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621  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: November 03, 2013, 06:22:42 AM
The limited supply and wild price fluctuation maybe Bitcoin's greatest advantage over anything else.

As for the issue of helping the poor: anything that is/was designed to help just a specifically defined group of human beings almost inevitably ends up disastrously, Bitcoin is awesome because it's designed to give everyone who really wants a chance a chance. I don't like to say there is an issue of government not helping the poor, I would like to say it's an issue of the established shying away from creating a world where everyone is given equal opportunities.
622  Economy / Economics / Re: Velocity of bitcoin on: October 30, 2013, 04:18:48 PM
In this article http://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-price-long-term-potential/ the author says that the velocity is 9.

Where does this number come from ?

If it's true, and given that the velocity of fiat currencies is around 1.5, I think everyone who complain about hoarding and the economic effects of a deflationary currency should just stop telling bullshit.

It now seems very possible that Silk Road has processed nearly 10 million bitcoins in the last 2 and a half years, that's nearly 90% of all bitcoins in existence, based on this I would say the velocity is quite high as may be half of all bitcoins ever mined are in cold storage or unable to be extracted forever.
623  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: October 29, 2013, 03:36:00 PM
personally, i think the Money Masters in Wall St are what corrupts Washington.  this is the power of the printing press when controlled by private hands (banksters).

that is where the root of the problem lies and this is why we're here.

So I take it to mean that they are important facilitators of great human creations, much like how war industry has bettered human lives in various ways.
624  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: October 29, 2013, 11:47:17 AM
I would not have been so impressed, and the whole thing wouldn't feel so awesome, if Bitcoin price had never gone to $2.

As for PMs, my point is still that central banks can easily one-up you at PMs when things get really desperate, Bitcoin, ain't so easy. So unless your apocalypse theory is of the everyone for himself absolute jungle flavor, don't buy too much.
625  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: October 28, 2013, 10:25:58 AM
posession, ownership, control ... I think we need to get these straight.

In Bitcoin, there is no such thing as ownership besides control (which in Bitcoin is the same as possession).

Ok, I can live with that.


Yes, getting these straight is important.

I think a main source of confusion is under a proper system of english common law where we live under the rule of established law and not under the rule of men, ownership = control. But when this legal framework breaks down (such as FDR's 1933 order) then ownership no longer equals control and the concepts of possession become important towards maintaining control.

So with Gold ownership equals control until the rule of law breaks down. With bitcoin the concept of possession is stronger than with gold so when the rule of law breaks down you still maintain stronger control. But as others have pointed out the state and still torture you till they get your coins, so the concepts of possession and control are stronger than with gold but not absolute. It is easier for the government to take your gold and/or inflate your money away than it is from them to torture you, but the state can do both...



Use deniable encryption or brainwallet(properly secured)
626  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: October 28, 2013, 10:21:02 AM
posession, ownership, control ... I think we need to get these straight.

Gavin seemed to have implied control=ownership for Bitcoin here: https://gist.github.com/gavinandresen/3840286/raw/b6834fc5ac1367cde3417781a329475f7b99430b/brainwallets.md

Quote
If there are unspent bitcoins associated with that passphrase, your software should also immediately send those bitcoins to your wallet. That is your way of letting the other person know they chose a bad passphrase, and your reward for letting them know they need to move the coins in their main brainwallet.
627  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: FBI Seizes DPR's personal coins! 144,000 coins! on: October 28, 2013, 03:18:06 AM
Was Silk Road seriously that bloody profitable? Or should we also suspect some of this BTC is from the Bitfloor (24k), Slush (3k), Bitcoinica (43k), bitomat.pl (17k), et al., thefts?

lol "Are drugs really that profitable?!?"

I could see maybe if the commission for selling on Silk Road was 50% or something ridiculous.

6.23%,but the total volume was something like 9.5 million BTCs.

Bitcoin could be utilized to run large business and make you super-rich, proven fact.
628  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Litecoin demonstrates how ridiculous Bitcoin is on: October 28, 2013, 01:43:30 AM
Let me summarize the OP:

1.What some "Bitcoin cultists" believe must have something to do with what Bitcoin really is.

2.Two thing sharing the characteristics of having a large "market cap" and quick price rise must be similar in some other ways.

Nuff' said.
629  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: FBI Seizes DPR's personal coins! 144,000 coins! on: October 26, 2013, 01:55:24 PM
Sell them in one go won't do them any good, everyone puts their wallets on watch and will be alerted when they come, besides, other than the prosecuted Mt.Gox, no exchange in the world has such fiat reserve to pay them.

I suspect they will just leave the stash there, and dip into it whenever they are short of money.
630  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2013-10-26 forbes.com - fbi-says-its-seized-20-million-in-bitcoins-from-ross-ulb on: October 26, 2013, 03:28:33 AM
And now we know this guy made at least 50 million dollars(250,000 BTCs)of profit in less than 3 years' time.

