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1841  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 20, 2017, 10:57:58 PM
You want a bargain? All you need is one bitcoin daily chart of Bitstamp on bitcoinwisdom and two indicators. One is the 200 simple moving average and second is RSI at the bottom. If price has a flash crash to the 200 MA or RSI drops below 30 there you go. You should probably already have a $700 buy limit order in at your favorite exchange. May not get filled but hey you made the effort.

1842  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Best anonymous transactions for a cryptocurrency? on: January 20, 2017, 07:04:02 PM
The thing is, you can get the most anonymous technology you want, but at the end of the day, if there is not a lot of people using the coin, you are not going to be as safe as using bitcoin + mixers. You need a lot of people to blend in with the masses, you also need as many nodes as possible. This is a problem with Monero, only 500 nodes now, and the blockchain has not even begun to grow yet...

That will change soon with the next update of the Monero GUI which will mine in the background. Default is on can be turned off of course but when that happens everyone who leaves their monerod on all the time will help decentralize the network.
1843  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: January 20, 2017, 01:21:33 AM
Seriously though...to all innocent, naive newbs: There are new and better anon coins coming. Ditch this shit while you can still get a relatively high price for it.

I was just going to ask if this coin is worth investing still, then I read your post lol Smiley

Listen to this presentation by fluffypony in Miami https://soundcloud.com/whalepool/moneros-lead-developer-fluffypony-talks-crypto-live-from-bitcoin-miami
1844  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Why isn't there Two Factor Authentication on Wallets? on: January 20, 2017, 12:35:59 AM
Use a hardware wallet like Trezor or Ledger Nano S and you can also use the hardware wallet for U2F login to sites that support it.
1845  Economy / Web Wallets / Re: Worried about Coinbase!! on: January 20, 2017, 12:33:07 AM
There has been some good advice in this thread but no one has mentioned the hardware wallet option. You can buy a Ledger Nano S for $65 and move your bitcoin private keys from Coinbase to the Nano S and problem solved. No one has ever had bitcoin stolen from a Ledger hardware wallet.

If someone can't afford spending $65 in a hardware wallet like Ledger Nano S or Trezor then there is an option to buy one of the cheapest hardware wallet which is Ledger HW.1 which is $16 excluding taxes.

Yes of course consider that the Nano S is leaps ahead of the hw.1 in terms of user convenience. Anyone can afford $16 though good point.
1846  Economy / Web Wallets / Re: Worried about Coinbase!! on: January 19, 2017, 11:21:30 PM
There has been some good advice in this thread but no one has mentioned the hardware wallet option. You can buy a Ledger Nano S for $65 and move your bitcoin private keys from Coinbase to the Nano S and problem solved. No one has ever had bitcoin stolen from a Ledger hardware wallet.
1847  Economy / Speculation / Re: Another Crash ? on: January 19, 2017, 04:51:46 AM
Even at the Jan 11 low of $750 RSI did not drop below 30, and it should have. That worries me a bit, that there may be one more leg down to about $700. If you do see RSI under 30 on the daily chart that is almost always a low risk buy.
1848  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Bitmain Announces the Antminer R4 and APW5 Power Supply, Designed for Silence on: January 16, 2017, 04:29:26 AM
The three month warranty is a deal breaker for me I will have to pass. If a year warranty parts and labor was offered no problem.
1849  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What exactly can you buy with Bitcoin? on: January 15, 2017, 12:13:50 AM
Dell Computers accepts bitcoin. I bought a new computer last year for bitcoin that cost me less than $5 in 2011.
1850  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 14, 2017, 09:54:09 PM
The big three Chinese exchanges (OKCoin, Huobi, and BTCC) have all disabled margin trading for all clients onshore in China. This is in response to the recent on-site “inspections” (aka Ride The Red Dildo) by the PBOC.

With margin trading eliminated, the question remains what happens with existing leveraged positions. If the PBOC forces the exchanges to unwind all positions, that will negatively impact the price. The CNY spot book of each exchange is a combination of leveraged and unleveraged traders. The ratio of leveraged longs to shorts is of interest. If the net leveraged positioning is long, that means a combination of leveraged shorts and long sells were matched against them. Given that we just witnessed a new all time high in the CNY price of Bitcoin, I estimate leveraged longs outnumber leveraged shorts. In the event of a margin call, as the exchange unwinds both sides, the net effect will be a drop in price. The magnitude of the drop depends on the size of the imbalance.

