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3041  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UFC FN 132: Cerrone vs Edwards Info and Prediction Thread on: June 22, 2018, 11:36:40 AM
The start time for this event is around 12 hours earlier than normal time. It starts around 22 hours after the timestamp on this post--If I got the time correct.

Not a lot of notes~

-Jake Matthews could be a new man after having his recent surgeries. He's had a lot of injuries and health problems which were preventing him from fighting @ full potential. This is something I haven't 100% kept up (gamblers should do their own research and not trust me on this). It could be a real thing.

-Naoki Inoue is the brother of Mizuki Inoue(female Invicta fighter).

-Ulka Sasaki looks to be training @ Matt Serra / Ray Longo's gym in NY.

-Jenel Lausa and Rolando Dy don't update their social media enough for me to guess who or where they're training @.

-Jessica Rose Clark has shown improvement since moving to train in Las Vegas with Syndicate. I think she made the move around 2 fights ago. Be interesting to see what progress she's made if any.

-Jessica Eye is moving down to the 125 weight division from 135. It looks like she's working on her wrestling/grappling expecting to have a size or weight advantage in the lower weight class. Whether or not such an advantage will materialize is anyone's guess.

-Looking at history, I think Donald Cerrone hasn't really finished an opponent with a punch since 2012 when he fought Melvin Guillard. Cerrone wobbling Yancy Medeiros with a punch could show his hands and his boxing are improving.

...

Which fights are people interested in? I can try to comment on those.

No wonder I see two Filipino fighters Jenel Kausa and Rolando Dy, the fight will be held at Singapore Indoor Stadium. I thought I am looking at a fight card assembled by Once FC. I hoe those two Pinoy fighters make it, its been quite sometime when I last see a Filipino fighter in UFC like Brandon Vera and Mark Munoz. Looking at the fight card is not really that stacked that might draw a huge crowd but I hope Cowboy Cerrone keeps his momentum after winning a fight with Yancy Medeiros via TKO in Round 1.

I think Brad Tavares is part filipino. Only one I can think of.
3042  Economy / Economics / SEC documents detail scores of fraud allegations against Coinbase on: June 21, 2018, 08:43:11 AM
Quote
Life savings lost. Desperate cries for help. Allegations of fraud.

In the six years since its founding, the San Francisco-based exchange Coinbase has established itself as one of the most trusted places to trade ether, bitcoin, litecoin, and bitcoin cash. It's also run up its share of critics: namely, its customers.

In 134 pages of complaints filed to the SEC and the California Department of Business Oversight obtained by Mashable following a five-month FOIA process, a picture emerges not of a responsible actor in the cryptocurrency space opening the market to new investors, but rather a company overwhelmed by and underprepared for its own success.

And the consequences — as expressed by Coinbase's own customers — are enough to give even the most diehard crypto-enthusiast pause.

Money gone and no one home
A recurring theme in the SEC complaint files Mashable obtained is the seeming disappearance of a would-be trader's money, and what is portrayed as an aggressive nonchalance on the part of Coinbase in response to the loss.

Notably, the SEC redacted the complaints to remove personally identifiable information. This, while an understandable privacy measure, makes it practically impossible to reach out to the complainants for follow up. As such, we'll mostly let their words speak for themselves.

And there are a lot of words.

***

(There are screenshots of individual complaints made against coinbase @ the source link below. All of the complaints look like coinbase freezing accounts or holding peoples money. All of the balances involved look to be larger customers with assets in excess of $5,000.)

https://mashable.com/2018/06/20/sec-coinbase-complaints-fraud/

Maybe I am biased but I remember using coinbase before it became regulated. It worked fine. I never heard a single complaint about coinbase when it was an unregulated exchange. It seems to me that coinbase didn't become a corrupt institution until after they became regulated which could hint @ regulation being a bad thing for bitcoin and crypto in general.

Also does anyone know the name of a good crypto exchange US residents can use to help decentralize the american crypto market away from coinbase's attempts @ centralization btw?
3043  Economy / Economics / Re: Is the government really scary? on: June 21, 2018, 08:32:55 AM
Is government scary?  Huh I wonder what people would think if they knew the 40th President of the united states said this.



in some countries, especially developing countries, the government just wants to rob your assets. They rob publicly, lawfully and as much as possible.

There could be evidence to support that claim.



I would guess similar things are happening in countries around the world although they may lack transparency or freedom of the press to report on these topics.

