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181  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Semifinals! on: May 04, 2022, 03:57:29 PM
with only a 1 goal lead and no away goals will of course make everything still possible, even though Leipzig are favored but I think they will also have the same chance of being in the final, especially since this match will be played at home to Rangers. I think the chances for both teams to qualify are still 50-50 and I personally still favor Rangers to qualify for the final.
Away goals do not count more than home goals anymore.

Leipzig is the stronger team, but 1 goal advantage is not a safe cushion to rely on, the Rangers could be a surprise indeed.
If you really think the chance for Rangers/Leipzig is 50-50 you should seriously put some money down on the Rangers. Current quotes for qualification for the final are Rangers 5.5 & Leipzig 1.12 which translates roughly to 15%/85%.
182  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 04, 2022, 02:08:47 PM
Greuther Furth relegated from the league and Bielefeld are the second biggest candidate to have the same result. We can consider them as in the 2nd Bundesliga already now. Stuttgart or Hertha Berlin would play in the play-out matches to be able to continue in the Bundesliga. And that team would be Stuttgart as it is really hard for them to close the four-point gap with Hertha Berlin at this point. There are only two weeks left. And I wonder what team are going to be their opponent in play-out stage. It is hard to guess as there are multiple candidates.
I think Hertha is pretty much safe already. Stuttgart and Bielefeld, both have difficult games ahead. I don't see either of them getting 4 or 6 points out of their 2 remaining games.

I think the ranking is pretty much fixed now. The only open questions are between Leipzig/Freiburg and Cologne/Union Berlin and who will play Champions League/Euro League or no international games.
183  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Semifinals! on: May 04, 2022, 07:27:41 AM
I almost thinking Villareal will made a history because leading 2-0 in the first half is quite amazing but indeed Liverpool was not give up and can equalized even win and in this match Diaz makes Liverpool performance different because after his goal Liverpool performance was better and i think Liverpool under Klopp had best achievement this season because so far Liverpool will faced 2 upcoming final matches for FA Cup and Champion league
Liverpool was the better teams overall in this 2nd leg and they deserved their victory. Respect to Villareal though. A miracle was in the air and in the reach of a possible outcome.

At the moment, the quotes of the teams for tomorrow's game are as follows:

4,60 - 4,10 - 1,72

I think a bet on Liverpool looks attractive as I think Villarreal will have to play more openly to try to bounce back so Liverpool will have more chances to score than even in the first game. Even if the game ends with a score of 2-3, but it will be a victory for Liverpool.
I think 1.72 is a good quote for a Liverpool win.

Both teams to score is at 1.7 and more than 2.5 goals is at 1.66

Out of those 3 bets I like Liverpool to win the most. It could be easily a 0-2 or similar result. Villareal will have to play more openly, but I think Liverpool is just to strong for them. The game has just started let's hope for an entertaining football night Smiley
All those 3 bets won yesterday. I wonder if this will be the case again for tonight's game. Real Madrid almost always is a guarantee for many goals and Man City is likely to score themselves too!
184  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Semifinals! on: May 03, 2022, 07:09:44 PM
I think 1.72 is a good quote for a Liverpool win.

Both teams to score is at 1.7 and more than 2.5 goals is at 1.66

Out of those 3 bets I like Liverpool to win the most. It could be easily a 0-2 or similar result. Villareal will have to play more openly, but I think Liverpool is just to strong for them. The game has just started let's hope for an entertaining football night Smiley
Hm and just like that my hunch turned out to be pretty bad  Grin
Villareal is ahead 1-0 now. This is still a far bit away from a qualification to the final, but it makes "both teams to score" (now 1.14) and "more than 2.5 goals" (now 1.23) way more probably than "Liverpool to win" (now 2.7)
Maybe we'll have an interesting fight for the final qualification in the end?
185  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Semifinals! on: May 03, 2022, 07:01:46 PM
At the moment, the quotes of the teams for tomorrow's game are as follows:

4,60 - 4,10 - 1,72

I think a bet on Liverpool looks attractive as I think Villarreal will have to play more openly to try to bounce back so Liverpool will have more chances to score than even in the first game. Even if the game ends with a score of 2-3, but it will be a victory for Liverpool.
I think 1.72 is a good quote for a Liverpool win.

