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181  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Bitcasino.io — Predict the bitcoin price = WIN 0.025 BTC 💜 on: March 04, 2020, 11:08:13 PM
€7835

Please!
182  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 04, 2020, 07:37:44 PM
I like Trump. Many people don't like him. But he won the previous election, no reason for him not to win this one now. The alternatives are worse.

He probably will win, you're right there. However, for the people who don't like him and think he is a corrupt, amoral idiot and wannabe-gangster - any alternative would be better.

Looking at it now (if Biden gets the nomination) there won't be a viable alternative, so it will be over already - I reckon you'll probably get your man.

I can't see much unsettling him, it hasn't so far...
183  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 04, 2020, 06:30:06 PM
no fucking way creepy uncle Joe beats Trump

this whole election thing just became decidedly less entertaining

of course, Joe has a pretty high probability of blowing his own foot off in time for a Sanders nomination

Sanders v Trump is the TV show we all deserve

Biden's rally seems to me to have come because of the Dem establishment rallying to stop Bernie more than much else. Maybe they fear Bernie won't be dishing out jobs for the boys like Biden would. 

I am not stateside, so what do I know... but personally I really would love to see Bernie vs Trump, too.  At least Bernie could land a few on Trump. He appears to have a functioning intellect at least - without the of the personality of a thin-skinned five-year-old.
184  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 03, 2020, 12:48:41 PM
Syllable counting,
what haiku is all about,
such an epic fail.


I got this motherfuckers. Cool

Congratulations
Your syllables are correct
Haiku perfection
185  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 02, 2020, 10:27:21 PM


Actually I use a syllable counter for the haikus, cos counting fucking distracts me:
https://syllablecounter.net/count
I did try both - but it didn't make a difference in the count, so I used the 's.

To see you again,
it's to get broke again,
oh well never mind.


Did you use the syllable counter for that one?   Wink
186  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 02, 2020, 10:22:00 PM
Flipping bloody Waitrose was sold out of wild smoked salmon and had to buy the farmed muck.
#ithasbegun #howarewemeanttolive

Damn - what is the world coming to?  However, you can't eat farmed stuff though!  Or 'responsibly sourced'* as they euphemistically call it all - even the Turkish sea bass these days. 

*which means guaranteed, utterly toxic, force grown, chemical and hormone filled shite
187  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 26, 2020, 05:59:33 PM
I am not expecting much lower..  he said (risking looking foolish within hours).

I reckon it'll stop not much lower, above 8400.  Maybe a little higher - but not lower.  

If not all my charts need heavy re-calibration.  My 2 satoshis. I will post reasons if I am not wrong.
188  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 26, 2020, 08:34:17 AM
Quote
Q: What are you doing to prepare for Coronavirus?
A: Nothing. Been prepared for many years.

The trick is to integrate preparation for edge cases into your normal routine. Do a little bit at a time rather than everything at once.

https://twitter.com/lopp/status/1232392241773260801

Emergency preparedness checklist: Prepping for beginners

https://theprepared.com/prepping-basics/guides/emergency-preparedness-checklist-prepping-beginners/

Maybe you do not have to enter a paranoid state, but you can get some ideas to be fine you and your family for a few days.

We have power outages a few times a year because trees falling over power lines, because of heavy snow (yet to come this year) or storms (had enough already).
So to a certain amount we're prepped already over here, it should last us about up to two weeks (six person household).

People in our village are like:
Covid19: "Just a flu..."
No more beer: "We're all going to die!"
And it's even not as ironic as most of you might think  Grin

Or no more toilet rolls, maybe?

It's probably the madness of crowds that is of most concern...

There was one article about Wuhan that said a truck was held up and robbed of toilet rolls (can't find reference, or prove it, but it's anecdotally illustrative).  In the event of supply chain disruption, it may be simple stuff that you will miss most. 

With any hint of a lock down, as per a recent post by one of our Italian brothers showing a stripped supermarket - it's probably a good idea to have a decent stock of basic non-perishable food and basics like toilet rolls, first aid etc. - just so you don't have to actually go out to hunt down basics.  You can always use it up later, or give it to a food bank someday.

