No problem, just send me over those discredited currencies and I will send you back the strong roubles you like so much.
Currency markets are prone to panic attacks amid sharp geopolitical changes. Right now, the exchange rate of the ruble against the dollar and the euro has returned to the price levels "before the operation", but even more indicators are not the exchange rate on the currency exchange, but the exchange rate on Aliexpress - how much the ruble is worth in China's internal opinion. It reached 150 rubles per dollar, and right now the dollar costs 86 rubles. |
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What are your thoughts regarding this matter?
I think this is a China's policy of "zero tolerance" for covid-19, brought to the point of absurdity, and maybe a little more trade war with the United States. Video of fishing with a drone in Shanghai so as not to starve to death. |
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Well, then for "purely technical reasons" no financial institution is going to "technically be able to buy" Russian debt. It is as simple as that, most funds and institutions and certainly the largest ones have mandates that will not allow them to invest in bond from a country that has defaulted. And make no mistake, Russia is not the one that is able to decide if it has defaulted, that task goes to the S&Ps and Moodys of this world (rating agencies).
You are right, regardless of whether the default is technical or real, declaring a default will close the market for foreign borrowing in dollars and euros for Russia. It has already been closed by sanctions, without any default. Fair point. A default however does has long term consequences, not only a temporary withdrawal from a payments system or the temporary retention of funds, it is something that rises interest rates in the long term and cannot be "lifted" as easily as a sanction. I would say that business are going to become difficult in the future. For disclosure, I think that Russia does have a good income stream from exports so it will modulate the effect of a default. One of the big mistakes of the West was the imposition of sanctions without a clear mechanism for when and how they would be lifted. Therefore, Russia considers the sanctions to be long-term for an indefinite time, or, more simply, "eternal", and the freezing of its reserves in dollars and euros is a default by the West. Russia does not need foreign investment in discredited currencies. |
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Soldiers of the "Somali" battalion from Donbass hoisted their flag on the high-rise of Mariupol. Mariupol is taken. One small problem: Mapиyпoль пoд нaшим кoнтpoлeм, ocтaлocь зaчиcтить тoлькo зaвoд «Aзoвcтaль» Mariupol is under our control, it remains to clean up only the Azovstal plant So... not really "taken"? The city is completely under the control of the forces of Russia and Donbass. The confirmed losses of Ukrainian forces in Mariupol already exceed the official losses of Ukraine in this operation, announced recently by Zelensky, and 1,462 Marines surrendered. Judging by the intercepted radio communications, the inhabitants of the bunker near Azovstal after yesterday's bombardment are in a state close to panic. There will be no deblockade and they know it. No one will climb into the dungeon to clean it up, the surviving inhabitants of the bunker will be destroyed one way or another. But those who surrender today before 13:00 will have some chance to save their lives by showing that their Nazi ideals are not worth dying for. This is a fiasco. |
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30 biolabs developing military geese and pigeon corps.
As far as I understand, the briefing of the Russian Ministry of Defense dated April 14, 2022, based on the results of the analysis of documents related to the US military biological activities on the territory of Ukraine, did not cause much resonance in the Western media. Meanwhile, there are a lot of interesting things there, for example, that US scientists have been testing dangerous biological drugs on patients in the Kharkov psychiatric hospital for three years. Also, in laboratories in Ukraine, under the control of US scientists, the possibility of spreading cholera, typhoid and hepatitis through water was studied. Video of the briefing, full text of the briefing, published documents. Latest new...
Soldiers of the "Somali" battalion from Donbass hoisted their flag on the high-rise of Mariupol. Mariupol is taken. More than 2000 Nazis of Azov continue to be in the bunker near Azovstal, yesterday about 40 FAB-500 bombs were dropped on the plant, today until 13:00 the ceasefire is in place - Russia gives the Nazis the last chance to get out of the bunker alive (then they will be tried in the Donbass and there is no moratorium on the death penalty). Good deal, must be accepted. |
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Well, then for "purely technical reasons" no financial institution is going to "technically be able to buy" Russian debt. It is as simple as that, most funds and institutions and certainly the largest ones have mandates that will not allow them to invest in bond from a country that has defaulted. And make no mistake, Russia is not the one that is able to decide if it has defaulted, that task goes to the S&Ps and Moodys of this world (rating agencies).
You are right, regardless of whether the default is technical or real, declaring a default will close the market for foreign borrowing in dollars and euros for Russia. It has already been closed by sanctions, without any default. |
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Or Russian propaganda is lying and they haven't really destroyed that many - if any - TB2s, as evidenced by Russian forces constantly being embarrassed by said drones.
