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1921  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Any work being done on decentralized fiat exchanges? on: June 25, 2018, 09:09:46 PM
Full decentralisation is difficult without atomic swaps to perform the actual trade. And that limits any platform to trading pairs for which atomic swaps can be programmed. As much as I like the concept, having to rely on arbitrators to fall back on is in some ways less desirable that the centralised model. Perhaps this is a good thing though; in a future dominated by p2p trading platforms, if a development team wants their cryptocurrency to be taken seriously, atomic swaps with the major coins they compete against must be easy to implement or else the market may be too thin (and if stable coins can do their job well enough, maybe the same will begin to be said about the currency that a well performing stable coin is pegged to Grin)

Ideally, a fully decentralised trading platform could be more liquid than the centralised exchanges, as the traders can be completely certain that their trading funds will be end-to-end 100% safe if there is no third party custody of coins to be concerned with. We're a long way from that now, atomic swaps are used as a descriptive jargon to advertise DeX website platforms, but it's probably just marketing (not tried it out myself). But I like that idea: a p2p software trading platform with real p2p atomic swaps to trade (plus stable coins that don't need redemption guarantees and controlled supply to maintain the peg). We're a little ways from that right now though, there are few coins that can be swapped atomically AFAIA, and no p2p trading platform uses atomic swaps either (AFAIA).
1922  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2018-06-22] $17 Billion Deleted From Cryptocurrency Market in 24 Hours on: June 25, 2018, 12:00:58 PM
$17 billion is a hell lot of money  Shocked Meanwhile, I would like to know why ''deleted" was used a choice of word for the title. It makes it seem like someone went to a dedicated computer, pressed on the delete key and poof $17 Billion disappears!

I do wish market cap could be uninvented as a metric. It means nothing.

That 17 billion never existed. You could knock tens of millions off the market cap with sells that net the sellers a few thousand dollars.

But, but....marketcap comparison with GDP of countries, with listed value of companies like Amazon. Can't we do that anymore?

You can compare the price of 1 grain of rice with the weight of gold in fort knox if you want, no-one's going to stop you


I've been using the term "monetary base" for a while now, and that's because that's what it is. I have no idea why the "capitalisation" expression ever became popular


It seems to me that such attempts to explain the situation retroactively have nothing to do with reality. I have not found a logical explanation for the fall in prices. It seems to me that only one explanation. Someone very influential with big money and opportunities is interested in reducing the price of bitcoin or Ethereum. I am generally concerned about the ease with which hackers break the exchange. Maybe there are no hackers?

And how is that a logical explanation? Somebody is doing...what? Dumping bitcoins after he has hoarded coins driving the price up?

Stop with the conspiracies

It can't possibly be a conspiracy if there's is only one person doing it, or if there is no evidence. You are in the market for one thing: a dictionary
1923  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2018-06-20] Amsterdam Schiphol Airport Installs Europe’s First Airport Bitcoin on: June 22, 2018, 01:48:58 PM
This is a pretty big story, and I almost missed it!

There's always been a slight tendency for businesses in touristic locales to accept Bitcoin, but it's surprised me that the travel industry haven't been completely leading the way. I guess they're as skeptical and/or conservative as any other industry. This is especially interesting though; international airports are not very politically neutral businesses, the government has alot of control over what happens on airport premises. Either Bitcoin is not so controversial to the Dutch political class (which is possible considering the Dutch have a very liberal cultural tradition, not least in innovative financial concepts), or the controversy doesn't bother them. Probably a little of both.
1924  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2018-06-13] New Research Blamed Tether for Bitcoin Price Manipulation in 2017 on: June 21, 2018, 06:10:13 PM
Does anyone still believe the claims that major market moves corresponded to direct trading of Tether on the Omni meta-chain? I didn't before, and I certainly don't now. How can there possibly be enough liquidity in the market for Tether/BTC when Bitfinex must control a majority of the Tether in the Tether/USD market to avoid big traders using Tether to bankrupt them?

