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461  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buying - market reacting very maturely to the malleability issue on: February 12, 2014, 12:26:31 PM
The fact you low-activity-noobs spend your day trying to spread FUD in this forum is just a strong signal that this is a good time to buy. Probably soon we will see an even better chance.

As soon as you low-activity-noobs start posting "to the moon" and that kind of euphoria-driven posts, then it will be the time to sell.

That strategy never failed, did you know?

Every now and then I click un-ignore just to immediately regret it. Won't fall for it this time though.

Hahaha, exactly the same here. I sometimes see those clusters of hidden comments (like the ones above, to which Rampion responded), and think "why did I put user XYZ on ignore again...?", click unhide, and go like "jup. that's why."


@Rampion

Good to see you in here again. And good to see you acting as a voice of reason, as always.

I will say one thing that is maybe not completely aligned to your thinking: we are still in a (pretty well established by now) bear market. If you buy in now, you're probably not going to regret it in a year from now, but alternatively, one can also bet on price still going lower.

Note, I'm not saying you shouldn't buy -- of course, everyone's buying (or trading) strategy is different. What I'm saying is, it's probably not a bad time to buy now *but* you might have to sit through another month or so of downward movement, so newcomers should be aware of that.


Well, I think that *probably* we will see lower prices soon. I bought at $550ish on Stamp, but exactly 50% of my fresh fiat is waiting for lower prices.

Quote from: Blitz
On Rampion: I do remember him laughing at me and going "this time is different" back in the quadruple digits … Nobody's perfect. Cheesy

Well, all your "good by triple digits", "no more triple digits this year" posts were perfect to made fun of when we reached the quadruple digits Smiley

Anyhow I guess you will agree that "that time was different", as post-April 10th we didn't enter a loooooong slide down for many months as it happened in 2011. In fact the very bottom ($50) was only 2 days after the peak ($266), so I'd say that it was indeed very different.

What never changes: bitcoin is prone to boom and bust cycles. Buy during panic sells, sell during euphoria - and enjoy the ride.
462  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What you need to know about Transaction mutability ... on: February 12, 2014, 10:28:38 AM
I am a normal user, affected by this issue and lost money, now all bitcoin transactions should be stopped to prevent this happening, or the dead of bitcoin.

How did you lose money? Please elaborate.
463  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buying - market reacting very maturely to the malleability issue on: February 12, 2014, 09:57:08 AM
The fact you low-activity-noobs spend your day trying to spread FUD in this forum is just a strong signal that this is a good time to buy. Probably soon we will see an even better chance.

As soon as you low-activity-noobs start posting "to the moon" and that kind of euphoria-driven posts, then it will be the time to sell.

That strategy never failed, did you know?
464  Economy / Exchanges / Re: [ANN] KRAKEN.COM - Exchange Now Open with USD, EUR, BTC, LTC, XRP, NMC on: February 12, 2014, 09:47:58 AM
It would be cool to see a chart of the daily Kraken volume since its launch. Anybody has this data?
465  Economy / Speculation / Buying - market reacting very maturely to the malleability issue on: February 12, 2014, 09:40:40 AM
The market is reacting VERY maturely to a "major" issue: despite of devs trying to downplay the transaction malleability thing, the hard cold fact is that this limitation is being exploited right now to launch a DoS attack to the network which is slowing down (if not outright halting) the bitcoin economy. I've been sending coins to quite a few services for testing purposes (Bitstamp, Dgex, etc.) and all of my transfers were "mutated" and thus the coins were sent to the correct destination but they weren't credited to the corresponding accounts. Most transactions are delayed and big players such as Bitstamp, Gox or Coinbase are having problems tracking correctly the transactions.

Still BTC is trading well above $600 everywhere but Gox. This is a sign of strength in my book. Be prepared to buy, guys, because the network will come out MUCH stronger after this issue is solved.

(cross-posted in the Wall Observer).
466  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What you need to know about Transaction mutability ... on: February 12, 2014, 09:36:30 AM
This post should be stickied, at least until the transaction malleability issue is solved.

