But to satisfy your ego, sure, I'll wear the scammer tag if I'm not a famous musician by the end of the year.
OK, let's start defining "famous" and "greatest musician". "Greatest" isn't a title which can be self-awarded.
I don't want to set you up for failure, so I don't think records sold or top 100 lists are a fair benchmark. Even if you were picked up by a record company today, there's simply not enough time for your work to be recorded, engineered, produced, distributed and promoted before the end of the year.
Live shows is a "maybe", but I don't think you should be able to count performing for free at your local college bar. I'd be willing to count paid gigs where you can provide independent proof that your show has been promoted by someone else, though - so the ads promoting your gig plus a youtube of the gig itself showing the size of the audience is evidence I'd be willing to accept.
dank, what are your own suggestions for benchmarks for "famous"?
I'd like to ask other posters to keep financial bets out of this so that dank doesn't back out simply because he doesn't have the funds available to meet a bet. Let's not set him up to become another MNW if he doesn't achieve his goal. We already know that he doesn't have unlimited funds at his disposal.
The benchmarks you choose need to be objective. Obviously
our opinion of your music and your "greatness" doesn't count and neither does yours.
Hell, it can even be number of downloads from a free source, hits on your site, radio plays. Whatever.
If it's totally free then he can just download stuff himself any number of times. There's a site which goon musicians use where there are a number of free downloads but after that people pay for the music (the name will come to me). If dank's as great as he claims, people will be willing to pay for his music even if it's only a token amount.