Another issue with this research is: Omni uses Bitcoin's blockchain, and during the timeframe this was supposedly happening, Bitcoin transactions were the most expensive they've ever been. Is it in any way realistic that traders were doing enough Tether/BTC trade to move the entire BTC market, paying the high fees needed to settle the trade ASAP, and making a profit? It's far more likely traders would use off-chain settlement on exchanges, the argument is that people were afraid of losing out on Tether's failing peg, and overbought the entire BTC market to get out of Tether. Really? I think not.
1925  Bitcoin / Hardware wallets / Re: Python-TREZOR: Do bech32/bc1 addresses work yet? on: June 21, 2018, 01:31:53 PM
Thanks BitCryptex (and stick of course)

I might put together a guide thread: Using TREZOR 1 on Qubes 4.0 if there's any interest. It's certainly taken a little configuring so that it works smoothly (Trezor Bridge service needs a little modifying to get it working, for example).




@mods: shouldn't there be a "Trezor" sub board in Alternative Clients? Or maybe just change the names so that it makes more sense, i.e. replace "Alternative Clients" with "BTC Wallets/Clients", then have separate subs for Bitcoin Core, Armory, Electrum, Trezor etc?
1926  Bitcoin / Hardware wallets / Re: Python-TREZOR: Do bech32/bc1 addresses work yet? on: June 21, 2018, 11:50:23 AM
it turns out that it is possible to spend from bc1 address using python-trezor but I'm still waiting for more detailed reply on how to do it. I have been waiting for about 2 hours, I will update my posts once I get instructions.

Any updates then BitCryptex?

I was unsure whether I needed to use the BIP 49 or BIP 84 derivation path, or alternatively that some other argument needs to be supplied like when the address itself is queried (the python-trezor documentation seemed to imply that extra arguments can't be supplied to the trezorctl signing command).
1927  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: What is the bottleneck in synchronizing? on: June 21, 2018, 11:07:26 AM
Everyone writes something different here. This may also be due to the question. Let me rephrase the question. Related to the blockchain, which CPU speeds, internet speeds, and hard drive speeds match? How can I investigate the relationships?

  • 1st bottleneck is internet connection speed
  • 2nd bottleneck is CPU speed
  • 3rd bottleneck is hard disk speed


Improve your setup in that order, or all 3 simultaneously. Improvements to Bitcoin Core can also increase blockchain sync performance with any hardware. RAM is not so much of a bottleneck; even basic computers have 1GB+ RAM these days which is good enough (if you look at Settings -> Options menu in Bitcoin Core, you can improve the syncing performance a little if you increase database cache size to 1GB from the default value)

That's the best summary I can provide you.
1928  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2018-06-13] New Research Blamed Tether for Bitcoin Price Manipulation in 2017 on: June 21, 2018, 10:56:22 AM
If you're a whale, you can dump USDT's value down to $0.50 or pump it to $10 if you so wish. Regardless of the price you buy it at, the promise is that you can exchange it for an exact rate of $1 per USDT.

Huh

So, what you're saying is that Bitfinex will happily buy USDT from all their customers at 1:1 with USD, despite traders buying it a couple of seconds before from other traders on Bitfinex at $0.50? Are you sure? Because that's a pretty easy way to suck every $ out of Bitfinex, and leave them bankrupt with 50% of their USD obligations to customers still outstanding
1929  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: What is the bottleneck in synchronizing? on: June 20, 2018, 11:57:21 AM
Bitcoin 0.17.0 will speed up a little if you have fast (>10 Mbit/s) internet, fast/modern CPU & SSD disk

  • Changes to the way leveldb handles blockchain I/O will speed things up 5-10%
  • Validation will improve <5% for a range of CPUs with SSE4 and AVX2 instructions (maybe including ARM)

Most of the big gains have already been leveraged, but the developers often bounce new ideas around on the bitcoin dev mailing list.
1930  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: On Segwit not being backwards compatible question on: June 20, 2018, 11:06:48 AM
If the miners truly believe that and would follow Jihan Wu to threaten to "kill" Bitcoin, then I believe

Well, the miners are amoral, they will do whatever makes most sense to their pockets.


Bitcoin will undergo a POW change as a last resort.

Changing the hashing algorithm is probably not enough, PoW needs to be redesigned to refine the incentives. The proposed BetterHash BIP (or recent threads in Development & Technical about proposed PoW redesign) demonstrates the need is widely agreed upon. And it's important to the value of BTC that PoW is redesigned as a planned, staged, long term change to improve decentralisation of the mining network. The changes needed could be too disruptive if they are enacted on a "last resort" timeframe, there needs to be alot of discussion, planning and most of all, notice given to make it as smooth as possible.
1931  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2018-06-13] New Research Blamed Tether for Bitcoin Price Manipulation in 2017 on: June 19, 2018, 08:14:13 PM
Bitfinex's orderbook doesn't differentiate between actual USD or USDT, it is mixed. For that reason it's impossible to find out what percentage of Bitfinex's liquidity and volume consists of USD or USDT. In other words, dumping 10 million USDT or USD makes no difference.