30% initial margin (3.33x leverage) was the normal amount of margin offered. The collateral will be exhausted if the price moves 30% below or above the entry price of longs and shorts respectively. Given that the exchanges themselves lent funds to speculators, should the price move further than 30% they would suffer a principal loss. For illustration purposes, assume that the long / short ratio is 100 XBT / 50 XBT. The 50 XBT shortfall was provided by long sellers of Bitcoin. If the book was unwound, 50 XBT would need to be sold into the order-book. Hopefully, the order-book liquidity is sufficient such that the average execution price is no lower than 30% (the initial margin) below the average entry price of all long positions.

However, now that margin is removed, the actual liquidity will be substantially lower. If the margin positions were to be unwound, it would happen at the worst possible time. Some white knight whale would need to fully fund purchases of Bitcoin as it was dumped onto the market. Last week the BitMEX Bitcoin / USD 100x leveraged swap, XBTUSD, traded a record of nearly 100,000 XBT over a 24-hour period. The actual open interest fluctuated between 10-20x lower than the recorded trading volume. Given that trading fees are 0 in China, I estimate open interest is 100x lower than recorded trading volumes.

The big three exchanges routinely traded around 5 million Bitcoin per day during the recent pump. Using a 100x divisor, assume that each exchange’s actual open interest of loans is 50,000 XBT. Also assume that longs represent 60% of that total, and shorts 40%. That leaves a net 10,000 Bitcoin of required selling on each exchange. 30,000 Bitcoin in total must be sold across all the exchanges. The differentiations between the exchanges is quite small, which means that they all have the same customers. It is also the same handful of market makers responsible for all the liquidity in China. As trades happen on OKCoin, liquidity will be removed from Huobi and BTCC simultaneously. Therefore, we cannot sum all the liquidity offered by each exchange.

30,000 Bitcoin is worth 268 million CNY. That is not chump change when you consider all purchases must be fully funded. If we take the most liquid order-book (OKCoin), how low would the price go if 30,000 Bitcoin were dumped?

Each day brings new developments on how the PBOC is constricting business operations of Chinese Bitcoin exchanges. The Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt (FUD) will depress buyer appetite further decreasing on-exchange liquidity. The pace of the forced margin call dictated by the PBOC will determine how far the price dips. I haven’t performed any extensive analysis on the order-book depth but my finger in the air estimation is a 10% to 15% drawdown from current levels. Hence my short term price target for Bitcoin is $650.

If and when the PBOC forces a China Bitcoin margin call, it will be an amazing buying opportunity. Without leverage, the only marginal sellers are Chinese miners. After the plunge, the marginal demand for Bitcoin will be higher than the supply offered by miners. The demand for a store of wealth not controlled by a government or central bank remains strong in China. I reiterate my call for USDCNY of 9.00 by the end of 2017. That would take Bitcoin substantially over its recent all time high of 8,895.98 CNY. It is still too early to tell whether the unwinding of margin positions will be orderly or chaotic. Much depends on exchange CEO’s fluffing skills. Get on your knees, boys: for the sake of Bitcoin.

reprinted from Bitmex Crypto Trader

30k btc to be sold is surely not doing any good to the price. on the other hand on bitstamp alone 35k btc have been dumped on jan.5th. and another 27k next day. bitstamp has a market share of less then 0.2% (the real market share value is surely higher due to fake volume on chinese exchanges)

edit: missing word

edit2: i noticed your bearish posts lately. at least you make it clear that you have a short position.

Sorry I have never shorted bitcoin. I can also make a good case that we have just finished an abc Elliott Wave correction and should resume upward trajectory soon with a price projection for Primary Wave 3 of $1800. Here is a preliminary chart, when I have some time I will write up a full article on my Elliott Wave count for bitcoin.



