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301  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][CLAM] CLAMs, Proof-Of-Chain, Proof-Of-Working-Stake, a.k.a. "Clamcoin" on: April 13, 2018, 05:04:48 AM
The price is supported by an influx of noobs. Once that well dries up, Clams will essentially be worthless.

No different than any other coin, including BTC.


BTC isn't proof of stake for one. Since its PoW, BTC doesn't offer anything for "free."

Nevertheless if new investment doesn't come in, the price will plummet, essentially making it worthless. That core similarity seems more important to me than whether you can use it to buy socks, but what do I know.

Quote
Also, I've never seen this error message before when trying to load any sort of website. Care to explain what it means? I'm genuinely curious

No idea. I'm not a wevdev and I don't think I've ever visited the web site either.
302  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][CLAM] CLAMs, Proof-Of-Chain, Proof-Of-Working-Stake, a.k.a. "Clamcoin" on: April 13, 2018, 02:24:54 AM
The price is supported by an influx of noobs. Once that well dries up, Clams will essentially be worthless.

No different than any other coin, including BTC.
303  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: April 13, 2018, 02:24:06 AM
I briefly saw a headline the other day saying there were now 4 versions of Monero after the fork, can someone explain wtf happened?

Are any of these forks viable, have wallets, and devs, and miners, on exchanges etc

 

Latest scheduled Monero hard fork changed POW algorithm to break hidden ASICs, ASIC companies and people who paid $12000 for a now useless ASIC forked the chain (4 times).

Only 1 appears to be traded on an exchange.

To be clear there was only one chain fork. There are several different projects all claiming to be the 'official' project representing the old chain.
304  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [AEON] Aeon Speculation on: April 13, 2018, 12:31:51 AM
Over the past week, the complexity has shown mixed dynamics. At beginning of the week was a significant reduction. Is it was mass return to Monero?

https://bitinfocharts.com/comparison/monero-difficulty.html#6m

For a while it become more profitable than ETH and ZEC, which brought over some miners. It seems to have reach a somewhat steady state for now at about 450 MH.
305  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero - A secure, private, untraceable cryptocurrency on: April 10, 2018, 02:34:43 AM
Can someone please explain this article to me? It says there are 4 different Moneros now. Which one does the original dev team support?

https://news.bitcoin.com/privacy-coin-xmr-splits-into-four-different-monero-protocols/

There Can Be Only One.  XMR is still XMR.  Anything else is a fraud or a joke at this point.

Original members of the team are still working on Monero?

I'm not aware of any Monero team members who have left to work on any of these forks.

Since 2014 some team members have left for various reasons and some have joined but I think that was not what you were asking.
306  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] AEON [2017-10-07: update to 0.9.14.0] on: April 10, 2018, 02:27:55 AM
@smooth. How much is the projected reduction in hashpower once we do our own hard fork to kill ASICs mining? Monero lost 2/3.

Also, remember last year's surprising sudden increase in Aeon's hash power? It was not botnets, it was Bitmain testing their miners! Why didn't we foresee it?? hehe

Monero has lost about 80-85%. I don't know how much AEON will lose. Obviously it is a much smaller coin so less attractive to very large miners (who would just drive up the difficulty against themself). Still likely some of AEON hash rate is ASICs, after all some of the products explicitly advertise CryptoNight-Lite support, they would have to at least 'tested' that.


What are the Monero development team's thoughts on when ASICs, or more specifically Bitmain, started entering the Cryptonote mining space? Do you reckon that it might be longer than 3 months including testing?

Bitmain might have started mining XMR on November 2017 while tests started on July of the same year.

https://bitinfocharts.com/comparison/hashrate-xmr.html

Some of those hash rate change are likely natural, due to price changes.

The best indicator is probably to look at profitability or some variant thereof. We can see that starting in early 2018 or possibly late 2017, profitability started a decline to lows not seen since 2016. That was probably due to ASICs starting to capture most of the hash rate, though when they started at a low hash rate share is impossible to say.