As for the state using the virus as an excuse for oppression?  Well, maybe we should take a leaf from Trump's playbook, he won't let the pesky bureaucrats take over, he's got it covered:

"In 2018, the Trump administration fired the government’s entire pandemic response chain of command, including the White House management infrastructure."

https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/01/31/coronavirus-china-trump-united-states-public-health-emergency-response/
189  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 25, 2020, 10:15:22 PM
San Francisco declares state of emergency to help prepare for an outbreak of coronavirus; there are currently no confirmed cases in the city - SF Chronicle

'This could be bad': Top CDC doctor contradicts Trump and warns it's 'not a question of if but WHEN' coronavirus spreads in America, as she tells parents to prepare for school closures, tele-schooling and 'significant disruption in our lives'

    Senior CDC official Nancy Messonier said coronavirus is moving closer to meeting the criteria of a pandemic
    She says she that it's not a question of if, but when, spread will occur in the US
    Dr Messonier said she called her children's school and asked if there are plans for tele-schooling if necessary and recommended parents do the same
    More than 80,000 people have been infected worldwide and more than 2,700 people have died

- They want you to start panic buying rice and beans now.

Already stocked up on cans, dried stuff, loo roll and nappies for the little one about to arrive, plus bought an extra freezer....  

OK, not totally for the virus, so much as the panic buying which might strip the local supermarket.   Will use it all anyway, so why not?

The extra freezer on ebay was less than a couple of botttles of decent wine, and now I can stay in for a couple of months if I need to.  If I am wrong, i will happily have the piss taken out of me, mate.  But I'll take that risk Wink
190  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 21, 2020, 10:21:45 PM

The difference in rates might be explained by early sufferers getting the best treatment the developed world can offer.  Adding a few hundred more per hospital and you might see the death rate per diagnosis change for the worse and head at least toward, if not matching the Chinese rates.

EDIT: Not to have a pop at some level headed optimism, Hairy - jus' postulatin'

That’s a good point.  Another confounding factor is that healthcare in most of the West is free.  In China you generally have to pay for healthcare.  There are heartbreaking stories of pregnant women dying after their medical support was stopped because their extended families ran out of money after spending $50k on ICU support.

We should expect fatality rates to be higher in the USA than Canada for example. 

Yup... I do wonder what will happen if hospitals are swamped in the USA. What will the CDC and the healthcare system do, prioritise the paid up and insured? I suppose there is a 'gov't steps in' plan?  I honestly don't know enough to comment.  I guess money will be thrown in centrally, they will probably approach it as they would a war. 
191  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 21, 2020, 09:07:01 PM
The only surprise is 'September' - I was expecting a couple of months later.

EDIT: and I still am Wink
192  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 21, 2020, 08:10:54 PM
Can you get stock elsewhere?

Not as good as my Chinese supplier, no. There’s a factory in France but it’s more expensive, we’ve been using them regrettably.
How long do you think there will be restrictions on shipping stuff from China?

Some of the smaller Ali Express guys are posting now but my main one is down & doesn’t know when they’ll be allowed to resume.

Luckily we have other streams of income but this is stopping me earning a lot of money.



No one knows. But the general sense is that it will get worse before it gets better.  The Chinese quite clearly do not have transmissibility under control and we are now getting reports out of the Middle East of a break out there.  

I think WHO is going to be forced to declare a global pandemic within the next week.  

https://theloadstar.com/container-shipping-ex-china-grinding-to-a-halt-carriers-cant-carry-on-much-longer/

There is some good news

Quote
The Australian Department of Health estimates the case fatality rate in China — the percentage of people diagnosed who end up dying from it — is 2.9 per cent.

However, the Department said the case fatality rate outside China was 0.7 per cent.

That's less than SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome).

https://mobile.abc.net.au/news/2020-02-01/coronavirus-update-how-to-protect-yourself-from-outbreak/11918302?pfmredir=sm

The difference in rates might be explained by early sufferers getting the best treatment the developed world can offer.  Adding a few hundred more per hospital and you might see the death rate per diagnosis change for the worse and head at least toward, if not matching the Chinese rates.

