Bitcoin Forum
May 26, 2024, 08:28:06 AM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: « 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 [23] 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 »
441  Economy / Economics / Re: How much did your salary increase over the past 5 years? on: September 10, 2014, 02:40:43 PM
Lots - 5 years ago I was unemployed, today I am not.
442  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: September 10, 2014, 02:38:20 PM
Re: iWatch... I mean Apple Watch:

"It also comes with Apple Pay so you can use your watch like a credit card, and trust us, Apple will keep your banking information very secure; just like all those nude pics..."  Undecided

they can't call it iWatch as that's the name of the program they gave to the govt to use with cctv cameras
443  Economy / Speculation / Re: The Bubble Can Wait. on: September 10, 2014, 01:19:04 PM
falling you have serious issues.
He/she/it's a model citizen of the new world, too dumb to get a real job or question orders Wink

+1 to the OP, bitcoin speculators are mostly a dead-weight by-product of an obsolete system with a "greed is good" mentality.

Nah the guy has been paid to post here to try to hold the price down.
I can't imagine why any large investors would want to hold the price down while they buy in with the first 30-50% of their fund. Can you? Amass 20K coins at <500, then have the trolls reverse their position and buy the next 20K coins, hey presto fund NAV a few 100%, and the fund still has money to invest to support the price and drive it even higher.
444  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 10, 2014, 10:31:17 AM

applepay looks like same old credit card turd wrapped up in shiny new apple packaging wrapper ... right?

and we all know that credit card is old expensive tech., someone will have to pay for that somewhere along the line, odds on it will be the users, one way or the other.

And there will the inevitable hacks, frauds and inside jobs of the applepay centralised DB itself, while the currency units they use are devaluing too ... where's the upside?
+1,  just turns your phone into your debit card.
As long as the majority don't realise they are paying 3% more than they need to to use their debit/credit card they will keep doing so. BTC accepting merchants are not helping the situation because the vast majority do not offer discounts to use BTC, pocketing the difference themselves.
445  Economy / Speculation / Re: Here we are 24 hours after the Braintree/PayPal news.... on: September 10, 2014, 09:27:08 AM
we are still in a downtrend will lots of headwind.  Until the day when there's a reason for the average joe to buy bitcoin then spend - the supply / demand will be imbalance.
or until the halving,
446  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is it possible that 1 BTC be worth $2,000 by the end of 2015? on: September 03, 2014, 11:00:21 AM
Possible yes, statistically likely , personally I think no, here's hoping though.
This is a 20yr game now I am afraid, not a 2 yr.
447  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 03, 2014, 10:58:40 AM
Google market cap is almost 400.000.000.000,00 USD, so when BTC value will be equal to walue of
Google, BTC value will be approx. 28.000 USD

*shhhh* Stop posting all this bullish facts! How much further do you want to drag out this capitulation phase?  Cheesy

or at least use the word IF, instead of when, there is no guarantee
448  Economy / Speculation / Re: It'll be insanity not to buy bitcoin at sub $500 on: September 03, 2014, 08:54:29 AM
Actual production cost of one single bicoin is aroundt $530-$550. Any price below $500 is a steal. Buy now or regret years later. With difficulty ever increasing miners are getting screwed now cause anyone mining now is running at a loss.

Evidence Please?   This might be true of people who have to buy overly expensive miners - this is not true for those who have desigened and built their own chips.
449  Economy / Speculation / Re: Serious question. Who SELLS at this level? on: September 03, 2014, 08:51:40 AM
anyone who wants Fiat more than BTC will sell - that includes some Miners, some Merchants, some HODLRS, some discouraged bulls and the bears.
Define High and Low, just because the price is Low compared to last November, does not make it Low compare tod last April or last July. It might be lower tomorrow and it might be higher, but at the moment it appears that fiat inflow is not keeping up with coin sales.
450  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 02, 2014, 06:39:51 AM

This. If nothing else there is truly a problem for the brand when exchanges malfunction, when markets are manipulated by margin hunters, and when the price is more or less set by a Junta of pot heavy insiders. The new money is, almost by definition, not of the hodler/true believer mentality. They can be converted, but it takes a while... again, they are new. So, if they lose a bit here and there while learning that is great. If they get whipsawed to death by market activity that is unexplained by TA or news... you lose them. We are skirting near the territory where you are facing the potential of a long-term setback for adoption and support.

I think we are losing adoption NOW.  User numbers don't seem to be rising at all, and the main complaint is losing money on their investment.  I literally know no one else who owns coins anymore.  This manufactured drop from $600 is killing the tech. (Tes, exchange rates matter, trolls.)

Note that game theory says the price will trend to zero.  As long as there are hundreds of people with enough coins to play the dump game, one of them will continue doing it to make their extra 20 or 30 coins per day.  If you gave me 3k btc today, I could guarantee I would have 6k in 90 days.  The game is too easy.  