Here an analysis from Monero core team member ArticMine. https://www.reddit.com/r/Monero/comments/8al8tm/considering_that_a_sizeable_amount_must_have_not/dwzxdj6/

307  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: April 09, 2018, 07:04:34 PM

Very likely considering that there are Ethereum ASICs announced and being sold to customers (but not shipped). It is very much the same situation.
308  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: April 09, 2018, 06:14:40 PM
So...  most of the last version upgrade is terribly positive.  More new and important features.  A more stable and quicker IMHO GUI wallet.  Subadresses, multisig, and so on.

But the big NEWS is the tweak to render current ASICS useless.

And we are seeing the insane drop in hashrate, and crazy rise in mining profitability.   

But here in the SPECULATION thread I do not see much speculation as to what this means price wise for Monero.  I can't really figure it out myself.  So many moving parts...  So far there's been a little drop in price.  I imagine Jihan want's to revenge sell...  and he might have a warchest to do that with, though I doubt he kept more than he sold.  Then there are the forks.  Not a direct relationship, but related at least.

What do you guys think.  Way less hashpower hitting the network, yet so much more decentralized.  Web miners suddenly more profitable.

I think ASIC resistance is a positive thing for the project... but what does this do to the price?

I'd expect the massive dumping already happened (XMR ~ 50% of last month's high)

ASIC resistance is a goal of the project - price I'd expect to be a stable growth now, without meteoric rises hopefully attracting too much speculation.

Massive drop in hash shows that all the jscript miners really haven't deployed any updates. Similar situation appears to be true with botnet miners and ASIC miners, for now.

I think the previous mining is mainly done by the ASIC. There are still about 850MH/s mining the XMO


Mining was mainly done by ASIC because GPUs miners rather chose other coins.   Now they are flocking back to Monero. And hash rate will soon go back to close where it was.  Those 850MH/s will just do what they want to do. They are getting replaced as we speak.

It is a combination of both. The profitability had gone well below the historic range which means given current prices CPUs and GPUs would likely never push up the hash rate that high (ignoring slow Moore's Law-type improvements), only ASICs.

I would like to know what your thoughts on the git question you had posed now that we see the hash results? Are you happy with the result or would you still make an argument for ASICs in the future? I'm looking forward to a analysis of the hashrate as it progresses and a comprehensive aggregate of the probabilities of which percentage was indeed botnets as I expect they should be continuing to migrate back to the dominate chain (By which I mean the DEV supported chain).

ArticMine's analysis is pretty convincing that it was mostly ASICs. Botnets have been around forever and have never pushed profitability that low. Probably because they are constrained by available zombie machines (there are not tens of millions readily available for mining). It also doesn't make a whole lot of sense for botnets to end up quickly on the ASIC-friendly fork. They would have to be running their own pool/node, and not update it despite losing money, and most botnets we've seen have just used public pools (in which case they would stop mining altogether if not updated, not switch to the the ASIC-friendly fork).

As far as the GitHub ASIC-friendly question, it is still very much a hypothetical whether an ASIC-friendly approach could work and result in a competitive ASIC market, regardless of the algorithm. I'm personally somewhat doubtful on it, given the current realities of how chips are designed and manufactured. Perhaps there is a possibility of some sort of open source ASIC, but I don't know enough about the fabrication process to have an opinion on it.


@explorer, thanks for the heads up about the non-removed post. Not sure what happened, I did click delete on it.
309  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: April 09, 2018, 04:46:24 AM
But here in the SPECULATION thread I do not see much speculation as to what this means price wise for Monero.  I can't really figure it out myself.  So many moving parts...  So far there's been a little drop in price.  I imagine Jihan want's to revenge sell...  and he might have a warchest to do that with, though I doubt he kept more than he sold.  Then there are the forks.  Not a direct relationship, but related at least.

What do you guys think.  Way less hashpower hitting the network, yet so much more decentralized.  Web miners suddenly more profitable.

