassen mit nützlichen Hinweisen!!! Smiley
Jupp, GAL wird gerade im Launchpool ausgeschüttet. Ich habe meine BNBs im Vault und da kommen die dann automatisch rein, war mir deshalb keine Nachricht hier Wert  Wink

Bei den aktuellen Preisen gibt es aktuell ~6.4% Zinsen APY auf BNB holdings und ~2.7% APY auf BUSD im Launchpool (bzw. 49% im CAKE Pool, wer zufällig welche rumliegen hat). BUSD lohnt sich nicht so wirklich, da man zur Zeit auch 5% in den Savings auf das 30-Tage-BUSD-Festgeld bekommt.
171  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Semifinals! on: May 06, 2022, 11:57:20 AM
What do you guys think of the quotes for the final?

Frankfurt vs Rangers 2.25/3.2/3.25

Winning the titel:
Frankfurt 1.57
Rangers 2.3

The game will be in 2 weeks in Seville. It will be quite warm there, so not the typical weather of Frankfurt or Glasgow for this time of the year, but the game is in the evening and temperatures won't be too crazy in May either, so I don't think this will have any influence at all.

Frankfurt is slightly favored by the bookmakers, but overall it looks like they expect an open game. I wonder if Frankfurt again manages to get thousands of supporters into the Stadium...

The final match will be held on thursday 19/05/2022 at the sevilla stadium, it will be interesting to see if frankfurt fans who are known for their loyalty to the club will do the same as they did at the camp nou stadium with almost 90% filling stadium seats.
Exactly what I was thinking. We might see Frankfurt supporters in the 5-figures again coming to Seville.
172  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 06, 2022, 10:44:40 AM
The Leipzig team is out of form. In the Bundesliga, they lost to Union Berlin and Gladbach. In the Europa League match, they lost 3-1 against the Rangers. It is very difficult for them to qualify for the Champions League. The next two matches will be against Arminia and Augsburg. They have to win these two matches if they want to qualify for the Champions League.
Bielefeld and Augsburg are not very strong opponents. Leipzig had some difficulties in the last weeks, but I think they'll win both games. Freiburg also still has a very difficult game in Leverkusen, both direct competition for Leipzig. They will take away each other's points. I doubt Freiburg will be able to gain 6 points.
But you are right, Leipzig will (very likely) need 2 wins to conquer rank 4, otherwise they are probably stuck on rank 5.
173  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - 2nd Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 06, 2022, 07:04:14 AM
Still can't predicting with team promoting to Bundesliga because have chance for 5 top teams standing, actually with Schalke remaining 2 points on top position standing can't guarantee with Bundesliga promotion. Next match against with St. Pauli and if away team success reach 3 points maybe chance for Schalke will take by St. Pauli. This match maybe Schalke favorite because last several match St. Pauli missing many important points and right now remaining 5 points from Schalke, maybe if can defeated Schalke will open second chance for St. Pauli with chance back to 3rd position.
Yea, I agree, Schalke vs St.Pauli could be a decisive game for both teams. If Schalke wins, they are almost guaranteed to be in the top2. St.Pauli would be out of the race then. For any other outcome the options would be more open. St.Pauli is pretty much out of the race unless they can win this game though (and even then their chances are slim).

It will also be interesting to see whether Bremen and Darmstadt can secure 6 points in the remaining 2 games. I somehow doubt that they will both be able to do that. I could see Darmstadt to lose some points in their game against Dusseldorf tonight.

Quotes for relegation into Bundesliga are now:
Schalke 1.14
Bremen 1.2
Darmstadt 2.3
Hamburg 4.5
St.Pauli 30.0
174  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Semifinals! on: May 06, 2022, 06:34:25 AM
I was really surprised to see Leipzig defeated dominating the match can't take Leipzig to the final especially the defeat came in the 80th minute
I'm not very familiar with the Rangers team but this time they will definitely be noticed FrankFurt as an opponent in the final can't underestimate Rangers, previously I predicted Leipzig vs Frankfurt in the final but I was wrong same moment in champions league.
With Frankfurt and the Rangers we have two teams in the final that on paper are not the strongest teams, but they have both shown great performances against stronger teams. Frankfurt eliminated Barcelona and the Rangers did it with Dortmund and Leipzig. Both have truly deserved their qualification for the final and I am looking forward to it.
I remember before the semi-finals when Leipzig was the huge favorite to win the cup. Once again the "better" team suffered a loss against the more motivated (and also luckier I suppose) team.
175  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Semifinals! on: May 05, 2022, 07:31:44 PM
Glasgow Rangers 1 - 0 RB Leipzig

 Sad

in the last game of RB Leipzig I lost money because I bet on them, and from what I see today I will also lose money because I bet on them, I kept thinking several times if it was a good option to bet on them, something told me to bet on Rangers, I think that this game is already decided. I doubt Rangers will lose this game, at most they can draw, but they won't lose
Rangers 2-0 already. Leipzig doesn't seem to be a safe bet tonight. Their chances for qualification are decreasing, now at 2.15 (compared to Rangers 1.55).