EDIT: Not to have a pop at some level headed optimism, Hairy - jus' postulatin'
193  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2020, 11:01:29 PM
Had a Gox notification that my claim is 'agreed'. 

Seems civil rehabilitation and bankruptcy proceedings are both running.  No news on when anything will be paid out, though.  Next creditors meeting in March.

Claimants should have had a confirmation mail - do check if you are involved.
194  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2020, 10:55:28 PM
I think BTC is going to rise.

Look a ghost!

Someone hacked Risto's account?

Hmm there's only one way to know for sure, lets wait to see if it starts shilling monero again

Most of the Monero OG crowd might prefer he didn't speak for the coin, he disappeared under a cloud.  Last I saw anything about him was when the castle burned down around the time of rumours he'd gone off the rails...
195  Economy / Collectibles / Re: [FREE ART RAFFLE] - Custom Bolivar Art 100 Spot Mega Raffle!! on: February 19, 2020, 04:38:12 PM
Hash: 000000000000000000008c94fcdf6c9d4950c50cd52c8278c7c150efebf2c565

If 65 is still free, please may I take it - thanks.

Winner: 65 - kurious

CONGRATULATIONS!  Will reach out with PM to confirm.

Thank you to everyone who participated. This has been a fun raffle and I hope everyone enjoyed.
Looking forward to 2020 and another great year for BTC and this forum.

-Geophphreigh

Hey Geophphreigh,
Am very chuffed, I have always been nowhere near winning the 'guess the price of Bitcoin on...' competitions.

To actually win is wonderful - I will reply to the PM of course - and thank you very much!

Kurious
196  Economy / Collectibles / Re: [FREE ART RAFFLE] - Custom Bolivar Art 100 Spot Mega Raffle!! on: February 18, 2020, 11:25:49 AM
If 65 is still free, please may I take it - thanks.
197  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: February 12, 2020, 11:15:51 PM
Any speculation on how high the price will be within a month from now? I think 150 usd Cheesy

Depends on Bitcoin.  If BTC breaks above the 2019 high, $150 might not be difficult.  Add a couple of weeks - and in a month and a half the pre-halving 'buy the rumour' spike should be kicking in.  So if not in a month, maybe a little later it's on. Either way, gut feeling is BTC needs to properly break $13,800. If it does, a $150 Monero is likely.

BTC will probably drop after halving date, but will have proved smashing of any bear power. If it has broken the £13,800, then from then on (in theory) we just sit tight and watch the inexorable rise up into the 2021 big new BTC ATH, with Monero popping along for the ride. 

Just my gut feeling, but hey it is a speculation thread...
198  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: February 12, 2020, 10:59:42 PM
This is odd, BTC hasn't broken this channel (and doesn't look like it will).

Monero... just did.

I think Bitcoin could dip, but Monero seems to want to push forward on its own, regardless.


Got the right picture this time, nearly posted a car pick as TA...   
199  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 12, 2020, 10:48:41 PM
What's with the Mercs?  I have always fancied a little second hand runabout like this...

200  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 12, 2020, 08:57:33 PM
Cryptoasset Requirements Set for Release by Treasury

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-12/cryptoasset-rules-set-for-release-by-trump-administration

Quote
The Trump administration soon will announce new requirements for cryptoassets, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said.

Mnuchin told a Senate Finance Committee hearing on Wednesday that the department’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network is preparing the announcement.

“We are about to roll out some significant new requirements,” he said without elaborating.

The Financial Crimes Enforcement Network works to prevent money laundering, terrorist financing and other financial crimes.

(Updates with Financial Crimes Enforcement Network explanation in fourth paragraph.)

So, the Federal Gov't wants to "prevent cryptocurrencies from being used as 'secret bank accounts.' "

I guess that means they want secret bank accounts to only be in dollars. Which, given the president seems to favour this personally for his loans and financial affairs, is more about just keeping the status quo in force and perhaps diverting attention from it.

If they really were dealing with the kind of money laundering that quite normally goes on (which just by the major banks activities, probably exceeds Bitcoins entire market cap over the past few years alone) then I would have no reason to question their motives.
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