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2181  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 06, 2019, 09:37:01 PM

Hmm. And I was just about to ask about how PoK seemed to be a non-event.

It was quiet. Too quiet.
2182  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 06, 2019, 09:24:16 PM
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I was an SSD fan ...
You can thank me later Wink

? ? ?

What was your involvement?

It's not that opaque. After all, I've been accused of poor opsec. Smiley

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I always saw storage as the main performance bottleneck in any computer system.

Yup. Disk latencies have up till recently hidden universes of poor design in other layers of the storage stack, OSs, middleware, and applications themselves. With the widespread availability of NAND's much lower latencies, a more efficient protocol than ATA or SCSI -- namely NVMe (though SCSI's SOP/PQI would have been in my opinion a superior technology ((though it's hard to fight Intel))* ) -- is necessary to unlock it's native performance.

*::hrumph!:: what's another borg-ian windmill against which to tilt?

However, NVMe itself is really not efficient enough for NAND. SW stack latencies are still greater than the underlying media's access times. And with a new generation of Storage Class Memory -- another order of magnitude faster than NAND -- just around the corner, this problem will only become proportionally larger.

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I figured when cheap low-power-consumption high-capacity dependable solid state storage was achieved, we'd see a whole new world of portable devices.

Even further. As recognition of the inefficiencies that have allowed to fester for a half-century become more widespread, attention will turn to the entire storage stack, the POSIX interface, and applications, ushering in a complete rearchitecting of canonical computer system architecture.
2183  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 06, 2019, 07:12:07 PM
I am just challenging your assertion regarding apple products being subpar.

I guess I'm living in the past a bit. Since Win7, Microsoft has regressed so far it's lost its advantage.

Apple products are still overpriced though.

I'd challenge that assertion as well -- at least as a blanket statement -- but we're treading darned near religious territory anyhoo.

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I was an SSD fan ...

You can thank me later Wink

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Remember stuffing DIMMs in a PCI (pre-PCIe) card for a faster boot?

Yes. Also AT bus cards. Though they were DIPs at the time.

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When SSDs started to go mainstream a year or 2 later, someone on the OCZ SSD forum asked what the difference was between the regular Vertex (1st-gen) and the Mac version. Why did the Mac version cost $150 more?  One of the OCZ engineers replied that they had identical hardware and firmware. The only difference was the label.

That's not an Apple tax. That's a stupidity tax, imposed by OCZ and their downline supply chain.

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I'm guessing you meant NVMe above?

Yes just a typo

I figured. Just busting your chops a bit.

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- Non Volatile Memory Express

You can thank me later Wink

2184  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: The 94% Con by Jon Montroll on: January 06, 2019, 06:36:14 PM
I would prefer him having to work on restitution with a payback plan.

I reiterate:

To add insult to injury, Mr Montroll has made no effort to make restitution to his victims. He has continued to act in an opaque and cavalier manner, being non-responsive to any inquiries from the wronged parties. He has refused even to acknowledge the amounts stolen from the victims. This displays a contempt of those upon whom he preyed.

He definitely made a lot of wrong decisions. Biggest one in my eyes was handling the incident the way he did. Which included the silence. Biggest one for him would be the formal stupid moves that mean 30 years in jail. Would he have come clear, probably nothing would have happened at all besides running an unregistered exchanges or somewhat.

Regardless of that, the letter makes not much sense in a constructive way. To your knowledge he didn't try to handle things, ok, but you saying he shouldn't be able to try something now, for just some days, does sound like revenge only.

If he's gone everything will be gone ultimately, most probably. While even this Shavers only received less than 2 years. Somewhat crazy.

But I can understand your feelings, however, I learned emotions are never a good indicator for actions in crypto.

Montroll did not 'make wrong decisions'. He defrauded those who put trust in him. Then stonewalled any and all inquiry in an attempt to cover his tracks.

Even if he were to remain a free man -- even if he were to accept responsibility for his actions (he won't) and direct all his labors (really?) until death toward restitution (as if) -- you'll never get more than a penny on the dollar from him. He is utterly incapable of such. Your willingness to turn the other (ass) cheek (as he bends you over one more time) is a fool's forebearance.

At some point you need to accept that you've been royally screwed, have no hope of recouping your losses even with the hand of the state enforcing it, and move on to making him pay for his misdeeds. If not as punishment, at least as a signal to others who might be contemplating a similar life of crime.

edit:

As stated above: Mr Montroll should be sentenced in line with any other common grifter who preys upon innocent bystanders. Period.

Yes, Shavers got off lightly. I see no benefit in perpetuating such a miscarriage of justice.

Incidentally, I'm pretty emotion-free in this statement. I wrote that loss off a long time ago; it no longer stings. Doesn't mean I don't desire justice.
2185  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 06, 2019, 05:43:15 PM
Me too, how about we tolerate r0achie's posts once a month

Let's make it a Thursday.

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Edit: only joking

NotSureIfSerious.png
2186  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 06, 2019, 05:41:53 PM
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As time goes by, hope diminishes.
xclnt
Good jbreher keeps a stack of real BTC’s as well,

Indeed.