Both teams to score is at 1.7 and more than 2.5 goals is at 1.66

Out of those 3 bets I like Liverpool to win the most. It could be easily a 0-2 or similar result. Villareal will have to play more openly, but I think Liverpool is just to strong for them. The game has just started let's hope for an entertaining football night Smiley
186  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 02, 2022, 07:20:20 PM
Here we go we had 2 games today and I will put my picks here highlighted in green are my picks

Monchengladbach VS RB Leipzig

Leverkusen VS Eintracht Frankfurt

It's half time now and Leipzig is behind 1-2. They will have to fight to not go home without any point here and fall behind Freiburg in the ranking. My guess for this game is a draw, likely 2-2 at the end. Quotes are now 1.7/3.5/5.0

Leverkusen is ahead 1-0 and will probably take the 3 points home. The quotes are quite clear leaning towards Leverkusen now with 1.2/6.3/19.0
187  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: FIFA World Cup 2022 in Qatar, South American Qualification on: May 02, 2022, 05:20:23 PM
I wonder if Peru will reach its objective to be able to participate in this World Cup, the countries heading to this directly are in my opinion quite good, but I am more inclined towards Brazil because of its trajectory, this in terms of South America.
Yes, Peru is classified, but they aren't a strong candidate for winning the cup or reaching too far on the competition. From South America the results are usually quite predictable: Brazil and Argentina are the countries which reach further (between quarter-finals to finals), although Uruguay has an underrated national team, which always do their best with a lot of sacrifice and effort to reach one step further on world cups.
Peru still needs to play a qualification game against the Winner of UAE vs Australia. Peru is likely the favorite in this fight though, even the weakest South American teams are a serious threat to most Asian or African teams

The qualified team will then end up in the group with France, Denmark and Tunisia. If it'll be Peru, then I think they actually have a chance to advance the group stage. They would need a win against Denmark and of course Tunisia, which likely is the weakest team here.
188  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 02, 2022, 05:06:42 PM
Bayer - Eintracht F - Bayer only needs a win, otherwise it risks being left without the Champions League.

Borussia M - Leipzig - Leipzig is in a similar situation and although Borussia M are weak this season, this away game will be difficult in my opinion, but the quotes are very optimistic about Leipzig:

5,00 - 4,40 - 1,64

I think the only advantage that Bayer has is the fact that Frankfurt plays the europa league in few days and might be opting to rest few players by rotating the squad in tonights tie. Frankfurt are comfortable at midtable and i believe their coach would not be chasing tonights game.
This! Frankfurt will focus 100% on the Euro League. They have nothing left to gain in the Bundesliga and will maybe even start with quite some substitute players. I think Bayer will win this game.
For Leipzig it is a bit different. They will try to advance in the Euro League and to win the Bundesliga games to qualify for the Champions League. I think they are able to do both and will do that. Whether it'll be enough to win against Gladbach, I don't know, the odds for a Leipizg win are pretty low, I agree on that.
189  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - 2nd Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 01, 2022, 04:44:51 PM

Only two games left and if Schalke doesn't win against St. Pauli on 07.05., Darmstadt could even take the first place.

st. pauli's away game at schalke 04 will be their last chance to play for promotion. st. pauli must win at gelsenkirchen - if that happens and darmstadt (at düsseldorf) and bremen (at aue) win their away games, everything will then be decided on the last matchday Shocked
Same is true for Hamburg. It looks like it's not a huge difference to rank 3 (3 points), but with only 2 games left, and 2 fairly easy ones for Bremen and Darmstadt, the other teams (Hamburg, St. Pauli) really must hope for them to lose points now.
If Schalke wins against St.Pauli they already have the 3rd rank safe.

I think the top3 won't change anymore. However, it is still open who will directly go into the Bundesliga and who has to play the relegation game against the 16th in the Bundesliga, so Bielefeld or Stuttgart. This decision is totally open right now
190  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 01, 2022, 04:37:34 PM
From my German point of view it's really funny this week to see how the two top teams could lose. Dortmund caught up and still lost the game and Bayern showed a very poor performance although hardly any regular players were missing. The title is fixed, maybe it was because of that.
Yea, I think so too, the pressure for Bayern and Dortmund is gone. Of course they always try to not embarass themselves, but the players are already with their thoughts in the next season. For Lewandowski maybe it would have been nice to beat his goal record from last year, but now it seems there is no chance to do that anymore with only 2 games left. Better focus on the Leverkusen/Leipzig/Freiburg games for the Champsions League qualification and Bielefeld and Stuttgart for the relegation if you are looking for excitement Smiley
191  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 30, 2022, 02:33:33 PM
Dortmund  0-2 Bochum