None of that trade is visible on the Omni layer therefore. Bitfinex are balancing supply and demand for Tether somewhere publcily, otherwise the peg wouldn't be reliable. The report cites blockchain based trade information to back it's hypothesis, and what you're saying is that an even smaller amount of Tether trade is happening publicly than exists overall. Relatively small amounts of surrogate USD still can't move the market significantly in comparison to real USD on exchanges that aren't (or weren't) questionably solvent.
1932  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2018-06-13] New Research Blamed Tether for Bitcoin Price Manipulation in 2017 on: June 19, 2018, 11:56:43 AM
Plus, Tether even now only has a $2 billion monetary base, and that's after a big rise recently. Bitcoin is a ~ 100 billion dollar market. It's completely implausible that Tether was the reason for last years ATH.

Market cap doesn't say anything.

If we look at how thin the orderbooks of exchanges are, you can move the market cap up or down with $10 billion by only pumping or dumping the market with 10,000BTC worth $65,000,000.

Right, but you're talking about using BTC or USD to move the market, not Tether.

If you dump 10 million Tether (or pump with 10 million USDT instead), can you expect the market to respond as if USD equivalent was used? Tether has to balance it's own value when such events take place; Bitfinex reacts to large amounts of Tether trade by adding or removing USDT bids or asks from it's own orderbook.

Tether is designed to be a peg, and pegs don't lead, they follow. Otherwise, what is compelling actual USD to fall or rise against BTC when Tether does? Tether cannot behave independently of how USD behaves, as it ceases to behave like a peg.
1933  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2018-06-13] New Research Blamed Tether for Bitcoin Price Manipulation in 2017 on: June 18, 2018, 12:49:03 PM
@Carlton Banks. Tether uses Omni formerly Mastercoin, a bitcoin blockchain token, and therefore its data is in the bitcoin blockchain.

Shit, you're right about that :O I'd always thought Tether was Bitfinex's in house pet (which is sort of true as Bitfinex do manage the supply of Tether themselves)


Still don't find this convincing. Are the authors trying to tell us that the majority of last years market rise can be attributed to people selling falling Tether positions for BTC? To get that information confirming this story, the traders causing the move to $20,000 would all need to have been trading using Omni's platform. And not all Tether is even traded on the Omni platform (therefore Tether's exchange data is not all in the blockchain).

Plus, Tether even now only has a $2 billion monetary base, and that's after a big rise recently. Bitcoin is a ~ 100 billion dollar market. It's completely implausible that Tether was the reason for last years ATH.
1934  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2018-06-17] Bitcoin Price To Reach $60,000 In 2018 on: June 18, 2018, 11:30:42 AM
You're doing it wrong apparently, you're not allowed to liquidate assets whose value increases significantly, because that defies simplistic observations about human behaviour in markets. Which doesn't explain why you, me and other people choose to sell highly valued assets when the market seems frothy. Pesky human nature!

Are you referring to the spending aspect? I replace all spent coins directly, which means that I am not seeing any type of decrease in my coin holdings. On top of that, if you or anyone else needs to purchase something, then regardless of the price you will purchase it. I don't see why the market conditions matter in this case. It would only matter when replacing spent coins wasn't a thing, but since I know better, it is actually a thing. Bitcoin is money at the end of the day, so why shouldn't I use it as such when I need it and it serves me better than PayPal & Co? May I ask what you do with your coins? Just sitting on them for years or do you actually participate in an economical way?

Oh no, I do a pretty similar thing to you (the difference being I don't sell at all when the market is in a downturn). Your strategy sounds like it works though, I'd not considered doing things that way. I was making a sarcastic comment about the repeated claims that "Bitcoin doesn't work because no-one sells because the price is always higher", despite the wealth of evidence to the contrary (and was using your comment as an example)
1935  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2018-06-17] Bitcoin Price To Reach $60,000 In 2018 on: June 17, 2018, 09:11:29 PM
. The sooner people reset their mindset, the sooner we will be able to look upwards instead of downwards. I will also start spending my coins more. Bitcoin is a currency at the end of the day, so I'll use it as such.

