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2741  Economy / Speculation / Re: Price Drop 6/7/13 on: June 07, 2013, 04:33:12 PM
It seems like we see a lot of sudden crashes like this recently, and then periods of slow growth, only to lose it in 12 hours or so. We don't seem to see the opposite any more, by which I mean buying that causes the price to soar, like we used to. What is going on?

We aren't in the midst of a hype cycle.

make it go back up, please.

I can't
2742  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 07, 2013, 04:32:39 PM
Falling knives...no match for me.  How do you recifiy a $116.xx position, when the markets crashing and with no fiat left?  

BTC -> Ripple -> Sell BTC for XRP -> Sell XRP for USD.  Voila...you have fiat for the panic sell and you lost merely crumbs in the process.  At current prices, it's looking like the move of the century.

 Grin

I just had to share that because that was absolutely insane what I did...and it totally worked.   Cool



And what USD price did you end up with for your BTC?
2743  Economy / Economics / Re: What I think Bitcoin's MAIN problem is, and how to fix it on: June 07, 2013, 04:29:01 PM
Then you don't understand the hardware industry. ---- Glad to hear your explanation. But please remember, in the design, mining is a zero-sum game. So low-level ASICs have no way out.

Ordinary people are not supposed to mine.  Mining is a professional industry. and as such requires special skills to do efficiently.  Do you refuse to use a credit card because VISA won't let you process transactions yourself?  Well with bitcoin you always have the option, but if you don't have the skills you will be wasting time and money ---- VISA is not a mining agency. It's just a card organization. And you can not process the transactions yourself. VISA is a centralize system but Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer system. They are not the same. My point is it is hard for people to experience the whole Bitcoin process. and it will be harder for people to acquire bitcoin by fiat money as the gov will close the doors.

And my point is bitcoin isn't about mining.   Mining is just something some people do to keep bitcoin running.  But you seem to believe Bitcoin is pointless unless everybody can mine.
2744  Economy / Speculation / Re: Price Drop 6/7/13 on: June 07, 2013, 04:26:13 PM
It seems like we see a lot of sudden crashes like this recently, and then periods of slow growth, only to lose it in 12 hours or so. We don't seem to see the opposite any more, by which I mean buying that causes the price to soar, like we used to. What is going on?

We aren't in the midst of a hype cycle.
2745  Economy / Speculation / Re: Price Drop 6/7/13 on: June 07, 2013, 04:21:54 PM
Any reason / news story for the drop this morning from $118 to $113?

People were getting ready for the drop from $113 to $107.5.
2746  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 07, 2013, 04:18:22 PM
Slightly oversold:


waiting for Heavily oversold  Cool

+1
2747  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 07, 2013, 04:14:06 PM
Sure, but we'll see it hit 108 first.

Quote.
Just 'cause.  Wink

Like I said... we'll see it hit 108 before we see it hit 140 Tongue
2748  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 07, 2013, 12:13:33 PM
Any predictions for price movement over the weekend?

/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/
2749  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Address with Avalon bulk chip payments now tops $8 million... on: June 07, 2013, 12:12:10 PM
Not for nothing, but i was always under the impression that their units were shipped and in the wild. At least looking at their website, I saw no indication that they were't.

So it's true then, that ASCIMiner essentially controls ALL of the ASIC mining power at this point?

I would say yes... Except for the few BFL jallys in the wild. It is also possible there are other ASIC companies that just aren't public. No one can know for sure.

And paying out 1-3% weekly dividends on their stock Wink.
2750  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin at $112! on: June 07, 2013, 12:05:35 PM
I guess those gigantic hashing machines operate all at once.   Too much competition.  But somehow or other someone will go in to support the prices.  Bitcoin price drop will affect the VCs and angel capitals that have invested in Bitcoin projects and they have invested hundreds of millions.

And all of those millions were not converted to BTC.  They are being spent on programmers, servers, and advertising.  The VC's are investing USD now to earn BTC in the future.  If Bitcoin price falls, they just earn more BTC when the future comes.
2751  Economy / Economics / Re: what if Mr. China sells its U$ T-bills ? on: June 07, 2013, 12:02:56 PM

the "nuclear option" :

Mr. China hits the sell button on his US treasury bills

just to find out they are worth zilch  Grin Grin Grin

America has assets. Namely California.