Good job D&T, the clearest and most complete explanation of the issue I've read so far.
467  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 12, 2014, 09:34:00 AM
The market is reacting VERY maturely to a "major" issue: despite of devs trying to underestimate the transaction malleability thing, the hard cold fact is that this "limitation" is being exploited right now to launch a DoS attack to the network which is slowing down (if not outright halting) the bitcoin economy. I've been sending coins to quite a few services for testing purposes (Bitstamp, Dgex, etc.) and all of my transfer were "mutated" and thus the coins were sent to the correct destination but they weren't credited to the corresponding accounts. Most transactions are delayed and big players such as Bitstamp, Gox or Coinbase are having problems tracking correctly the transactions.

Still BTC is trading well above $600 everywhere but Gox. This is a sign of strength in my book. Be prepared to buy, guys, because the network will come out MUCH stronger after this issue is solved.
468  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Stats on malled transactions on: February 12, 2014, 08:02:39 AM
The number of "double spends" (most of which I believe is mutated transactions) for the last 24 hours:
2014-02-11 16960
(will edit OP to reflect this)

It is slightly lower than I anticipated, as it was already above 16k 9 hours before the CET day ended (24 hours). Maybe the attack subsided, or someone is having a break.

this is probably related to the current malleability attack on the bitcoin network (25% of transactions were affected today). it has nothing to do with your theft.

In addition to the above jgarzik is quoted on reddit to have said that one home PC could have done this. One home PC can screw up 25% of transactions!

Hold on. Are there actually any reports of something being screwed, apart from couple of exchanges who stopped withdrawals as a precaution measure?

Define "screwed up". If your definition of "screwed up" includes a slowed down bitcoin economy because most (if not all) services are having problems with delayed transactions that are not credited to customer's accounts then YES, a single PC can "screw up" 25% of transactions and dramatically slow down the economy.
469  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: QT strange DOUBLE SPEND (malleable) on: February 11, 2014, 10:52:26 PM
All this is true.. confirmed tx is what matters, but this attack is very annoying. It happened to me again today, but this time the clone tx confirmed first and I had to delete mine with pywallet. I have no problem with that but the regular user probably would.

The QT client (and all clients) should be patched to delete or "hide" duplicates.  That would make the "spam attacks" a non-issue (other than you can't assume tx id won't change).
Agreed. I have similar issues poping up with my QT

Everybody is. Not only a visual annoyance but also a potencial pain in the ass if you do a lot of transactions per day, some of your transactions might break because of unconfirmed change.
470  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 11, 2014, 03:39:33 PM
I'm getting most of my transactions "malleated" right now, so what? The original transactions never confirm, but the "malleated" ones do and they are registered correctly by Bitcoin-QT. You just see all your transactions twice, one is confirmed and the other will never be, so what? Balance is displayed correctly by QT because the standard implementation handles correctly malleated transactions.

What could be the motivations of whoever is doing this?  

To exploit an MtGOX-like bug on any exchange or system that may happen to have such a bug?

There's no "exploit" unless you use a custom software that uses "transaction ID's" as the only element to check transaction, and then you let someone to "social engineer" you by making you believe they never received the money you sent them.

If you use the reference implementation (bitcoind/Bitcoin-QT) your wallet will show BOTH transactions (the "malleated" and the original one) and will display the CORRECT balance, so there is really no way for you to be social engineered. If you use a custom implementation that only cares about txid, then probably the "malleated" transaction won't show up in your client/accounting system, leaving the door open to a social engineering attack.

TL;DR: whoever is trying to "malleate" as many transactions as possible is doing it either for shit and giggles, either for trying to spread some panic among novices and thus induce panic selling.

471  Economy / Exchanges / Re: MtGox withdrawal delays [Gathering] on: February 11, 2014, 03:25:04 PM
QUESTION: You think it is possible that MTGOX actually could have fucked up their custom implementation and therefore be at fault for the issues concerning withdrawals?

MY ANSWER: I believe so. Their track record speaks for itself especially now that they have tried to shift the blame to the core developers for their issues.

Both Gavin, Jeff, and Greg will all tell you MTGOX is broken, not Bitcoin.

Its pretty clear. Most of my transactions are being "malleated" since yesterday... So what?

I'm using Bitcoin-QT (reference implementation), and thus my wallet balance is displayed correctly. Sure, its a visual annoyance to see all my transactions twice on the UI, with all the unconfirmed ones piling up on the top of the window... But again... So what? Balance is correct, the money is transferred to whom it was supposed to, and at the same speed it would without some joker trying to "malleate" all transactions.

