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361  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 14, 2016, 09:31:00 PM
I think we might see a second drop tomorrow.
362  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 13, 2016, 07:30:47 PM
Expecting a drop here
363  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 13, 2016, 06:33:55 PM

Smart money get out of bitcoin from time to time. But they don't get in fiat. They get in gold. That's why they are smart money.

I'd say the dumb money is in gold. If you want to be standing with your pants around your ankles in ten years time then invest in gold.

Here's the problem:

Over the last few millennia, gold gained value due to its monetary properties more than anything. In particular, those of limited supply, fungibility and mobility because coins could be transported anywhere in the age of physical markets and exchanged directly - peer to peer - just as bitcoin is.

Gold traders can choose which of these two media they prefer to trade - you can have either mobility or possession but you can't have both.

Because of this "forking" of the market, gold will never again command the kind of values or be able to support the same kind of "safe haven" investment that it did during the last few centuries. It is handicapped permanently and pegged at a value which represents the balance of demand between the physical and paper markets.

Cryptocurrencies, on the other hand, remedy the problem since they are the perfect "bearer instrument". One with which you can take both ownership and possession in the same trade and for that reason are likely to outperform precious metals by several orders of magnitude over the next few years.
Agreed, I still have a bit of gold from before, but I don't expect much from it (I even expect it to devalue quite a bit in purchasing power), it's just a monetary hedge for the case crypto should fail for some reason, a situation I am considering to be less and less likely.
364  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 13, 2016, 08:26:03 AM
Having a dayjob with reporting MAGA being a racist, offensive, spamming fuck.

OT look, its up Smiley

go back to reddit cuck boy
Somebody ban this guy already
365  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 13, 2016, 06:07:48 AM
Holy f*cknuggets, she keeps on going...  Shocked
366  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 12, 2016, 11:30:57 PM
367  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 12, 2016, 10:31:26 PM

are there really that many people who see it sitting at 250 for like 18 months who suddenly decide to buy when it's 600+?
Absolutely, these are the people buying in now.
368  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 12, 2016, 10:16:10 PM
Stores worldwide are running out of popcorn...
369  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 12, 2016, 12:07:35 PM
This is a bit too volatile , and unhealthy growth. I hate to see what will happen with mainstream adoption... shudders...

Still very little news and press coverage outside of our circles -

https://www.google.com/trends/explore#q=bitcoin&date=today%201-m&cmpt=date&tz=Etc%2FGMT%2B6

Very few mainstream interest. We are still obscure and are seeing a very small percentage of 1.4 billion Chinese shore up the price due to increased need for capital flight.

When we pass 1100 USD , and the press starts covering this expect much higher volatility.
Always a good sign when bulls worry about the price increasing too fast  Cool
370  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 12, 2016, 11:00:45 AM
644 hellz yeah  Grin
371  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 12, 2016, 12:09:35 AM

remember that asshole?  Grin


somebody post a laughing tinkerbell ...
372  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 11, 2016, 11:54:37 PM

Need a few regular corrections so it doesn't get too overheated.


Taking a breather here would indeed be normal (but we could just as well rocket away some more)
373  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 11, 2016, 11:51:03 PM
614.23 BFX, rocket going fast
374  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 11, 2016, 11:37:23 PM
Yeehaw  Grin
375  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 09, 2016, 07:29:55 PM
Good morning Bitcoinland.

Still battling over $580 I see.

Coiling for the next big leg up, presumably. Past $610 this time?
Hope so, don't know to what degree the bank holidays on BFX will affect price in the short term.
376  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 09, 2016, 06:20:17 AM
What is ETH actually for? What's so good about it?

I no nothing about it apart from its premined right? And there is no cap.

What are the good points?

It can do everything that bitcoin can, plus can scale and do stuff that bitcoiners used to talk about, like smart contracts.
Oh, did I mention it's not a SHA256 coin, meaning it's not controlled by the Chinese exchange/mining cartel?

But, to be honest, that's just a backstory too, like people totally using BTC because it's simpler than using a CC. In truth, it's just a really profitable coin with good volume Smiley

Mind to give a proof about eth can scale ?

Bitcoin is a supersecure blockchain, other thinks can be bulid on top of it, e.g. rootstock or lightning .  No need for fancy feutures. Just a good secure protocol.

And if bitcoin enters the next hyper bubble the red candle in your eth chart will be EPIC.

Well, the basic idea was, to make a decentralized network computer executing smart-contracts (not especially for a currency function, more like automated "transactions", colour tokens (like open company shares), crowdfunding (like this DAO monstrosity:)), where ether is the "fuel" to run the scripts. So it is highly different from the Bitcoin network in regard of its purpose.