No one wants to hear their government is untrustworthy. Its not a "positive" message. I can sympathize with those who do not want to hear this. If people want to support what's best for them, their friends and families and avoid supporting bad policy which has the potential to kill jobs, stagnate economies and make the world a less happy place. People will need to direct skepticism and questioning towards the policies government proposes. Its not healthy for anyone, especially governments which make important decisions affecting billions of people, to be elevated to a level above criticism.
3044  Economy / Economics / Re: World Governments Are Probably More Enthusiastic About Blockchain Than Perceived on: June 21, 2018, 08:08:22 AM
What if we lived in a world where governments were composed of computer illiterate elderly folks who do not comprehend what blockchain is, much less identify its advantages or value to society? I'm not saying that's the way the world works. But what if it did work that way and governments couldn't be relied upon or trusted to treat things like blockchain or crypto currencies fairly?

I think people underestimate the power of the individual. The capabilities of small independent organizations and communities. It might be said that initially tiny corporations like google, apple and harley davidson which had humble beginnings in peoples garages have created more jobs and more economic benefits than than governments have created with $1 trillion dollars in spending towards economic stimulus. Small medical start ups and movements motivated to decentralize pharmaceutical markets to prevent individuals like Martin Shkreli from buying up drug stockpiles and raiseing drug prices significantly could have a greater positive benefit to healthcare than large and expensive plans like healthcare reform which can cost in excess of $2 trillion dollars without producing much in the way of tangible positive benefits.

During the 08' bank bailout the US government simply gave banks whatever terms they wanted. It might be fair to say the state acted in the best interest of banks, rather than what was best for the american people. Due to that and other history, I'm not a big fan of governments which are typically pro centralization being involved with projects like blockchain or crypto which are best utilized within a decentralized format.

The last time the US government rolled out a website, it was a signup page for healthcare. The website cost in excess of $1 billioin dollars and didn't work properly when it was unveiled. Perhaps not a statistic which encourages enthusiasm about government run, designed and operated blockchain. It might sound exciting to think governments might somday rollout their own blockchain or crypto. But it is possible a small group of developers would do a far superior job, on an exponentially smaller budget.
3045  Economy / Economics / Tether releases notarized evidence tether is backed by $2.55 billion in reserves on: June 21, 2018, 07:53:04 AM
Quote
NEW YORK (Reuters) - A Washington-based law firm co-founded by former FBI director Louis J. Freeh has attested that as of June 1 cryptocurrency firm Tether had enough U.S. dollar reserves to back its virtual coins in circulation, according to a report released by Tether on Wednesday.

The report by Freeh, Sporkin & Sullivan LLP, comes a week after a University of Texas research paper alleged Tether’s token could have been used to manipulate bitcoin’s price last year during its meteoric rise.

Tether critics have raised concerns over the past year about whether it actually holds $1 dollar in reserve for every token called tether issued, as it claimed.

The FSS report is not a full audit of Tether, but states the law firm received sworn and notarized statements from Tether’s two banks which indicated the company had approximately $2.55 billion in its accounts on June 1.

“FSS is confident that Tether’s unencumbered assets exceed the balance of fully-backed USD Tethers in circulation as of June 1st, 2018,” the report said.

The day of the examination was selected by FSS, the law firm said in the report, adding that it conducted “comprehensive examinations and telephone interviews of key personnel at Tether and its banks.”


The report did not disclose the names of the banks and also stated “FSS did not, as part of the Engagement, arrive at any conclusions as to Tether’s compliance with applicable laws and regulations in any jurisdiction.”

Eugene Sullivan, a former federal judge and FSS cofounder, is an advisory board member of one of Tether’s banks, the report said.

FSS did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Tether shares investors and management with Bitfinex, one of the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchanges.

“These allegations of manipulation are ... just completely misplaced,” Stuart Hoegner, Bitfinex’s general counsel, said in an interview.

Tether hired FSS in March and is in discussions with auditors for a full audit, Hoegner said.

Global regulators have been scrutinizing cryptocurrency markets following a rally in prices last year. The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Department of Justice are reportedly investigating whether the price of bitcoin is being manipulated.

In December the CFTC sent a subpoena to Tether and Bitfinex.

Hoegner declined to comment on whether Tether or Bitfinex were under investigation by the CFTC or the DOJ. He also declined to share the contents of the subpoena.

https://uk.reuters.com/article/us-cryptocurrencies-tether/cryptocurrency-firm-tether-releases-law-firm-report-attesting-to-u-s-dollar-reserves-idUKKBN1JG1SB

Its too early to draw conclusions. This might be loose evidence of allegations of tether being a "scam artificially manipulating markets to boost bitcoin's price" are false. If tether has $2.55 billion in their bank account, that makes it significantly more difficult for them to have spent a significant sum of their liquidity purchasing bitcoin to "artificially inflate its value"?

How much tether they have on hand in their accounts could be the key factor, given the study claimed they exchanged tether for btc. These notarized bank statements validate the concept of tether being backed by considerable fiat reserves. But may not quite serve as evidence of whether a significant quantity of tether was conserved rather than exchanged for btc in an effort to increase its value.