So, reference implementation users are NOT affected. Its easy to check, just broadcast a few transactions and see.
472  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 11, 2014, 03:20:35 PM
so a question arises: what if mtgox was right, and bitcoin foundation was wrong saying that bitcoin protocol is ok?

I give this scenario a 1:10000 odds at best. But if it is true, then prepare for a shitstorm.

Guys. Just think. I'm getting most of my transactions "malleated" right now, so what? The original transactions never confirm, but the "malleated" ones do and they are registered correctly by Bitcoin-QT. You just see all your transactions twice, one is confirmed and the other will never be, so what? Balance is displayed correctly by QT because the standard implementation handles correctly malleated transactions.

Its just a visual annoyance, as now unconfirmed/doubled transaction pile up on the UI, but apart from that visual annoyance nothing is happening.

Try yourself. Send a couple of transactions and you will see.
473  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 11, 2014, 12:01:06 PM
Looks like btc-e problems are solved already.
Maybe bitstamp is doing a wallet update too, just to make sure the double spend doesnt happen at their side?

And cryptsy is just being cryptsy.

Well, every single transaction I've broadcasted today has been "mutated". Its pretty harmless for regular users, but its pretty annoying to have so many unconfirmed transactions on the client... I guess the annoyance is even bigger for the exchanges who broadcast thousands of transactions.
474  Bitcoin / Armory / Re: How to change path to both .armory and .bitcoin (36GB needed for both atm) on: February 11, 2014, 11:59:35 AM
anyone about the double storing of the blockchain?

Armory needs to have its own database based on the blockchain, so there's no currently no way for you to do not have the blockchain "stored twice".
475  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Somebody is having fun with transaction malleability on: February 11, 2014, 11:57:35 AM
Well, the "transaction malleability spam bot" is having a lot of fun, every single transaction I've broadcasted today has been "mutated".

Pretty useless for the attacker but also pretty annoying for the users to have the client filled by all those unconfirmed transactions... And I can bet that some novice might get scared and think they are spending their coins twice.
476  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Stats on malled transactions on: February 11, 2014, 11:54:14 AM
Yes, those are very probably "mutated" transactions - I'm getting those "double spend attempts" on every and each transactions I've been transmitting since yesterday.

Pretty useless stuff for the attacker, but I can bet that some novice got scared by seeing two transactions instead of one.

477  Economy / Exchanges / Re: MtGox withdrawal delays [Gathering] on: February 11, 2014, 10:45:15 AM
If I had imported a private key on Gox previously, is that by definition an "internal wallet"?

I think yes, AFAIK you are just swiping the imported address to a Gox internal address
478  Economy / Exchanges / Re: MtGox withdrawal delays [Gathering] on: February 11, 2014, 10:39:26 AM
you suck very hard at Bitcoin risk management.

Or risk management in general. That's why I am so poor and miserable.

Its obvious that everybody who invested in BTC in 2012 is doing pretty well. Honestly, you don't need to be a mastah tradah to do that, being in the "right place at the right moment" plus a little bit of intuition will just do the trick.

But I wonder how you didn't see this coming. Its clear since June/July that Gox was going to fuck up really hard.

BTW, did Sturle honor his offer to buy your emptygoxBTC at 90%?
479  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Stealth address with SX (anonymous payments) on: February 11, 2014, 10:37:05 AM

btw first stealth tx: https://blockchain.info/tx/63e75e43de21b73d7eb0220ce44dcfa5fc7717a8decebb254b31ef13047fa518

Quote
Unable to decode input address

Epic!

Sweet. Historic. Go Amir, Go!!
480  Economy / Exchanges / Re: MtGox withdrawal delays [Gathering] on: February 11, 2014, 09:27:13 AM
Rpietila, I agree what Gox is doing is criminal and Sturle's shilling is highly suspicious, but let me tell you that you suck very hard at Bitcoin risk management.

First you bring an unsecured laptop without password and with thousands of bitcoins on it to a "BTC millionaires gathering" that had been viciously advertised all over the Internet. Then you store hundreds of BTC in a place which has been giving clear insolvency signals since April.

Serious Risto, Wtf?
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