I notice that the less than 3000 is a consistent loser for Satoshidice. I wonder why that is? Perhaps someone has found a very good strategy that works with a 21x multiplier. If you notice, the max bet for less than 3000 is actually smaller than the max bet for less than 2000. In all other cases the max bet goes up (or stays at max 250) as the multiplier decreases.
LOL better strategy. Best strat is don't play. Second best is max bet one time. Given the number of bet odds subsets, and the total number of Bets, odds are at least one of the subsets is a loser for s.dice, for now. This is why you can only use pre declared subgroups in your analysis of treatment efficacy durin clinical trials. This is a great case study in how Post-hoc analysis can mislead. But by all means, please bet a lot on less than 3000 |
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Looks like the whale is back...  Details Processed Bet Bet Tx Pay Tx Address Pay Status Bet Amount Result Payment Amount Lucky Details 2012-09-19 01:25:23 lessthan 16000 fb661670 2e1996bc 13D2n1t PENDING 215.00000000 LOSE 1.07450000 48127 Details 2012-09-19 01:24:54 lessthan 16000 244cebac b1f67a09 13D2n1t PENDING 215.00000000 LOSE 1.07450000 18188 Details 2012-09-19 01:23:42 lessthan 16000 b40f7d11 6034716a 13D2n1t PENDING 200.00000000 LOSE 0.99950000 47050 Details 2012-09-19 01:17:19 lessthan 32000 115490cb ebd0c021 13D2n1t CONFIRMED 250.00000000 WIN 500.96150000 14107 Details 2012-09-19 01:16:41 lessthan 32000 65ea1a91 870ffbbb 13D2n1t CONFIRMED 250.00000000 LOSE 1.24950000 44256 Details 2012-09-19 01:12:33 lessthan 32000 b29497f9 eeb59a7f 13D2n1t CONFIRMED 250.00000000 WIN 500.96150000 31353 Details 2012-09-19 01:11:10 lessthan 32000 3b0ea5c5 fe1e1638 13D2n1t CONFIRMED 250.00000000 WIN 500.96150000 3830 Details 2012-09-19 01:10:44 lessthan 32000 e7a84423 faa8fe0e 13D2n1t CONFIRMED 250.00000000 LOSE 1.24950000 52194 Details 2012-09-19 01:09:46 lessthan 32000 020b54e2 2389fe72 13D2n1t CONFIRMED 250.00000000 LOSE 1.24950000 63716 Details 2012-09-18 21:46:20 lessthan 32000 5fad9ea9 8a4e89ee 13D2n1t CONFIRMED 250.00000000 WIN 500.96150000 7141 Details 2012-09-18 21:36:34 lessthan 32000 a725220c 76e0b2f1 13D2n1t CONFIRMED 250.00000000 WIN 500.96150000 29321 Details 2012-09-18 21:35:02 lessthan 32000 a9883ae2 cfbc0b9e 13D2n1t CONFIRMED 250.00000000 WIN 500.96150000 12317 Details 2012-09-18 21:34:12 lessthan 32000 7ae48528 56db31c8 13D2n1t CONFIRMED 250.00000000 LOSE 1.24950000 40164 Details 2012-09-18 21:33:35 lessthan 32000 a6405952 5aa2e924 13D2n1t CONFIRMED 250.00000000 LOSE 1.24950000 54229 http://blockchain.info/address/13D2n1tA6oJ56EG7SkzSsG9zEwwfo1v63k |
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Although if you are going to be putting up any serious coin (>100 BTC) I recommend MPEx instead. High account fee but lower margins, higher liquidity, higher quality listings and more security.
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Make a spreadsheet, calculate the Mh/share, calc expected return with network growth.
Fpgaminig or gigamining for miners. Gsdpt for other stuff
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What is your FIDE rating?
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It would be cool to have an entire exchange ticker stream updated whenever there is a trade executed, or a change in the spread of a security.
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Nice looking and faster than GLBSE!
What's your bit coin address, I'll toss you some coin if I end up actually using it more than the regualr interface.
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I guess you havent ordered yet the rig, Namworld. Isnt it wise to do so, before the waiting list is extremely long ?
The waiting list is already long and the product is still vaporware. Optimal strategy is probably to keep the capital paying dividends until shipping actually starts, then place the order. |
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What is the trigger for the timing of the bond exchange? To all Gigaminers: I think the final terms will be: - 22.5% Mh/s per bond (this is 90% of 25Mh/s)
- The cost per bond upgrade will be set at .29 BTC per Gigamining bond
If anyone does not like this deal, you can always take the free upgrade and go buy your own BFL equipment. The new contract for Teramining is going to be a bit more robust than the current Gigamining contract and will also include: - A minimum buy back amount. The contract will set a minimum that I can buy back the Teramining bonds for in BTC. I have yet to figure out what this amount should be but with 160k bonds issued, it will be low.
- A maximum profit potential. The contract will stipulate that if dividends for Teramining exceed a certain threshold, the contract will be considered completed and all bonds may be recalled without repurchase. I have yet to set the amount for this also. This figure will however be higher than the highest trading price of Gigamining + the cost for upgrading to Teramining to make sure all parties have made BTC on the deal.