Need to make sure the bottom is really in at $735 on Bitfinex first.
1851  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 14, 2017, 08:35:03 PM
The big three Chinese exchanges (OKCoin, Huobi, and BTCC) have all disabled margin trading for all clients onshore in China. This is in response to the recent on-site “inspections” (aka Ride The Red Dildo) by the PBOC.

With margin trading eliminated, the question remains what happens with existing leveraged positions. If the PBOC forces the exchanges to unwind all positions, that will negatively impact the price. The CNY spot book of each exchange is a combination of leveraged and unleveraged traders. The ratio of leveraged longs to shorts is of interest. If the net leveraged positioning is long, that means a combination of leveraged shorts and long sells were matched against them. Given that we just witnessed a new all time high in the CNY price of Bitcoin, I estimate leveraged longs outnumber leveraged shorts. In the event of a margin call, as the exchange unwinds both sides, the net effect will be a drop in price. The magnitude of the drop depends on the size of the imbalance.

30% initial margin (3.33x leverage) was the normal amount of margin offered. The collateral will be exhausted if the price moves 30% below or above the entry price of longs and shorts respectively. Given that the exchanges themselves lent funds to speculators, should the price move further than 30% they would suffer a principal loss. For illustration purposes, assume that the long / short ratio is 100 XBT / 50 XBT. The 50 XBT shortfall was provided by long sellers of Bitcoin. If the book was unwound, 50 XBT would need to be sold into the order-book. Hopefully, the order-book liquidity is sufficient such that the average execution price is no lower than 30% (the initial margin) below the average entry price of all long positions.

However, now that margin is removed, the actual liquidity will be substantially lower. If the margin positions were to be unwound, it would happen at the worst possible time. Some white knight whale would need to fully fund purchases of Bitcoin as it was dumped onto the market. Last week the BitMEX Bitcoin / USD 100x leveraged swap, XBTUSD, traded a record of nearly 100,000 XBT over a 24-hour period. The actual open interest fluctuated between 10-20x lower than the recorded trading volume. Given that trading fees are 0 in China, I estimate open interest is 100x lower than recorded trading volumes.

The big three exchanges routinely traded around 5 million Bitcoin per day during the recent pump. Using a 100x divisor, assume that each exchange’s actual open interest of loans is 50,000 XBT. Also assume that longs represent 60% of that total, and shorts 40%. That leaves a net 10,000 Bitcoin of required selling on each exchange. 30,000 Bitcoin in total must be sold across all the exchanges. The differentiations between the exchanges is quite small, which means that they all have the same customers. It is also the same handful of market makers responsible for all the liquidity in China. As trades happen on OKCoin, liquidity will be removed from Huobi and BTCC simultaneously. Therefore, we cannot sum all the liquidity offered by each exchange.

30,000 Bitcoin is worth 268 million CNY. That is not chump change when you consider all purchases must be fully funded. If we take the most liquid order-book (OKCoin), how low would the price go if 30,000 Bitcoin were dumped?

Each day brings new developments on how the PBOC is constricting business operations of Chinese Bitcoin exchanges. The Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt (FUD) will depress buyer appetite further decreasing on-exchange liquidity. The pace of the forced margin call dictated by the PBOC will determine how far the price dips. I haven’t performed any extensive analysis on the order-book depth but my finger in the air estimation is a 10% to 15% drawdown from current levels. Hence my short term price target for Bitcoin is $650.

If and when the PBOC forces a China Bitcoin margin call, it will be an amazing buying opportunity. Without leverage, the only marginal sellers are Chinese miners. After the plunge, the marginal demand for Bitcoin will be higher than the supply offered by miners. The demand for a store of wealth not controlled by a government or central bank remains strong in China. I reiterate my call for USDCNY of 9.00 by the end of 2017. That would take Bitcoin substantially over its recent all time high of 8,895.98 CNY. It is still too early to tell whether the unwinding of margin positions will be orderly or chaotic. Much depends on exchange CEO’s fluffing skills. Get on your knees, boys: for the sake of Bitcoin.

reprinted from Bitmex Crypto Trader
1852  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Monero wallet? on: January 14, 2017, 04:36:58 PM
MyMonero is back online and I was able to log in.
1853  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Discussion (Altcoins) / Re: can't access mymonero.com how do i retrieve my Monero? on: January 14, 2017, 01:23:51 AM
Rumour is youre a fucking retard if you can't figure out how to download a wallet and import your keys.