It's good that Lyusya Arestovich, the mouthpiece of Ukrainian propaganda, is a crystal-clearly honest person.  Speaking of which, I take it you haven't got the talking points on cruiser's sinking yet? Fire and detonation? Entire crew evacuated? Totally not Ukrainian missiles? Instead Ukrainians randomly attacked some barns in Kursk oblast? Anything?
Breathe deeply, you are excited. |
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Putin "response" is not related to frozen reserves. Putin doesn't need reasons for "shitty response", he can fabricate them himself.
Thinking different means big flaw in one's logic. Just ask yourself: what was first, his attack or the sanctions? And if so, what was the reason for his shitty attack?!
Do not be fooled, if you look at the essence of things, or at least a little deeper than the surface, then at least 80% of the responsibility for the armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine lies with the United States. The United States is the main beneficiary of this conflict, it weakens Russia in one fell swoop, shifts the attention of Americans from internal problems to external ones and, with the imposed sanctions policy, actually destroys a strong competitor in the face of the European Union. In Ukraine, the puppet government after the coup on the Maidan, and deliberately cultivate anti-Russian sentiment in Ukraine, the United States began back in 2004 with the coming to power of Yushchenko. A similar US policy is being pursued in Taiwan towards China. Taiwan doesn't want the Chinese government to invade them like they did with Hong Kong. The policy isn't as aggressive with Taiwan as the U.S. was with Ukraine. This is obvious because of geographical reasons, Ukraine's ambition to join NATO and such, but the U.S. interest in Taiwan lies within their microchip production. I don't think China would allow puppet government installation in Taiwan but that wouldn't be needed anyways, Taiwan is anti-CCP. The situation between China and Taiwan is very different from the situation between Russia and Ukraine. But the US policy is similar as a blueprint. The United States is generally not distinguished by diversity in its foreign policy. |
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To be fair, it wasn't Russia who announced the default, and Russia in fact went angry about being classified this way and threatened with legal action. And, even though I'm Ukrainian, I must admit that Russia makes a good point that the issue is not with being unable to pay (not having the money), but with artificial limitations set by the sanctions (not having USD). But what's good is that the very fact of classifying Russia as being under selective default can cause panic selling and withdrawals of investors from the Russian market.
Regardless of your background, this is no reason to wishful thinking. I explain, and it can be checked. For the calculation of external obligations, so as not to violate contractual relations, are currently open. The only caveat is that they are open in currencies in which contractual obligations are carried out. Those. if Russia was credited in euros - here is an IBAN account for you in euros, if you were credited in dollars - here is an IBAN account for you to pay in dollars. The remaining accounts are blocked, and any receipts are blocked in accordance with the sanctions. So, Russia, instead of properly fulfilling its obligations and paying off the debt in euros, with a payment in euros, decided to turn on the "God mode" again and tell everyone that "and now we will pay our debts in rubles, because we are so decided!". Further explain what happened? I will explain - yes, the rubles, which no one needed, went to other accounts, where they were blocked. To leave then the rubles left, but they did not pay off the debt ... And this is logical. As a result, Western creditors have voiced that what is happening is, in fact, a default. What is wrong here?  Let's put it simply - you came to the supermarket, picked up groceries, and at the checkout you pay for groceries with banknotes that you issued in your family, well, just for fun. Tell me - what will happen to you at the exit after an attempt to close the arisen financial obligations to the supermarket? You are mistaken. In March, Russia spent several tranches in dollars and euros to service its external debt, under a special license from the US Treasury, and these payments were successfully completed. Then the US Treasury revoked the license, and another payment dated April 4 was blocked by the bank. After that, Russia paid in rubles to a special C-account intended for the conversion of funds. This default, even if declared, is purely technical. |
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be.interested to know your theories since you seem to be one of the very rare people here who have the analytical abilities to know and/or deduce anything about the goings-on on the ground.
Thanks, although I don't think this is the right topic for an exchange of pleasantries. Despite the abundance of fakes in propaganda messages (or maybe even thanks to them - because they affect the morale of soldiers), Ukraine deserves to have its own wall of fame in this story. I respect military prowess, even if it is the prowess of the enemy. If a soldier fights bravely and remains faithful to his oath even in the face of an obviously stronger enemy, this is worthy of a man, regardless of the outcome of the battle. |
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The fact that Ukraine had 36 Bayraktars TB2, as well as a new batch of these Turkish drones, was confirmed by Reuters and CNN.
Oryx reports 34 (18+16) but let's not split hairs and assume they did have 36. How come Russia claims to have destroyed 40+ by now? And they're still flying. Perhaps because mini-Bayraktars, not only TB2, also got into the statistics. No, they clearly stated TB2: B тeчeниe дня, дoлoжил гeнepaл-мaйop, poccийcкиe вoeнныe yничтoжили eщe 65 yкpaинcкиx вoeнныx oбъeктoв, a тaкжe cбили тpи бecпилoтникa, в тoм чиcлe Bayraktar TB2 тypeцкoгo пpoизвoдcтвa.