After six months of investigating tether, I think this case should have been resolved by now. It doesn't take six months to figure out whether collusion occurred. The lack of valid information & evidence could be the best evidence of tether being innocent here.
3046  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling vs. "leveraged" trading on: June 21, 2018, 07:17:14 AM
From their terms of service:

Quote
By registering as a Member you represent and warrant:

i) that you are not a resident of the United States of America, Cuba, Crimea and Sevastopol, Iran, Syria, North Korea, Sudan, or any other jurisdiction where the services offered by BitMEX are restricted. If it is determined that you have given false representation as to your place of residence, BitMEX reserves the right to close your account immediately and liquidate any open positions at the prevailing market price.

At Bitmex, there's no minimum account balance required for leveraged trading. You're good to go even with a few satoshis. However, I must say that you're lucky for being in a restricted region. It ruined my savings of whole year in a blink of an eye. Roll Eyes

I'm never going to open that website again.

Thx for the info. That clarifies things. I'll try to find another exchange which accepts US residents. If I trade I'll probably use a balance of $20 or less and focus on percentage gained/lost rather than overall bankroll. To get an idea of how profitable/unprofitable it is over the long term. Around 5 years ago, I tried trading on an exchange and only managed to profit around $12 per day. It wasn't much more profitable than HODL so I gave it up. Maybe things are different now.

If trading crypto with leverage was more widely available 5 years ago, I might've been able to turn my $12 per day gains into a decent sum. Sorry to hear about your losses. I lost around 8 bitcoins gambling when 1 btc was worth around $12 around 2011-2012. I know that feeling.
3047  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: How gambling can effect the economy of a country [Part 3 - Australia] on: June 20, 2018, 04:38:59 AM
Thank you for taking the time to do this series on gambling. I think you've done a great job covering economic impact. Is there much to be said of cultural or societal impact? Gambling has been illegal in the USA while other nations typically have implemented far more lenient policies. Such could represent some of the deeper questions revolving around legalized gambling which most are hesitant to tackle.

Recently there have been some who have reportedlly utilized big data to win paydays @ fantasy sports games like fanduel and draftkings which could pave the way towards sports gambling becoming more algorithmically and computer driven. Interesting times to be alive for sure. I would be interested to know what betting odd spreads looked like pre internet era when it wasn't so easy to lookup bookie odds across different regions or platforms.

In this thread we have a lot of data regarding the economic impact of gambling. What conclusions would OP draw from these stats? Would he recommend or oppose gambling legalization? I think the general consensus is Donald Trump being a real estate mogul quietly supports gambling legalization in the US. Would decentralizing the centralized gambling of Las Vegas benefit the USA or is it better for it to be contained inside a relatively small geographic area of the country?
3048  Economy / Economics / Crypto being unregulated is a strength and an advantage on: June 20, 2018, 04:03:35 AM
In this section today, we have a thread about a small village in japan issuing its own ICO. There are a few broad points which may be derived from this:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=4496558.0

Schools teach the concept of banks being great benevolent financial establishments which drive economic growth by extending credit and creating debt. This process fuels start ups and small businesses which statistically create approximately 50% of new job growth. However one neglected aspect of this rosy illustration of reality may be the large and unnecessary amounts of regulation present which restrict and delay loans/credit where they are needed the most.

Theory: ICOs could provide a real world application to the idea regulation strangulates business and restricts credit in a way which reduces economic growth, thus fueling an onset of recession and stagnation.

Evidence: As in the thread linked above, a small village in japan is able to issue an ICO. What makes ICOs attractive is their deregulation. An ICO can be issued without crippling amounts of regulatory red tape which would be invoked if the same thing were attempted through a standard investment method.

An ICO is like an IPO for those who aren't filthy rich, who do not have connections with powerful and influential people. An ICO is like a deregulated form of IPO, that is its strength and its advantage.

When posts in this section propose that bitcoin be "regulated" and ICOs must be cracked down upon. To a degree what they are saying is ICOs must become more "regulated" like IPOs. This in essence would kill off advantages IPOs, crypto and bitcoin have over traditional assets and investments offered by existing financial institutions.

To a degree, regulated crypto implies only the rich having access to things like IPOs or ICOs and that is not the direction which bitcoin nor crypto currencies should take.

Agree / disagree?
3049  Economy / Economics / De-Dollarization Escalates: Russia Sells Off Record Amount Of US Treasury Bonds on: June 20, 2018, 03:38:22 AM
Quote
Authored by Arkady Savitsky via The Strategic Culture Foundation,

The US Treasury Department report for April published on June 15 revealed that Russia sold $47.4 billion out of the $96.1 it had held in Treasury bonds (T-bonds). In March, Moscow cut its Treasury holdings by $1.6 billion. In February, Russia reduced its bond portfolio by $9.3 billion. Other holders did it too. Japan sold off about $12 billion, China liquidated roughly $7 billion. Ireland ditched over $17 billion.