I downloaded the monero  GUI how do i import my wallet there? as on mymonero thereare 13 seeds whilst on the monero ones i downloaded 25 words..
help please?


Man you made already 3 threads here keep asking same thing all over and over alto getting answers.


I saw you got 2 times this link allready but is your lucky day and I will post it 3rd time.

https://www.reddit.com/r/Monero/comments/5nlgfi/problems_with_tool_to_migrate_xmr_from_mymonero/dccfjyd/

 i dont have the keys, only the seed words.

Use the tool at https://xmr.llcoins.net/addresstests.html insert the 13 word seed, then generate view and spend keys -> recover from the CLI wallet

If you need detailed instructions on how to recover into the cli wallet browse this entire thread on r/monero

Remember you need to let the official wallet sync first takes about a day to download the monero blockchain
1854  Other / MultiBit / Re: Multibit HD no longer works with Trezor in Win 10? on: January 14, 2017, 01:10:23 AM
NOPE. Trezor says it is Multibit HD's problem. Their hardware works perfectly and it is up to Multibit to get their software working again. So when will you?

Sorry about that. I left Multibit HD behind a while ago since there are better wallets to choose from, like Electrum.
1855  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 13, 2017, 08:39:30 PM
Here is the problem: it is possible that maximum pain level was not reached, meaning blood in the streets, wailing, despair you get the picture. RSI on the daily chart has not reached oversold level under 30. A capitulation wave down to $680 should get the RSI oversold and price would also touch the daily 200 MA. May not happen but putting some bids in at $680 might prove to be a good move.
1856  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: DarkMonero - 2.5 Money. The next level monetary system. on: January 13, 2017, 08:32:42 PM
The shitcoins never stop coming get a life and support an established honest project.
1857  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Monero wallet? on: January 13, 2017, 08:22:16 PM
cant he use the mymonero seed elsewhere? the wallet words to log into my monero derive the private keys, my monero do not store them themselves.

Jacob

Yeah, any other wallet where i can use my private seed to restore my monero?
thanks

No. The MyMonero wallets use a different type of mnemonic: 13 words instead of 25 words. The Monero Core GUI (or the CLI) doesn't support restoring a wallet from a 13 word mnemonic seed. So; you'll need to wait until MyMonero is back online sorry. Remember the developer of MyMonero always recommended using NyMonero to store small sums of Monero, and using the official wallet for large amounts of Monero.
1858  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Monero wallet? on: January 13, 2017, 01:52:58 AM
The problem with Monero wallets is that as far as I am aware there is no SPV wallets because there are massive technical hindrances to this.
At this point I am not sure if developers already figured out a a way to create some sort of SPV framework that doesn't compromise your privacy.
Also current hard fork is not helping, some wallets, i.e. Light Wallet will stop working after the fork.
I guess the best option is Monero Core...

The fork was Tuesday and LightWallet did indeed stop working. The developer recommended using the official GUI. MyMonero is down for updates needed after the fork. The Jaxx wallet guys claim they have Monero finished and will roll it out in a few weeks.
1859  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Monero wallet? on: January 13, 2017, 12:06:39 AM
You can download the official beta of the Monero Core GUI wallet now. Let it sync completely before you attempt to send or receive, should take about 24 hours.
1860  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Best/cheapest way to anonymize bitcoin payments? on: January 12, 2017, 08:07:06 PM
Making a new thread could have been enough lol.
I personally use gramsflow tiny fee and hopefully gets the job done right. Haven't had any problems with them yet.


The problem with any mixer on Tor is the pool of bitcoin they have to work with. Just darknet buyers and sellers swapping bitcoins for the most part yes? Try cashing out bitcoin you got from Grams at Coinbase and see what happens. Instead use the exchanges to your benefit. They have a large pool of bitcoin from speculation that has not been connected to gambling or darknet sites. And with coinanalytics software becoming more sophisticated the only way to properly mix bitcoin is to jump between chains.
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