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421  Economy / Speculation / Re: What is wash or box trading? on: December 03, 2015, 12:31:47 PM
I've been researching about what affect the price of bitcoins and I've come across this term that I cannot comprehend since English is not my first language am not really good at it. To quote and unquote what I read "the price is being bid up and up by trading bots and box accounts selling coins back and forth with no ownership change (wash or box trading) to drive the price up."

"Wash trading" is when one person (or company) trades with itself, to make the price seem higher. The text you're quoting suggests that a trader uses two different "bots" (computer software) to trade - right now the BTC/USD price is around $360, and this trader sets one of the bots to offer 1 BTC for $365. The other bot then accepts the offer (it buys the BTC), and the BTC/USD is now $365. At this point the trader hasn't gained or lost any money - they've paid an extra $5 for 1 BTC, but they paid it to themselves. Next, they try and sell more BTC for $365, but to a "real" trader. If they succeed, they've driven the price of BTC up and made a small profit.

I'm sure this does happen, but I'm not convinced it's that big a problem. There's a great book about a stock trader from around 100 years ago. One of the pieces of advice he gives is "As I have said a thousand times, no manipulation can put stocks down and keep them down." In other words, it is possible to manipulate markets and change the price for a short time, but keeping the price at a "fake" level is much harder.
422  Economy / Speculation / Re: ~360 - Break out up, or down? on: December 03, 2015, 10:43:56 AM
The current exchanges allow it to be used for pump and dump activities. If we had 1 global exchange with 1 orderbook, just like for example the Nasdaq. That will make it much harder for people to manipulate the price. Right now there are plenty of orderbooks which of most of them are a joke.

That's pretty easy to do with stocks - the exchange simply says a condition of being listed on the exchange is that it's solely listed on that exchange, and no others.

I'm not sure it's possible with FX, though - the market is decentralised already, you can trade Renminbi (CNH) in London, GBP in Singapore and USD pretty much anywhere.

Ultimately I think it'll be the BTC market maturing that'll have the best chance of solving this. (Though I can still remember Soros manipulating GBP in the 80s, so a perfect solution may not be possible).
423  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 02, 2015, 09:47:54 PM

Yup, it's the wee lamb. Lamb, maybe go back and read what you're replying to, and your own posts. Take your time. Your language skills aren't great, and one area they really seem to fall down is when dealing with non-native English, but what megges said is perfectly clear. Desperately trying to read too much into what other people have said is one of your more obnoxious tells.

Incidentally, there are terraced houses down the street from me that cost more than £400k. The poor lower-middle class families who reside there will love to know you're so concerned about what they'll do when they sell their homes, should British banks follow this German example.

Fuck you, my English's just fine Smiley

Re. "terraced houses down the street from me that cost more than £400k":
They own those £400k houses & have over over €500,000 (£393,000) sitting in the bank? Because banks don't charge you interest for living in your hose.
And these poor souls, with half a mil in the bank, living in a half-mil house, they're lower-middle class?! LOWER-middle class Huh?
A-fucking-mazing Roll Eyes

Tell me again about your fine English. Sorry, I'm making a gross assumption. I'm assuming that this is an example of your language skills, but I suppose you may simply not realise that when people sell their homes it normally - via various lawyers' accounts - results in money entering their bank account. Not for very long, typically, because they'll probably want to buy a new house to live in as soon as possible. But still - money in their account.

Wee lamb, I'm sticking you on ignore. No doubt you or an alt will carry on without me. Go wild.
424  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 02, 2015, 09:19:01 PM
The post is written in the present tense, "if i have a large amount of money at the bank i have to pay negative interest rates" Sad
IF what you suggest is true, the quoted text would read thusly:
"if i have a large amount of money at the bank, and if the banks still charged negative interest rate on deposits of over €500,000, which they once did but no longer do, i have to pay negative interest rates." Sad

If that was the case, I would probably reply that as much as my heart bleeds for those with over €500,000 (£393,000) sitting in the bank (while half of the world is living on less than $2/day), life is unfair -- try to suck it up.
 