If you have any feedback on these, please post your comments. Best, gigavps |
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He doesn't have 500k in BTC. lol
He has nothing. It's a ponzi scheme, so all funds get paid out as interest payments until he can no longer get new funds and they dry up, ponzi goes bust, he disappears.
You could sue each other to claw back interest payments, since it was probably your money who went to everybody else. There's nothing left to recover. Madoff had nothing to show for his $50+ billion ponzi.
So then who owned the bitcoin address that had 500k coins in it and then started shipping coins off in large chunks to many other addresses after the scheme broke down? Total # of coins exchange could be >>500k with 500 being the peak when all the cash out reqs happened. |
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I am happy to report that DeaDterra has rolled over my shares from GSDPT to S.DICE with no trouble. Took a little less than one day to complete the transfer. I'm a satisfied customer.
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If you worked out the 25%, 50% and 75% quantiles for the amounts bet, you'd have 3 lines representing equal number of four equal groups of amounts bet. Might provide some insight, might not be worth it if it's a hassle.
Sounds interesting, but confused. If I understand you, I'd have lines for (0-25%, 25-50%, 50-75%, 75-100%, and total) - that's 5 lines. Is that what you mean? Yes. I wasn't including "total" as a quantile line. If having too many lines make the chart confused, you could keep the two constituent lines you use currently, just define them as quantiles rather than bet amounts which could become less informative if bets become much larger or smaller. That seems reasonable |
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If you worked out the 25%, 50% and 75% quantiles for the amounts bet, you'd have 3 lines representing equal number of four equal groups of amounts bet. Might provide some insight, might not be worth it if it's a hassle.
Sounds interesting, but confused. If I understand you, I'd have lines for (0-25%, 25-50%, 50-75%, 75-100%, and total) - that's 5 lines. Is that what you mean? I don't really see how this would be interesting. We know variance is = on a per bet basis. Why clutter up the plot? Monthly returns would be convenient though. |
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I would love to see a daily / monthly cumulative summary, rather than have to mentally subtract. Really great stats. Thank you.
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Waiting with baited breath here.... Looking good for S.DICE.
Details Processed Bet Bet Tx Pay Tx Address Pay Status Bet Amount Result Payment Amount Lucky
Details 2012-09-09 09:19:15 lessthan 32768 f929ed09 3b593c96 1GfNLFR CONFIRMED 250.00000000 LOSE 1.24950000 38865
Details 2012-09-09 09:18:17 lessthan 32768 ddee6c44 8e708c3a 1CuSocm CONFIRMED 250.00000000 LOSE 1.24950000 39847
Details 2012-09-09 08:25:38 lessthan 32768 cb0bade6 9cebdce6 1GfNLFR CONFIRMED 250.00000000 LOSE 1.24950000 52930
2012-09-09 18:58:39 lessthan 32768 16fd63a7 bd95365f 1GLo8r8 CONFIRMED 228.00000000 LOSE 1.13950000 62461
Details 2012-09-09 18:58:16 lessthan 32768 f3cb00db ccaf24f9 1HUNJro CONFIRMED 228.00000000 LOSE 1.13950000 44029
Details 2012-09-09 18:57:47 lessthan 32768 998d719b cdff948c 1KyT7MF CONFIRMED 228.00000000 LOSE 1.13950000 35421
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I guess I will not be adding to my holdings till the next dividend period.
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reading of 1 nucleotide takes 1 hour on the fastest machines. You will need to read more than one nucleotide :-)
damnit, ok then make the bacterium that finds a solution not mark itself, but instead produce some huge molecule we can actually see using a microscope and encode the nonce into that somehow. I think the fastest approaches are quite a bit faster than 1 nucleotide an hour. http://www.helicosbio.com/Portals/0/Documents/Helicos%20tSMS%20Technology%20Primer.pdfDNA oligos are pretty good at picking out single sequences from a big mess of others. I'm not that familiar with the computation we are trying to do here, if someone could explain the search space we would need to look in, we could have a discussion on the feasibility of using DNA to find the needle in the haystack. For example, if you are searching for a known sequence that can be encoded in 25 base pairs (50 bits) and either is, or is not present in a soup of random sequences bound to a glass surface, IN THEORY you could fluorescently tag a complementary oligo, wash it over the surface, wash unbound material off, and check for the presence of a fluorescent dot somewhere on the surface. IN THEORY. In practice, noise, dust, etc would make that approach difficult, but there may be work arounds. |
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They make money on the rake. If nobody is playing, no money being made. If they play a few tables to give people action, then they make more money. No need to cheat to do so. And I think I'm net positive playing against them, and I'm not that good at poker.
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Academics have issues with Venter's attitude, not his results. He knows how to spot talented people and ideas and get the funding to make them happen. Celera's shotgun sequencing really pushed the Human Genome Project forward and basically beat the academic team (though assembly would not have been possible without the high quality scaffold already generated by the project). The sequencing of the sargasso sea was also a great and fascinating idea and yielded red-Channelrhodopsins from Volvox and probably much more I don't know about.
I tried to get the guy who invented shotgun sequencing to buy some bitcoins. He was all about amassing gold and shorting the Euro though. His loss. :-P
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