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21  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 12, 2016, 10:32:52 PM
After we pass the $785 mark on Stamp there's no real resistance until ATH. And you know what happens when we approach ATH, right? Media frenzy, irrational exuberance, and exponential we go.

On most other markets (Kraken, BTC-E, Huobi) that resistance point, which is the mid-June high, has already been broken. The other side of the story says that on Stamp we had a double or even triple top, which should be a bad signal.

But Bitcoin never gives a fuck about TA or double or triple tops. Up we go. I'm buying!

22  Bitcoin / Armory / Re: Armory 0.95.1 is out on: December 09, 2016, 11:29:12 AM
Hi.

Is 0.93 capable to sign off line transaction generated by 0.95 or I need to install new version on my off-line machine?

You are fine. You will need to upgrade when 0.96 comes out if you want sign SW transactions. If you do not create try to spend SW outputs, you won't need to upgrade.

Is there an easy way to avoid to create SW transactions using an updated (+0.13.1) Bitcoin Core once SW is activated?
23  Bitcoin / Armory / Re: PSA You must use 0.95+ in order to use Bitcoin Core 0.13.1+ after Segwit deploys on: November 24, 2016, 09:05:05 AM
So we basically need to update to 0.95+ both in the online and offline computers if we want to avoid compatibility issues, right? Could you please ELI5 the kind of issues we could face if we do not update?
You won't need to update the offline if you are not planning on using segwit.

If you do not update to 0.95+ but are using 0.13.1+ after segwit deploys, armory will simply not work. It will not be able to parse the blocks that 0.13.1 writes to the disk. IIRC it will simply hang at the initialization and look like it is doing something when nothing is really happening.

Furthermore:

Are  there offline bundles for 0.95+? I can only find offline bundles for 0.93.3.

Thanks.
No. There won't be any offline bundles until the release containing segwit (which should be 0.96).

Great. Basically this means that until 0.96 I can keep my current set up: 0.92.1 on the offline computer and 0.94.1 on the online one - right?

Thank you guys for your awesome work. Been using Armory for ages!
24  Bitcoin / Armory / Re: PSA You must use 0.95+ in order to use Bitcoin Core 0.13.1+ after Segwit deploys on: November 23, 2016, 03:38:00 PM
So we basically need to update to 0.95+ both in the online and offline computers if we want to avoid compatibility issues, right? Could you please ELI5 the kind of issues we could face if we do not update?

Furthermore:

Are  there offline bundles for 0.95+? I can only find offline bundles for 0.93.3.

Thanks.
25  Bitcoin / Armory / Re: Any easy way to have armory run over tor? on: September 07, 2016, 04:02:54 PM
Why Tails or Whonix? Running Bitcoin Core (which is needed for Armory) in either Tails or Whonix is a pain in the ass - the blockchain is simply too big.

I'd say the best option is to run a standalone Bitcoin Core (not managed by Armory) over Tor - you just need the Tor Browser Bundle to do that.

In Bitcoin Core: go to Preferences/Network and check "connect through SOCKS5 Proxy". Proxy IP: 127.0.0.1, Port: 9150 - and then have Tor Browser Bundle open together with Bitcoin Core.

After the above, in Armory just check check "enable settings for proxies/Tor" in Privacy Settings.
26  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: 1000 BTC Giveaway - what might be happening. on: August 04, 2016, 06:03:07 PM
How did you link it with inputs.io hack?

The originating address (13tikBdmMVkyuykDVNmv3tTr8YkVN3Xrut) has been linked to TradeFortress multiple times in the past. Search the forum for it.
27  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: 1000 BTC Giveaway - what might be happening. on: August 03, 2016, 04:42:31 PM
I don't get it what's with the 1000 btc give away? are you giving or just suggesting to how get it?

Check this: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1574127.0
28  Economy / Games and rounds / 1000 BTC Giveaway - what might be happening. on: August 03, 2016, 04:38:13 PM
1) The coins come from a 2013 address, not linked at all with Bitfinex. SOURCE
2) That address is very probably linked with the inputs.io scam/hack. SOURCE
3) The person who declared the giveaway will post an address himself and send the money to that address
4) He will then be able to claim he got the money from a giveaway and not from hacking/scamming

EDIT: in case it's not clear I'm speculating on what's happening in this post.
29  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 02, 2016, 11:43:00 PM
How come they lost so much? Aren't they storing cold?

No. Users had multisig addys. They didn't use hot/cold.
can you (or anyone else ) explain the 2/3 keys needed to move the coins?

1 is the client
1 is bitfienx

what's the 3rd???