The tariff wars unleashed by Washington stirred fears that financial markets may be in for a rough ride with American treasuries dumped by some partners, including such major holders as China and Japan, each holding over $1 trillion in bonds.

Russia has cut its holdings in American securities following numerous rounds of sanctions imposed by Washington against Moscow and amid the ongoing trade wars between the US and its allies and partners.

This is bad news and ominous warning for Washington. The foreign demand is critical to offset an expected surge in federal borrowing needs. The Treasury Department needs to finance the huge spending bill along with tax cuts that were passed by Congress in December 2017. It plans to auction off around $1.4 trillion in treasuries this year with a glut of sellers and a shortage of buyers in the bond market the government plans to add $600 billion to.

The companies buy back their own shares to boost capitalization. The stock prices are overvalued. The Fed's monetary policy does not spur economic growth amid the growing national debt. The bond market does not look attractive anymore. Looks like there is a big change on the horizon that nations will dump US debt in case of trade war.

And the supremacy of the US dollar is not as solid as many people believe it is. A sell-by date as a global reserve currency is looming. The process of de-dollarization is gradually gaining momentum.

Moscow and Beijing are making agreements to move away from the American currency. On June 8, their leaders signed an agreement to raise the share of trade settlements in national currencies. Last year, nine percent of payments for supplies from Russia to China were made in the Russian rubles. In October 2017, China launched a payment system for transactions in the renminbi and the Russian currency. The launch of the petro-yuan allows Moscow and Beijing to use national currencies for settlements.

Russian companies paid for 15 percent of Chinese imports in the renminbi. For comparison, only three years ago the respective figures were two and nine percent. The gradual shift away from the USD is on the agenda of BRICS. China and Japan started direct trading of their currencies as far back as 2012 to hedge the risk of the dollar's fall in the long run.

Stanley Druckenmiller, the billionaire investor, believes that this is the time when “all you need is gold and all other investments are rubbish”. Top money managers are also recommending gold. Other countries are repatriating their gold reserves from the US Federal Reserve.

Russia has increased its gold reserves in order to diversify away from the dollar. It has recently concluded a cooperation agreement with China on developing the Klyuchevskoye gold ore deposit in the Trans-Baikal region. It is expected to extract 12 million tons of ore to produce 6 tons of precious metal yearly. Gold is considered important by both countries. The Central Bank of Russia has been increasing its gold holdings for three years now. Today, it has the fifth largest gold reserves in the world to make Russia immune to fluctuations of global currency market. This is a good investment to fend off US sanctions, tariff impositions and dollar fluctuations.

The worse the US relations with other countries become, the more likely are other nations to reconsider their reliance on the dollar. The US bonds market is going through hard times, the dollar is facing uncertain future and gold is becoming the best investment one could think of. With sanctions constantly used as a tool of foreign policy, trade wars waged, and the huge debt growing, America’s economic prospects are clouded in doubt to make other countries gradually move away from its currency and T-bonds. It does not augur well for the US. Its policy of confrontation makes it weaker, not stronger. There are clear signs the American century is coming to an end.

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-06-19/de-dollarization-escalates-russia-sells-record-amount-us-treasury-bonds

More forecast economic doom and gloom for our immediate future.

Trends of de dollarization have been at least 2 decades in the making, dating as far back as when Saddam Hussein intended to cease and desist denominating its oil transactions in US dollars opting in favor of euros instead. Nothing particularly new here. The concept of de dollarization being motivated by US tariffs however is a new slant. The better explanation may be america's deficit is fueling concerns about the dollar's stability which is tied to the value of US treasury bonds.

In better times, we might see political comic illustrations of the US deficit being a sinking ship where china, russia and other nations man lifeboats in attempt to implement policies of damage control via further isolating themselves from any potential crash. Gold could provide isolation and a credible barrier against the defaullt of the US federal government, which may be why its becoming popular atm.

In a sense, large powerful governments like china and russia are behaving like doomsday preppers--obtaining piles of gold which may be proof for maintaining wealth in the face of an oncoming apocalypse. The media universally condemns people who build bomb shelters in their basements who have "bugout shelters" in the woods and gold concealed in stashes in the woods. But when global powers like china and russia mirror that behavior--as if they were preparing for end of days scenarios, perhaps there could be some credibility to it?

"Food for thought."
3050  Economy / Economics / Re: 9/11 terrorist attacks and money wasted on movies on: June 19, 2018, 11:59:06 PM
From an economic perspective, the rise of bitcoin could be fueled by the public losing faith in governments, leaders and institutions. An increase of violence, poverty and extremism in the world might be explained by similar paradigms.

