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421  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Bitcoin myths on: November 05, 2023, 11:46:36 PM
5.   Bitcoin isn't real money: like I said earlier, Bitcoin is considered legal tender in some countries and most stores and employee accepts Bitcoin as a mode of payment so Bitcoin is real money.


Where exactly do most stores accept BTC? Because I have a feeling that it's the opposite and only a tiny minority of businesses accepts BTC.

I think it's foolish to argue that Bitcoin is not widely accepted, but not widely accepted money is still money. Bitcoin has liquidity, fungibility, it's resistant to damage and has a lot of other properties that are desirable in money.
422  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Does a rotation of a DCA HODLing account wallet, guarantee safety from hackers? on: November 05, 2023, 11:20:53 PM
If a whale investor has done well to DCA Bitcoins and have accumulated enough for a while now, and is trying to keep such enormous amount of Bitcoin safe from hackers or scammers, is one of the best ways not to just rotate the DCA holdings annually or periodically between safer wallets, to keep it safe?
Does such kind of rotation of holdings guarantee it's safe from hackers or scammers?

There are no attacks in Bitcoin that target a specific address or wallet. Hackers steal coins by spreading malware across the Internet, hoping that eventually it will reach a crypto holder. Or if they know an identity of a holder, they can send them an email or a message with malware or malicious link.

So it's important to protect your privacy, never interact with anything unsafe and keep your wallets isolated from the Internet.
423  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Using TV( GOTV, DSTV) monthly subscription money to invest in bitcoin on: November 05, 2023, 11:16:01 PM
What do you all think about this idea?

What is there to think, saving money is always good. Just don't expect to get super rich from a small investment, because you need money to make money. The days of 100x returns in Bitcoin are gone, so the most realistic scenario is that if you'll save a year worth of tv subscription you'll make 3-5 years worth of tv subscriptions if you invest the money in BTC.
424  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Mining with the use of Natural Gas on: November 04, 2023, 11:46:12 PM
This isn't the first time a politician proposes the government to start mining BTC, and it certainly will not be the last, but is there any track record of any politician actually launching such project? It's easy to make proposals and promises, and it can be quite hard to deliver even something as simple as a working Bitcoin mining operation owned or subsidized by the government.
425  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: [Guide] What is recommended to follow "Social Media Or DYOR" in the crypto world on: November 04, 2023, 11:35:03 PM
What is even DYOR in crypto? Tehnical analysis? That might not work on heavily manipulated "good projects" aka shitcoins. Fundamental analysis? Anyone with some basic understanding will see that those coins are scams or doomed. So analyzing social media trends is actually a viable DYOR in crypto if you can predict where the hype will flow next, you just shouldn't ever allow yourself to genuinely believe in the coin that you are buying (if it's not BTC).
426  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: First buy Bitcoin as a newbie, good way to start. on: November 04, 2023, 11:24:26 PM
So if you have the money to buy some Bitcoin,  why not buy first and thereafter learn along the way and keep practising the few things that you learn, e.g DCA approach,

Buying before doing research is never a good idea, especially not with Bitcoin which has certain common pitfalls like keep coins on exchange, losing the backup, downloading a fake wallet, etc. But the amount of knowledge required to invest in Bitcoin is greatly overestimated. All that people NEED to know is the basics of how to not lose their coins and why they should just hold for long term and wait. That's it, there is no "journey" or "learning", more advanced topics aren't really needed for investors.
427  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: WHAT'S SPECIAL ABOUT THE UPCOMING BITCOIN HALVING 2024 on: November 04, 2023, 11:03:18 PM
-ETFs and institutional interest

That's exactly what we had during the previous halvening. Let's see if the same hype will be able to drive the market up for the second time or not. I have some doubts, but also won't be surprised if it'll work again.

-Bitcoiner politicians

Quite few of them and they don't stand a chance of getting elected. And Bukele got elected back in 2019.

- Interest rate pivot

2020 was even more interesting - a global economic recession caused by covid.
428  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Bitcoin, when to buy on: November 03, 2023, 11:54:21 PM
Bitcoin in the past demonstrated strong cyclic behavior with bull and bear markets, which makes it simple to suggest investing in bear market. We are currently in the final months of a bear market, according to this pattern, and will be leaving it after the halvening. If you have funds, it's better to put them into BTC now, than to stretch it over some period of time. DCA yields better results if the price keeps going down, but if it goes up, then you'll be getting less coins.
429  Economy / Speculation / Re: back in 2015 we had a nice pre 1/2 ing streak. on: November 03, 2023, 11:43:39 PM
so we only need do 8x that to go over 500k and a 10 trillion cap.