No. Client held no keys. One is finex. Two is bitgo. The third I think is also finex (offline). Either way is a shitty implementation.
30  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis on: August 02, 2016, 11:02:33 PM
And we're now well below ma200 - $470 and going down like a rock.
31  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis on: August 02, 2016, 10:52:40 PM
Boom. 119,756BTC confirmed hacked: https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/4vupa6/p2shinfo_shows_movement_out_of_multisig_wallets/d61oe33
32  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitfinex discovered a security breach and halted trading! on: August 02, 2016, 10:51:36 PM
A bit less. 119,756 confirmed hacked: https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/4vupa6/p2shinfo_shows_movement_out_of_multisig_wallets/d61oe33
33  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis on: August 02, 2016, 10:46:55 PM
When luc's predictions seem difficult to be true... A hack comes to rescue and there we are - just where he predicted  Grin Grin Grin

The target of ongoing drop is somewhere between weekly ma20 (540) and daily ma200 (490).

I think break of daily ma 200 has low odds to happen (or may happen without closing below it - instant bounce). If it close below d/ma200 - it would be bearish sign. Unless it doesn't - we have a normal correction of 198 - 778 rally.

The fibs are: 418 487 556


34  Bitcoin / Armory / Re: Armory with and without TOR on: August 02, 2016, 01:41:34 PM
BIP 151 is supposed to fix this but until then just use a VPN

Or Tor.
35  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin is now stronger than ever. on: July 22, 2016, 09:58:51 AM
Relevant article on Forbes about Ethereum's bailout:

Quote
A Painful Lesson For The Ethereum Community

After a torrid few weeks arguing about what to do, while the DAO became ever more corrupted due to repeated attempts to recover the money without fixing the code problem that made it impossible to prevent the money being stolen again, the Ethereum community has finally bowed to the inevitable. The DAO code has been rolled back to a point prior to the original attack – a “hard fork”. Ethereum has had its first bailout.
The majority of Ethereum miners have agreed to this. This is hardly surprising, since a lot of them had invested in the DAO and it meant they got their money back. The puritans who objected to the bailout on the grounds that it fatally compromised the “immutability” of blockchain were never going to win. Accepting large losses for the “greater good” is the province of saints, and there aren’t many of those around these days.
Equally unsurprisingly, the tech geeks at Slock.it are now patting themselves on the back for their genius in solving the problem that they caused in the first place by putting live a bad piece of code after inadequate review and testing. “What an accomplishment!” cries Christoph Jentzsch:

Separate from the discussion of whether a hard fork because of the DAO is a good or a bad idea, the very fact, that the Ethereum community (devs, miners, exchanges, researchers, …) has come together, often setting personal opinions aside, and successfully managed a hard fork in this situation is truly remarkable. Given the time constraint, the fact that we were able to come to consensus on this matter is an outstanding accomplishment.

We are able to hard fork!

Reaching consensus is an outstanding accomplishment, when the majority of people involved faced losing a lot of money if they didn’t reach consensus? Really?

It is frankly unbelievable that anyone seriously thought this was a prisoner’s dilemma. The community had nothing to lose by voting to fork, and everything to gain. The remarkable thing is that there do appear to be a number of holdouts: Ethereum guru Vitalik Buterin says that 85% of miners have voted for the fork. The remaining 15% are presumably either saints or had no money involved.

Christoph’s self-congratulation then heads for the bizarre:
Although some do question the analogy “code is law”. I do not. We just found out that we have a supreme court, the community!

Oh dear. Christoph seems unfamiliar with the concept of “tyranny of the majority”, and the reasons why legal systems in civilized countries generally do not allow a majority of self-interested people with their brains in their wallets to amend the constitution to suit themselves. This isn’t a “supreme court”, it’s a cabal.
The fact is that Ethereum has compromised its principles in order to rescue a client. Or, in the language of another world, the Ethereum central bank has directly recapitalized the DAO commercial bank by monetizing its debts. I could wax lyrical about the incestuous relationship of Ethereum and the DAO that made this decision inevitable: DAO investors and Ethereum miners are to a large extent the same people, and even some coders have money in the game. Moral hazard, much?

That said, there really wasn’t any other viable alternative. The DAO was fatally corrupt. There was no way of bringing the attacks and counter-attacks to an end without fixing the code, but a permanent fix meant a hard fork. I suppose the community could just have written off their investment, put it down to experience and moved on, but….come on, this is banking, really. If you know you might get bailed out if you lobby hard enough, what do you do?