It's funny to think about California as an asset when you consider how far in the hole their state government is.
2752  Economy / Speculation / Re: The Great Misconception on: June 07, 2013, 11:39:55 AM
It's a common sense that empolyees never questioned the profit of the company even their salary is only 1% of the CEO's bonus

Same for money, there is no inflation since those banks pocketed all the newly printed money, for every one dollar of inflation, they pocketed 99, that's the reason even after 4x increase of money supply, there is barely some inflation. Anyway, no one cares as long as their milk price do not rise Wink

http://www.agweb.com/article/usda_predicts_higher_milk_prices_for_2013/

A 3% increase? When there is 400% increase in money supply  Cool

Stocks, mortgages, and bonds.

Exactly, these are mostly bank's holdings. Print money to support the price of my own assets, is there any business better than that?

I agree.  And don't forget: If we make a really bad bet, we just have to make sure everybody goes down with us and then the government will bail us out.
2753  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 07, 2013, 11:37:12 AM
Btw , the hasrate has dropped by 14k today  Huh
http://blockchain.info/charts/hash-rate
That's just variance.
Let me spread some panic ...
I love those bear gifs when the price drops Smiley
7150 coins till 110;)

You'll have to do better than that if you want to cause panic around here.

Being not a bull , and not a bear, I'm just a little padawan in the arts of manipulation Smiley)))
But I will do my learning.



Hint: Unless you have massive amounts of funds at your disposal, you will not manipulate price.  You will never do it by posting on this forum (unless you hugely overexpose yourself using leverage and then brag about it Tongue).
2754  Economy / Speculation / Re: Breakout soon? on: June 07, 2013, 11:35:45 AM
my analist predict today under 110$

Your analist..... I'm not sure I want to know what their job entails

The analist... lol. He might be pulling his predictions out of THERE.

I bloody hope so. I am mostly bought in at $128-129 a coin and my hand is like the iron grip of Soviet Russia. $112 is a good price for me to increase my holdings. Lower than $100 will cause panic.

I wouldn't rate it as likely, but if I thought I would panic under $100, I would reconsider my positioning.
2755  Economy / Speculation / Re: One day, holding one bitcoin will make you a millionaire. on: June 07, 2013, 11:34:19 AM
If it is made a federal felony or results in time at Gitmo

If it ever comes to that, then I'll immediately delete my BTC wallet file and forever deny ever owning any BitCoins. Not worth the trouble.

If it ever comes to that, I'll immediately buy a plane ticket to a different country and forever deny being from the USA.  Freedom isn't free, but nobody is willing to pay the price anymore.
2756  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 07, 2013, 11:32:24 AM
Btw , the hasrate has dropped by 14k today  Huh

http://blockchain.info/charts/hash-rate

That's just variance.



Let me spread some panic ...
I love those bear gifs when the price drops Smiley


7150 coins till 110;)

You'll have to do better than that if you want to cause panic around here.
2757  Economy / Speculation / Re: The Great Misconception on: June 07, 2013, 11:31:33 AM
It's a common sense that empolyees never questioned the profit of the company even their salary is only 1% of the CEO's bonus

Same for money, there is no inflation since those banks pocketed all the newly printed money, for every one dollar of inflation, they pocketed 99, that's the reason even after 4x increase of money supply, there is barely some inflation. Anyway, no one cares as long as their milk price do not rise Wink

http://www.agweb.com/article/usda_predicts_higher_milk_prices_for_2013/

A 3% increase? When there is 400% increase in money supply  Cool

Stocks, mortgages, and bonds.
2758  Economy / Speculation / Re: Long term down trend? on: June 07, 2013, 11:27:15 AM


Seems to correlate well with Google Trends as well. (link)

Roll Eyes
2759  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 07, 2013, 11:24:40 AM
Btw , the hasrate has dropped by 14k today  Huh

http://blockchain.info/charts/hash-rate

That is within normal variance.

Yeah,  I saw that it can drop sharp but to me as a non miner (anymore) was and still is a puzzle.
How do 10% of the people decide to power off their rigs same day  Huh Huh

They don't.  What I'm saying is that the data can show that dip even if mining power was constant or even increasing.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variance
2760  Economy / Speculation / Re: The Great Misconception on: June 07, 2013, 11:20:46 AM
It's a common sense that empolyees never questioned the profit of the company even their salary is only 1% of the CEO's bonus

Same for money, there is no inflation since those banks pocketed all the newly printed money, for every one dollar of inflation, they pocketed 99, that's the reason even after 4x increase of money supply, there is barely some inflation. Anyway, no one cares as long as their milk price do not rise Wink

http://www.agweb.com/article/usda_predicts_higher_milk_prices_for_2013/
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