I thought I would enjoy the match between Dortmund and Bochum. But I was surprised to turn on the television. Bochum took a 2-0 lead in just 8 minutes. It was a bit incredible for me. The Bochum team is not very strong. That's how I expected Dortmund to win this match. But since Bachum went ahead 2-0. So now Bachum's chances of winning this match are high. They will now play defensively and ensure victory.
...and it's equalized already, the standing is 2-2 at the halftime

Also Bayern is behind in Mainz (2-1)... this coud have been a very interesting week, unfortunately the 1st and 2nd rank are already decided  Grin

The actual games to watch are
Bielefeld vs Hertha (currently 0-0), Bielefeld desperatly needs the win to not go down to the 2nd league next year.
Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg (currently 0-1), same for Stuttgart, but it doesn't look good for them
Augsburg vs Cologne (currently 0-2), looks like Cologne will take 3 points and fight for their Euro League spot!
192  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - 2nd Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 30, 2022, 06:58:45 AM
And once again the teams make it exciting. That is how I like it.
St. Pauli concede a goal in extra time and draw. Werder Bremen brings Kiel back into the game with 2 own goals. And Schalke only manages to win by a goal in extra time. It seems that the teams are quite nervous.
Tomorrow Darmstadt and Hamburger SV have to win to keep their chances.
Yea, it looks like the league is going for a dramatic finish  Cheesy
Darmstadt is now in a pretty good position. Of course they shouldn't mess it up like Bremen did yesterday, but they could now even surpass Bremen by winning the last 3 games.
And Hamburg: as written on the last page, they absolutely need to win all 3 remaining games, otherwise they won't be able to reach the 3rd rank. Today in Ingolstadt they are likely to win, but we have seen many "easy" games in the past where Hamburg managed to "not win" somehow.
Nürnberg is probably out of the race now after their draw yesterday. Only if both, Hamburg and Darmstadt, somehow manage to lose today they would still have a small chance for the 3rd rank.
193  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 29, 2022, 03:33:08 PM
True , you should never underestimate any team when you playing against them , but in this case today i see no hope for Greuther Fürth.
Also there are rumors that the Coach from Greuther Fürth will be leave the Club after the season and will be the new Coach of Hannover 96.
2 players will be maybe follow him to Hannover but i cant remember the names.
Odds for Union Berlin vs Fürth are 1.25/5.7/13.0

Anything except a win of Union would be a huge surprise, so if I had to bet, I would go for that. However, the odds are very low for this, so it's not worthy imo. Union has played well lately and is fighting for their Europa League spot with even a small chance for a Champions League spot, I don't think they will leave points out in this game. For Fürth it is now more like a "goodbye Bundesliga tour", they will surely try to not embarass themselves, but they don't have a reason to give full 100% now anymore either.
194  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Semifinals! on: April 29, 2022, 06:43:56 AM
My tip for today West Ham 1:2 Frankfurt. The game is on a good level, and i believe in the power of Frankfurt. But there is still something more missing, like in Barcelona. After the 1:1, not much happened in the first 45 minutes. That will change a little bit. And I believe in a German final this year.
Good prediction! I also thought that Frankfurt has a chance to reach the final, but I actually didn't expect them to win the away game. Anyway, they are not qualified yet. Also not Leipzig. 1 goal advantage can disappear quickly, even if it's only for some bad luck penalty or similar.

The odds for qualification for the finals are now:
Leipzig 1.12
Rangers 5.5

Frankfurt 1.22
West Ham 4.0

And for winning the trophy:
Leipzig 1.8
Frankfurt 3.5
West Ham 5.5
Rangers 11.0

Leipzig for winning the cup 1.8 doesn't seem like a bad bet at this point I think.
195  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Semifinals! on: April 28, 2022, 07:34:10 PM
West Ham vs Eintracht started very interestingly! Cheesy The English conceded a goal in the first minute... Eintracht claim the Europa League title after beating Barca... Don't know if West Ham will be able to rectify the situation, but so far luck is not on their side...
Well, they only needed 20 minutes to equalize Smiley
1-1 is the score now, even though the game is fairly equal, West Ham has the better chances until now, they should be able to at least win the game by 1 goal difference. Quotes for their win are at 2.1 which is fairly good!