Yup, it's the wee lamb. Lamb, maybe go back and read what you're replying to, and your own posts. Take your time. Your language skills aren't great, and one area they really seem to fall down is when dealing with non-native English, but what megges said is perfectly clear. Desperately trying to read too much into what other people have said is one of your more obnoxious tells.

Incidentally, there are terraced houses down the street from me that cost more than £400k. The poor lower-middle class families who reside there will love to know you're so concerned about what they'll do when they sell their homes, should British banks follow this German example.
425  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 02, 2015, 09:00:43 PM
what makes me really sick in all this is, if i have a large amount of money at the bank i have to pay negative interest rates (here in germany a few banks are pulling that off already), and on the other hand if i use my credit line i have to pay between 9 and 15% annually, too - win win for the banks, lose lose for the normal guys.
Which German bank is charging you negative interest rates? AFAIK only business accounts. And why would you use credit *at any rate* if you can spend money you're basically paying to store?
You sure you're not just making this shit up?


Deutsche Skatbank, late last year:

Quote
Those with deposits of more than €500,000 (£393,000), will, rather than receiving interest on their deposits, have an interest rate of -0.25pc per annum. However, the bank said it would only actually apply this if balances went above €3m.

You need to re-read megges' post. They didn't say they'd use credit when then had money in a negative-interest account. Both halves of the sentence started with "if" - the point was that the banking industry gets you both ways. Bit weird, if you ask me, that you'd immediately assume stupidity rather than good faith. A bit... lamby.
426  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Service Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: Scrypt.CC | Scrypt Cloud Mining on: December 02, 2015, 05:22:59 PM
CEO of "cloud mining operation" charged with running a ponzi.

Not scrypt.cc (yet), but it highlights the risks with cloud mining - both for potential investors, and (fortunately) for scammy CEOs etc.

Quote
Garza claimed that GAW Miners and Zen Miners mined Bitcoin... In reality, Garza devoted “little or no computing power toward any mining activity,” according to an SEC statement.
427  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 02, 2015, 02:28:53 PM
Yup. 24/7/3666
All the world was asleep. Only Baba Yaga sat awake, in her creaky rocking chair, scowling, gnawing on a bone...

BTW, re. overpriced coffee: Bitcoiners think that the cost of a cup of coffee is (the price of coffee grounds) + (usurious profit).
The thought that (price of coffee grounds) = (insignificant, compared to the overheads) never enters the mind.
No wonder you think that trustless blockchain is going to save banks billions quantillions of $.

Please tell me you don't play professional poker or work for an espionage agency, wee lamb. Your tells are as blatant as they are cutely naive in a "I'd be offended at the gross and incorrect assumptions, if I didn't know the poor wee lamb has a saviour complex and deserves our pity, not our scorn" sort of way.
428  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 02, 2015, 11:09:08 AM
There should be more than enough FUD news in the shitload of new threads started today by newbies with random user names like FW8Dt5, Jd19bW, C6H68g, and ALlYg8. I haven't got round to reading any of them yet because they all look like the work of the same person whose choices of user names are so random that they would make good passwords.

<edit>

That was fast, the mods have deleted all those threads apart from one by ALlYg8.

I skimmed them on the way to the "report" button. Sadly there was no new FUD Sad It was all copy-n-paste trollery.

It's not all sad, uninspiring news however. We can deduce from the trollage that the trolls' pay-master wants to buy, albeit at slightly cheaper prices. Bullish?!
429  Economy / Speculation / Re: Warren Buffet advise not to buy bitcoin. Expect bitcoin price to collapse. on: December 02, 2015, 10:26:53 AM
Buffett has been all about "value investing" for most of Berkshire Hathaway's existance.

 Bitcoin is FAR too speculative for him to have any liking for it.



Agreed. I think his position is mostly reasonable, to be honest. You know his saying about his aunt, that if he can't explain an investment to her he won't recommend it? I think that's a great policy, and I think it's only sensible that he stays away from  Bitcoin. (Obviously, I believe I can explain Bitcoin to my aunt, and I do hold and trade BTC).