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he’s seeing big Blocks aren’t a solution ....

To the contrary. Big blocks ARE the solution. However, I fear that through echo chamber propaganda, all y'all segwitters might be throwing away humanity's one chance to throw off the yoke of our unjustly enriched fiat oppressors.
2187  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 06, 2019, 05:03:55 PM
Apple products are expensive. You can tell that just by looking at the high margins they have, which they do have thanks to economies of scale that go directly to their profits account instead of a lower price for the customer. Other than that, Apple products are excellent.

The base iPad is actually pretty competitively priced for the hardware

As was a high-spec laptop, at least back when I jumped from Win to OS X. Similarly configured offerings from Dell, Lenovo, HP, etc. were all more expensive than Apple's high end at the time. I've not done the analysis since, but I'd be unsurprised to find that top of the line are at least similarly priced even today.
2188  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: The 94% Con by Jon Montroll on: January 06, 2019, 04:52:33 PM
I would prefer him having to work on restitution with a payback plan.

I reiterate:

To add insult to injury, Mr Montroll has made no effort to make restitution to his victims. He has continued to act in an opaque and cavalier manner, being non-responsive to any inquiries from the wronged parties. He has refused even to acknowledge the amounts stolen from the victims. This displays a contempt of those upon whom he preyed.
2189  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] Bitcoin Cash - Pro on-chain scaling - Cheaper fees on: January 06, 2019, 06:40:52 AM
* Also who in their right mind considers at over 80% loss in price per bitcoin  , [just fine].  

Frankly, I do.

Let's be real. BTC has lost 80% of value because FOMO got ahead of itself and we had a spectacular blowoff top. If you'd have polled even the Bitcoin faithful three years ago as to whether BTC would be comfortably above $3500 at the start of 2019, few would have put money on that notion.

A successive series of blowoff tops may be normal for price discovery for such a radically new form of asset.

So an 80% price drop is noise. It's the market dominance drop that signals danger.
2190  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 06, 2019, 03:06:18 AM
And as a single anecdotal data point, I steadfastly resisted iOS, waiting for years for Android to solve their audio latency issues. I finally gave up. Maybe today, you can run music apps such as soft synths, DAWs, drum machines, etc. on Android. Back when I made the switch, the unbounded variable latency made it impossible on Android, no matter the manufacturer.

For all I know, you still can't, at least with the stock OS. It simply wasn't designed with realtime in mind. I think there was some experimental kernel that supposedly took care of that, but I never checked it out.

However, I use my phone mostly for... uh, calls and some texts.

Dude... An iPhone running $100 worth of apps from Korg (for example) is synth sound generation capability we couldn't have dreamed of at any price even in dedicated HW little more than a decade ago. Add a couple free metronome and tuner apps, serious memo recorder for capturing ideas, guitar amp sims (external converter desired - impedance mismatch between pickups and mic input make for lousy signal), drum machines, MIDI remappers, BandHelper, ... it just goes on and on.

The miracle of personal computers is that they do more than Fortran calculations - they've become incredible multipurpose extensions of our personal capabilities. And the miracle of smartphones is that they do more than make phone calls - they're general purpose computers with a full suite of IO that's with you at all times.

Hmm... this branch took kind of a weird turn, considering all I really wanted to say was 'I can understand that choice of platform is a singular thing, but to call Apple products flawed incapable garbage is nonsense'. Smiley
2191  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 06, 2019, 02:54:13 AM
@jbreher, are you talking BTC or the bit'alts ? to hit that 100K ?

My hope is that it would be SV. As time goes by, hope diminishes. I will continue to think big blocks is the proper scaling solution regardless of the outcome.

If SV or ABC hit anything approaching 100k, I win extra-bigly. If BTC approaches 100K, I win something less bigly. Either way, future's so bright, I gotta wear shades.
2192  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 06, 2019, 01:23:46 AM
Just curious... What you guys would say is the probability YOU give to Bitcoin to be over $10.000 at any moment during the next 4 years? honestly.

4 years? Maybe 80-85%

Good honest opinion. It is also in line with my thinking.

I understand some people say 100% (or over, lol)  as in it is the most probable outcome and they would be surprised if it wouldn't happen... but that's not how probabilities work. Otherwise someone would just sell all he owns and even what doesn't and go all in... which is a very risk thing to do unless it was really 100% probability/guarantee... which obviously is not nor can be.

Bitcoin has a favorable enough positive asymmetric probability without needing to exaggerate the percentages.

I guess you also would give a probability of around 10-25% to $100K in the next 4/5 years?

There's another halving in that timeframe. I'd say more like 75-80%. Not to say that it would stay there, but I think the next blowoff top will likely be well over $100K.

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And maybe another 10-20% of never (in a reasonable timeframe ie 10 years) recovering its last ATH?

Maybe 5-10%

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Which is still a fucking good asymmetric probability....

::wink::
2193  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] Bitcoin Cash - Pro on-chain scaling - Cheaper fees on: January 06, 2019, 01:18:49 AM
roger ver has even sold most of the BCash

I would like to see evidence of that assertion.

If anything I think Ver sold his BTC for BCH, as did CSW sell whatever BTC he had to buy SV.