So now the question is – how does Ethereum avoid more bailouts in the future? Well, writing good code and testing it properly would help, for starters. After reading a lot of stuff about how no-one could possibly have spotted the code problem, I had a look at the code myself. It’s not my language (I’m an RPG geek), but it’s comprehensible. That code would not have passed any code review I was doing: it did not maintain the integrity of the data it was manipulating. However, I was of course looking at it with the benefit of hindsight, and even the best code reviewers miss things. But Ethereum needs to be FAR more rigorous about coding standards, review and testing if it wants to be taken seriously.

But there is a wider issue here. Has this bailout set a precedent? In an interview with the Wall Street Journal’s Moneybeat, Vitalik Buterin said it hasn’t, because Ethereum is still being developed:
“I totally get both sides,” Vitalik Buterin, the creator of Ethereum, told MoneyBeat. He said the reason he supports the fork is that Ethereum is still in development stages, and isn’t fully formed. As it grows, forks like this will be harder to do. “I don’t think the way things are done right now are precedent setting.”

Buterin has just dug himself a very large hole. The unfinished state of Ethereum should have been made clear to its investors – and those who invested in the DAO – up front. No way is it ethical to persuade people to invest large amounts of money in a product whose key selling point is its immutability, then when it goes wrong claim that it wasn’t ready for release and needs to be changed. It’s perhaps going a bit far to call this a scam, but it is certainly weapons-grade naivety to imagine that code thrown together in a hurry without much in the way of testing should even be put live, let alone sold as “immutable”. Seventeen years of working in financial systems taught me that you just DON’T take such risks with people’s money.

The problem with deciding that Ethereum, and by extension the DAO, are still in development (rollbacks are part of life), is that they are in fact live as far as their users are concerned. Never mind the code, the problem is the data. Data in a live financial system should not be changed. That is true even in existing financial systems. The Ethereum community has agreed to a change that makes their system less trustworthy than a conventional financial system. For a technology that aims to disrupt conventional financial systems, that is not clever.

But even less clever was the decision of Buterin and his fellow geeks (well, if it even was a conscious decision) to test “in live”, taking risks with their user community’s money in order to prove their system. Admittedly it is funny money, but as the funny money is convertible to real money there was always a risk of tangible losses for investors. And as investors didn’t realize they were being used as guinea pigs, bailouts were – and probably still are – inevitable. Refusing to bail them out would be a major breach of faith.

Bailouts aren’t a community decision, whatever Christoph may think. It is the decision of the geeks that matters. This hard fork was only possible because the geeks decided to make it possible. Fundamentally, “to fork or not to fork” is a technical decision. So it is the geeks, not the investing community, that really run this show. But to preserve the illusion that the community is in charge, they have to do what the community wants. And the community wanted a bailout. So they had to provide one, or the game was up.

The “ Vitalik put”, as FT Alphaville’s Matt Klein dubbed it, saved the investors’ bacon this time. Whether or not they would be saved again depends entirely on whether Buterin thinks they should be. And he is hedging his bets. He hasn’t exactly said that this is a one-off, has he?
But people believe what they want to believe, as this comment sequence on the Ethereum Reddit stream shows:

Ethereum bailout
Translation: “Vitalik says there won’t be any more bailouts. And I believe him”. Such touching faith.
Ethereum is only immutable because Buterin says it is. Until he changes his mind. Which he inevitably will, next time there is a major loss. His investors will expect him to, since – y’know – the system is still “in development”. And he will agree, since – y’know – the community is in charge. It’s all smoke and mirrors, really. Now where have we seen this before?
The Ethereum community is painfully learning why, after thousands of years “in development”, banking works the way it does.
36  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin is now stronger than ever. on: July 21, 2016, 11:04:15 AM
Well, by what's happening with Ethereum's price it seems everyone is happy with the outcome, so, go cry somewhere else because nobody cares about your feelings.

1) I'm not crying
2) I still own thousands of ETH bought in the crowdsale (and now also ETHC) so if price goes up I'm happy*
3) Your argument is weak - markets often act irrationally
4) This just destroys ethereum fundamentals, which by the way were the following: "Ethereum is a decentralized platform for applications that run exactly as programmed without any chance of fraud, censorship or third-party interference." (literal quote from Ethereum marketing)

If you do not understand point 4 you are either a newbie, an ignorant or a fool.

Crypto markets are pretty predictable: short and mid term ETH will rally and ETHC will tank (going almost to $0).

Still as a speculative asset/money both ETH and ETHC are extremely flawed because there is no clear supply and they have an unpredictable inflation rate - in the case of ETH Vitalik can basically print more "ether" whenever he wants. ETHC should fix that if they want their coin to retain value.