Well, that's kinda my point, in the past 8x was easily doable because the price/marketcap was so low that it didn't require a lot of money to enter Bitcoin to achieve such movement. But adding trillions to marketcap is going to be hard, it would put Bitcoin in the same league as gold, and gold is desired by everyone on this planet, while Bitcoin not so much.

I can imagine the price reaching $500k for a day or two during the peak of a bull run, but it will crash hard after that to $100k.
430  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is the irreversibility of Bitcoin transactions a downside for an average person? on: November 03, 2023, 11:35:01 PM
In our world a lot more people are senders rather than receivers.

I don't get the statement, every sender implies reciever on the other end.


This doesn't mean that there's an equal proportion between senders and receivers. Most people have their salary as the main source of income, and they get it typically once per month. Most of their transactions are sending - they are paying for goods and services. Meanwhile merchants are receivers, they receive thousands upon thousands of transactions per month, and in comparison send only a little.
431  Economy / Speculation / Re: back in 2015 we had a nice pre 1/2 ing streak. on: November 02, 2023, 11:57:10 PM
I don't expect the growth rates of the past to repeat this time, because back then there was a lot of room for price growth - the price increase of only $100 was doubling the price or increasing it by half. Today $100 increase is just noise, a lot more money is needed to move the market, and I'm not sure that such money is available. So I keep by expectations modest and believe it will take some time to reach the previous ATH and we won't go too far past it. In this model going 10-20% up every month seems too fast.
432  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is the irreversibility of Bitcoin transactions a downside for an average person? on: November 02, 2023, 11:46:09 PM
I consider myself an average person. I'm fairly careful and attentive, but not extra careful, and my understanding of financial operations is generally pretty basic. I've only had to reverse a transaction once on my life, and that was because of a bug when I was paying with card in a supermarket in a foreign country, when the first transaction seemingly didn't go through, and then I was charged the same amount of money twice. Such a bug would not have occurred with blockchain, so it's an exception.

In general, I don't think much of reversibility of financial transactions and don't need this feature. It's not easy to do anyway, as one needs to convince the bank that there was a mistake. As for crypto transactions, there are indeed some nice stories of mistakes getting resolved.
To me, BTC irreversibility is neutral: I don't benefit from it, but I'm okay with it.

My experience is pretty similar, and I think most users of banks and payment apps never have to reverse a transaction in their life, but the feeling of safety that comes from knowing that it could theoretically be done could be important to some people, and in that light they could view Bitcoin more negatively if they know that their mistake is nearly impossible to fix.
433  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Bitcoin is magic internet money on: November 01, 2023, 11:46:23 PM
Bitcoin might be not really money – but it's internet money.

Bitcoin is not physical money, but it's not real money. Money in PayPal or Visa are also not physical, but no one says they are not real, and they are accepted for any goods just easily as cash


And Bitcoin doesn't really exist, it's just code and we can "see" it in our wallet, we can't touch it like real cash, because it's only 0 or 1 (or hashs).


Yes, just like Visa, PayPal, Venmo and so on. In this regard they are same as Bitcoin.


The meme "magic internet money" comes from the difficulty of explaining how it works, so it's jokingly called "magic".
434  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is the irreversibility of Bitcoin transactions a downside for an average person? on: November 01, 2023, 11:38:15 PM
for centuries people used cash/coins. where it got physically handed over to a recipient and if you wanted it back you had to plead to the receiver with good reason

with digital bank accounts you still need to ask a bank.. *

With physical money you will likely be able to talk with the receiver, but with digital money you might accidentally send it to someone you don't know, or the receiver might be unresponsive for some reason.

I think that the average user must be happy to know that once in his wallet, his BTC has no chance of disappearing because of a potentially reversible transaction. Nope?

Especially long term HODLers

The average user receives their coins from a "reliable" source - an exchange, their employer, etc. Those are not likely to chargeback if they could.
435  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Is the irreversibility of Bitcoin transactions a downside for an average person? on: October 31, 2023, 11:41:36 PM
So I saw this topic about succesfully returned accidental transaction and it provoked some thoughts.

Those that send money generally want to have an option to reverse the transaction if there's a mistake or if they didn't receive what they wanted. Those that receive money want transactions be irreversible to not get scammed by chargebacks.