On the other hand Frankfurt is now ahead 1-0, which will make it very hard for West Ham to still have a chance. West Ham qualification currently pays 23.0
I think Frankfurt will make it now, Leipzig on the other hand looks like they got a bad night ahead.
176  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Semifinals! on: May 05, 2022, 07:22:28 PM
Frankfurt, which fell short of expectations in the Bundesliga is progressing very well in the Europa League. Frankfurt also beat West Ham after Barcelona on the road and took an advantageous position. West Ham, on the other hand fell in the most critical period and began to struggle to win. West Ham is aiming for this trophy from the start of the season. I think it will be a tough match.
To be fair, Frankfurt hasn't been paying much attention to the Bundesliga in the last weeks. But it's true, they haven't met their expectations. They are safe from the relegation, but that's about it. If they qualify for the final, then all the trouble in the Bundesliga won't matter anymore, so they will give 100% tonight.

We are 20min into the games and so far no goals in the Frankfurt game. I expect fewer goals compared to the Champions Laague semi-finals. Maybe like 1-1 or 2-0. I didn't bet on any winners, as those games are often decided by pure luck in the end.

The Rangers just scored the 1-0, maybe they can eliminate another strong german team after Dortmund?
177  Local / Altcoins (Deutsch) / Re: [Diskussion] - [WAVES]. Ultimative Crypto-Token Blockchain Plattform. on: May 05, 2022, 09:57:15 AM
hm ok, ich habe gerade das hier gefunden https://medium.com/neutrinoteam/neutrino-protocol-faq-bf19c79eb354
Quote
In the current implementation, all WAVES from the collateral are leased to a Neutrino node. Those WAVES tokens mined under the LPoS consensus algorithm are transferred back to the Neutrino smart contract and automatically converted to USDN tokens. Finally, those new Neutrino tokens are transferred to USDN stakers.
Also wenn ich das richtig verstehe: Bisher gingen die Staking rewards an den Neutrino SC, wurden automatisch konvertiert (geswappt?) und an USDN Stakers ausgeschüttet.

Jetzt neu ist, dass die Rewards nicht mehr automatisch ausgeschüttet werden. Das heisst: USDN Stakers bekommen weniger Rewards, dafür wird aber die Stabilität erhöht, weil mehr Waves Collateral zur Verfügung gestellt wird und dadurch das Backing Ratio mit der Zeit automatisch ansteigt.

Kann ich verstehen dass da jetzt einige sauer sind, weil die USDN kurzfristig gesehen nicht mehr so viel Zinsen abwerfen werden. Gemittelt über die letzten 60 Tage gab es 7.7% USDN Rewards APY, das wird in der Zukunft dann wohl um knapp 4% fallen...

Trotzdem ist es eine sinnvolle Maßnahme, gerade da das Backing Ratio deutlich unter 1 gefallen war. Vielleicht kann man sich in der Zukunft ja darauf einigen einen Teil (10-20%) auszuschütten und denn anderen als Reserve zu nutzen... (oder das Ganze Backing Ratio abhängig machen)
Generell finde ich das ganze System doch noch relativ unausgereift, Live-Beta-Test-mässig, aber so wird es wenigstens nicht langweilig  Wink
178  Local / Altcoins (Deutsch) / Re: [Diskussion] - [WAVES]. Ultimative Crypto-Token Blockchain Plattform. on: May 05, 2022, 08:20:06 AM
Gehe davon aus die NSBT Holder haben die zum großen Teil bekommen.  Huh
Ehrlich gesagt glaube ich das nicht. Es gibt ja nur 2,x Mio NSBT. Bei gut 1 Mio Waves rewards pro Jahr gingen ja dann 0.5 Waves an jedes NSBT. Das hätte ich doch gemerkt  Grin (Schade dass es keine anständige Übersicht über die Ausschüttungen gibt.)
179  Local / Altcoins (Deutsch) / Re: [Diskussion] - [WAVES]. Ultimative Crypto-Token Blockchain Plattform. on: May 05, 2022, 07:07:19 AM
generierte WAVES aus der Neutrino Community Node werden ab sofort an den Neutrino Smart Contract übertragen.
dadurch steigen die Reserven  um 1.226.400 WAVES pro Jahr. (Wert von Neutrino angegeben)
Grundsätzlich ist das eine sinnvolle Sache, de facto werden dann die Rewards in der Zukunft an die USDN-Staker ausbezahlt.

Wo gingen denn die Rewards bisher hin? (Wer "leidet" denn darunter?)
180  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Semifinals! on: May 05, 2022, 05:06:35 AM
I still can't accept that someone says Real Madrid's win is luck. I think Real Madrid victory was due to the mentality of the players and Carlo Ancelotti's experience as a coach. let's look at the previous meeting, Real Marid beat PSG then Chelsea and now Man City. luck is only once, if you get to 3 times moreover getting to the Final is not luck. Cheesy
Well, if you look at the fact that the scored 2 goals in the last minutes: Yes, that is totally lucky. However, looking at the overall course of the game I don't think their win was not deserved. Real Madrid did a good game against a (on paper) stronger opponent. It is unfortunate for Manchester City, but it also shows that even with a 2 goal adavantage your are not safe from elimination as long there is a couple of minutes to play.
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