Leipzig vs Rangers is still without goal, Leipzig is the better team here, but they will need some goals to not depend on the 2nd leg only.
196  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 28, 2022, 11:12:37 AM
Bayern Munich won't be champions forever, another team will definitely start to play better. But Bayern has been a very good team in recent years and we don't see much of a German league team that can actually beat this team.
Maybe next year Dortmund will have a chance if they make better signings, but probably Bayern will be champions again Smiley
It's not that much about being able to play better. It's a lot about the money. Bayern has a dominant position and they acquire talents from their opponents quickly, and by doing that destryoing their opponents teams. As soon as there is some competition emerging you can wait for the news of an offer for their best player by Bayern.
Bayern acted very clever in the past and they haven't stopped doing that. The way it currently is you could already bet for Bayern on being the champions for the next 5 years as well.
197  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Round of 16! on: April 28, 2022, 09:51:42 AM
Liverpool performance this season is indeed extraordinary, even though they have a busy schedule in the domestic and European leagues but they can still maintain their performance well so far, even though they had difficulties in breaking into Villareal goal in the first half but the hard work done by Liverpool players managed to end sweetly with a 2-0 win at the end of the match, 2-0 capital seems to have been enough capital for liverpool to set one foot in the final and I think it will be difficult for villareal to make a comeback in the second leg later even though they play at home.
I think so too. 2 goals difference is pretty much impossible to catch up for Villareal. Odds for qualification are Villareal 13.0 and Liverpool 1.02, so this is like a 95% chance for Liverpool's qualification by the bookmakers.

Real Madrid vs ManCity is going to be more interesting. Here ManCity is only 1 goal ahead. Odds for qualification are Madrid 4.3 and ManCity 1.18, which is more like 80-20. This will be the more exciting game in the 2nd leg imho and I am looking forward to it.
198  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread on: April 28, 2022, 05:18:58 AM
For me West ham United will win this competition, even if they were playing against Barcelona in the semi final they would have won, the take this competition very seriously, at there game against Chelsea last weekend Sunday they rest alot of players just because of this game,they see it as a pathway to the champions League next season and they are determined and also have the players to see it through, I watch there game against Lyon and I was impressed, I know liepzieg are a strong team in Germany but I still rate west ham to beat the two German team.
All you say about West Ham is also true about Frankfurt, with the difference that Frankfurt actually beat Barcelona and not only hypothetically  Cheesy
In fact for Frankfurt the Euro League is the only way to qualify for a European competition next year and they are in a no-mans-land in the Bundesliga and don't have to care about the Bundesliga anymore in the last weeks, they will put all their energy into that game. The duel West Ham vs Frankfurt will be an exciting one indeed
199  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 28, 2022, 05:04:18 AM
Greuther Furth have already said goodbye to the Bundesliga this season. And there is not much hope for Arminia Bielefeld too. They are going to play a game against Hertha Berlin home next time which can be called as a game that they have a chance to win. However they haven't won for eight weeks in a row in the league. And they lost seven of them. Hertha Berlin have been on a better run than them. So I don't feel like they would lose to Bielefeld here. And it would be the end of Bielefeld for this season also.
Hertha Berlin seems almost safe now after their win against Stuttgart. Bielefeld could still surpass Stuttgart reach rank 16 where they would not relegate directly, but have a play-off against the 3rd of the 2nd league. Stuttgart has 3 difficult games coming up and I wouldn't be surprised if they lose all 3 of it (Wolfsburg, Bayern, Köln). Bielefeld could gain points against Hertha this week and then against Bochum next week. I don't think they stand a chance against Leipzig in the last week.
200  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Round of 16! on: April 27, 2022, 07:21:27 PM
The match has started and as usual Liverpool seemed to dominate this match from Villareal who tried to defend and focus on the counter-attack. Liverpool's victory seems very likely, but surely Villareal will try their best for a chance of a ticket to the final this season. I've said 3-1 is a possible result for this match but we'll see if my prediction is right or not.
Well, for sure we didn't see a furios start like in yesterday's game. I hope we'll see any goal soon, this will make it more interesting Smiley
Liverpool is clearly dominating now, if it goes on like in the first 20 minutes, then we'll see a 2-0 or 3-1 or something in that range. But who knows, Villareal might be lucky and continue to defend nicely.
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