I wonder how many would want to be the next Ross Ulbricht.
631  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: FBI Seizes DPR's personal coins! 144,000 coins! on: October 26, 2013, 03:14:13 AM
We'll know when his sentence is handed out.
632  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: hardening brain-wallets with a useful blind proof of work on: October 25, 2013, 09:06:57 AM
Here's a way to repair the security of the process of the miner claiming the fee for doing the KDF work.

Q=xG (x is ECDSA private key, Q is ECDSA public key)
A=H2(Q) address is hash of public key
Extended public key (R,S) as R = H2( (y=H(salt)), Q ),  S=salt*G
Extended address E=H2(R,S).
K=Scrypt(password), encrypted private key X=AESEnc(K,x).

User deletes y, Q and A and k-bits of salt.

One downside of this pattern of not knowing if your password is correct at the high-level is that if you misttype your password, you lose 20c each time.  If you are using the process to offload a 32-bit KDF from your cheap/slow offline wallet computer to your own fast online computer its not a huge deal, just try again as there would be no fees.

But if you are offloading a 46-bit key stretch online you could do with either a check character on disk (which makes 57/58 passwords offline grindable, so removes 6-bits from the password strength, or only a 40-bit key stretch for the CPU cost of a 46-bit one). 

Or better augment the users password with a check character so that the user is expected to remember.  Remembering a check char doesnt seem so unreasonable if you are trying to remember a 50+ bit password you can probably remember a single char that was machine generated appended to the end.  Computed in such a way as to catch transposed characters, missed chars as well as typos with probability 57/58.

Then for 60c per transaction in additional fees you can bump the security of a 50-bit password to 96-bits, with the knowledge that grinding is uneconomical even though your password unstretched is within grinding range.  I bet most people's wallets (whether offline or online), once an attacker has their disk so they become brain-wallet like, could be economically ground currently for amounts of $10k and above say. 

Basically I claim, everyone effectively has the brain-wallet "you're either kidding yourself how good your password is, or your password is so good you'll forget it", once you factor in an attacker getting a copy of the (random private key) encrypted deterministic wallet.

Adam

It's not a downside, it's a feature, or someone who has your disk can go at it repetitively to decrypt your private key.
633  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: hardening brain-wallets with a useful blind proof of work on: October 25, 2013, 06:47:25 AM
AES is bad (baked by NSA).
Please use another cipher (say, Serpent, Threefish or ...)

AES is not baked by NSA, NIST selected AES as their standard, NSA only approved it as fit for top secret information encryption, and they went as far saying all candiates are sufficiently strong to do the job.

We can be complete conspiracy freaks here, but SHA-256 underwent the same process.
634  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: hardening brain-wallets with a useful blind proof of work on: October 25, 2013, 06:40:34 AM
related idea, not for brain-wallets but for password encrypted random key wallets.  [...]
type your password [... decrypt your private key, make a signature and...] send it to miners, have them do the bulk of the KDF work, and then either end up with an invalid transaction signature (if your password was mistyped) or a valid signature which they publish.

[...] if you make the address of form H2( H( salt, public-key ) ) and then delete the salt, then the miner can try to find the salt without having to trust the miner.  [...] Once salt is known the signature is cheaply validatable by anyone.
[...]
The miner may have to do a committed transaction (if he is not mining his own blocks to put the transaction into) with the salt because otherwise the reward could be stolen.  Collecting the KDF fee is a bit insecure otherwise.

Here's a way to repair the security of the process of the miner claiming the fee for doing the KDF work.

Q=xG (x is ECDSA private key, Q is ECDSA public key)
A=H2(Q) address is hash of public key
Extended public key (R,S) as Q' = H2( (y=H(salt)), Q ),  S=salt*G
Extended address E=H2(R,S).
K=Scrypt(password), encrypted private key X=AESEnc(K,x).

User deletes y, Q and A and k-bits of salt.

User publishes extended address E and receives funds on it.   

When user wants to spend funds (or an attacker who has the users hard drive), he types his password and computes K'=Scrypt(password), and computes a candidate private key x'=AES-Dec(K',X).  The candidate (non-extended) public key is Q'=x'*G.  The user cant tell if this is the right password (right private key x' nor right public key Q') the work to brute force k-bits of salt is much more CPU power than he has.

User publishes (R, S, ECDSA(x',tx)); anyone can compute Q' from the signature, and see that the signature is valid, but it takes work to discover if R is derivable from Q'.  Thats the work the miner does as follows: the miner tries to find salt in the defined (advertised) search space such that either H2(H(salt'),Q') == R (because the password is correct) or if the password is wrong the miner finds salt'*Q' == R mod 2^k (ie last k bits match).  If the password is right the miner does not publish salt, only publishes H(salt') and signs with salt as private key to R in order to claim the full reward (40c+20c).  If the password is wrong (miner did not find full match within search space) miner signs with salt' but as H2(H(salt'),Q') != R he can only claim 20c.