Movies and media portray how the world should work in theory. It gives many the impression that those in power make responsible decisions, have the peoples best best interests at heart and do the right thing for humanity rather than simply catering to special interest demographics or abusing their position of power and authority as a get-rich-quick scheme.

It might be said politics is merely a mirror of our culture and society. The way to improve and elevate those things could be to start on an individual level--which is not so easy.
3051  Economy / Speculation / Re: What kind of price movement do you want for Bitcoin? on: June 19, 2018, 09:56:35 AM
There's a chance that with CBOE futures and bitcoin becoming more of a speculative investment with the introduction and greater support of leverage has altered crypto markets significantly and reduced the degree to which btc may be a long term store of value. Whether such effects may be permanent or not, who can say? As long as bitcoin's price appreciates over the long term, its good for me.

The "new" indicator for crypto trading could be looking at short versus long orders. Months ago when there was a hideous number of shorts bitcoin's price did decrease. That could be one key place to look as far as bitcoin's long term outlook goes.
3052  Economy / Economics / Re: What could $100 buy back in 2010? on: June 19, 2018, 09:32:07 AM
It depends on the country. Inflation of course is everywhere, but it is different. In some countries for $ 100 you can live a month, and in others to eat at a restaurant.

I like the affordable, high variation, system of produce some chinatowns utilize as described by WSJ.

Quote
THE REAL REASON CHINATOWN PRODUCE IS CRAZY CHEAP

The Wall Street Journal doesn't find foreign imports or discounts for low quality vegetables, but rather a special network of suppliers selling especially fresh food

Produce prices at your local Chinatown are likely a fraction of what they cost at other supermarkets, and if you've wondered why, you're not alone. In an investigative report for the Wall Street Journal reporter Anne Kadet admits she always assumed the low prices were a reflection of subpar produce. But a deeper investigation of New York's Chinatown with author Valerie Imbruce led her to the opposite conclusion, and reveals the hidden truths behind the neighborhood's fruit and vegetable supply chain.

Imbruce, who's researched the Chinatown produce economy for over a decade, is the author of From Farm to Canal Street: Chinatown’s Alternative Food Network in the Global Marketplace. In the Journal she distills to Kadet the real reason Chinatown can keep prices low: “Chinatown’s 80-plus produce markets are cheap because they are connected to a web of small farms and wholesalers that operate independently of the network supplying most mainstream supermarkets.” While most of the rest of New York's markets get their produce from the Hunts Point Market in the Bronx, Chinatown sellers work directly with small neighborhood warehouses. Since they're operating in close geographic proximity, they can get fresh produce throughout the day from wholesalers, and therefore don’t need a store with refrigeration or a lot of storage space.

Markets also cut costs by eschewing extra technology and certain aesthetic choices—the Journal points out that shelves “are typically made of plywood and lined with newsprint,” prices are scrawled on cardboard instead of printed on stickers, and credit cards are not always accepted. Chinatown retailers also manage to cut costs by “negotiating bulk discounts from wholesalers,” Kadet notes.

“All this translates into low overhead for the retailers—and low prices for shoppers,” the article points out. “The typical Chinatown produce markup is just 10% to 12% over wholesale, said Wellington Chen, executive director of the Chinatown Partnership Local Development Corp.”

And then there’s the variety. In Chinatown, Imbruce says, you can find anything from jackfruit to fuzzy squash and baby Shanghai bok choy, in addition to almost 200 other fruits and vegetables. Wholesalers in Chinatown source these interesting items from family farms growing Asian vegetables in Florida or Honduras. Imbruce mentions that she has visited more than 75 of these farms and saw very little exploitation; in fact, they were happy to be working for Chinatown wholesalers “because they could cultivate an array of crops, leading to economic and agronomic stability.”

https://www.saveur.com/chinatown-produce-prices

I don't know whether bitcoin will ever truly "scale".

Would not mind if china town's affordable health food markets scaled up in production which could have a long term effect of reducing average supermarket prices as a result. The widespread practice of supermarkets shipping fruits and vegetables from foreign countries over a great distance could be in need of a reversal.

Also would not mind if someone started a fastfood franchise similar to mcdonalds or burger king which catered to vegan health food. Its kind of annoying how starbucks and other fast food chains which promote extremely unhealthy food are very popular. To an extent healthcare is broken due to it being unaffordable. But there is another aspect of healthcare's inaffordability which is driven by bad diets and unhealthy food being consumed to a high degree on average.
3053  Economy / Economics / Re: You’ll Someday Manufacture Anything You Want and Governments Will Not Stop You on: June 19, 2018, 05:56:19 AM
Damn… dude, you’re so confused and don’t even know what you’re saying. How do you think that your idea is good one? To me it makes no single sense. Tell me how you would like it when everyone start producing their own guns and drugs? Don’t you know that will cause people to be manufacturing fake drugs at home selling to others? As for guns, you think is a good idea if we are all to be allowed to be walking around with guns? ☹️Just think of what you have just said.