In our world a lot more people are senders rather than receivers. An average person receives money once or typically a few times per month and then does dozens or hundreds of payments. And since they receive money from an employer, it's unlikely they will get scammed.

So why should the people who almost always send money praise Bitcoin's irreversibility if they personally don't directly benefit from it? Should they hope that merchants will lower the prices because they won't have to deal with chargebacks?


P. S. - this is not a topic about whether Bitcoin's irreversibility is objectively good or bad; it's about the perspective of average person today and what they need from their payment system in their life.
436  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How to value bitcoin and cryptocurrencies? on: October 31, 2023, 11:11:37 PM
No one has derived any method for that, and no one has ever tried to seriously do it, at least to my knowledge. There are some very naive models, like thinking that Bitcoin's marketcap should be equal to the sum of all wealth, or all fiat currencies, but it's obviously useless.

It's just impossible to put a price tag on the properties that Bitcoin provides - being your own bank, censorship resistance, etc.

And currently Bitcoin is still in speculation phase where a lot of users just buy it to sell later, and this is the main drive behind supply and demand rather than Bitcoin's fundamentals.
437  Economy / Economics / Re: Isn't Fiat the Real Ponzi on: October 30, 2023, 11:53:07 PM
I also saw Elon in a tweet saying or calling fiat a Ponzi scheme. People suffer to get fiat and lose it on high food prices and products. In a Ponzi, everyone end up losing money, same with fiat. A good number of people around me complain of not being able to purchase product with a fair sum of money they feel is big.

Elon Musk brainfarts a lot of stupid things. Fiat currency system has no characteristics of a Ponzi scheme. Early holders of fiat don't benefit from being early, in fact they lost the most. Someone who decided to put $1M into cash 50 years ago is a lot more today than if they put it into real estate or gold or nearly any other asset.

The previous generations didn't benefit from fiat, they benefited from technological progress, post-WW2 rebuilding, urbanization and other things. Nowadays the living space is becoming more saturated, maybe even hitting its limits, and the previous economic growth rates of the boom period can't be repeated.
438  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: A Simple Reason Why Bitcoin is not Money on: October 30, 2023, 11:38:55 PM
All we need to do is answer the following question: can Bitcoin be used for a concrete, practical purpose besides being traded? And here the answer is resolutely - no.

First, yes - Bitcoin sometimes is used for payments. Not often, but still far from never.

Second - gold is no longer used for payments, but it's still money - it's something that has value, has liquidity, retains its value, and is actually used as a store of value. Bitcoin shares these properties with gold.

Bitcoin could be overpriced because too many investors only buy it to sell later for a profit, but it's still very far from worthless - if Bitcoin's price was constant, it would still be owned by a lot of people who need its properties.
439  Economy / Economics / Re: Steam drops support for 2 fiat currencies over their volatlity on: October 30, 2023, 11:26:40 PM
I would have not expected Steam to stop supporting the Argentina Peso, to be honest.
Argentina is obviously one of the most important markets in Latinmerica for steam, obviously, people from that country will try to find new methods to continue to buy there through the use of USA dollars, like we do here in Venezuela, our currency is not supported either.

Also, perhaps not many of you know this, but many people from around the continent take advantage of the prices in Argentina to buy games cheaper both in the Steam shop and also in the Nintendo shop. Companies are aware of the economical crisis in Argentina, so they other their games way cheaper, so what people do is to try to change their accounts settings so the company believe the user is from Argentina allowing them to buy 60$ games for 30$.
That situation is detrimental to both developers and the store, equally.

Well it's not like Steam is leaving the region - the players will have to pay with USD, or their local currency will get automatically converted to USD with their banks fees, and the prices will still have regional pricing but in USD. But the costs will definitely rise for the players, unfortunately, partially because there will no be inflation effect, and partially because the store will raise the prices.
440  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The possibility of another bitcoin hardfork. on: October 29, 2023, 11:52:08 PM
This has already been discussed. It's not easy to takeover Bitcoin, because Bitcoin is not only the network and miners but the users too. Without having the majority of everyone onboard - miners, exchanges, businesses, developers, community, holders and so on - this would be nothing but a costly and failed attempt of takeover. Something like what happened with SegWit2x.

And I don't think that Blackrock put that clause with intention of artificially fulfilling it, it's just a contingency for an edge case.
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