I think ASIC resistance is a positive thing for the project... but what does this do to the price?

It is hard to fight the overall negative trend the crypto markets, especially for a coin like XMR which is very much a true crypto currency, and not some ICO project that is claiming to revolutionize online dating/storage/dentists/etc. For XMR, if money is flowing out of crypto we're probably losing value. Perhaps we decline less.

310  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: April 08, 2018, 07:17:15 PM
Removed as repost/plagiarism of old post

In my opinion, monero has during all its exchange history been a rangebound coin. The all-time-weighted-average is about 500k, and most of the trade has been conducted at a narrow range of 400-600k. When the range is definitely broken, there is no knowing what the next trading range would be.

311  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] AEON [2017-10-07: update to 0.9.14.0] on: April 08, 2018, 07:15:10 PM
@smooth. How much is the projected reduction in hashpower once we do our own hard fork to kill ASICs mining? Monero lost 2/3.

Also, remember last year's surprising sudden increase in Aeon's hash power? It was not botnets, it was Bitmain testing their miners! Why didn't we foresee it?? hehe

Monero has lost about 80-85%. I don't know how much AEON will lose. Obviously it is a much smaller coin so less attractive to very large miners (who would just drive up the difficulty against themself). Still likely some of AEON hash rate is ASICs, after all some of the products explicitly advertise CryptoNight-Lite support, they would have to at least 'tested' that.
312  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero - A secure, private, untraceable cryptocurrency on: April 07, 2018, 09:02:13 AM
relax network lost a lot of hash and still needs to adjust difficulty. it will likely be more profitable in the days to come
With current difficulty adjustment algorithm of Monero after the hardfork, how long will it take to adjust its difficulty for the first time?
Will it been adjusted after each block or specific span of time (one- or two-week period, for instance)?
thanks, bro.

It is slightly adjusted after each block. Probably full adjustment will take a few days, with partial adjustment sooner (some has happened already).

BTW, ignoring price changes, mining profitability has not changed from before (except to increase a bit since the difficulty has dropped a bit). Slower blocks on the network does not affect profitability of any individual miner, although it may affect your variance. As the difficulty continues to decline profitability will continue to increase.

313  Economy / Computer hardware / Re: [SOLD] 7x ASICMINER blade 71 GH rig, supporting hardware, all or part (auction) on: April 07, 2018, 01:26:30 AM
Hi

Do you know where can I buy a ASICMINER blade backplane?  Grin

In 2018? Good luck!

314  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][CLAM] CLAMs, Proof-Of-Chain, Proof-Of-Working-Stake, a.k.a. "Clamcoin" on: April 05, 2018, 09:04:48 AM
At this point just send me a refund address and I will just take clam off my site.

Please don't take it out on a whole community because of one person's misunderstanding, but yes I agree the negative trust was hasty should absolutely be removed.
315  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: Steemit.com: Blogging is the new Mining on: April 03, 2018, 08:13:49 AM
I'm having a problem with my Steem account, I can not remember the password, I have tried to restore, but all attempts failed, someone please help me. Thanks so much

If you can't remember your password your are out of luck. It is like losing your Bitcoin wallet (private keys). Gone.

Recovery works if your password has been changed and you can provide the previous one (within 30 days).

Possibly, someday, there might be a way to recover from a forgotten password, but there is not right now.

The only thing you can do at this point is get a new account.
316  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][CLAM] CLAMs, Proof-Of-Chain, Proof-Of-Working-Stake, a.k.a. "Clamcoin" on: April 02, 2018, 10:28:17 PM
Does anyone know what happened to the presstab chain explorer for CLAM?
317  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] AEON [2017-10-07: update to 0.9.14.0] on: March 31, 2018, 10:16:38 PM
@smooth. I am sure that you have already read this whitepaper on Monero's traceability.

https://arxiv.org/pdf/1704.04299/

I went to the Monero subreddit and what I saw was some Monerotards calling FUD quickly without properly thinking about how this seriously affects Cryptonote coins.