Finally, I recognize it's cool technology but as a product its not clear what PROBLEM ethereum is trying to solve.

*disclosure: I'm selling 80% of my remaining ETH in the next rally, which is starting now. I will keep the last 20% of my remaining ETH, which is 2% of the total amount I bought in the crowdsale, "just in case". I will keep all my ETHC for the very long term.
37  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis on: July 21, 2016, 10:53:20 AM
Genesis block, Bitcoin: The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks

Block 1920000, Ethereum: Financial Times 20/Jul/2016 Ethereum bailout complete.

 Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
So when does ETH go to $0? Smiley

I don't believe it will go to $0 (but I sold most of mine bought during the crowdsale way before the DAO, during the ramp up from 0.016 to 0.032 - I did a nice 3529% profit in BTC :DD).

Anyhow I'm keeping all my remaining ETHC for the long run, and probably I will sell all my ETH during the next rally. I strongly believe that in the long term (but not short or even mid term) Etherclassic will be much more valuable than ETH - fundamentals are just stronger, even if in general it's not clear what problem is Ethereum trying to solve.
38  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin is now stronger than ever. on: July 21, 2016, 10:48:20 AM
I will just leave this here:

Genesis block, Bitcoin: The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks

Block 1920000, Ethereum: Financial Times 20/Jul/2016 Ethereum bailout complete.

You don't know what a bailout is, or the author of the article doesn't know what a bailout is.

Bailout definition :

Quote
A bailout is a situation in which a business, individual or government gives money to a failing business in order to prevent the consequences that arise from a business's downfall

The devs, who became filthy rich thanks to their crypto token, feared that a third party who controlled more than 10% of all ether in circulation could tank the price and destroy (or affect) their wealth. To avoid this they bailed out themselves by stealing money from this party who executed a contract and returning this money to themselves.



No new money was given, a solution was presented and approved to solve a bug in the system that allowed the displacement of a shitload of money.

By your logic it is ok to do it in bitcoin but it is not ok to do it in ethereum.


No "new money" was given? Do you think that the money used to bailout the banks is "new money"? No, it's wealth coming from someone's pocket - most of the times consumers. Didn't you know?

Do you code? I bet no. There was no fucking bug in the system, the protocol worked fine and ethereum had no bug whatsoever. The contract was executed, full stop - but there was no bug in it. Even if you might argue that the contract said something that the creator of the contract didn't meant to say (e.g.: sorry, I signed that I was selling you my house but I didnt mean it), in any case is a problem with an APPLICATION, there was no fucking problem with Ethereum itself.

The equivalent in bitcoin would have been to hard fork to return the $400M stolen from MtGox - which, btw, were more than 10% of the total btc in circulation. That's the only fair comparison.

Nobody in Bitcoin land whould have seriously thought about hard forking because of MtGox. That's because Bitcoin is REAL MONEY built to LAST on SOLID FUNDAMENTALS, not a scam built but some butthurt devs that want to get extremely rich in the sort term and no other clear goal in mind.
39  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis on: July 21, 2016, 10:39:06 AM
bailout coin ftw!
ETH did shot not only in their leg, but in Bitcoin leg too.

Yes and no. It is true that regulators *might* try to force BTC devs to hard fork pointing out the ETH precedent. But still they won't succeed because it is very clear for the BTC ecosystem what are BTC's promises:

  • fungibility
  • censorship resistance
  • permissionless innovation
  • decentralization
  • no third-party can touch your money if you keep control of your private keys

The BTC hard fork pushed by the regulators wouldn't be adopted because these promises are clear for the vast majority of the ecosystem - especially now that those who don't understand these promises already failed with the Bitcoin Classic shitcoin and their stupid big blocks crusade.

Ethereum its always been a mess. Devs in general and Vitalik specifically keep saying ether its not money, he says it is just "a token to pay for computing cycles" - which is absurd because a token used to pay for something is actually money. Furthermore, they obviously use it as money because the ethereum foundation funds their operations with it and everybody is speculating with it. The "its not money" thing is just a way to a) try to confuse regulators (which will NOT be confused) and b) be able to change the supply whenever Vitalik wants - in this way he is able to decide when he should "print" more ethereum, when he should stop, etc... Because its not money, you know?

I own thousands of ethers, but still I'm glad they are fucking up - I saw this coming from day one.
40  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis on: July 21, 2016, 10:32:01 AM
Genesis block, Bitcoin: The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks

Block 1920000, Ethereum: Financial Times 20/Jul/2016 Ethereum bailout complete.

 Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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