This was well after the "35" had been "destroyed", and there are few more announcements like that. There are statements on the net that Ukraine previously purchased not 18, but 50 Bairaktars TV2, but I am not sure about the reliability of the data source. Also, the head of Zelensky’s office, Andriy Yermak, in his interview on December 24, 2021, stated that Ukraine had established independent production of Bayraktarov. However, I am also not sure about the reliability of this data source. |
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The fact that Ukraine had 36 Bayraktars TB2, as well as a new batch of these Turkish drones, was confirmed by Reuters and CNN.
Oryx reports 34 (18+16) but let's not split hairs and assume they did have 36. How come Russia claims to have destroyed 40+ by now? And they're still flying. Perhaps because mini-Bayraktars, not only TB2, also got into the statistics. |
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1) The 13 Border Guides of Snake Island: These brave soldiers refused to surrender to the Russian Navy. They preferred to die as heroes than to surrender. When the Russian Navy onboard the the Moskva told these Ukrainian guides to surrender, their response was ' go f*** yourself'. The Moskva opened fire on them and they all died heroically. They have been identified as one the catalysts of the Ukrainian military gallantry.
It is curious that you started the walk of fame with a fake. On February 28, the Navy of the Armed Forces of Ukraine admitted that all 82 defenders of Snake Island had surrendered. At the end of March, they were exchanged during one of the first prisoner exchanges to take place, and some of them were even solemnly presented with their well-deserved "posthumous" awards personally. By the way, according to article 117 of the Geneva Convention "No one repatriated can be used in active military service". |
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is it Tchaikovsky's fault that his works are removed from the repertoire of European orchestras?
Is this a widespread thing, or is it just that Cardiff orchestra? I know they decided to stop playing the 1812 Overture, but AFAIK that's more because it features Russians firing cannons, so might be considered to be in poor taste. Greece banned the broadcast of the Swan Lake ballet, and Sweden banned the performance of a local folk group in a concert in support of Ukraine, because the instruments include a balalaika. The books of Tolstoy and Dostoevsky are not yet being burned in the squares, and that is nice. Anyone who supports Putin's terrorist regime should be investigated to see if they provide material support to terrorists.
Supporting war crimes and ethnic cleansing is not exactly kosher in Germany, so they might get arrested.
German citizens can protest as long as they don't break any laws in Germany. I am not sure if support for the Soviet Union or Communism is
allowed in Germany. In the former Communist Eastern European countries, they would arrest your ass in a New York minute.
Does it make sense morally to support Russia's terrorist activities in Ukraine? Of course not.
In Latvia, I would also face up to five years in prison for openly supporting the operation in Ukraine. Convincing victory of democracy over freedom of speech, it's good that I'm not in Latvia. |
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Damn, that's rough, be.open can get 15 years for spreading fakes about the glorious Russian military.
One regularly praises me, the other cares about me - in order to avoid unnecessary disappointment for the participants in this discussion, I must make a public statement that I have a woman and I'm straight, sorry. |
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I may be wrong, but on this particular issue, be.open's message contradicts the statements of the Russian side, which denies any involvement in this missile attack. Perhaps my memory has betrayed me with someone, only a little more than a month has passed since then, but it seems that it was a very long time ago. By the way, here is the answer of the Russian fighters to the video that you recently posted, with Adriana Kurilets in the title role. |
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Speaking of which, apparently Ukrainians have a "base" and/or "firing position" in every fucking building in Mariupol, Russians bombed all of them, and still can't take the city. Is there perhaps a bit of a problem with this "bases and firing positions" nonsense?
Do not worry about Mariupol, I think the captured marines of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will make a feasible contribution to the restoration of the city. I'm more worried about Kramatorsk and Slavyansk, judging by the concentration of troops on both sides, the battle for Donbass will be epic and very soon. |
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1. A coup is the seizure of power by unconstitutional means.
2. On February 22, 2014, the Verkhovna Rada adopted a resolution on "self-elimination from the exercise of constitutional powers" of the current President of Ukraine Yanukovych. "Self-elimination of the president from the exercise of constitutional powers" is not indicated in the list of grounds for early termination of the powers of the head of state. Yanukovych's state of health was quite normal, the impeachment procedure was not carried out, that is, formally and in fact, a coup took place in Ukraine.
You can call it a color revolution according to the training manual of Bernard-Henri Levy, but the essence of this will not change - a coup is a coup.