Those posters who say that the only people who care about the price (exchange rate) are get rich quick dreamers are deluded.  If I could buy a laptop with 2 bitcoins 3 months ago, but now need to use 3 btc, there is a serious problem.  And as long as 99.9% of goods require USD to purchase, the exchange rate is important.

I left out one point before: look at how much concentrated effort it took to break through support at 500.  Thousands and thousands and thousands of coins dumped to break support and make the dump game possible again.  How many of the big guys had to help to break through?  I sincerely thought it was impossible to reach 490...forgetting that there are single individuals with 50k coins who could wipe out the entire order book.

Now, explain to me how it is possible to have another bubble.  It will be a race to see who can dump fastest and hardest to make the biggest percentage gain on a thin order book.  IIRC, to cut the price 40% in November only took a 1k dump; stops triggered, margins called, panic selling, huge profit with no risk.  They won't be able to control themselves when the opportunity arises next time .

I will say this with all honesty: I no longer believe btc has any chance of being a serious currency due to its users.  I have always been a short term agnostic and long term bull.  I am full bear now.  I doubt that we will ever see 700 again, and 300's will be here soon.  The big guys are warning everyone everyday that they want lower prices.  Believe them.



It is debatable whether a rise/fall in the number of speculators indicates a rise/fall in the level of adoption.
451  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: August 20, 2014, 03:09:00 PM
now lets see if it can stay above 500
452  Economy / Speculation / Re: GABI to start trading on 9/1 on: August 01, 2014, 01:07:58 PM
they've had heavy interest and are expecting $200MM under management in a year's time.

Is the $200MM pure speculation by them or do they have confirmed some amount?

It's their most considered estimate - so yes it's a wild pulled out of the ar*e guess
453  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 31, 2014, 03:35:03 PM
So ISDA have been asked to rule on whether Argentina have defaulted on debt payments,
The last time Argentina defaulted (2001) their currency dropped in value by 70%, - how many Argentines want bitcoin today?
 
454  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 30, 2014, 11:32:31 AM
Dump looks like it happened around the same time the news came out that the European Court of Justice has been asked to rule on whether transactions with bitcoin should be VATable.
If they rule yes it will pretty much kill BTC in the eurozone.
this has been brought about because Swedish tax authorities are challenging the swedish court ruling that said VAT should not be charged
Case is C-264/14 Skatteverket v David Hedqvist according to the bloomberg article
455  Economy / Speculation / Re: Where to invest? on: July 30, 2014, 09:27:15 AM
definitely not CEX.io - you will never see a return on BTC there
Have a look on the likes of btc.jam, but there have been a series of scammers borrowing BTC there and defaulting.
456  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 30, 2014, 09:14:45 AM
Re the buying on Gox and selling in China - and the subsequent dump
It is highly likely that this was driven by a significant Chinese buyer in collusion with western based confederates seeking to remove their funds from China to evade the corruption probes that are ongoing within the Chinese state.
Someone or a group of someones wished to move USD millions from China into the West quickly (to evade confiscation) using methods that the PBOC were unable to trace. Acting in concert with a small group of westerners , who work orders for their client - buying bitcoin in the west and selling them in China to the client. This causes the initial increase in demand for coins (several 100,000 BTC) - call it $40-100mm CNY equivalent at prices below $500-$600.
(The westerners probably did this in exchange for a percentage cut of the USD amount successfully moved from China.)
This initial spike primes the bubble and unleashes the horde who then run the price up into the 1,000's, during which time the initial buyer(s) dump their coins via stamp , gox and other Western Exchanges, and continue to do so past the bubble (and possibly still continue to do), driving the price down until the initial investor is fully out of Bitcoin and into USD that the PBOC cannot trace.

Such an exercise would also explain the Chinese response to bitcoin and the Chinese authorities attempts to prevent fiat flows into BTC since the November/December bubble.
457  Economy / Speculation / Re: The 6th Bitcoin Bubble should come SOON... on: July 25, 2014, 12:27:51 PM
Im hopping for a larger period of stability actually. Feels good to be able to sleep at night in tranquility knowing it's still 600 territory. Also I need a bigger period to get more cheap BTC.

If there is another bubble coming - then these are the cheap BTC - you should buy them
458  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 24, 2014, 09:37:53 AM
someone post the anatomy of a bubble chart with an arrow pointing at "return to normal" saying "you are here".
I would like to see some major mining operations go down.
459  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 24, 2014, 09:29:24 AM
oh my god we are approaching $615 again , run, run, run   - this is sarcasm by the way.
460  Economy / Speculation / Re: A big crash is coming on: July 22, 2014, 01:38:20 PM
ignore the "trendline" - it means nothing
Pages: « 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 [23] 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 »
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!