Probably Silk Road.

Or because it was an 18 year old kid at a local pawn shop.

I paid 2% over spot. 

Good thing I bought a little at $1529   

1)  I'm saying the following:  Cypherdoc is claiming/predicting two general things, that 1) there will be an inverse correlation between Bitcoin and gold, specifically that Bitcoin will go up and gold will go down and that 2) this will demonstrated within a time frame of "many months to years."  However, since it has only been two months, there simply is not enough data available to validate his predictions to this point.  

So, as a hypothetical example, let's say Cyperdoc has correctly predicted the direction that the gold and/or Bitcoin markets would go every day with 75% accuracy for two months straight.  He could point and say, "Look!  I've been right 75% of the time, so it appears I know what I'm talking about, and thus my predictions for the future are likely valid and yadda yadda."  And, it is true that this would make most anyone (myself included) admire his predictive ability.  But, this should be viewed with caution because now he has introduced a new time-frame that does not correspond to his initial predictive time-frame, and the two cannot be reasonably compared.  I misspoke when I said "can't possibly assume...[a positive correlation]," but rather I should have said "can only assume a weak correlation."

Basically, the point boils down to something ridiculously simple that everyone already knows -- that we don't have data from the future.  Now, if Cypherdoc gave a specific time-frame for his prediction of 6-12 months (again, for example), then we'd have something to work with.  But "many months to years" covers one hell of a lot of ground.  If he has been correct 75% of the time for 2 months, then it would be reasonable to assume that his overarching prediction will be at least somewhat on target if the predictive window is to last for only 6-12 months.  But, again, "many months to years" covers a lot of ground.  If we expand this predictive window to 20 years, then being 75% correct for 2 months doesn't really mean much of anything.  This is why I still maintain his thread title is dubious even with the "many months to years" timeline because it removes perspective from the things he is currently saying.  Essentially, he's saying that this inverse correlation is going to manifest itself "sometime," but when and to what degree, nobody knows.

2-4)  OK

5)  Depends on which is more immediately profitable to him, important to him, etc....his subscription service or his investments.

1.)  Ok.  If his time frame is "many months to years," then we can't possibly assume that anything that has happened in the past 2 months since this thread's creation is positive correlated with his prediction.

2.)  Fair enough.  As I said, I only read a few pages of this thread.  I understand this makes for uninformed assumptions, but he killed all of my motivation to go back and read it all.  He shouldn't feel bad about this, though.  I'm cocky and stubborn myself so I understand where he's coming from.

3.)  Fair enough.  Time will tell.  I do genuinely hope that he is correct for his own sake and for his subscribers'.

4.)  Rocketing?  That's going overboard.  Rocketing since when?  Gold 'rocketed' 2% overnight.  It's also 'rocketed' ~800% in the last decade.  Besides, if he's speaking from a long-term perspective, that perspective would also indicate that the US dollar has been falling like a brick.  Rocketing in this case is from a short-term perspective.

5.)  True, it doesn't make him wrong.  But I would suggest that it is more likely to make him wrong than if he were not a stakeholder.

As gold shoots to 1575!!   

I can do it too, see?

I don't dislike you, and I've read many other intelligent posts of yours.

But, you rubbed me the wrong way with your arrogant attitude.  I would much prefer to learn about precious metals from someone who is not arrogant as they will be less likely to concede to confirmation bias and would likely remain more objective in their analysis of the data.

1)  Your thread title is dubious as it does not specify a time-frame and this makes it all the more convenient for you to pick data corresponding to specific time-frames to make it appear as though you know what you're talking about.

2)  You fail to recognize (or at least you underestimate) the interdependence of the Eurozone markets and the American markets in a global economy.  Well, at least that's what I see from the 5-6 pages of this thread that I read.

3)  You haven't even been correct.  Gold and Bitcoin have been performing similarly since the date of this thread's creation.

4)  Gold has, for the past 6,000 years, been THE source of financial refuge for virtually every civilization.  When currencies fail, gold is the next best thing.  Miscreanity hit the nail on the head when he said BTC isn't ready yet.  BTC is holding at $5 purely due to speculation; you know this, I know this.  YOU are speculating, and with respect to gold, you are doing so in stark contrast to history.

5)  You are a stakeholder in that which you advocate.  You put your money in BTC, and it would be just dandy for you if everyone cashed out of PMs and invested in BTC.  AND you have a subscription service!!!  Of COURSE you are going to maintain that you are correct because who the hell wants to buy a subscription service from someone that isn't correct most/all of the time?

6)  This one's a question.  Ask yourself this seriously; it's rhetorical.  By any chance, does the fact that you actually have subscribers give you the impression that you are more correct?

I've been reading his posts, not yours. 

I think Miscreanity should start a subscription service.

Thanks!

As it turns out, I probably got the contact out initially while I was flushing it the first day.  However, at the eye clinic they said they found an eyelash that got stuck way back behind my eye, and so they removed it.  Apparently I managed to substitute the contact for an eyelash and that's what kept irritating my eye.  So, it wasn't exactly phantom contact sensation...it was an eyelash that I thought was my contact.

..."so nobody can spent it without your permission."

^^ Just something I caught that you might want to fix.
"
My honest critique:  I think this flyer would be suitable for middle-school level, but it's going to be a lot for 4th graders.  Skimming through this, these are some words for which I think a nice explanation (perhaps using easy examples?) would be helpful for the kids:

1)  "pre-defined" mathematical rules (possible examples of a mathematical rule might be lining up from tallest to shortest)
2)  "'open source software"  (example:  you share your work in front of the class so you can get feedback on it)
3)  "true global democratic majority"  (Example:  voting in class for an activity by raising their hand)
4)  "encrypt"  (Example:  secret codes...maybe pig latin vs. English)
5)  "client"  (something or someone that works for someone else...the Bitcoin program works for them)

No, acupuncture!   

And my eye is fixed!! 

Jesus Christ, what a relief.

...How old are these kids?

My will is stone.

I have an appointment tomorrow with the eye clinic.  Hopefully they'll be able to take care of it.

Lol this actually crossed my mind before you mentioned it.

I'm considering it, but, as I said, the timing is absolutely horrible.  I graduated from grad school a week ago and so my health insurance coverage was terminated on Monday at 12:01 a.m. because Monday was the beginning of the summer semester.  I can't afford a trip to the ER yet because realistically it's still going to be another 1-2 months before I can get settled into a career position.  So, I'm in a bit of a bind at the moment.