1. Excellent! We remember the keyword - NOT in a CONSTITUTIONAL way. Or simply - in violation of local law. Yes ? By the way - why did you decide to modestly miss one very important point in the discussion of this issue - the constitutional system of Ukraine? This is, after all, a parliamentary-presidential one. Those. the main branch of power is PARLIAMENT? All right? That's right, because it's written in the Constitution of Ukraine! 2. And now we come to your amazing set of "facts" Let's simplify and ask a simple question - why are you lying? Are you deliberately lying? I'm ready to prove it here, and any participant can check the evidence! So, what was the essence of the "coup" process - After almost a week, the President of the Country did not appear at his workplace, did not get in touch, did not give any orders in any other way), the Verkhovna Rada voted for a resolution in which it was pointed out the need to temporarily assign the duties of the head of state to the chairman of the Verkhovna Rada (Alexander Turchynov. - The Verkhovna Rada has the right to such decisions) in connection with the self-elimination of Yanukovych. No one removed Yanukovych from power or overthrew him. In the resolution of the Verkhovna Rada (dated February 22, 2014.), it is only about the fact that his powers are assigned to Turchynov in connection with the self-elimination of Yanukovych. The reason for the adoption of such a resolution was the absence of the president at the workplace, the lack of communication with him and the aggression that had begun in Crimea. The next day, February 23, 2014, information became available that it was Yanukovych, violating the Constitution of Ukraine, who called, on the alleged behalf of Ukraine, to send Russian troops to forcefully suppress popular rallies requiring compliance with the law. Viktor Yanukovych fled from Ukraine to Russia on the night of February 23, 2014 (before that, he had been hiding since mid-February, did not fulfill his obligations, did not get in touch, did not appear at the workplace). According to the investigation, immediately after arriving in the Russian Federation, Yanukovych entered into an agreement with the Russian authorities to obtain preferences and further residence in Russia. The former president is charged with "encroachment on the territorial integrity and inviolability of Ukraine", "high treason" and "waging an aggressive war." The investigation believes that the Kremlin used Yanukovych as the alleged acting head of state to "legitimize the presence of Russian troops in Ukraine and the occupation of part of Ukrainian territory." Notice how different your version and mine are. Yours - built on propaganda, mine - on historical facts? I would strongly recommend that you stop lying, besides, it is so primitive - all the facts can now be checked very simply Breathe deeply, you are excited. This is your country, your history and you have to live with it. I think there is nothing wrong with making a coup - if the attempt was successful. This is the case when "winners are not judged." The revolution of 1917 in Russia was also a coup, it was called a revolution later. Yanukovych could not hold on to power, so he is just a loser. Why does Ukraine need a loser president? Even a comedian is better than a loser. |
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The problem is they target civilian targets like residential buildings, hospitals, schools.
This is indeed a big problem, but it is predominantly in the minds of the soldiers of the Ukrainian army, who often use schools, hospitals and the upper floors of residential buildings as their bases and firing positions. It would be better if they did it silently for the image of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but there are quite a lot of such videos on the net. As soon as field intelligence finds something similar, a missile attack on the position of the Armed Forces of Ukraine immediately follows. Your video on the second link shows an alleged missile attack on a high-rise building in Kyiv and its consequences. It was the success of the Ukrainian missile defense at the very beginning of the operation, a Russian missile aimed at a military facility was shot down and its fragments fell into a residential building. If a Russian rocket hit the house, the house would not have a hole in the side, but a large pile of rubble. The third video shows a missile attack on the building of the Kharkiv city administration, where at that moment a gathering of nationalists was taking place. These data were obtained and confirmed by Russian intelligence from several sources. The Russian special services have long hands, I recommend that the militants of the national battalions do not gather in groups of more than 20 people and do not stay in one place for a long time. The range of the Kalibr missile is more than 2500 km, the range of the X-101 missile is more than 5500 km, the range of the Iskander missile is up to 500 km, the high-precision missile can be struck from the sea, from the air or from the ground at any point in Ukraine at any time. |
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I don't know if I had covid-19 because I never did a PCR test. In the fall of 2020, I had some malaise, maybe it was covid-19 in a very mild form, but this is not certain. In February 2022 I did an antibody test and it was negative. I have not been vaccinated against covid-19, although I had and still have such an opportunity. After weighing the risks, I decided that it was not necessary for me. Early in the pandemic, I signed up as a volunteer to keep my freedom of movement during the lockdown and continued to live a normal life without much restrictions, sometimes wearing a mask when I entered the store. I did not use sanitizers so as not to spoil the skin on my hands, I just washed my hands with soap every time I returned home (however, I did this before the pandemic). I have reassessed my attitude towards the covid-19 vaccine every time a new strain of the virus appeared, and each time I was inclined to believe that for me personally the risks of the vaccine outweigh the benefits. I am not campaigning for or against anyone, this is just my personal experience, which is of value mainly only to me. Many in my close circle have been ill with covid-19, some are quite severe and they had to go to the hospital. Fortunately, none of them died.
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