But, there are problems with this idea. Both technical and social:

1. it uses a Turing-complete scripting language, so it can create infinite loops - this is supposed to be negated by using ether for every processing cycle, but still can jam up the network for awhile in theory, it is an attack vector;

2. the problem of scaling: it can not, because, every script (smart contract) must be run by every node, or the network spilt, so it can get much-much-much more hardware heavy than processing a ~300 bytes bitcoin tx.
Also, the ORDERING is different (and uncontrollable) for different nodes - because how data propagates on a network, which can totally fukup the whole idea of interdependent contracting aka: the order how script I. or script II. occupies/operates in the next block can be paramount, if scI depends on the execution of scII., and they get implemented in a different time order, they crush (fail to run, since the dependency is behind the execution order for every node downloading the new block with executable scripts -"transactions").
In short, the interblock ordering of "transactions" are not necessarily interchangeable, while in bitcoin, they are! That is a key technical unavoidable difference. The proposed solution, to split the nodes to process different executable is against the basic idea, and creates more profound problems...

3. strictly speaking, Ethereum has no (yet) known enforceable, algorithmic monetary policy (we do not know if it is fixed at what number or what is the inflation rate if not, how exactly will it transform into the PoS consensus, also, PoS can not work on the long run, because it has too many attack vectors, especially with a script running environment). Also, pre-mined -huge red flag -, which means very strong centralization, and direct control over the protocol in few hands (remember, no anonym PoW random nonce mining took place, because, premining!!!).

In bitcoin, after and since the genesis block, anyone can see the unchangeable monetary policy: 21mil coins, reward drop after every 210,000 blocks, PoW consensus.

4. those who were studying the DAO made it obvious - even before the shameful "IPO" ended -, that you can not use the same token directly for financing actual projects, while the investor's tokens are both committed (frozen), and an external force (the market price of ETH) can interfere with those project's financial plans. (If the DAO commits say, 100k ether to a project, which is supposed to worth $100k, but suddenly ETH drops 10%, they won't be able to pay the contractors, and they already committed, and can not change their "votes", while can not have enough $ - unless the contractor takes ETH, but than he faces the same problem - DAO could work, IF crypto would only be the de facto world currency, but only than).

5. Assmaster, i disagree. Bitcoin is scaling, BECAUSE it is a dumb network (LN for example). Just like Ethernet, or tcp/ip, they are dumb, but additional layers can use the easy, secure, simple basis of it. Ethereum is too complicated in itself to be layered on, forces way too complicated and self-conflicting goals to nodes, and never actually was designed to be a currency (it is a script running network platform, not designed to be an immutable, decentralized trust network with several exahash/s security power).

Thanks for the interesting write-up.
BTW, I can't help but find it comical that at the bottom of a detailed analysis, someone sincerely addresses another party as "assmaster".   Cheesy Long live the internet !
377  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 08, 2016, 11:08:42 PM
583. Buy high sell at 32,000 in < 2 years  Grin
Adam, you are the only guy who I think is being ambiguous when he says "buy high" ...
378  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 08, 2016, 11:38:04 AM
..and longs a LOT lower. But it'll probably only go higher as speculation peaks before the halvening, hope a lot of those longs are in etherpoop too
True, but I doubt most are in etherpoop.  The thing is, most of the time big long positions are a recipe for disaster, which is why I was reluctant to jump into the breakout at first, but if speculators can correctly predict an influx of new money, then we are A-OK, and I think this has been happening.  People who were interested in bitcoin before, and have been following it a bit are deciding they don't want to miss the train, and jumping on.  The real bubble starts when we reach the people who haven't seriously considered investing yet.

The bull in me agrees, think(hope?) market is underestimating the effects and coverage of the halvening, expecting some wild swings during this month

Kinda scared me when longs went full retard and ate up all the swaps causing the daily rate on finex to jump to  above 0.5%. If it'd held that would squeeze a lot of them
I think upcoming scalability improvements, the end of previous bubble deflating and the worst of the "bitcoin civil war" being over are also positive price factors. Could still be a bumpy ride though  Smiley .
379  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 08, 2016, 11:22:23 AM
..and longs a LOT lower. But it'll probably only go higher as speculation peaks before the halvening, hope a lot of those longs are in etherpoop too
True, but I doubt most are in etherpoop.  The thing is, most of the time big long positions are a recipe for disaster, which is why I was reluctant to jump into the breakout at first, but if speculators can correctly predict an influx of new money, then we are A-OK, and I think this has been happening.  People who were interested in bitcoin before, and have been following it a bit are deciding they don't want to miss the train, and jumping on.  The real bubble starts when we reach the people who haven't seriously considered investing yet.
380  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 08, 2016, 11:15:25 AM
There is nothing theoretically preventing the price from dropping and miners going bankrupt, inducing lower difficulty.  
Theoretically everything is possible but not always!
I think this has actually happened before for brief periods.

Anyways, looks like we are heading up again.  Go BTC  Grin

Reassuring to see a little nibble but will need lots more, still BTC15k are stacked till $650 on Finex someone cashing in big time
Eventually the movement of the ocean will erode even the strongest walls  Wink



EDIT: It would be comforting to see BTC shorts a bit higher though.
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