Can you give us your thoughts on the situation and how that affects Aeon? Would a simple sub addresses feature help?

A subaddress feature does not directly address any of the issues in the paper however it is still useful for some privacy enhancing use cases outside the scope of the paper.

The paper itself is a slightly-modified rerelease of the same one that was released last year. Both were and are heavily backed and promoted by Zcash supporters and can't in any way be considered as objective third party analysis. While some of the findings are legitimate, a lot of framing and promotion of the paper is actually very misleading (whether you want to call that "FUD" is a personal choice but I don't find it to be a terribly inaccurate label).

For example, there are many tweets etc. repeating the talking point that X% (some high number, various different numbers have appeared) of Monero transactions were found to be traceable, rarely is it explained in these attention grabbers that even the paper itself explains (if you read the whole thing) that:

1. Older versions of Monero, 2016 or earlier have some high number of traceable outputs.
2. More recent versions have essentially 0% traceable outputs.
3. Newer data from 2017 and 2018 is excluded from consideration by the paper at all, skewing the total percentages a lot higher.
4. That the paper horribly conflates percentages of actual traceability and percentages derived from heuristic guesses that skew probabilities somewhat (and even that is mitigated in recent versions) but aren't able to trace any transactions at all.

AEON is similar to Monero post-2016 but pre-RingCT (and before other mitigations, some of which will arrive with the rebase), so somewhere in between. There is some degree of traceability but nowhere near as bad as the earlier Monero versions with unlimited (and large majority in practice) 0-mixin transactions.

Users can best protect themselves by performing some degree of churn (resend to self, preferably with unpredictable delays) in high risk situations. This is especially effective in AEON since the transaction fees are much lower than Monero (post-RingCT), making churn relatively inexpensive.
318  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] AEON [2017-10-07: update to 0.9.14.0] on: March 16, 2018, 10:21:57 AM
I just read about Siacoin and Bitmain. The Sia developers are only shady for not allowing an open market for the creation of Asics. They want to corner the market like Bitmain hehehe.

That was certainly worse, but I don't agree that's when it started. As soon as they decided to start their own ASIC company they lost the ability to be unconflicted on development decisions. As you say, they made a lot of arguments about how good ASICs are for a coin. Maybe those arguments were sincere but we can never know because the way they set things up they had a huge incentive to "sell" ASICs to the community (because, quite literally, they were selling their own product).

Anyway, this is kind of off topic to AEON.

BTW, I have no interest in any mining companies Smiley
319  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] AEON [2017-10-07: update to 0.9.14.0] on: March 15, 2018, 10:54:49 AM
@smooth. But to date, it has been going ok in bitcoin. Some would also argue that it's the big Chinese mining farms carrying its market cap to new highs after every halving because it is in their self interest to do so.

I reckon Siacoin is embracing Asics and so does Decred. Why is this? What do they see that the rest do not?

In the case of Siacoin, it was the devs starting a company to sell ASICs, a clear conflict of interest.

I haven't followed Decred.

Regardless of the shadiness demonstrated by the Sia devs (which reduces their credibility on the matter in my view significantly, even if they may happen to be right), there is certainly a pro-ASIC point of view that is not without merit.

You might want to review this discussion https://github.com/monero-project/monero/issues/3387 (BTW, This is a Monero issue. Please do not spam discussion of AEON there.)

I'm mostly neutral but if the community wants to change PoW then its fine with me. My mild bias is to continue tracking whatever Monero does and minimize code changes and also the possibility that AEON could be attacked by reject Monero ASICs.


320  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: March 15, 2018, 07:37:41 AM
Did you guys realize that we are THE top thread in altcoin speculation? Take a look https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?board=224.0;sort=replies;desc Not just a little bit. By a fucking mile. 37k replies to 8k runner up. Shocked

Before speculation was broken out it was the top thread in the whole general altcoin discussion section.
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