You're doing it wrong apparently, you're not allowed to liquidate assets whose value increases significantly, because that defies simplistic observations about human behaviour in markets. Which doesn't explain why you, me and other people choose to sell highly valued assets when the market seems frothy. Pesky human nature!


Bitcoin will keep being volatile and unpredictable no accurate predictions will be possible.

There's only one prediction that can be at all relied on: the effect of the block reward halving. People have tended to front-run 6-12 months before the halving (which causes a sizable bull run), then another larger/longer bull run seems to develop 3-6 months after the halving in response to the decreased new supply entering the market (followed by the market topping out). This pattern makes sense, but what the magnitude will be of this effect in future is hard to say. Another 2 years of mismanagement in the so-called capitalist financial system could be all we need to deliver another round of explosive price growth, but we can only wait and see.
1936  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2018-06-17] President of Xapo: Bitcoin Will Become The Global Reserve Asset on: June 17, 2018, 07:51:23 PM
It's too fundamental to change so I don't see how it's going to be anyone's first choice for spending. It goes against human nature.

Perhaps you haven't noticed, but not everyone lives in England. There are far more valid use cases for Bitcoin besides drinking pints of ale in pubs or ordering cups of tea, and it is only because of those usage types for which Bitcoin is the only option that Bitcoin has any value at all. Pretending other people and their needs don't exist is a great way to make really bad investments (or accidental good investments in something you don't understand)
1937  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2018-06-13] New Research Blamed Tether for Bitcoin Price Manipulation in 2017 on: June 17, 2018, 10:14:58 AM
ZERO evidence for any of this. Just a bunch of people talking, it could all be completely fabricated from whole cloth.


“Using algorithms to analyze the blockchain data, we find that purchases with Tether are timed following market downturns and result in sizable increases in Bitcoin prices,” the paper’s abstract summarizes.

WHAT BLOCKCHAIN? If any of these people (including those commenting in this thread) had done even the most basic research, they would know that it's impossible to use Tether without using a webwallet of some kind. No evidence exists that these people have any data at all to analyse, they're just writing words in a PDF with zero citations or proof of any sort.


Nonetheless, some industry figures appeared to agree, fellow research firm Chainalysis claiming the results “seem credible.”

Anyone bolstering unverifiable claims should be treated as suspect, especially a firm like Chainalysis whose mission statement is to erode Bitcoin privacy in any way they can.



The apparent standard for believable claims is "someone said it". Why are there a dozen posts speculating about this story when the (absence of) facts are so easily discovered?
1938  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Why do some people believe that only the nodes miners run matter? on: June 13, 2018, 10:28:28 PM
So if Segwit is a different fork of Bitcoin, why are the pre-segwit nodes still following the original chain
1939  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Why do some people believe that only the nodes miners run matter? on: June 13, 2018, 10:04:24 PM
The ANYONECANSPEND exists precisely as an immunity defense so that people can fork off from Bitcoin if they wish to. It provides a way for transactions to be accepted by Satoshi’s protocol while the transition takes place. Otherwise it would be difficult for the Core fork to transition. And of course it also means those who use it, will have forsaken their tokens on the Satoshi protocol.

Which Bitcoin fork used this "transition" feature you speak of? None
1940  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Why do some people believe that only the nodes miners run matter? on: June 13, 2018, 09:48:15 PM
If on any fork of Bitcoin users start signing transactions which are backwards incompatible in a way that they become spendable by anyone, they thus have forked off from Bitcoin.

That’s inherent in the fact that Nakamoto proof-of-work solves the FLP impossibility theorem of Byzantine fault tolerant consensus, by being only probabilistically and never 100% final.

Since the legacy protocol can never be 100% finalized, then any fork which proposes to create transactions which are spendable by anyone in the legacy protocol, is thus inherently a technological flaw.

This statement is self contradictory. If old nodes without segwit are incompatible, why are old nodes without segwit still following the Bitcoin blockchain? How are they doing it?

ANYONECANSPEND has existed in Bitcoin since before Segwit was introduced, and I think using it as a way to upgrade signing rules was always at least one of the intentions for ANYONECANSPEND's existence. Old nodes understand ANYONECANSPEND, precisely to maintain compatibility with changes in how transactions are signed. Get a job
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