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2241  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 11, 2014, 10:06:03 PM
Good thing I waited for 1 day MACD as a sell signal.
2242  Economy / Speculation / Re: Tax Season and Bitcoin Theory on: March 11, 2014, 10:01:48 PM
Let's say that bitcoin traders made $1 billion this year. On average, they have to pay 30% in taxes. That means they withdraw $300 million worth of bitcoins to pay their taxes. That is a $300 million (in btc) dump. This may explain some of the recent action, and why Bitstamp might be overloaded with withdrawals at the moment.
2243  Economy / Speculation / Re: Finra Alert says bitcoin more than a bit risky on: March 11, 2014, 09:58:39 PM
Goodbye Wall Street/Institutional Money..
Meanwhile...

New York to have regulatory framework in place and accept bitcoin exchanges no later than June 2014...

http://www.dfs.ny.gov/about/po_vc_03112014.htm
2244  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 10, 2014, 10:55:52 PM
I'm starting to think this isn't a repeat of 2013 and we are going for a triple bottom.

This is like nothing we have seen before.

triple bottom seems unlikely.

400 feels pretty far down now not like when we were all freaking out about mtgox possible insolvency, or the chain bitcoin ban days after the bubble had official popped.

pretty sure it goes up from here.

did you hear ebay will soon have a BTC/PPUSD conversion machine?   Wink


I'm not saying 400 will be reached but maybe just another drop in general (maybe only 500-550) followed by several weeks of sideways trading. The point is we might not be breaking out of the downtrend right now as everyone is predicting solely based on 2013 chart. Also, I'm not sure about this - it's just a possibility.

I only read the charts to make predictions; not the news. TA tells you the truth about what is actually going on as opposed to news which can lead to hype and misinterpretation.

<----- Bullish   Cool

Upcoming 3d MACD crossover might take us to 900$

Edit: Also BTC-E above Stamp for the first time since days.
The 3d is nowhere near crossing right now and it would take at least another week. Don't preempt the indicators and talk about "upcoming crosses" - there is no such thing. Check out this "upcoming cross":

2245  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: March 10, 2014, 10:42:07 PM
Article on Risto's castle:

http://www.bizforum.org/Journal/www_journalJVP016.htm
2246  Economy / Speculation / Re: bitcoin in 2040 on: March 10, 2014, 10:32:59 PM
One google dollars.
2247  Economy / Speculation / Re: I'm All In - Sold My House! on: March 10, 2014, 10:31:14 PM
When I saw this thread a dark realization came upon me, we had not yet reached a sustained reversal.
2248  Economy / Speculation / Re: Memespeculation on: March 10, 2014, 10:30:01 PM
Wanna bet ?
We talk about $ losing purchase power.
3 times more $ since 200x in circulation  !
No happy end this time.
What if... what if... bitcoin isn't the solution for the devaluing dollar, and people pick something else.
2249  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin looking very weak at mid $600 on: March 10, 2014, 09:33:01 PM
Seems like the little surge earlier today was from the noveau riche TA 101A society.

It occurred as 4Hr MACD and PSAR were switching to long signal. Bitcoin rose on low volume, with huge dumps up near the top consisting of much of the big green 15 minute bar that appears to drive the price up. Since then nothing. Any volume has been downwards volume.

I had lower 600's, higher 500's as consolidation/accumulation zone but seeing the complete lack of interest at the mid $600's has me thinking my money would be better placed in lower 500's.

trend does not look good


How do people draw these types of charts? What calculations do you use for the placement of each line, and to get the slope?
2250  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 10, 2014, 09:24:49 PM
I'm starting to think this isn't a repeat of 2013 and we are going for a triple bottom.
2251  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 10, 2014, 11:51:11 AM
This isn't going up until that whale comes back with his walls. Remember July and August? Every drop was magically stopped when that 1,000 wall started popping up - that was the signal to buy.
2252  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: March 10, 2014, 11:32:02 AM
I've noticed that there has not been any high volume altcoin action in many months now, except doge and aur (which was very brief). This concerns me because I think it implies that the altcoin promoters and players have lost faith in bitcoin. One could wonder what kind of inside information the altcoin bigshots (like Fontas, who randomly disappeared to thin air) might have about Bitcoin. Now rather than having their btc tied up in altcoin plays or on altcoin exchanges, the players and promoters have their btc on the ready for sale for usd, or on a btc/usd exchange. Altcoin was a major source of bitcoin hoarding/distraction (much like gambling/satoshidice) so if these coins are not being used for altcoin trading then they are increasing the supply of bitcoins.
2253  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: March 10, 2014, 11:24:55 AM
I've found only one way to profitably use altcoins: quick daytrading of a trending altcoin with high volume. Find an uptrending altcoin and locate the 'trendline' or 'trendcurve', or use EMAs. Bid against these levels so when there is a spike down, you get filled, and then you are instantly up on the inevitable rebound. You can either sell immediately with your rebound profit, or if you are bold, you can let the trend play out and sell at a different target or sell when the trend is breaking.
2254  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 10, 2014, 10:19:33 AM
Any reason for this dump or just mindless dumping because everyone else is?
2K BTC is nothing. That's not a "dump". The real problem is that there is nobody buying.
2255  Economy / Speculation / Re: URGENT NEWS - Warren Buffet declares Bitcoin as a BAD INVESTMENT on: March 10, 2014, 07:43:33 AM
During Buffet's long lifetime, he has probably witnessed the other versions of Edison's commodity currency rise up and then fail and that's why he thinks Bitcoin will fall too.
2256  Economy / Speculation / Re: I'm All In - Sold My House! on: March 10, 2014, 07:39:20 AM
I don't think this is a good diversification strategy. Bitcoin is still so young that you shouldn't need to invest a fortune to get rich if it realizes its potential.
2257  Economy / Speculation / Re: Here comes dat fear on: March 09, 2014, 09:17:30 PM
Your daily fear:

Why are you using the gox chart, Mr. FUDster?
Price history. Also, this entire thread is sarcasm. Jesus.
2258  Economy / Speculation / Re: Here comes dat fear on: March 09, 2014, 11:48:52 AM
Your daily fear:

2259  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 09, 2014, 11:13:39 AM
A scary mtgox bitstamp parallel

2260  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitstamp is the Next Gox and why Bitcoin will be at $300 soon on: March 09, 2014, 08:52:15 AM
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