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3521  Economy / Speculation / Re: Will BTC reach $300 this month? on: October 16, 2015, 10:12:21 AM
yes.
3522  Economy / Speculation / Re: The pollution from bitcoin will make government forbid it on: October 16, 2015, 07:30:16 AM
forbid it? You mean just like they "forbid" drugs?

Yeah, they could recycle the good old "war on drugs" and call it "war on coins"
3523  Local / Trading und Spekulation / Re: Der Aktuelle Kursverlauf on: October 14, 2015, 09:30:38 PM
Ich glaube uns steht eine grössere Rally bevor, seit der letzten sind nun 2 Jahre schon vergangen. Der Kurs holt gerade ordentlich Schwung, die Umsätze in China ziehen weiter an und sehen ganz gut aus, bleibt spannend Wink

Noja, erstmal abwarten.

Auf Huobi (3d, bitcoinwisdom) kreuzen sich bald wieder die Strahlen, dann muessen die sich die noch bei 1w kreuzen und dann noch ein zusaetzlicher gruener Balken in der 1w Ansicht waer toll. Bis dahin bleib ich skeptisch.

der 4.anlauf dieses jahr richtung 300. das wär ja der hammer, ich glaub´s fast auch nicht mehr.
3524  Economy / Speculation / Re: Next target: 260-270 on: October 07, 2015, 09:13:42 PM
this time it will be different

my favourite bitcoin quote.

But it is usually the same.

this time it will be different
3525  Economy / Speculation / Re: Let's guess the bitcoin Price ;D on: October 07, 2015, 12:24:48 PM
xmas 2015:  362

xmas 2016:  1 354

xmas 2020:  32 000
3526  Economy / Speculation / Re: Next target: 260-270 on: October 06, 2015, 08:07:05 PM
this time it will be different

my favourite bitcoin quote.
3527  Economy / Speculation / Re: Will cryptocurrency succeed through a steady rise in price or hypercryptozation? on: October 04, 2015, 10:23:59 AM
even the most delusional bull must agree that the bitcoin price can not go to trillions. i assume u meant market cap ?
3528  Economy / Speculation / Re: Are we still early adopters? Or did that pass after 2010/2011? on: October 03, 2015, 10:06:47 PM






damn, those were the days...
3529  Economy / Speculation / Re: PnF TA on: October 01, 2015, 08:09:13 AM
Going long when it finally seems to break to the upside (+238 or so) and going short when it seems to break to the downside (-228 or so) has been an easy way to lose the maximum amount of money.

+1

-2 btc in my case
3530  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 01, 2015, 07:28:15 AM
paul2000 has got some nice hopium for us:






= moon in november ?!
3531  Local / Trading und Spekulation / Re: Der Aktuelle Kursverlauf on: October 01, 2015, 07:20:55 AM
Hab uns etwas Hopium besorgt:




mhhh...  sieht lecker aus. wär' das schön, wenn 230 die neuen 130er wären und somit im november 2015 etwas ähnliches wie november 2013 geschehen würde.

gutes hopium, thx
3532  Economy / Speculation / Re: poll: will there ever be another run-up ? on: September 28, 2015, 10:20:19 PM
heh 3 versions of the question 

Sometimes there is more than one question because someone may be asking in time 1, time 2 and time 3, or the second part of the question may assume something to take place in time 1 that would affect the probabilities of the outcome at time 2, however, specifying time, amount and probability can all be contained within one version of a poll question, as long as it is NOT ambiguous on any of these areas. 

That way when the results come out, we know what we were attempting to answer rather than each of us attempting to interpret the various ambiguities contained within the poll question.

i tried to keep it simple. your percentage ranges idea is probably better. 
3533  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 28, 2015, 09:03:57 PM
Guys i have a feeling that the next bubble will be fucking nuclear...don't know when it will come, doubt it will be now, but when the world is ready, holy fucking shit  Cool

exactly.
2 years of constantly building more and bigger fiat channels towards bitcoin will - in case of another run-up - have a huge impact. next one will reach 5 - 10k  Wink  

My bet (why not be bullish, right?):

We slowly grow over the remainder of 2015 and early 2016 back to the $500 - $750 range. Between the spring and fall of 2016, we have a quadfecta of news that is positive for price: a 1MB+ block is included in the Blockchain, the halving is successful, the Winklevoss ETF launches, and there is a major currency crisis somewhere.

This precipitates the largest growth spurt in the history of Bitcoin. The growth spurt takes place in three bubble-phases over late 2016 and 2017 (and causes many people to bail prematurely), reaching a height of $40,000 before 2018 (and then crashing back below $10,000).

Yes, that does seem a bit bullish, and surely I would like that to be true, but I put the odds at less than 2% for some close variation of that scenario to play out.  Oh, I surely would like to see it happen, and I think that it is a very plausible scenario.. but let's just say that I have my doubts (maybe I am being worn out and a bit jaded based on the past 22 months of downward BTC price pressures).


By the way, when you say bet, what kinds of odds are you putting on your scenario?  greater than 50% chance, or are you just saying that the odds are somewhere greater than my less than 2% projection, for example?


created a quick poll about that: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1195626.0
3534  Economy / Speculation / poll: will there ever be another run-up ? on: September 28, 2015, 08:57:58 PM
almost two years of decline; confidence is down; sentiment is loooow

what are you currently thinking about the possibility of another major run-up of btc prices ? are you losing your faith, or are you not worried at all ?
3535  Local / Trading und Spekulation / Re: Der Aktuelle Kursverlauf on: September 28, 2015, 07:44:18 PM
Deutschland ist voll das Drecksland! Ständig diese Beamten und andere Parasiten. Geht mir echt auf den Sack was man alles druchfüttern muss hierzulande.