Unlike before it is not possible for other miners to take the solution and assign the fee to themselves so the KDF miner does not need to be a bitcoin miner (to include his own fee collection into a block), nor does he have to use committed transactions for security.

Adam

"Q' = H2( (y=H(salt)), Q )" should be R = H2( (y=H(salt)), Q ), right?
635  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: October 25, 2013, 12:40:29 AM
The exante BitcoinFund prediction is 500. They have a pod of whales swimming in their pond.

Meh, Bitcoin's market cap is currently $2.5B. That is a lot but nothing compared to many $Tillions of gold reserves held.

A Bitcoin price of 500 still only brings the market cap to around $6B, it Bitcoin takes off as a viable reserve asset that is nothing and we still have a way to go.

The reason price targets make no sense is Bitcoin is either going to the moon, or crashing to zero as a failed experiment. I don't see a middle ground. That is the entire premise of this thread IMHO, that BTC will become a reserve asset and in the process go up A LOT. Why trade that asset? Just hold.

+1.  It's always nice to see when someone 'gets it'  (said with an air of presumption which does not escape me...)

Years ago, and probably on this thread, I predicted that the main problem would be to figure out how to capitalize.  How much, when, how (in light of regulatory interference, etc) and that sort of thing.  And as I had hoped, that is the set of problems I'm facing now.



this is what i continue to call Bitcoin's Tension.

ppl are so focused on the problems of today.  especially the illiquidity and difficulties in "capitalizing". and they are right about that; today.  but anyone here, if they have been paying attention to what i've been saying, understands that if Bitcoin makes it thru the gauntlet (window of illiquidity and nonacceptance) all these problems will melt away.  

all of a sudden you will find yourself in control of a pile of BTC worth thousands and all sorts of means to capitalize if you wish (cash out).

it's going to happen.

It's a utterly strange feeling that either the whole world goes down and you and a small group of people are the sole winners, the last ones left standing, or the world wins over you and you have nothing left, no compromise, no reconciliation.

As much as I want to see the success of Bitcoin, I am not sure I am already prepared for the Pax Bitcoinica world.
636  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: October 25, 2013, 12:33:13 AM
Years ago, and probably on this thread, I predicted that the main problem would be to figure out how to capitalize.  How much, when, how (in light of regulatory interference, etc) and that sort of thing.  And as I had hoped, that is the set of problems I'm facing now.

this is what i continue to call Bitcoin's Tension.

ppl are so focused on the problems of today.  especially the illiquidity and difficulties in "capitalizing". and they are right about that; today.  but anyone here, if they have been paying attention to what i've been saying, understands that if Bitcoin makes it thru the gauntlet (window of illiquidity and nonacceptance) all these problems will melt away.  

all of a sudden you will find yourself in control of a pile of BTC worth thousands and all sorts of means to capitalize if you wish (cash out).

it's going to happen.

Actually, I expect that the more successful Bitcoin becomes, the more challenging it will be for me (as someone who lives in a non-free jurisdiction (the U.S.)) to find solutions to the problem of capitalizing.  In no circumstance did I every intend to take a majority of my BTC to my grave, and I think that there is a fair chance that even trading BTC straight across for a tractor if/when some old farmer knows of them and wishes to own them will be fraught with danger.

I'm on record as predicting that all important governments would reject and fight Bitcoin and with escalating forcefulness, and probably cooperate in doing so.  To my shock and delight, it seems like I may be wrong about that given the developments out of China.  Yet I continue to have great suspicion of the likely posture of the U.S. government which is massively as corrupted by corporate lobbying and is looking at a much greater fall being still the beneficiary of having world's reserve currency.  As a citizen who lives under U.S. jurisdiction, this is most salient to me.



I believe technical solutions are not so difficult to come by, i.e., P2P distributed exchanges. OTOH, governments around the world know that a system with a single point of failure will fall someday, they have the need to diversify, better still, some of them may figure out that it's futile to try to destroy a system which in its most essential form is nothing more than an idea, which is indestructible.

And lastly, being the controller of the world's reserve currency ain't so much of a bliss as it's a burden. There is no escape from your creditors and the ranks and files of them grow by each day, even during the worst of times you can't even close business as there is no 'sold out' option for you, shift the reserve currency to something else will save all of us a great deal of troubles.
637  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: 40 minutes since last confirmed block - that's scary on: October 24, 2013, 02:57:19 AM
There is also a chance that I go out onto the street then a bag with 100 million dollars, an aerolite, and Elvis Presley all drop out of the blue sky onto my head.
638  Economy / Speculation / Re: Parity watch -> El Salvador on: October 24, 2013, 01:40:18 AM
Vladimir, don't be lazy, it's about time! https://blockchain.info/charts/market-cap
639  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: A Non-Outsourceable Puzzle to Prevent Hosted Mining on: October 22, 2013, 12:31:16 PM
To my best knowledge all ZK technologies have to depend on asymmetric cryptography, anyone care to enlighten me?
640  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: October 22, 2013, 07:58:33 AM
Chinese wall at 200 crumbles!!!
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