Where I think he's gone too far is in attempting to explain Bitcoin. I'd have a lot more respect for him if he said something like "I don't understand Bitcoin, so I can't recommend it" instead of (paraphrasing) "I think I understand Bitcoin and it's like cheques or money orders or something and I wouldn't invest in them, so I can't recommend it".
430  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: December 02, 2015, 10:15:25 AM
Have you ever wondered what makes idiots pay several dollars for a cup of coffee? Well, apart from them being idiots of course. It´s really strange, what with the extreme oversupply of coffee, the price of coffee is at a 30-year low. This chart only goes back 20 years though.

[...]


I always assumed that the people selling coffee to idiots wouldn't be paying the spot price for coffee but instead paying a premium for coffee forwards or futures, so they could guarantee they stayed in business if the spot price suddenly rocketed.

Their customers are still idiots, though.
431  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Best way to earn Bitcoins? on: December 01, 2015, 05:51:36 PM
I found MMMGlobal.info to be the best way to get Bitcoins..

it seems suspicious kind a ponzi or something like this, how it work exactly?

According to the Wikipedia article on Sergei Mavrodi (the creator of both the old - ponzi - MMM and the new MMM) it's a pyramid scheme. I've seen an article where Mavrodi acknowledges pyramid schemes are illegal in the EU, but wants to expand into the EU anyway.

Ponzis and pyramids are similar. The main difference is that with a ponzi Mavrodi would act as a "hub", and payments would flow to him. With a pyramid scheme payments are made to the person "above" you in the pyramid - typically the person who recruited you to the scheme. Mavrodi sits at the top of the pyramid, and will gain from payments from the people immediately below him.
432  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 30, 2015, 05:59:04 PM
is bitfinex really flat , or is it just bitcoinity?

Bitcoinwisdom too. Almost an hour flat-lining. Looks like it's recovered now, though.
433  Economy / Speculation / Re: Will BTC reach $500 during november? on: November 30, 2015, 03:07:13 PM
Well a few hours from now will be December so I doubt that will reach 500 dollars.
If some meracle will happen that myabe it will happen, but I don't think so.

But actually in this november the highest was 408 dollar.

I don't know if that was a typo, but it went beyond 500 USD on most exchanges in early November.

Your link is broken, seems to be a bitcoin address. Yeah it did go beyond 500 pretty much everywhere and it jumped from 200 to 500 in a matter of days, even in a few hours it went from 300 to 400, anything can happen, bitcoin has proven it a few times already back in 2013 aswell.

Oops, shoddy copying and pasting Sad It was the last part of the URL - http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/bitstampUSD#rg60zczsg2015-10-31zeg2015-11-30ztgSzm1g10zm2g25zv
434  Economy / Speculation / Re: Will BTC reach $500 during november? on: November 30, 2015, 11:29:15 AM
Well a few hours from now will be December so I doubt that will reach 500 dollars.
If some meracle will happen that myabe it will happen, but I don't think so.

But actually in this november the highest was 408 dollar.

I don't know if that was a typo, but it went beyond 500 USD on most exchanges in early November.
435  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy BTC Now Or Wait Till Exchange Rate Drops In January? on: November 30, 2015, 09:17:33 AM
Wait at least until merchants/payment processors dump the Black Friday coin.

Is this tired old trope still doing the rounds? A Bitpay employee let slip that the majority of their coins go straight to OTC buyers who are waiting for them.

>Bitpay employee let slip
Hahahaha where were you wen I was selling the Brooklyn Bridge Cheesy


If you were Bitpay and had OTC customers lined up - you'd unload BTC on exchanges?