(sorry, hatte grad mit Steuer zu tun)



molecular, ist doch ganze einfach: gründe deinen eigenen grosskonzern und meld' den in luxemburg an = nix mehr steuern und so.

ich hab nen kleinen einzelhandel. als ich mitbekam, was ein ortsansässiger pharma-weltkonzern mit milliarden umsätzen und in familien/privatbesitz an gewerbesteuer zahlen muss, und dann nochmal nachgeschaut habe, was meine one-man-show an gewerbesteuer jedes jahr blechen muss, hab ich aber gestaunt. denn ich zahle nicht nur relativ mehr gewerbesteuer, sondern auch in absoluten zahlen.  Shocked

unsere herrschafts-und funktionselite braucht eben nunmal größere yachten, mehr golfplätze usw
3536  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 28, 2015, 06:05:56 PM
Guys i have a feeling that the next bubble will be fucking nuclear...don't know when it will come, doubt it will be now, but when the world is ready, holy fucking shit  Cool

exactly.
2 years of constantly building more and bigger fiat channels towards bitcoin will - in case of another run-up - have a huge impact. next one will reach 5 - 10k  Wink  

My bet (why not be bullish, right?):

We slowly grow over the remainder of 2015 and early 2016 back to the $500 - $750 range. Between the spring and fall of 2016, we have a quadfecta of news that is positive for price: a 1MB+ block is included in the Blockchain, the halving is successful, the Winklevoss ETF launches, and there is a major currency crisis somewhere.

This precipitates the largest growth spurt in the history of Bitcoin. The growth spurt takes place in three bubble-phases over late 2016 and 2017 (and causes many people to bail prematurely), reaching a height of $40,000 before 2018 (and then crashing back below $10,000).


after carefully evaluating your post i came to the conclusion that your 40k beat my 10k.

you convinced me.  Wink
3537  Local / Trading und Spekulation / Re: Der Aktuelle Kursverlauf on: September 28, 2015, 10:30:28 AM
Hab den Link mal rausgekramt

https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/3m9ng3/bitcoin_to_be_worth_over_300000coin_by_2027/?utm_content=buffer76cb5&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook.com&utm_campaign=buffer


They predict that roughly 10% of the world's GDP will reside on the bitcoin blockchain by 2027. 10% of today's gdp is 7.5 trillion. So if you divide 7.5 trillion by 21 million, that would make each bitcoin worth over $300,000 per bitcoin by 2027.

schaut man im original bericht, dann lassen sich imho solche schlüsse nicht daraus ziehen. es ist die ganze zeit von "a blockchain" die rede.

http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GAC15_Technological_Tipping_Points_report_2015.pdf

dort wo explizit von bitcoin blockchain die rede ist, wird es unübersichtlich:

Quote
Shift 16: Bitcoin and the Blockchain
The tipping point:
10% of global gross domestic product (GDP) stored on blockchain technology
Expected date: 2027

By 2025
: 58% of respondents expected this tipping point to have occurred
Bitcoin and digital currencies are based on the idea of a distributed trust mechanism called the “blockchain”, a way of
keeping track of trusted transactions in a distributed fashion. Currently, the total worth of bitcoin in the blockchain is around $20 billion, or about 0.025% of global GDP of around $80 trillion.

der gesamtwert aller bitcoins soll momentan bei 20 milliarden liegen ?

das hätten wir mitbekommen, oder   Cool
3538  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 28, 2015, 08:58:39 AM
Guys i have a feeling that the next bubble will be fucking nuclear...don't know when it will come, doubt it will be now, but when the world is ready, holy fucking shit  Cool


exactly.
2 years of constantly building more and bigger fiat channels towards bitcoin will - in case of another run-up - have a huge impact. next one will reach 5 - 10k  Wink  
3539  Local / Trading und Spekulation / Re: Der Aktuelle Kursverlauf on: September 28, 2015, 08:38:56 AM


Hatte letztens einen Artikel gelesen, da gings da drum dass das World Economic Forum einen Bitcoinpreis von ca 300000$ sieht im jahr 2027 !

Ist zwar noch ein Weilchen hin, aber besser als 250$ Cheesy
Das nenn ich Optimismus  Grin

optimismus ist super, aber in dem konkreten fall ging es, wenn ich mich recht erinnnere um schätzungen %ualer anteile verschiedener märkte, die mittels blockchain technologie bis 2027 dargestellt werden könnten.

gut, jetzt könnte man sagen das wird die bitcoin blockchain sein. ich glaub nicht, dass die davoser hier von einem konreten bitcoin preis gesprochen haben.
3540  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 26, 2015, 12:14:18 PM
Am I the only one who thinks this VW-case is friggin hilarious?

Ze Germans have been bashing the Greeks for nearly a decade for fingering the numbers, which consequently led to their economy imploding. This, according to ze Germans, is a sin that can never be forgiven.

And now it turns out that the symbol of German industrial might (VW) has been fingering their engine software to avoid taxes on emission and to get satisfy emission standards. If they have to pay back emission taxes AND fines for every single vehicle sold with these engines it can break VWs back.

In other words: Ze Germans (who historically have been such a beacon of morals and decency [pfffff]) can be thrown into depression because of their own lying cheating ways.

BTW: Congratulations to Greece for the reelection of Syriza! I know this isn't the reddest crowd, but it's heartening to see that the Greek people is standing strong and trying to change how things are done.  



Pride goes before a fall.  

germany was trying hard to set up an image of straigthness and reliability. the fact that this most epic fuck-up by vw can tear that image down shows that this de-glorification was overdue. german elite is as greedy as any other elite. more arrogant maybe, but as greedy.

i am not sure if the regular german has the slightest idea how seriously this fuck up is seen internationally.
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