And by the way, Bitcoin does not give you freedom, the government is still in complete control. Seriously, people like you are the reasons why we need leaders. If everyone is allowed to do as they wish, I swear most of us would all be dead by now.

Knowledge can be utilized for good or evil. It is dual use technology. An example of this is nuclear power which can be used to build bombs or nuclear reactors which power thousands of homes. If people are able to produce their own pharmaceutical drugs which treat illness and disease, they also will have the power to produce narcotics, barbiturates, amphetamines. This dual use paradigm exists anywhere knowledge, science and technology are to be found.

Already in the world we have terrible people, criminals and terrorists who profit from drug production. Will circumstances become worse if that power is taken from them and people gain the ability to cut criminals and terrorists out of the drug supply chain? Likewise, people producing guns doesn't concern me. There are many armed women who protect themselves and their families from criminals attempting to break into their homes. Things like guns can be used for positive purposes & can be used to prevent crime.

Some nations with the highest percentages of gun ownership also have lowest statistics for gun issues. Blaming *everything* on guns and drugs, that could represent a gross oversimplification of economic and social circumstances which lead to things like drug abuse and gun violence. There isn't necessarily a *silver bullet* one click solution to solving problems faced by humanity. Following the media narrative does more harm than good imo as the media's stance acts as a crutch which exists to prevent people from thinking about things.
3054  Economy / Economics / Re: How to regulate crypto? on: June 19, 2018, 05:39:22 AM
I don't know where people get an idea regulation exists to improve circumstances for them. There isn't much evidence to support this view.

Regulation can be bad. It can function in a way which limits opportunities and options to some demographics while showing favortism to others. Regulation can exist in a way which guarantees the rich get richer, while everyone else gets poorer. Regulation can be structured in a way which redistrubutes wealth from the poor to the wealthy.

Many of our current negative economic and financial issues can be traced back to regulation not being implemented properly.
 
Here's my latest reason for not being the biggest fan of regulation(US citizens can't use bitmex smh):

3055  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling vs. "leveraged" trading on: June 19, 2018, 04:50:18 AM
This thread motivated me to open an account @ bitmex to try crypto trading on leverage. Unfortunately, the USA is a "restricted" region? (It might be a state based restriction, rather than nation based)



What's a good exchange for leveraged trading, where I might have access?

The last time I tried trading with leverage on the stock market, I think the minimum account balance to do so was $2,000. One neglected advantage of crypto trading could be leverage with balances less than $2k. Generally higher potential profits are correlated with greater risk. Many financial and economic instabilities and recessions can be traced back to large investors gambling with toxic assets when financial bubbles pop.

"Regulation" prohibits people like me from having financial opportunities with leveraged crypto trading on bitmex. I know that people circumvent regulation via VPN/proxy/etc. But shouldn't these platforms operate on an equal opportunity basis?
3056  Economy / Economics / Coinbase shuts down GAB.AI account on: June 18, 2018, 08:17:43 AM
Quote
Gab, a social network messaging platform that describes itself as a place “where people, free expression, and individual liberty come first,” has announced that its Coinbase account was suddenly closed by the popular US-based crypto exchange.

Gab is a relatively young social networking platform launched in August 2016 as a response to censorship controversies involving major social media companies — such as Facebook and Twitter — which founder and CEO Andrew Torba calls “the entirely left-leaning Big Social monopoly.”

It has been battling this “Big Social Monopoly” in court with a legal fund that accepts donations in PayPal, Bitcoin, and Ethereum. In an email to Breitbart Tech, Torba claimed the Gab Legal Fund “will be used to directly explore any and all legal options against the anti-competitive actions of the Silicon Valley oligopoly.”

Now, the alternative social network announced that Coinbase has closed its account on the exchange — presumably used to send, receive and cash out cryptocurrencies — without providing any specific explanation.



Gab, meanwhile, slammed the move, calling the centralized cryptocurrency exchange “cancer,” saying:

Coinbase has banned Gab’s account. Centralized crypto exchanges/wallets are cancer and contradictory to everything crypto stands for.

Social commentator Kevin Pham, however, believes he may know why the San-Francisco based exchange decided to shutter Gab’s account. Pham pointed to a recent tweet from Gab that suggested “crony capitalism” could have been behind yesterday’s SEC announcement that Ethereum is not a security.



Torba created the alternative social network “after reading reports that Facebook employees suppress conservative articles.” His platform got a significant boost to its user base in November 2016 following permanent suspensions of conservative activist accounts such as Breitbart writer Milo Yiannopoulos.