We should enter into a business partnership - I have one meelion BTC and a bridge to sell.
436  Other / Politics & Society / Re: BREAKING: RUSSIA STRIKES TURKISH CONVOY AMID AIRSPACE DISPUTE on: November 28, 2015, 10:21:32 AM
Bro plane came down on 31 october here is the link

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-34687990

Bro price had been rising all through October. It actually saw a fall on 31 October, before resuming its climb for a few days.
437  Other / Politics & Society / Re: BREAKING: RUSSIA STRIKES TURKISH CONVOY AMID AIRSPACE DISPUTE on: November 28, 2015, 10:15:29 AM
so no more war topics on a speculation forum i understand , you guys like going to a restaurant and talking about food and other restaurants . Or going on a holiday resort with your friends and talking about other resorts and how good it was there. I mean you guys must be boring in real life, wtf.  Wink



Or, you know, post in the relevant section. I'm assuming you don't go to the supermarket and ask to see a doctor, right? Or go to the library to fill your car up with petrol? By partitioning the forum into different sections it's possible to have these new things called "on-topic discussions" that the kids seem to be into.
438  Other / Politics & Society / Re: BREAKING: RUSSIA STRIKES TURKISH CONVOY AMID AIRSPACE DISPUTE on: November 28, 2015, 09:57:16 AM
Any unrest might stimulate bitcoin... - might, yes.

...as it is not influenced by any government politics or economic problems. - like Greece, Cyprus, the imposition or relaxation of capital controls in China? Nope, I'm calling "nonsense" on this part.

If this stuff keeps escalating it might become interesting. - it's interesting now, it's just not interesting in a "Bitcoin speculation" sense, but in a "Politics and society" sense.


Yes war stimulates economy,
And in ww2 gold was chased by germans and hidden by allies,stored by the swiss etc... ( is china the new switzerland if btc is the new gold?)
but war can also create huge debt in fiat economy
still thinking that price is also linked to politics
http://www.awesomescreenshot.com/image/790418/666f51e60c9873bada554393fe6573d7

Discussions like yours take place all the time in the Politics and Society section, a section of this forum devoted to discussing politics, society, and their relevance to Bitcoin. This section of the forum is for discussing speculating with BTC. Think about it - are you really going to post in the Speculation section every time something happens in the world? There's a massive crisis in Northern Syria right now, with things happening every day. If these events had any significant impact on the price of BTC don't you think we'd have evidenced that by now? Despite your high hopes, we didn't see a major rise when that Russian jet went down - in fact we saw a fall a few days later. These events you're posting - I understand that they seem really important (from a BTC-perspective), but honestly - they're not.

I think someone else in this thread has already tackled the "war == profits!!!1!" belief far more eloquently than I could, but honestly I see these mini-war posts as leading to the same nonsensical argument - if the major powers get drawn into a hot conflict between themselves, instead of their proxies, it is not going to be Bitcoin's golden age - it's going to be war, and it's going to be hell.

PS. That image you posted. The Russian jet went down towards the end of the steep rise, a rise that had gone on for a couple of months. BTC prices fell a few days later. If you want credible evidence for your assumption, go back over a few years and compare geo-political events with BTC price. If you can't be bothered doing that, at least cherry-pick your data a bit more carefully.
439  Economy / Speculation / Re: What about Bitcoin binary options? on: November 28, 2015, 09:37:57 AM
Coinut do binaries, as well as European-style vanillas. As far as I know Coinut are the only site to do vanillas, but there are a few sites doing binaries - I've only tried Coinut however (buying and selling - from memory at least one of the binary-only sites only allowed buying options, not selling/writing).

There was a discussion above about whether binaries are gambling. My understanding is that there are differing views - in the UK they were until recently classified as "fixed odds bets", but are now being reclassified as "financial instruments". Other regulatory authorities have different and sometimes contrary views.
440  Other / Politics & Society / Re: BREAKING: RUSSIA STRIKES TURKISH CONVOY AMID AIRSPACE DISPUTE on: November 28, 2015, 08:47:45 AM
The OP has previous.

Remember when there was yet another incident in an ongoing conflict and BTC hit $1000 in a week? No? Me neither.

Any unrest might stimulate bitcoin as it is not influenced by any government politics or economic problems.

If this stuff keeps escalating it might become interesting.

Thank you

Any unrest might stimulate bitcoin... - might, yes.

...as it is not influenced by any government politics or economic problems. - like Greece, Cyprus, the imposition or relaxation of capital controls in China? Nope, I'm calling "nonsense" on this part.

If this stuff keeps escalating it might become interesting. - it's interesting now, it's just not interesting in a "Bitcoin speculation" sense, but in a "Politics and society" sense.
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