At least you properly identified your statement as speculative.

Any defense by bitcoin_diamond on their rather stupid statement?
2194  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] Bitcoin Cash - Pro on-chain scaling - Cheaper fees on: January 06, 2019, 01:16:24 AM
It's amusing that grin is going to out-cash BCH, using real science instead of dumb parameter fiddling. grin can scale costlessly, and it's also reasonably private like physical cash.

Best wishes for grin. Seriously.

Of course, it is not yet a Bitcoin reality.

In the meanwhile 'dumb parameter fiddling' -- as you so eloquently put it -- would have been the smart choice.
2195  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 06, 2019, 12:00:07 AM
Try tracking a 50-channel DAW session at 24-bit/96kHz though top-flight conversion (e.g., Apogee), with all the plugins needed for a good mix, on your Androne, and let me know how it goes.

why would you bother doing that on a phone. i would think at that point you would have easy access to dedicated equipment.

Took the words out of my mouth. Any real computing, I do on a real Win7 Laptop (HP Probook450 with i7-6500U, 16gbDDR3, 500GB M-2 MVMe boot SSD, additional 1tb sata storage SSD,etc). Runs circles around any silly little phone.
And, I add, recording a 50-track session with several plugins inserted isn't even a task I would trust to a laptop, unless it was just a fun thing. 50 channels of Apogee and you don't have a dedicated desktop machine? Come on.

By the way, do you need all those plugins just to track? How about the latency?

Answered upthread. Yes, I have HW more suited to the task. But it's not in my pocket 'round the clock.

The point is, a recent iPhone -- maligned in the post to which I was replying as 'Apple, therefore inferior' -- is up to the task.

If your laptop can't handle a 50-track session, that's an awfully limited laptop by today's standards. The laptop I recently demoted after 6 (yes six) years of nonstop service as my do-everything machine had no problem with handling such a load. With negligible latency.
2196  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 05, 2019, 10:57:51 PM
Just curious... What you guys would say is the probability YOU give to Bitcoin to be over $10.000 at any moment during the next 4 years? honestly.

4 years? Maybe 80-85%
2197  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 05, 2019, 10:57:07 PM
Try tracking a 50-channel DAW session at 24-bit/96kHz though top-flight conversion (e.g., Apogee), with all the plugins needed for a good mix, on your Androne, and let me know how it goes.

why would you bother doing that on a phone. i would think at that point you would have easy access to dedicated equipment.

Took the words out of my mouth. Any real computing, I do on a real Win7 Laptop (HP Probook450 with i7-6500U, 16gbDDR3, 500GB M-2 MVMe boot SSD, additional 1tb sata storage SSD,etc). Runs circles around any silly little phone.

Agreed. If nothing else, the tiny touchscreen makes a limiting interface for serious work. But the point is that the HW and OS can handle it. Mostly, I am just challenging your assertion regarding apple products being subpar.

Plus, a CME XKey and Korg Module running on the thing you have with you always anyhow makes for a great little always-at-hand musical instrument.

Oh - I'm guessing you meant NVMe above?

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Sorry if  the price follows me south again.

Let's hope not. If it tanks again, I'm gonna start to wonder...
2198  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 05, 2019, 10:44:51 PM
Try tracking a 50-channel DAW session at 24-bit/96kHz though top-flight conversion (e.g., Apogee), with all the plugins needed for a good mix, on your Androne, and let me know how it goes.

why would you bother doing that on a phone. i would think at that point you would have easy access to dedicated equipment.

I do have such equipment. The point is that you can on iOS, and expect good results.

The outward challenge was a quip about sub-par crappy products whose only merit was the marketing behind them. In my experience, apple products tend to reside at the upper echelon of performance, and of generally higher build quality than most of their competition. I won't go into the 'elegance' aspect, as that is really a subjective matter. But to malign apple products in broad strokes as subpar quality is just silly.

Besides, having essentially a fully equipped studio in your pocket at all times is a useful tool.

And as a single anecdotal data point, I steadfastly resisted iOS, waiting for years for Android to solve their audio latency issues. I finally gave up. Maybe today, you can run music apps such as soft synths, DAWs, drum machines, etc. on Android. Back when I made the switch, the unbounded variable latency made it impossible on Android, no matter the manufacturer. The iOS users have enjoyed rock-solid reliability for such tasks for years.
2199  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 04, 2019, 11:53:07 PM
I'm flying back down to Mexico next week.

What are you trying to do, tank Bitcoin down to $1500?

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But why would any otherwise halfway intelligent adult buy any crappy, overpriced low-quality Apple product?

I'd rather spend my money on materials, workmanship, research and development than on advertising.

Perhaps you have been buying counterfeits. Try tracking a 50-channel DAW session at 24-bit/96kHz though top-flight conversion (e.g., Apogee), with all the plugins needed for a good mix, on your Androne, and let me know how it goes.
2200  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 04, 2019, 11:24:15 PM
Apparently Wex.nz was run by USAISC (United States Army Intelligence and Security Command) and registered with fake contact details, so Domain Name Commission (DNC) took it down.

Provocative. Source?
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