The platform, however, has been accused by critics of being supportive of white supremacists and the alt-right.

On its website description, Gab vehemently opposes suppression of online speech. “Censorship and closed systems are ultimately about two things: destruction and control,” it reads. “Censorship does not create value, it annihilates it.”

In line with its anti-censorship ethos, the social network has unsurprisingly embraced Bitcoin, which can be used to transact without trusting middlemen and third-parties. In fact, it even launched its own Gab Token ICO, raising over $5 million to date in an effort to build the next-generation social network focused on supporting free speech online.

“Gab Tokens will represent tokenized equity in Gab AI Inc and are not a ‘utility token’ of any nature,” its ICO website explains. “We believe that, like many of our users, investors in Gab will be supportive of a crowdfunding campaign that champions a truly democratic approach to raising capital.”

http://bitcoinist.com/centralized-crypto-coinbase-shuts-gab/

Coinbase closing Gab's account seemingly for no apparent reason appears to be a political move. This will likely be classified as a censorship or freedom of speech issue.

Coinbase is currently being investigated / sued for alleged insider trading:

Quote
Coinbase Is Getting Sued for Insider Trading

The lawsuit alleges that some were tipped off ahead of the release of Bitcoin Cash on the platform.

https://motherboard.vice.com/en_us/article/pam4xn/coinbase-insider-trading-lawsuit-gdax-bitcoin-cash

One interesting question here may be whether regulation makes it easier for coinbase to centralize crypto currencies and possibly discriminate against those whose political views or ideologies it does not approve of.
3057  Economy / Economics / Re: So many threads being made but most of them are rubbish. on: June 17, 2018, 08:37:01 AM
I think the quality of threads in this section is not as bad as it used to be. I have a lot of good material in my bookmarks I can post if needed. Maybe later I will. Some of the best material on topics which belong in this section were authored 5-10+ years ago. It might help people to better understand Satoshi's perspective and motive for creating bitcoin if they read some of the better material published around the time of the 2008 economic crisis.

This section could benefit from more active posters and greater feedback. I should probably make more of an effort to make better posts in this section but it is hard. I always get a feeling not many bother reading anything said here which makes it hard to invest time to post content of higher quality.

I also hate reddit and would love it if this forum could be better than bitcoin subreddits in every way imaginable.
3058  Economy / Economics / Re: Successional Right of Digital Assets on: June 17, 2018, 08:20:20 AM
Good post, OP.  

There could be two neglected side angles to this.

#1 Estate Tax / Death Tax Digital assets left in a vacuum with no beneficiaries are difficult to tax.

An example of this is, imagine if a person has $1,000 on a crypto exchange. If they died in an accident & passed that $1,000 on to their son or daughter, it might avoid taxation. But if the exchange has beneficiaries listed, 40% of the $1,000 might be subject to an estate/death tax and their son/daughter would receive $600.

#2 Debt Inheritance A better, more defined, process for inheriting digital assets also could make it easier for people to inherit digital debt and financial liabilities of family members.

An example of this is, imagine if someone's uncle or grandma invests using leverage and is $2,000 in debt on e-trade. If they have listed beneficiaries, it could make it easier for their descendents to receive the $2,000 bill.

This could be one of those topics where only positive implications are publicized with real motives being concealed.

It might sound like a conspiracy theory but it happens in the US healthcare industry where sometimes a family member gets sick and passes away, then their family is left with a $50,000 - $100,000+ medical bill.

Debt collection may be an expanding business and the type of greater beneficiary support mentioned in OP's post could be one way for debt collection to build a bigger business model in terms of generating higher revenue for the private sector and state.
3059  Economy / Economics / Microsoft’s purchase of GitHub leaves some scientists uneasy on: June 17, 2018, 07:44:34 AM
Quote
They fear the online platform will become less open, but other researchers say the buyout could make GitHub more useful.

GitHub — a website that has become popular with scientists collaborating on research data and software — is to be acquired by Microsoft for US$7.5 billion. In the wake of the takeover announcement on 4 June, some scientists and programmers voiced concerns about the deal on social media. They fear that the site will become less open, or less useful for sharing and tracking scientific data, after the buyout. But others are hopeful that Microsoft’s stewardship will make the platform even more valuable.

GitHub launched in 2008, and is now widely used to store, share and update data sets and software code. As of 13 June, more than 223,000 academic papers on Google Scholar cited the website, which is free to use for projects that release their code. One of the features that sets GitHub apart from many similar websites is its use of version-control software known as Git, which transparently records changes to files. This allows programmers in different locations to work on the same project in real time, and to track changes and merge updated data. During the 2014–16 Ebola outbreak in West Africa, for example, researchers used the platform to share and cross-check daily patient counts.

Although Microsoft says GitHub will remain open to any project, some scientists are sceptical about that commitment. “Open Science is not compatible with one corporation owning the platform used to collaborate on code. I hope that expert coders in #openscience have a viable alternative to #github,” tweeted Tom Johnstone, a cognitive neuroscientist at the University of Reading, UK.

Björn Grüning, a bioinformatician at the University of Freiburg in Germany, says some researchers are wary of Microsoft because the company has been slow to make its own tools available in open-source code, or to make its services compatible with open-source projects. He has several projects on GitHub, but says he will move them to another service if the company makes the platform less open, forces Microsoft tools on users or changes its pricing model.


Mahmood Zargar, who studies open-source communities at the Free University of Amsterdam in the Netherlands, is more concerned that Microsoft will impose changes that make GitHub less efficient for him to use. He’s planning to move several projects to other services.

A spokesperson for Microsoft did not answer Nature’s questions about researchers’ concerns, but referred to a blogpost by company chief executive Satya Nadella. “We recognize the responsibility we take on with this agreement,” Nadella wrote. “We are committed to being stewards of the GitHub community, which will retain its developer-first ethos, operate independently and remain an open platform.” The post also states that the company will listen to developers’ feedback and invest in both fundamental features and new capabilities.

Unconcerned

Some researchers say that fears about Microsoft’s acquisition of the platform are overblown. “I’m not convinced that Microsoft owning GitHub is that big a deal to busy researchers,” says Arfon Smith, a data-science manager at the Space Telescope Science Institute in Baltimore, Maryland, and a former GitHub programme manager. Smith, who began using the platform for his own research in 2009 and has more than 200 projects there, doesn’t think Microsoft will change the collaborative features that researchers care about, such as its ease of use.

Other scientists, such as Ruibang Luo, a bioinformatician at the University of Hong Kong, think Microsoft will use its resources to boost the platform’s user numbers, which would increase the number of potential collaborators. “Satya Nadella has done a good job opening up Microsoft’s products to competitors’ platforms,” he says. “So I’m willing to believe it’s a great deal, unless they prove me wrong.” Katy Huff, a nuclear engineer at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, also thinks GitHub will give Microsoft an opportunity to support science.

Decentralized systems

Daniel Himmelstein, a data scientist at the University of Pennsylvania in Philadelphia, says that GitHub is problematic for researchers, but that this has nothing to do with the Microsoft acquisition.

GitHub hosts repositories of code or data created by the open-source Git, which can be distributed among users, so the repositories themselves can still have backups if a server dies. However, certain information, such as comments on projects and requests to add code, are stored on GitHub’s website. Some of these data are an important part of the scientific record, says Himmelstein, but they are at risk from outages, surveillance or censorship. “Regardless of the Microsoft acquisition, GitHub, as a centralized and closed company, possesses a dangerous level of control over the open-source ecosystem,” he says.

Scientists face fewer threats, says Himmelstein, if they put their work on decentralized hosting systems, such as the git-ssb project, which don’t have a single point of failure. “To the extent that the Microsoft acquisition makes people aware of the centralized nature of GitHub,” he says, “that’s a positive thing.”

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-018-05426-0

This could be similar to AT&T attempting to buyout Time Warner in that it could further centralize a market and represents a step towards greater monopolization within an industry. The potential for applying centralization versus decentralization paradigms to various aspects of economies, finance, business and politics could be an interesting topic and a good analytical framework for producing good science in terms of generating falsifiable predictions and relevent hypothesis.

This example might also show over the long term that heavily centralized abstracts are inversely opposed to good science, innovation and progress. A political need for centralized forms of control and regulation could be a form of "anti science". The same might be said of AT&T buying time warner which could be inversely opposed to net neutrality. Anyways maybe a good example of these things we'll have to see how things pan out.
3060  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: GGG vs Canelo II on: June 17, 2018, 07:31:38 AM
If Canelo was using steroids and will be randomly tested for PED's leading up to the fight, he could have issues with his body producing lower quantities of testosterone. The way this might be verified is, Canelo will develop a visible "dad bod". Using steroids causes the body to produce reduced testosterone. When athletes stop using steroids it can take time for their body to naturally begin producing (decreased quantities of...) testosterone again which manifests itself as their bodies visibly having a higher fat and lower muscle content(see: dad bod).

Steroid abuse can also decrease a fighters cardio via damaging their cardiovascular system. Unfortunately, we see more severe effects of this in many old school WWF/WWE pro wrestlers and some older MMA fighters who suffer heart failure.

It depends on whether Canelo used steroids, how many years did he use them for, what quantity / type of steroids were used. Would have to think GGG will be the favorite, unless Adelaide Byrd and some of the more biased Vegas judges are present. GGG's pace is hard to keep up with, even harder for someone who damaged their cardio abusing steroids, I would have to think.
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